$BTC The anticipated 2025 altcoin season has not gone as expected. A key indicator of altcoin momentum, the altcoin season index, remains neutral, indicating that this is not an altcoin or Bitcoin [BTC] season.
Since late December 2024, the index has been hovering around 50, leaving most altcoins in a sideways or declining state. However, some coins like Solana [SOL] have recorded a slight increase during the same period.
Altcoin Season Index Altcoin Season Index BTC dominance surges to 58% Historically, altcoins’ growth momentum often occurs when BTC dominance (BTC.D) declines, leading to a rotation of money flows from Bitcoin to altcoins.
This process is also often accompanied by a sharp decline in USDT dominance (USDT.D), indicating an increase in speculative investment in altcoins.
During the November rally, the altcoin market (OTHERS, white line) recorded a strong increase when USDT.D and BTC.D both fell.
However, since the end of December 2024, BTC.D has increased from 55% to more than 58%, indicating that most investors are focusing their capital on Bitcoin instead of altcoins.
Usdt Dominance Usdt Dominance In addition, USDT.D is limited in the range of 3.7% – 4.5%, causing the altcoin market to continue to fluctuate sideways. If BTC dominance declines, the possibility of attracting capital to altcoins will be higher.
In the meantime, the market remains cautious and awaits new information on the Trump administration’s pro-crypto policies.
At the same time, the Fed’s interest rate decision next week will significantly influence the direction of the market. Therefore, the broader altcoin market may remain range-bound until early February.
However, crypto analyst TechDev, based on historical trends, predicts that the altcoin market could see a strong growth in 2025. He noted:
“The altcoin market has seen a 10-month expansion phase after both previous signals. This is just an observation.”
Bitcoin surged to $106,000 after President Donald Trump signed an executive order on cryptocurrencies and the creation of a “national digital asset reserve.”
On January 24, US President Donald Trump officially signed an executive order establishing a working group on digital assets. The group’s main mission is to promote the United States’ leadership in the cryptocurrency industry and plan to build a strategic national digital asset reserve.
While the order is a significant step forward for the cryptocurrency sector, it falls short of a comprehensive national strategy dedicated to Bitcoin reserves, which many investors had hoped for. This has caused Bitcoin prices to slightly correct.
Bitcoin Price Chart Bitcoin Price Chart Senator Cynthia Lummis, a strong Bitcoin advocate, is optimistic: “Big things are coming.” She also predicted that an executive order on the establishment of a strategic Bitcoin reserve would be issued soon.
The executive order reads in part:
“The working group will consider the possibility of establishing and maintaining a national reserve of digital assets and will develop criteria for establishing such a reserve. The reserve may be created from crypto assets seized by the Federal Government through law enforcement activities.”
Read more: Warren Buffett Increases Investment in Crypto
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