Robbin Beneker jzTS
Open Trade
High-Frequency Trader
1.3 Years
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15 Followers
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Keep up with profits
Stable profits are the way to go
Congratulations to those who kept up 🎉🎉🎉
$BTC
Congratulations to those who kept up 🎉🎉🎉
$BTC
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As of April 7, 2025, the price of BTC is approximately 75,400, continuing to face pressure from recent highs, with an intraday decline of more than 9%. Meanwhile, European stock markets have suffered a severe setback: the Euro Stoxx 50 index opened down 6.2%, the German DAX index plummeted 7.1%, the Italian FTSE MIB index fell 7.4%, and the UK FTSE 100 index and Spanish IBEX 35 index decreased by 4.1% and 4.9%, respectively. This correlated decline reflects deep concerns in the global market about the economic outlook.
1. Structural risks in the crypto market
Short-term selling pressure on BTC: On-chain data shows that short-term holders (STH) are increasing their selling behavior, while the proportion of long-term holders (LTH) has increased but is insufficient to offset market panic.
2. Tightening regulatory policies: U.S. regulators are intensifying scrutiny of cryptocurrencies, leading some investors to worry about policy risks and choose to exit.
3. Correlation between traditional financial markets and the crypto market: Although Bitcoin is viewed as a "safe-haven asset" by some investors, its 90-day correlation with the S&P 500 index remains above 0.6, indicating a strong link between the two in the short term.
4. Institutional funds may prioritize redeeming more liquid crypto assets (such as BTC and ETH) amid the stock market crash, putting further pressure on prices. Although BTC rebounded earlier than U.S. stocks during the market crash in 2020, the current market environment is more complex: high global debt levels and escalating geopolitical conflicts may weaken Bitcoin's resilience due to liquidity demands.
5. From a technical perspective, if BTC breaks below the key support level of $75,000, it may trigger a chain of algorithmic trading and leveraged position liquidations, exacerbating downward pressure.
6. Short-term strategy: Focus on defensive allocation
Prioritize holding liquid assets: BTC and ETH, due to their high market acceptance and strong liquidity, have better short-term resilience compared to small and mid-cap tokens.
Avoid high-leverage operations: The current market volatility (with BTC's 30-day volatility exceeding 60%) is prone to triggering liquidation, requiring strict position control.
Note: Maintain cash reserves and avoid emotional trading; if participating in the crypto market, the allocation ratio of mainstream coins (BTC, ETH) should be increased to over 70%, and policy dynamics should be continuously monitored.
1. Structural risks in the crypto market
Short-term selling pressure on BTC: On-chain data shows that short-term holders (STH) are increasing their selling behavior, while the proportion of long-term holders (LTH) has increased but is insufficient to offset market panic.
2. Tightening regulatory policies: U.S. regulators are intensifying scrutiny of cryptocurrencies, leading some investors to worry about policy risks and choose to exit.
3. Correlation between traditional financial markets and the crypto market: Although Bitcoin is viewed as a "safe-haven asset" by some investors, its 90-day correlation with the S&P 500 index remains above 0.6, indicating a strong link between the two in the short term.
4. Institutional funds may prioritize redeeming more liquid crypto assets (such as BTC and ETH) amid the stock market crash, putting further pressure on prices. Although BTC rebounded earlier than U.S. stocks during the market crash in 2020, the current market environment is more complex: high global debt levels and escalating geopolitical conflicts may weaken Bitcoin's resilience due to liquidity demands.
5. From a technical perspective, if BTC breaks below the key support level of $75,000, it may trigger a chain of algorithmic trading and leveraged position liquidations, exacerbating downward pressure.
6. Short-term strategy: Focus on defensive allocation
Prioritize holding liquid assets: BTC and ETH, due to their high market acceptance and strong liquidity, have better short-term resilience compared to small and mid-cap tokens.
Avoid high-leverage operations: The current market volatility (with BTC's 30-day volatility exceeding 60%) is prone to triggering liquidation, requiring strict position control.
Note: Maintain cash reserves and avoid emotional trading; if participating in the crypto market, the allocation ratio of mainstream coins (BTC, ETH) should be increased to over 70%, and policy dynamics should be continuously monitored.
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Current Price: Around $84,000
Key Point Analysis:
Bitcoin has recently been fluctuating around $84,000, with significant volatility in both directions and tense market sentiment. Below are my views and suggestions from several aspects:
1. Key Points of Short-term Trend
1. Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level (the level where it won't fall):
$80,000: A psychological barrier; if it breaks below, it may accelerate the decline.
$78,000: Recent low; if it drops here, there may be funds looking to buy the dip.
Resistance Level (the level where it won't rise):
$85,000: Strong short-term resistance; if broken, it may surge towards $90,000.
$90,000: Near previous high; if broken, it may initiate a new round of increases.
2. Impact of News
Federal Reserve Policy: Recent speeches by Federal Reserve officials are the market focus. If they hint at "interest rate hikes" or "delaying rate cuts," Bitcoin may decline; if they mention "possibility of rate cuts," Bitcoin may rebound quickly.
3. Market Sentiment
The current market is in a state of "panic," but historical data shows that such times may be opportunities to buy in batches, though it is necessary to wait for the market to stabilize.
2. Operation Suggestions
1. Short-term
Bullish (buying up) conditions:
If Bitcoin stabilizes above $84,000 and breaks through $85,000, a small position can be taken to chase the rise, targeting $88,000-$90,000.
Stop Loss: Exit immediately if it drops below $83,000.
Bearish (selling down) conditions:
If Bitcoin falls below $80,000, a small position can be taken to short, targeting $78,000.
Stop Loss: Stop loss if it rises above $82,000.
2. Long-term
Buy in batches: If it drops to the $78,000-$80,000 range, consider buying in 3 batches (for example, buy each time it drops by $1,000), holding long-term with a target above $100,000.
Don't go all in: Avoid buying the entire amount at once to prevent getting stuck if it continues to decline.
3. Caution
Avoid high leverage: The volatility is too high now; using leverage over 3 times can easily lead to liquidation.
3. Possible Future Trends
Bullish Scenario:
If it breaks through $85,000 and the policy releases positive news, it may directly rise to $90,000, or even challenge $100,000.
Bearish Scenario:
If the Federal Reserve takes a hawkish stance or the U.S. stock market drops significantly, Bitcoin may fall below $80,000, or even retest $75,000.
Key Point Analysis:
Bitcoin has recently been fluctuating around $84,000, with significant volatility in both directions and tense market sentiment. Below are my views and suggestions from several aspects:
1. Key Points of Short-term Trend
1. Support and Resistance Levels
Support Level (the level where it won't fall):
$80,000: A psychological barrier; if it breaks below, it may accelerate the decline.
$78,000: Recent low; if it drops here, there may be funds looking to buy the dip.
Resistance Level (the level where it won't rise):
$85,000: Strong short-term resistance; if broken, it may surge towards $90,000.
$90,000: Near previous high; if broken, it may initiate a new round of increases.
2. Impact of News
Federal Reserve Policy: Recent speeches by Federal Reserve officials are the market focus. If they hint at "interest rate hikes" or "delaying rate cuts," Bitcoin may decline; if they mention "possibility of rate cuts," Bitcoin may rebound quickly.
3. Market Sentiment
The current market is in a state of "panic," but historical data shows that such times may be opportunities to buy in batches, though it is necessary to wait for the market to stabilize.
2. Operation Suggestions
1. Short-term
Bullish (buying up) conditions:
If Bitcoin stabilizes above $84,000 and breaks through $85,000, a small position can be taken to chase the rise, targeting $88,000-$90,000.
Stop Loss: Exit immediately if it drops below $83,000.
Bearish (selling down) conditions:
If Bitcoin falls below $80,000, a small position can be taken to short, targeting $78,000.
Stop Loss: Stop loss if it rises above $82,000.
2. Long-term
Buy in batches: If it drops to the $78,000-$80,000 range, consider buying in 3 batches (for example, buy each time it drops by $1,000), holding long-term with a target above $100,000.
Don't go all in: Avoid buying the entire amount at once to prevent getting stuck if it continues to decline.
3. Caution
Avoid high leverage: The volatility is too high now; using leverage over 3 times can easily lead to liquidation.
3. Possible Future Trends
Bullish Scenario:
If it breaks through $85,000 and the policy releases positive news, it may directly rise to $90,000, or even challenge $100,000.
Bearish Scenario:
If the Federal Reserve takes a hawkish stance or the U.S. stock market drops significantly, Bitcoin may fall below $80,000, or even retest $75,000.
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97500?
Yesterday, the big pancake washed back and forth, the market wailed, many people said, Jiang Wei, how can you stand firm in the market, there is a secret to this. #BTC☀
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Much
Leave a message in the comment section, let's see which direction you all are doing #BTC☀
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Can we do it in the next life? 😂😂😂
$REZ will never recover the investment in this lifetime
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