Something came up, I got up early, there is no live broadcast on the weekend, I did some short trading by myself, I can only say that the brainless shorting time has come.
This wave is the opposite of the violent surge at the beginning of July; at that time, there was a sharp rise without looking back, now it’s a sharp decline without looking back. At least in the first week of August, this wave cannot be stopped. Brothers who are bottom-fishing, be cautious and very cautious...
The reason for the sharp decline has also been mentioned in the live broadcast; Wall Street capital has sensed danger signals, and the expectations for interest rate cuts have repeatedly declined, leading to a gradual withdrawal of funds...
Those listed companies in the US stock market, they can't do anything; the pledged structure temporarily cannot exit, they can only bury their heads and keep buying...
This wave of rebound is a shorting opportunity. I can only express my opinion, which may not necessarily be correct. Bitcoin has a high probability of reaching 100,000, and Ethereum has a high probability of reaching 3,000. This is not an exaggeration...
Non-farm data significantly decreased, Chuanzi again shows Old Bao with data that interest rates need to be lowered, these two continue to play Tai Chi...
After this week's Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Old Bao's remarks, along with the rise in the PCE index, the expectation of a rate cut in September dropped from 60% to 40%. After tonight's non-farm data, the expectation of a rate cut returned to 55%.
BTC tonight at 1172 is very critical; if it rebounds and stabilizes above this level, the current adjustment will end. If the rebound cannot go up, it will continue to decline further to test the previous high position at 1118.
In the evening, it is more inclined to look at a second bottom test. In the short term, there is support at 1130-1033, while the key resistance above is at 1160-1165, which can be referenced for entry.
How can the air force chief not be short, especially since it has gone one-sided...
My account early in the morning had BTC over 1150, then reversed to short at 1158. Took a long position on ETH at over 3730, then after hitting a stop loss at 3715, went short.
The structure has changed, now cautiously bottom-fishing. Bottom-fishing now and shorting during a surge is the same principle...
A friend called me to tell me to buy the dip. I looked and saw I entered at 115 last night, and 1152 directly closed the position. This pattern can't be bought at all... It's better not to make this money.
The 4-hour structure in the large level range of 115-120 has already been broken. In the short term, it still has to go down. The position of 1118 that I mentioned in the live stream a couple of days ago has a great opportunity...
Last night, boosted by Powell's remarks, Bitcoin rebounded sharply after a significant drop, reaching 118, while Ethereum also rebounded from a significant drop, surpassing 3800, which means it's still in the original rhythm...
The large-scale fluctuation of BTC between 115-120 has been maintained for too long in the short term. If it hasn't effectively broken out, let's follow the framework. Short near 120 and long near 115.
Compared to Bitcoin, ETH is slightly stronger, with the bottom structure gradually rising. Tonight, we can't wait around 3700 anymore; there are two levels to watch, 3770 and 3740 for entering long positions, while for short positions, look at 3930-3950.
Additionally, it's worth mentioning that Microsoft's and Facebook's financial reports are very good. The U.S. stock market is mainly driven by technology stocks, so tonight, the U.S. stock market is expected to surge a bit...
Mr. Bao's series of remarks tonight have lowered the expectations for a rate cut in September, and he has once again called out Chuanzi, stating that part of the inflation level is influenced by tariffs. Now Chuanzi will have to start criticizing you again...
As a result of these remarks, the US stock market is under pressure and has fallen, with Bitcoin dropping to a low of 1157 and Ethereum to a low of 3670. At this pace, another wave of downward testing is expected tomorrow.
The US market has already started to decline, with Bitcoin touching around 1173 and Ethereum around 3740. If there is a rebound in the US market, I will enter a short position; if there is no rebound, I will wait to enter a long position.
In my personal view, there is a high probability that the US market will have a second test. Bitcoin can be entered around 1150 to catch a long position for a rebound.
Ethereum has broken below 3770; if it goes down, I will enter a long position around 3700 to look for a rebound opportunity. If it breaks below 3700, I will have to wait until around 3500 to enter, which I mentioned in last night's live broadcast.
There have been many events these past few days, everyone should be cautious!
Ethereum's tenth anniversary, the Federal Reserve meeting, and the arrival of the tariff deadline on August 1st.
Looking at Bitcoin from the chart, this week is still in a range, repeatedly rising to a high before pulling back down, and a new direction is about to emerge. It's been several days of consolidation at a high level; since the peak of 1230 on July 14th, it has been 15 days.
Last night, after piercing 1172, it closed back. We canceled our order at 1172 yesterday, which is a pity. Tonight, we will still focus on the support at 1172. If it breaks down and then closes back, we will consider going short; if it doesn’t close back, we will think about catching a long position on the rebound below.
Ethereum has recently enjoyed moving up and down. Fortunately, our rhythm has been good, going long when it drops and shorting on the rebound. Tonight, let's pay attention to both ends, around 3700 below and 3930 above.
Woke up and took a look, the order number has no position left, took profit...
Last night ETH went from over 3730 to 3790, made 60 points on a short trade, the live stream also mentioned placing an order at 3730, this time everyone got in right?
The pancake continuously dipped to 1173-1174 in the early morning and morning. In the short term, 1172 support is effective, and it will maintain a rebound momentum. Tonight, we will first look at entering short positions around 1202-1205, with a target of 1175-1180.
Last night, Ethereum bought at 3730, precisely hitting the mark, with a 150-point space, whether to take more or less depends on personal choice. Tonight, we will enter short positions around 3920-3930, targeting 3850-3820-3800.
This is the plan for tonight, give it a thumbs up, brothers!
Share Ethereum 3730, Bitcoin 1172 Ethereum 3730 received, highest 3880, 150 points space Bitcoin 1172 received, lowest 1173, just a breath away…… Is it okay to give a thumbs up if you got it?
封狼-实战为王
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Tonight, let's play it safe with BTC around 1172 to buy one hand, and if it pulls back up to around 120,000, then short again. For ETH, buy in the range of 3810-3800, or just wait at the position, and buy around 3730-3740. That's the plan for now.
Last night's live stream and posts were shared, Ether 3730 picked up, there is temporarily a space of 50 points. If you want to take it up at the cost price for defense, it's fine if you don't want to take the 50 points, I'm going to continue sleeping for a while...
Tonight, let's play it safe with BTC around 1172 to buy one hand, and if it pulls back up to around 120,000, then short again. For ETH, buy in the range of 3810-3800, or just wait at the position, and buy around 3730-3740. That's the plan for now.
The two days of the weekend have seen a full rebound, with BTC prices reaching 1198, and ETH even climbing to 3940, heading straight for the 4000 mark. The most eye-catching is BNB, which has once again refreshed its historical high, reaching 860 USD.
These past few days, I've been renovating my house, so I haven't been paying much attention to the market. I just placed two short orders; after the rebound on Friday, I lost on a short at 1184 from 1172, but I'm still holding the short at 1195. The 95 level was also a position I wanted to short last week but didn't.
Today, there are two levels to watch: one is 1184, and the other is 1172. If these two levels cannot hold tonight, or within this week, we may see another test of the 1150 area. Overall, the market is expected to maintain a large range between 120-115 for now.
If we hold after a second test tonight, it is likely that we will break a high point within this week or pull up a secondary high, as it has been two weeks of high-level fluctuations since reaching 1230.
The focus tonight is on 1172 here; the 1-hour structure at the low points of Wednesday and Thursday, also continuously testing this level. If the US market stabilizes at 1172, it will continue the counterattack signal, and if it can't hold, it will further test 112-113.
ETH dipped to 3720-3570 in the morning, and now it has surprisingly recovered to 3740. This thing is really crazy 🐶; it can drop 100 points or 200 points, but it can also come back up. Overall, however, Ethereum failed to extend its gains after reaching a high, which is a drawback. Compared to earlier when it didn’t look back, it is relatively weaker now.
BTC first pulls back; short at 1170-1172 and look for 1150-1140. First, it goes down, then buy at 1145-1140 and look for 1160-1170.
ETH first pulls back; short at 3750-3770, 366-363-358. First, it goes down, then buy at 3530-3500 and look for 363-366-370.