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小七2025

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High-Frequency Trader
1 Months
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Portfolio
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$ETH Based on current market data and institutional analysis, the probability assessment of Ethereum (ETH) falling back **below $2500** is as follows: --- ### **1. Short-term (within 1 month) probability: 10%-15%** - **Key Factors**: - The current price of ETH is around **$4700**, which is a **47% decline** from $2500, making a significant short-term retracement unlikely. - **Institutional Support**: Spot ETFs and corporate bonds have absorbed **3.8% of the circulating supply**, providing strong buying support. - **Technical Analysis**: If it falls below **$4200**, it may drop to **$3600**, but reaching **$2500** would require extreme market panic (such as a black swan event). **Probability Assessment**: The probability of dropping to **below $2500** in the short term is **10%-15%**, requiring a market crash or major regulatory crackdown to drive it.
$ETH Based on current market data and institutional analysis, the probability assessment of Ethereum (ETH) falling back **below $2500** is as follows:

---

### **1. Short-term (within 1 month) probability: 10%-15%**
- **Key Factors**:
- The current price of ETH is around **$4700**, which is a **47% decline** from $2500, making a significant short-term retracement unlikely.
- **Institutional Support**: Spot ETFs and corporate bonds have absorbed **3.8% of the circulating supply**, providing strong buying support.
- **Technical Analysis**: If it falls below **$4200**, it may drop to **$3600**, but reaching **$2500** would require extreme market panic (such as a black swan event).

**Probability Assessment**: The probability of dropping to **below $2500** in the short term is **10%-15%**, requiring a market crash or major regulatory crackdown to drive it.
See original
$ETH is opposing me, huh?
$ETH is opposing me, huh?
See original
Stabilize, this wave aims to reach 5000
Stabilize, this wave aims to reach 5000
阿里巴巴40大盗
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Should we level it? After all, the market has not been good recently.
See original
Why not trade spot with one times?
Why not trade spot with one times?
小小溪
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It feels like Ether is going to take out a wave of bulls.
See original
Your opening position is not good. If it were me, I would open a short at 4800.
Your opening position is not good. If it were me, I would open a short at 4800.
一缕青烟
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Need to recall ETH, loaned 11 and went in!
See original
Gambler
Gambler
一缕青烟
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Need to recall ETH, loaned 11 and went in!
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Bearish
See original
$ETH Speed Up
$ETH Speed Up
S
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
-1412.77USDT
See original
Don't say that. This September saw over 6000+
Don't say that. This September saw over 6000+
青蛙哥哥S
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Bearish
$ETH
If this price can explode, I'll eat all the shit in the world!
See original
$ETH encountered a foolish operator.
$ETH encountered a foolish operator.
S
ETHUSDT
Closed
PNL
-1412.77USDT
See original
This wave is going to reach 5000
This wave is going to reach 5000
加密猎手联盟
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Bullish
$ETH This is going to touch 4800 points, oh my god, I am desperately holding on to this position.
See original
Speed Backhand
Speed Backhand
加密猎手联盟
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Bullish
$ETH This is going to touch 4800 points, oh my god, I am desperately holding on to this position.
See original
Within a week
Within a week
Crypto加密猫女
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I'm really going to laugh in anger, the pancake just leveled out for a while and then it went up? It's hard not to imagine it's a capital manipulation, whatever I do ends up losing money, this is really not meaningful. Now I've bought more Ethereum and it's dropping again, it can't be that unlucky, whose cake did I actually touch!!!!!!!!!!
See original
Do not get off before 5000
Do not get off before 5000
Crypto加密猫女
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I'm really going to laugh in anger, the pancake just leveled out for a while and then it went up? It's hard not to imagine it's a capital manipulation, whatever I do ends up losing money, this is really not meaningful. Now I've bought more Ethereum and it's dropping again, it can't be that unlucky, whose cake did I actually touch!!!!!!!!!!
See original
It's okay, your price point is very good, I see 5000 in this wave.
It's okay, your price point is very good, I see 5000 in this wave.
Crypto加密猫女
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I'm really going to laugh in anger, the pancake just leveled out for a while and then it went up? It's hard not to imagine it's a capital manipulation, whatever I do ends up losing money, this is really not meaningful. Now I've bought more Ethereum and it's dropping again, it can't be that unlucky, whose cake did I actually touch!!!!!!!!!!
See original
$GMX Dear brothers, is there still hope for me?
$GMX Dear brothers, is there still hope for me?
B
GMXUSDT
Closed
PNL
-645.29USDT
See original
From 0.6 empty to what position Master
From 0.6 empty to what position Master
做空大师稳健T版
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$SOON 's drop is far from enough, bottom-fishing is just looking for death, look for opportunities to short at a high point, kill him without leaving a trace.
See original
$GMX I found that this B will drop as long as you dare to buy it, just like it's being monitored.
$GMX I found that this B will drop as long as you dare to buy it, just like it's being monitored.
See original
What use do I have for you?
What use do I have for you?
Shalonda Kuehnert yDQn
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$GMX whole network short gmx, this week must reach 15U, this month must reach 11U, if not reached, you can contact me, why keep such a garbage coin for the New Year?
See original
Fool
Fool
Tigershah99
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#gmx will soon shot upto its highest its just consolidation time for this 🪙 #Write2Earn
See original
Will arrive at 30 tonight
Will arrive at 30 tonight
Helal-hussain
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GMX usdt Big move very soon ..
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