MSTR-2030

How much can this round of the bull market reach???

According to He Yi, Binance's profit in 2024 is conservatively estimated at 50 billion USD, while Tencent's profit in 2024 is 20 billion USD. Binance is equivalent to 2.5 Tencents, and a seven-year-old blockchain company far exceeds Tencent, which has been around for nearly 30 years. Let’s talk about BNB.
First, there is quarterly burn:
In the past, the burn amount for BNB each quarter was around 500 million USD. With the bull market arriving, a quarterly burn of 1 billion USD is not exaggerating. At an average price of 666 USD, over 1.5 million BNB can still be burned each quarter, which totals to 6 million BNB annually, resulting in an annualized deflation rate of 4%.
Next is new mining. Previously, when BNB was around 300 USD, my mining returns could reach 2-3%. Now that the price of BNB has increased, the mining returns have decreased somewhat, averaging about 1% per session. Currently, Binance's new mining speed is about once a month; I calculate an average of 2.5 times, so the new mining yield each quarter is 2.5%. Not considering reinvestment, the annualized return is 30%, which is quite high.
Additionally, there are financial products and other activities. For example, currently, BNB's fixed-term financial products have an annualized return of 1-2%. Sometimes there are other activities; for instance, I participated in a fixed-term deposit to receive airdrops, and I should also receive some XAI tokens if all goes well.
Overall, various activities with BNB can achieve an annualized yield of about 35% in terms of cryptocurrency.
Furthermore, the status of the BSC chain: BNB is not just a platform token, but also a public chain token. According to DeFiLlama data, the DEX trading volume on the SOL chain ranks first. The daily trading volume of DEX on the ETH chain ranks second; the daily trading volume of DEX on the BSC chain ranks third.
Currently, BSC is roughly in the third position among public chains, which is also quite valuable.
In summary, this is my understanding of BNB's value. Of course, there are also other empowerments from Binance's storage that I don't understand. So I won’t pretend to understand more than I do.
Even the value I see, BNB's current price is still not particularly overvalued.
If Binance can maintain its position as the leading exchange in this bull market, then the price of BNB will reach 5000 USD.

The current market performance has caused many to lose confidence in a bull market or altcoin season, especially for altcoins; this round of adjustments is extremely unfriendly. It can be said that this is a bull market for mainstream coins and a bear market for altcoins, and many people and bloggers are beginning to doubt whether a bull market will come again.

Common Issues for Retail Investors
1. Eagerness to Recover Losses
After incurring losses, it's easy to make hasty decisions, such as chasing after the recently popular meme coins. However, without reliable channels, investing in low-quality coins often leads to quicker losses. On the other hand, some try to recover quickly through contracts or leverage, but the risks are extremely high and most people find it hard to manage; it is advisable to avoid this.
2. Lack of Patience
Frequent cutting losses or changing positions will only lead to greater losses. When the market truly starts, if you have neither funds nor coins, that is the most awkward situation.

BTC Market Analysis
• Monthly Chart: The trend remains unchanged, the key lies in this month's closing position. If the monthly chart closes below 96,000, a bear market may be entered.
• Weekly Chart: A new weekly candle has opened, and the trend is upward. If this week continues to close positively, the probability of a bull market increases.
• Daily Chart: The daily chart has retraced to an important trend line and rebounded; there has not yet been a significant downward trend.
• Bitcoin Market Cap Ratio: Testing the trend line again. If it continues to decline, the market cap ratio may further decrease.

Summary: Maintain patience, I firmly believe that a bull market is still on the horizon, and the arrival of altcoin season may not be far off.

The Essence of the Crypto World

Holding USDT fears the crash, keeping it on exchanges fears black swans, storing it in hot wallets fears private key theft, and losing private keys in cold wallets.

Buying coins freezes accounts, selling coins also freezes accounts. When chasing meme coins, they run away with just a touch, and end up with a bunch of zero-value coins. Finally hit the big dog coin, and the next day it’s on Binance futures, dropping by half.

Cross-chain trading ends up losing coins, finding out the chain was wrong during transfers, and after studying projects discovering backdoors in their code. High-yield mining either means preparing to run away or collapses in just five minutes. Want to mine physically? Order mining machines and they arrive three months later, only to find out a bear market has come. Find water and electricity to start, but then mining is banned.

Listening to big influencers engaging in all-in bets, the moment they finish talking, they’ve already sold out. Today it's about the Bitcoin faith, tomorrow it’s Ethereum being awesome, then it’s DeFi, and then GameFi NFT ABCDEFG all come, never keeping up with the trends, can’t even get warm food from eating shit.

Hoarding coins means prices drop right after buying, saying not to watch the market, but checking every 15 minutes. Can’t take it anymore and sell, only for the price to pump afterwards, always just waiting and watching. The moment contracts open, it’s like a needle going up and down, losing on both sides, and when it’s all over, it reverses. Not setting stop losses and holding on? One hold leads to a ten-year black swan with a 60% drop in an hour, followed by policies pumping the market by 40% in a day, and holding positions leads to liquidation.

Quantitative backtesting trend trading, the data looks amazing, but opening a live account leads to eight months of volatility. Open leveraged arbitrage, risking liquidation just to make a bit of pocket change, and before you know it, two years of hard work go to waste. Not opening leveraged arbitrage? The returns are worse than bank wealth management.

So why come to the crypto world?

It’s for the people at the top exchanges making money effortlessly from trading.

It’s for those selling mining machines and hash power who have already made three years' worth of money in advance.

It’s for project founders and hackers completing the transfer of wealth.

It’s for big influencers selling anxiety and promoting beliefs, earning traffic.

It’s for capitalists telling stories, painting big pictures, and depicting the future, pulling the K-line.

Except for a few lucky ones, countless bankruptcies and irretrievable lives, and a future brainwashed to the point of no return.

$OM Brothers, come take over!