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XRP Sudden Fluctuation: Prelude to Market Reversal or Short-term Emotional Volatility?

XRP has recently shown significant fluctuations, attracting market attention. There are reports suggesting a potential 'zero' risk, causing some investors to panic, but there is currently no clear evidence to support this claim.

From the data perspective, XRP's trading volume is increasing, and some large addresses show signs of accumulation, indicating a divergence in market sentiment. Some investors believe this is a short-term disturbance, while others worry about potential further declines.

At this stage, market news is complex and sentiment is quite sensitive. For XRP holders, it is advisable to closely monitor subsequent capital flows and fundamental changes to avoid blindly following trends.

Is this wave of market activity a short-term fluctuation or a signal of a larger trend? Further observation is needed.

Bitcoin breaks through $100,000, how long will this rally last? Short-seller pressure is starting to increase

Last night, Bitcoin officially broke the $100,000 mark, and the market can be described as very strong, breaking several key levels in a short period, bringing considerable impact to many bearish investors.

If you remember, you might find this trend somewhat familiar — it's similar to the 'Trump rally' after last year's U.S. election. At that time, Bitcoin also saw a significant surge in a short period, and market sentiment quickly shifted from cautious to optimistic.

Where does the push for this rally come from?

From the current market feedback, there are several core factors worth noting:

The market generally expects that if Trump is re-elected, it will promote a more lenient regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies;

Leverage funds are flowing back in, with over $230 million in short positions liquidated across the network in the past 12 hours;

Bullish sentiment is strengthening, with open contract volume quickly rising to over $27 billion.

Additionally, some analyses suggest that large funds may take advantage of the psychological barrier of $100,000 to create a short squeeze, further increasing market volatility.

Note that current market volatility is escalating. Although the trend is optimistic, it is also important to be aware of the increasing risks:

Daily volatility is widening, with a daily price fluctuation of $10,000 becoming the norm;

Geopolitical tensions and U.S. economic data may still bring uncertainty, especially regarding the recent India-Pakistan situation and Federal Reserve policy direction;

Some large holders ('whales') have already started withdrawing funds, possibly preparing for a subsequent market shift.

How to respond moving forward?

If you currently hold a heavy position, it is advisable to focus on the following points:

Control your leverage ratio and try to avoid frequent trading in high-volatility markets;

If you do not have a clear directional judgment, you can choose to wait and see for confirmation signals;

Tomorrow's Federal Reserve data may be a key point for short-term trends.

Finally, a reminder: although bulls currently dominate, there is still a risk of market pullback. Try to remain calm while trading, especially in a phase where emotions can easily be amplified.

Want to double your money in the crypto world? Here are 7 tips you can refer to, especially the last one is very important.

Many people think trading cryptocurrencies is like gambling, but the difference between doing well and poorly often lies in knowledge, execution, and mindset. Especially when the market is on the rise, friends with limited capital need to grasp the rhythm well. Below are some practical tips I’d like to share:

1. Trading at night is more rational.

There are many messages during the day that are hard to distinguish between true and false, making it easy to be swayed by short-term emotions. Trading after 9 PM makes the market relatively stable, the trends clearer, and decision-making less impulsive.

2. Don’t keep all your profits; locking in some is safer.

For example, if you made 1000 U today, consider taking out 300 U and cashing it out, while leaving the rest for continued trading. Many people are greedy, thinking they can make more, but then a market pullback occurs, and they end up losing all their profits—this happens too often.

3. Look at charts more and guess the market less.

Using basic indicators like MACD, RSI, and Bollinger Bands to judge market trends is much better than relying on feelings. It’s best to wait for two indicators to align before considering entering the market, to avoid rushing in and becoming a bag holder.

4. Keep up with profit-taking and stop-losses.

When monitoring the market, you can adjust stop-losses dynamically, for example, if prices rise to a certain level, raise the stop-loss to a safer zone; if it’s inconvenient to monitor the market, it’s advisable to set a fixed stop-loss of around 3% to avoid sudden crashes.

5. Withdraw regularly every week; secure your profits.

At the end of the week, if you’ve made some profits, consider withdrawing 30%. No matter how much money is in your account, if you don’t cash it out, it’s just a number. Developing a withdrawal habit is beneficial for controlling risks and emotions.

6. Don’t act rashly when watching the market; analyze K-lines by period.

For short-term trading, refer to the 1-hour chart and only consider entering when you see continuous rises supported by volume;

In a sideways market, look at the 4-hour chart, build positions slowly when prices drop to support levels, and exit when breaking through resistance levels; don’t rush the rhythm.

7. Key points to avoid pitfalls:

Don’t use too much leverage; within 50x is relatively controllable for risk;

Avoid air coins and meme coins; the market makers will run faster than you;

Three trades a day is enough; don’t get too carried away;

Never borrow money to trade cryptocurrencies; when the market is unstable, preserving your capital is the most important thing.

What are the reasons to be optimistic about XRP?

First of all, XRP is officially launching on trading platforms on April 30, which is a positive development in itself. Both liquidity and attention will increase.

Secondly, some institutions have recently expressed interest in collaborating with the XRP team to provide financial support, but the response from XRP is that they currently have sufficient funds and do not need a partnership. This situation indicates that they are not planning to make concessions for short-term benefits, which is a form of protection for token holders and demonstrates the project’s confidence in its future development.

Now let's look at price expectations.

Some industry analysts believe that XRP has the potential to break through $100 in the future. Although the current price is around $2.3, which seems like a significant gap, there are similar cases in the market, such as SOL rising from $20 to $295. Of course, whether it can rise to such heights is uncertain, but there is certainly a chance to see it around $10.

Another important point is that many projects in the crypto space are focused on on-chain ecosystems and token expansion, but there are not many that are genuinely focused on creating sustainable systems. XRP has been dedicated to this area for over a decade, consistently adhering to its own direction. Since the issuance of tokens in 2013, maintaining the fourth position in market capitalization speaks volumes.

If XRP's system ultimately operates successfully, its value will definitely not remain at its current level. One can compare it to Nvidia in the traditional market; with the right technology and direction, an explosion in value is just a matter of time.

Therefore, from a risk-reward perspective, holding XRP spot is a choice worth considering. Of course, each person's investment logic is different; this is just my own judgment, and decisions should be made based on individual circumstances.

Lastly, I would like to add that,

Some people question whether XRP is a copycat coin, but there is really no need to be overly concerned about that. If it ultimately achieves its goals, it will naturally be part of the mainstream. After all, a project that can survive for more than ten years in the crypto space is not simple.

Is Trump causing trouble again?

Recently, things have been lively over in the United States. Trump announced that he will hold a "Super VIP Dinner" at his golf club, but it isn't so easy to attend — one must hold the "Trump Coin" he launched, and only the top 220 holders are eligible.

Even more outrageous, the top 25 holders will enjoy "presidential treatment" and have a chance to visit the White House. Once the news broke, the price of Trump Coin skyrocketed by 70%. However, the Democrats were outraged.

Georgia Congressman Jon Ossoff directly criticized this in Congress: "This is blatant corruption! Trump is using his presidential status to exchange for money." He even stated that this kind of maneuver is enough to initiate impeachment proceedings.

However, for impeachment to succeed, it’s basically hopeless. The House of Representatives is controlled by the Republicans, who stand united with Trump. Even if the impeachment proposal passes, it's difficult to gather the two-thirds support needed in the Senate.

In fact, Trump has been impeached twice in history, but was never convicted; this time is likely to be the same.

By the way, what is Meme Coin?
It's the kind of currency that becomes popular due to memes, such as Dogecoin and Shiba Inu Coin. Generally, they have no real application and rely solely on fame and speculation. Trump Coin is similar — 80% of the coins are in his family's business, and the price fluctuations are akin to a roller coaster.

Why do some say this is corruption?
Because Trump is leveraging his presidential identity to promote the coin issued by his own family, exchanging it for political privileges. In simpler terms, it’s about paying for opportunity, undermining fairness. What’s even more ridiculous is that the dinner costs must be paid by the investors themselves, while he profits from the coin price increases and transaction fees.

To summarize,
This operation essentially binds politics and capital together again, and ordinary investors are likely to become cannon fodder. The short-term volatility of Trump Coin already speaks volumes.

Is XRP Facing New Favor? The Latest Statement from the European Central Bank Sparks Market Attention

Recently, there has been significant news regarding XRP: the European Central Bank has released a new regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies, in which it clearly acknowledges the role of crypto assets in the modern financial system for the first time.

What does this mean? In simple terms, the official stance on cryptocurrencies is beginning to shift, and XRP, as a project focused on cross-border payments, will naturally be reassessed by more people.

In fact, Ripple has been quite active in Europe over the past two years, continuously pushing for cooperation with various financial institutions. Now that the policy level is starting to loosen, it may be a great opportunity for XRP to further expand its European market. Especially in the area of cross-border payments, Europe has always had a demand for faster and more cost-effective transfer methods, which is exactly where XRP excels.

Additionally, the European Central Bank has also mentioned exploring experiments related to Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC), which could provide a potential application for XRP's underlying technology. If CBDCs are to be integrated with existing systems in the future, bridge-type assets like XRP will be more useful.

Of course, this is currently just a release of policy direction, and there are still many variables before it truly materializes. Nevertheless, this is considered a positive signal for XRP.

What exactly happened behind the OM crash? Mantra's recent actions are a bit puzzling

Recently, the OM token suddenly plummeted, causing a stir in the market. Mantra's founder, John Mullin, stepped in to calm the situation, stating that he had begun to burn $80 million worth of OM tokens to stabilize everyone's emotions. But the question is—how did this happen? No one can clearly explain it yet.

Natalie Newson, an analyst from CertiK, mentioned that this kind of situation cannot be understood solely through on-chain data; legal investigations are needed, similar to the deep-dive approach taken after the FTX incident, to uncover the truth.

She also pointed out that many trades are not directly traceable on-chain, especially those over-the-counter (OTC) transactions, which are quite opaque. OTC trades typically involve large holders negotiating directly offline, executing large buys or sells while bypassing market price fluctuations, making them even less transparent.

Moreover, the Mantra team admitted to conducting some OTC trades, amounting to as much as $30 million. This is a significant sum, inevitably raising suspicions about whether someone had insider knowledge beforehand.

Interestingly, there were whale wallets that had quietly hoarded over 100 million OM tokens prior to this, but it is still uncertain whether they were operated by someone within Mantra. Newson suggested that this might simply be a normal behavior of large holders in the secondary market, but other possibilities cannot be ruled out.

Previously, on-chain analysis platforms like Arkham and Nansen attempted to track this wave of capital flow, but so far, information is limited, and many wallets may have been misclassified. Mullin himself has denied that there was any insider leaking of information, and the platform may have misidentified some wallet ownership.

Newson further added that even if on-chain tracking tools are used, without access to OTC agreements and internal records from exchanges, many things cannot be investigated. Therefore, it seems unlikely that a clear conclusion can be reached in the short term.

After the OM crash, Mantra mentioned considering bringing in a third party for legal audits, but several days have passed without any updates.

What do you think about this wave of OM? Is it purely market volatility, or is there something else going on? Should we be more cautious about OTC operations in the future?

Is Russia about to launch a 'Combat Nation version of USDT'? The underlying issues are quite complex

Recently, the Russian side is indeed anxious. This is because the United States suddenly froze approximately $30 million worth of USDT (about 2.5 billion rubles) in the Garantex exchange, and Russia is now considering launching its own stablecoin for 'self-protection'.

According to TASS, the Ministry of Finance is preparing a domestically produced stablecoin to compete with USDT. It is possible that it will be pegged to the ruble, and there are even rumors that it might be linked to the renminbi, with initial plans to conduct a small-scale trial in the newly established 'cryptocurrency special zone' in Russia.

The reason behind this is quite straightforward: Garantex is one of Russia's largest digital currency trading platforms, but it has recently been included in the sanctions list by the US and Europe, on the grounds of suspected money laundering and facilitating the transfer of funds for hackers. The Tether company subsequently cooperated by freezing the relevant wallets.

Internal sources say that the Ministry of Finance's attitude is very firm, and the Deputy Minister even slammed the table during a meeting, stating: 'We can't keep getting choked by the Americans; we need our own digital solution.'

However, this matter is not entirely one-sided within Russia. The central bank has always maintained a relatively conservative stance on cryptocurrencies and is not keen on fully opening up, leading to disagreements with the Ministry of Finance.

The outside world is also watching closely. Some believe that the Russian version of the stablecoin is just 'a ruble in a different guise,' while others are concerned that such stablecoins could be used to bypass financial sanctions in the future.

But regardless of how one views it, this issue will have a significant impact on the entire digital currency industry. More and more countries want to 'step in and take the lead' in the stablecoin sector.

If Russia really issues a coin, do you think it will create a new pool of funds? Will there be buyers?

Additionally, Tether's direct freezing of assets this time serves as a reminder for everyone to consider diversifying their risks.

Musk publicly confronts Trump, have former 'allies' completely fallen out?

Once a supporter of Trump, Musk has now turned against him.

On April 11, Musk rarely fired shots on the X platform, specifically criticizing Trump's cuts to NASA's budget as shortsighted, even going so far as to call a former White House advisor a 'fool.' Their relationship has reached a freezing point, turning from allies to rivals, almost overnight.

It's not hard to understand. Musk supported Trump back in the day mainly because the Biden administration was cold towards him regarding new energy and AI, which led him to 'seek someone else.' However, after Trump's return, relevant policies have hardly given Musk any opportunities, especially in the fields of AI and the trade war, which have instead increased pressure on Tesla.

The statement 'I don't need Musk at all' seems to have become the last straw. Musk immediately launched the Grok 3 system and robot project, clearly opposing the AI camp that Trump is building.

The rift behind this conflict actually affects not only the tech world but may also influence the crypto world.

For instance, there are viewpoints suggesting that Trump's related policies resemble a game of 'insider trading,' while Musk represents the public market game. He himself has been impacted by the drop in Tesla's stock price, leading to a noticeable change in his mindset.

Currently, market sentiment is leaning bearish, and Tesla, AI, and the crypto space have all been swept into it. Meanwhile, Trump's backed $DJT (Golden Dogecoin) has also been quite active recently. If Musk chooses to drive a new narrative, will the sentiment in the crypto space become divided?

Key Risk Control to Focus on in the Current Stage

U.S. officials stated that additional tariffs on Chinese products will be imposed starting April 9, Eastern Time, and the subsequent course of action will be monitored.

Bitcoin plummets sharply, is the bear market about to start?

I initially thought it was just a normal pullback, but I didn't expect this wave of selling to be so severe. Bitcoin has fallen below $77,000, and the market is in turmoil, with many asking: has the bear market already arrived?

This drop is closely related to Trump's recent "tariff blitz." Starting in April, a 25% tariff was imposed on automobiles, and there are calls for "reciprocal tariffs," causing global market panic. Not only in the cryptocurrency sector, but even the US stock market, as well as Asia-Pacific and European markets, have been collectively affected, reminiscent of the atmosphere before several major collapses in history.

Looking back at history—1987, 2008, 2020, each time there was a large-scale global synchronized decline, something followed. Now the question arises: will this 2025 event be the starting point for the next super downtrend cycle?

More importantly, the current cryptocurrency market is no longer that "purely decentralized" small circle. Institutions like MicroStrategy and BlackRock hold hundreds of thousands of BTC; any market fluctuation immediately amplifies the impact. To be honest, this is no longer a market that retail investors can control.

From a technical perspective, BTC has broken through key support, with the 76,600 area becoming the "line of life and death." If it cannot hold, it could drop below 70K in an instant. If you look at the RSI chart, the weekly level is already close to bear market lows, and it could accidentally probe for another bottom.

Of course, dumping everything at this point might not be a good idea. The current market situation could be a deep washout, creating space for a rebound later. But the question remains— is this a short-term adjustment? Or the beginning of a new bear market?

#加密市场回调

PEPE Alert! Before April 2, are whales up to something?

The market for PEPE has been a bit unusual lately, and it seems that whales are quietly positioning themselves. There may be significant movements before April 2, so investors should pay attention!

Currently, the RSI is overbought, trading volume is low but prices are still rising, which likely indicates that funds are pushing prices up to build positions in preparation for future sell-offs. Furthermore, the news related to Trump on April 2 has intensified market uncertainty; smart money usually acts in advance rather than waiting for the news to land before making decisions.

Key price levels to watch:

Resistance level 0.00000920 — This may be a sell-off point for whales

Support level 0.00000680 — If breached, the market may experience greater volatility

Potential low point 0.00000400 — If a large-scale sell-off occurs, this level may be tested

For holders: Now is not the time to be complacent; the market may be in a 'profit-taking' rhythm.

For existing investors: It is recommended to pay attention to key price levels and to take profits or set stop-loss orders in a timely manner.

For new buyers considering entry: It may be wise to wait for further clarity in the market before taking action.

If whales indeed have plans for large-scale sell-offs, this could result in a significant market fluctuation in the second quarter. Approach with caution to avoid being swayed by market sentiment!

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