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肥猫

用爱发光的新手导师,量化研究者。只是个韭菜,随便看着玩的,错了别怪我,毕竟我也只是个韭菜。微博:不改名字的肥猫,推特:@QYingzheng6671
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Kentner PC/mobile version detailed configuration method and transaction logicHello everyone, I am your Cat Brother. Well, those born after 2000 should call me Uncle Cat... The configuration method previously released was sent via short messages, so there were limitations on pictures and text, and many friends still couldn't understand it. So now I have added a complete version. This version will be used as the standard in the future. Let's start with the PC version. The PC version is the same as the web version. At first, I configured it remotely for people, but later I found that it might be a trust issue. Many people were afraid of what I would do, so I just made it public. Everyone can lose less money and increase their winning rate, and that's ok.

Kentner PC/mobile version detailed configuration method and transaction logic

Hello everyone, I am your Cat Brother. Well, those born after 2000 should call me Uncle Cat...
The configuration method previously released was sent via short messages, so there were limitations on pictures and text, and many friends still couldn't understand it. So now I have added a complete version. This version will be used as the standard in the future.
Let's start with the PC version. The PC version is the same as the web version. At first, I configured it remotely for people, but later I found that it might be a trust issue. Many people were afraid of what I would do, so I just made it public. Everyone can lose less money and increase their winning rate, and that's ok.
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PC/Web Binance Kent indicator setting instructions First release this PC version, and then release the mobile version. First of all, it should be noted that Kent is a counter-trend indicator, which means that it is a left-side transaction, low-long-high-short. This is a trade against the market trend, so there are still risks. You must bring a stop loss, must bring a stop loss, must bring a stop loss! ! ! First, we switch to the K-line chart, then click to switch to TV and then click on technical indicators, search for keywords: kc, and then click twice, you can see that 2 kc indicators appear in the upper right corner. Then click on the small gear and click on settings. Change the parameters to: length 50, multivariate 2.75 and 3.75 respectively, and then cancel the middle track in the style setting of 3.75 (click the previous check mark), and then you get a channel indicator similar to the Bollinger band. The color can be adjusted according to your preferences. Then it should be noted that multivariate 2.75 is kc1, narrow frequency. The multi-3.75 is kc2, broadband, and kc1 and kc2 will be used to explain the current position in the future. For intraday trading and ultra-short-term trading, you can choose 15-minute and 30-minute level charts. For mid-term trading, look at 1-hour and 4-hour level charts. For long-term trading, look at 4-hour and daily level charts. The trading logic is as follows: For the logic of entering more, if you want to be stable, you can enter more when the k-line falls from top to bottom, breaks through kc1 to reach kc2, and pulls back to the lower track of kc1 again. If you are more aggressive, you will enter more after breaking through kc2 and forming a new support below. If you want to be stable, open more at the lower track of kc1, then the stop loss is the price of the lower track of kc2. If it is an aggressive approach, stop loss at 0.3~0.5% below the opening price. If you want to be stable, you can stop profit at 50% of the middle track price and stop profit at all upper track prices. The logic of going short, if you want to be stable, when the K line rises from bottom to top, breaks through KC1 to KC2, and falls below KC1 again, go short. Take profit at 50% of the middle track price, and take profit at all of the lower track price. In fact, I don’t need to explain so much. After you match this indicator, you should be able to see the current price operation immediately, and compare it with the wrong order you opened before, you will immediately find out how unreliable the position you entered is.study hard, improve every day!
PC/Web Binance Kent indicator setting instructions

First release this PC version, and then release the mobile version.
First of all, it should be noted that Kent is a counter-trend indicator, which means that it is a left-side transaction, low-long-high-short. This is a trade against the market trend, so there are still risks. You must bring a stop loss, must bring a stop loss, must bring a stop loss! ! !

First, we switch to the K-line chart, then click to switch to TV and then click on technical indicators, search for keywords: kc, and then click twice, you can see that 2 kc indicators appear in the upper right corner. Then click on the small gear and click on settings. Change the parameters to: length 50, multivariate 2.75 and 3.75 respectively, and then cancel the middle track in the style setting of 3.75 (click the previous check mark), and then you get a channel indicator similar to the Bollinger band. The color can be adjusted according to your preferences.
Then it should be noted that multivariate 2.75 is kc1, narrow frequency. The multi-3.75 is kc2, broadband, and kc1 and kc2 will be used to explain the current position in the future.
For intraday trading and ultra-short-term trading, you can choose 15-minute and 30-minute level charts. For mid-term trading, look at 1-hour and 4-hour level charts. For long-term trading, look at 4-hour and daily level charts.
The trading logic is as follows:
For the logic of entering more, if you want to be stable, you can enter more when the k-line falls from top to bottom, breaks through kc1 to reach kc2, and pulls back to the lower track of kc1 again. If you are more aggressive, you will enter more after breaking through kc2 and forming a new support below. If you want to be stable, open more at the lower track of kc1, then the stop loss is the price of the lower track of kc2. If it is an aggressive approach, stop loss at 0.3~0.5% below the opening price. If you want to be stable, you can stop profit at 50% of the middle track price and stop profit at all upper track prices.
The logic of going short, if you want to be stable, when the K line rises from bottom to top, breaks through KC1 to KC2, and falls below KC1 again, go short. Take profit at 50% of the middle track price, and take profit at all of the lower track price. In fact, I don’t need to explain so much. After you match this indicator, you should be able to see the current price operation immediately, and compare it with the wrong order you opened before, you will immediately find out how unreliable the position you entered is.study hard, improve every day!
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NVIDIA sent me a financial report that got me excited··· Met expectations, even arranged a needle··· Really damn it
NVIDIA sent me a financial report that got me excited···
Met expectations, even arranged a needle···
Really damn it
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If it doesn't break here, there's no need to panic For short positions that are inappropriately placed, you can reduce your position a little For long positions that chased the rise and are afraid of reversal losses, you can also reduce your position a little I'm not waiting for the 4 o'clock close I need to find a way to wake up before 12 o'clock and slowly adjust my schedule
If it doesn't break here, there's no need to panic
For short positions that are inappropriately placed, you can reduce your position a little
For long positions that chased the rise and are afraid of reversal losses, you can also reduce your position a little
I'm not waiting for the 4 o'clock close
I need to find a way to wake up before 12 o'clock and slowly adjust my schedule
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2025-08-28 Nightline Supplement No late night today, going to bed early, so I can watch the daily line in the morning. This code can't be rushed out in a day or two, sigh... SOL has been grinding at this position of 209 for too long. If it breaks past, it will most likely be followed by a pullback to test if the breakout is valid. If confirmed valid, the next position is 214-215. If it holds, we will continue to look at 219. Don't ask me why the resistance levels are so dense; there’s no way around it, every critical point upward is a place where people were previously trapped. If there is no direct drop after consolidation, then there won't be stagnation when it rises. For example, the accelerated rise after the breakthrough at 192 is a good example. Ethereum switched to a 50-50 tonight, with an issuance of 5000 wu, and then someone dumped 100 million. The internal and external situation hasn't changed much, and the resistance level is still 4650. In fact, after stabilizing above 4500, bulls don't need to be anxious. As long as the weekly line stays above 4500, it will continue to rise. At this current speed, there is still hope to bounce back above 4800. Pay attention to the pullback around 4550. That giant whale is not moving, and Bitcoin has also improved. If it closes at 4 o'clock and maintains above 1121 at 4:30, that would be best. As long as the daily line closes above 1115, it means the daily line has stabilized, and then it will move upward in a volatile manner. The next positions to watch are still 1135~1138, 1155~1157, 1169, 1191~1193, 1203. These positions are all resistance levels. If you have spot and long positions in this range, when approaching these levels, you should reduce your holdings. The rise is still a bit quick. If you are worried about missing out, take profits in batches, and don't make yourself feel uncomfortable going back and forth like a roller coaster. If you have acrophobia, meaning you don't like to go long, you can also go short when approaching key levels, but the short position can only be temporary. Good night, everyone!
2025-08-28 Nightline Supplement
No late night today, going to bed early, so I can watch the daily line in the morning. This code can't be rushed out in a day or two, sigh...
SOL has been grinding at this position of 209 for too long. If it breaks past, it will most likely be followed by a pullback to test if the breakout is valid. If confirmed valid, the next position is 214-215. If it holds, we will continue to look at 219. Don't ask me why the resistance levels are so dense; there’s no way around it, every critical point upward is a place where people were previously trapped. If there is no direct drop after consolidation, then there won't be stagnation when it rises. For example, the accelerated rise after the breakthrough at 192 is a good example.
Ethereum switched to a 50-50 tonight, with an issuance of 5000 wu, and then someone dumped 100 million. The internal and external situation hasn't changed much, and the resistance level is still 4650. In fact, after stabilizing above 4500, bulls don't need to be anxious. As long as the weekly line stays above 4500, it will continue to rise. At this current speed, there is still hope to bounce back above 4800. Pay attention to the pullback around 4550.
That giant whale is not moving, and Bitcoin has also improved. If it closes at 4 o'clock and maintains above 1121 at 4:30, that would be best. As long as the daily line closes above 1115, it means the daily line has stabilized, and then it will move upward in a volatile manner. The next positions to watch are still 1135~1138, 1155~1157, 1169, 1191~1193, 1203. These positions are all resistance levels. If you have spot and long positions in this range, when approaching these levels, you should reduce your holdings. The rise is still a bit quick. If you are worried about missing out, take profits in batches, and don't make yourself feel uncomfortable going back and forth like a roller coaster.

If you have acrophobia, meaning you don't like to go long, you can also go short when approaching key levels, but the short position can only be temporary.

Good night, everyone!
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2025-08-27 Night Line Because 2 out of the 4 hens I raised have turned into roosters, I took them to the vegetable market in the morning, and after all the hustle, I only managed to sleep close to noon, waking up after 7 o'clock feeling groggy. I don't plan to stay up late tonight. Let's take a quick look at the market. It's currently quite fragmented; among the four giants, the other three are standard bulls, while on Bitcoin's side, due to that big player, the endless swapping of Ethereum and reduction of holdings leads to a slight recovery, and then another drop, it's really something. Bitcoin needs to stand above 1121 for a standard upward rebound trend. If it can't stabilize above 1121, we need to see how well the bulls defend during the pullback. That big player has quite a bit of chips in hand, and MicroStrategy isn't making a peep. A few days ago, there was a message saying MicroStrategy hinted at increasing their holdings again, but looking at Bitcoin's current weak and soft trend, it doesn't seem like there are any actions being taken. If the bulls hold strong, they should defend the 1107 level. If they're weaker, they need to hold the 1102 level. If they can't hold this, there's a probability of slipping further down to a new low, around 1083. The esteemed Ethereum seems to be stronger here, with good defense at 4550. Upwards, we're still looking at 4650-4690. If Ethereum pushes up and encounters significant funds entering Bitcoin, it might bounce back above 4800. SOL is currently the lightest among the four giants; with just a bit more funds coming in, it will rise. 205 is a resistance level left over from before, and the next position is 209. If it surpasses that, we can look at 215; that's all for now. The market is moving quite fast, making it friendly for day traders; whether it's long or short, as long as you aren't greedy, you can profit. The U.S. stock market will open in 5 minutes, so pay attention to the trend in the first hour after the opening and the movement after 0:00, especially at 0:30. Today is the 27th, with about 20 days left until the interest rate meeting. If it keeps dragging on like this, there might not be another 4-hour pullback. If it rises very quickly, there should at least be one more, so for Bitcoin around 1090, Ethereum 4200-4300, and SOL 165-171, you can look at it moderately. For Ethereum above 4500, SOL above 188, and Bitcoin above 1150, it's best not to overreach.
2025-08-27 Night Line
Because 2 out of the 4 hens I raised have turned into roosters, I took them to the vegetable market in the morning, and after all the hustle, I only managed to sleep close to noon, waking up after 7 o'clock feeling groggy. I don't plan to stay up late tonight.
Let's take a quick look at the market. It's currently quite fragmented; among the four giants, the other three are standard bulls, while on Bitcoin's side, due to that big player, the endless swapping of Ethereum and reduction of holdings leads to a slight recovery, and then another drop, it's really something.
Bitcoin needs to stand above 1121 for a standard upward rebound trend. If it can't stabilize above 1121, we need to see how well the bulls defend during the pullback. That big player has quite a bit of chips in hand, and MicroStrategy isn't making a peep. A few days ago, there was a message saying MicroStrategy hinted at increasing their holdings again, but looking at Bitcoin's current weak and soft trend, it doesn't seem like there are any actions being taken.
If the bulls hold strong, they should defend the 1107 level. If they're weaker, they need to hold the 1102 level. If they can't hold this, there's a probability of slipping further down to a new low, around 1083.
The esteemed Ethereum seems to be stronger here, with good defense at 4550. Upwards, we're still looking at 4650-4690. If Ethereum pushes up and encounters significant funds entering Bitcoin, it might bounce back above 4800.
SOL is currently the lightest among the four giants; with just a bit more funds coming in, it will rise. 205 is a resistance level left over from before, and the next position is 209. If it surpasses that, we can look at 215; that's all for now.

The market is moving quite fast, making it friendly for day traders; whether it's long or short, as long as you aren't greedy, you can profit.
The U.S. stock market will open in 5 minutes, so pay attention to the trend in the first hour after the opening and the movement after 0:00, especially at 0:30.

Today is the 27th, with about 20 days left until the interest rate meeting. If it keeps dragging on like this, there might not be another 4-hour pullback. If it rises very quickly, there should at least be one more, so for Bitcoin around 1090, Ethereum 4200-4300, and SOL 165-171, you can look at it moderately. For Ethereum above 4500, SOL above 188, and Bitcoin above 1150, it's best not to overreach.
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Getting ready to sleep, there are still 50 minutes until the daily closing It seems that the bulls have stabilized Looking at it this way, the time for Bitcoin to reach the daily close at 1115 is even slightly faster than I expected For those who were previously trapped in long positions, you can breathe a sigh of relief Still pay attention to the speed of the rebound, if the rebound is too fast Before the interest rate cut, there will still be at least one 4-hour level correction So after going up, if the holding price is not appropriate, it is also time to reduce positions Remember how you got trapped Don't make the same mistake next time Good night, everyone
Getting ready to sleep, there are still 50 minutes until the daily closing
It seems that the bulls have stabilized
Looking at it this way, the time for Bitcoin to reach the daily close at 1115 is even slightly faster than I expected

For those who were previously trapped in long positions, you can breathe a sigh of relief
Still pay attention to the speed of the rebound, if the rebound is too fast
Before the interest rate cut, there will still be at least one 4-hour level correction
So after going up, if the holding price is not appropriate, it is also time to reduce positions
Remember how you got trapped
Don't make the same mistake next time

Good night, everyone
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2025-08-27 Nightline Supplement Market has recovered to now, and the rebounds are still okay. This time, those on the left side have benefitted, and those on the right side should have benefitted as well. No need for thanks, just be content as long as when you’re wrong, the curses aren’t too dirty. At 4 o'clock, change the line, swap Ethereum above 4550, and if it can maintain above 4550 at 4:30, then it will start to transition to a strong bullish trend. As long as the weekly price can maintain above 4500, it will still be bullish and there is a certain probability of breaking a new high. For SOL, after holding 188, it started to rise from here, accelerating after breaking 192, with the next resistance level at 200-201. What needs to be noted is that if the bulls are very strong, they should be able to hold 194-195 as the pivot point for the rise. The previous 191-192 now serves as support. Although it hasn't been tested by a pullback yet, based on the time taken to break, it can basically be confirmed to provide support. Although Bitcoin is slightly weak, it has consolidated at the bottom for 20 hours and is now starting to rebound. 1113-1115 has become weak resistance, and as long as it doesn’t break 1102 on a pullback, there’s not much problem. If the daily line closes above 1115, it confirms a stop to the decline + short-term reversal, with weak resistance around 1120. The remaining positions are previously supportive, 1135, and 1155-1157. Around 116980, there’s a position that has previously provided support/resistance multiple times, and this position will have the greatest suppressive effect in this rebound. This wave of pullback has given an opportunity to buy the dip, but I hope it’s not the case that every time there’s a drop, you’re afraid to open, and when it goes up, you keep shorting. It’s really hard to make money like this. It’s better to open shorts near critical values and key points with stop-loss, and chasing shorts is not advisable under any market conditions. Finally, pay attention to the timing. There are about 20 days left until the interest rate cut. If this wave rebounds very quickly, then at least one 4-hour level pullback will occur before the drop. So if it really goes back to V, don’t overly adjust your mindset. Reduce holdings partially at high positions if necessary, and control your risk exposure. If it rises very slowly, oscillating and repeatedly consolidating, taking more than 2 weeks to rebound, then at most there will be a single 4-hour spike, or 2-3 times 1-hour level pullbacks and it will be over. Don’t be anxious, don’t panic, everything will be fine.
2025-08-27 Nightline Supplement
Market has recovered to now, and the rebounds are still okay.
This time, those on the left side have benefitted, and those on the right side should have benefitted as well. No need for thanks, just be content as long as when you’re wrong, the curses aren’t too dirty.
At 4 o'clock, change the line, swap Ethereum above 4550, and if it can maintain above 4550 at 4:30, then it will start to transition to a strong bullish trend. As long as the weekly price can maintain above 4500, it will still be bullish and there is a certain probability of breaking a new high.
For SOL, after holding 188, it started to rise from here, accelerating after breaking 192, with the next resistance level at 200-201. What needs to be noted is that if the bulls are very strong, they should be able to hold 194-195 as the pivot point for the rise. The previous 191-192 now serves as support. Although it hasn't been tested by a pullback yet, based on the time taken to break, it can basically be confirmed to provide support.
Although Bitcoin is slightly weak, it has consolidated at the bottom for 20 hours and is now starting to rebound. 1113-1115 has become weak resistance, and as long as it doesn’t break 1102 on a pullback, there’s not much problem. If the daily line closes above 1115, it confirms a stop to the decline + short-term reversal, with weak resistance around 1120. The remaining positions are previously supportive, 1135, and 1155-1157. Around 116980, there’s a position that has previously provided support/resistance multiple times, and this position will have the greatest suppressive effect in this rebound.

This wave of pullback has given an opportunity to buy the dip, but I hope it’s not the case that every time there’s a drop, you’re afraid to open, and when it goes up, you keep shorting. It’s really hard to make money like this. It’s better to open shorts near critical values and key points with stop-loss, and chasing shorts is not advisable under any market conditions.

Finally, pay attention to the timing. There are about 20 days left until the interest rate cut. If this wave rebounds very quickly, then at least one 4-hour level pullback will occur before the drop. So if it really goes back to V, don’t overly adjust your mindset. Reduce holdings partially at high positions if necessary, and control your risk exposure. If it rises very slowly, oscillating and repeatedly consolidating, taking more than 2 weeks to rebound, then at most there will be a single 4-hour spike, or 2-3 times 1-hour level pullbacks and it will be over.

Don’t be anxious, don’t panic, everything will be fine.
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2025-08-26 Night Line Written before the line change. Currently still slowly repairing the market, Ethereum has passed the first key position and has tested the validity of the support at 4454, although it was only a one-hour level test. It is currently close to the key level around 4548; if it can close once above 4550 on the 4-hour chart, it will return to a relatively strong bullish trend. The upward momentum on the 4-hour chart has slowed down, while the daily and weekly charts still have no issues for now. The large whales' reallocation of Ethereum is always a positive for Ethereum. No matter where it rebounds to now, we should pay more attention to the pullback levels. It would be best to test the support at 4454 on the 4-hour chart; this way, I think it would feel more solid. SOL has confirmed resistance at 191~192; this position has also acted as support before, and some people are stuck there, so there is definitely some pressure. However, in terms of the rebound situation, it has performed quite well. As long as it doesn’t break below 188.5 on the pullback, it remains bullish. If it can close once above 192 on the 4-hour chart, it will return to a strong bullish situation. Bitcoin has been moving softly and weakly these days. On one hand, the micro strategies have not acted; on the other hand, ETFs seem to have more interest in ETH recently. Looking at it now, as long as it can hold 1094-1102 and not drop below it, the probability of consolidating and repairing upwards is still higher. It won't break out of the 4-hour downward channel so quickly, but touching 1112 and 1120 upwards is still possible. If the daily line can close once above 1115, it will indicate a short-term stop of the decline + reversal. Do not feel anxious or panic because of a short-term pullback, thinking the sky is falling, or feeling uneasy when you see teachers saying 98x, 2800. If you think about it, weren't those who said 150,000 and 6000 the same people? Creating anxiety and spreading panic is a way for some people to make a living; it’s better not to watch or pay little attention to these things. The market operates with reasonable ups and downs; just control your position well, don’t go all-in, and don’t put yourself in a dilemma.
2025-08-26 Night Line
Written before the line change.
Currently still slowly repairing the market, Ethereum has passed the first key position and has tested the validity of the support at 4454, although it was only a one-hour level test. It is currently close to the key level around 4548; if it can close once above 4550 on the 4-hour chart, it will return to a relatively strong bullish trend. The upward momentum on the 4-hour chart has slowed down, while the daily and weekly charts still have no issues for now.
The large whales' reallocation of Ethereum is always a positive for Ethereum. No matter where it rebounds to now, we should pay more attention to the pullback levels. It would be best to test the support at 4454 on the 4-hour chart; this way, I think it would feel more solid.
SOL has confirmed resistance at 191~192; this position has also acted as support before, and some people are stuck there, so there is definitely some pressure. However, in terms of the rebound situation, it has performed quite well. As long as it doesn’t break below 188.5 on the pullback, it remains bullish. If it can close once above 192 on the 4-hour chart, it will return to a strong bullish situation.
Bitcoin has been moving softly and weakly these days. On one hand, the micro strategies have not acted; on the other hand, ETFs seem to have more interest in ETH recently. Looking at it now, as long as it can hold 1094-1102 and not drop below it, the probability of consolidating and repairing upwards is still higher. It won't break out of the 4-hour downward channel so quickly, but touching 1112 and 1120 upwards is still possible. If the daily line can close once above 1115, it will indicate a short-term stop of the decline + reversal.

Do not feel anxious or panic because of a short-term pullback, thinking the sky is falling, or feeling uneasy when you see teachers saying 98x, 2800. If you think about it, weren't those who said 150,000 and 6000 the same people?
Creating anxiety and spreading panic is a way for some people to make a living; it’s better not to watch or pay little attention to these things.
The market operates with reasonable ups and downs; just control your position well, don’t go all-in, and don’t put yourself in a dilemma.
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2025-08-26 Half Night Line I slept too late today, only falling asleep close to noon. The mentioned positions are all given, 1090, 185, 4330. I do not advocate for entering on the left side too much, as the risks are still higher. The premise of envying those who hold positions at good prices on the left side is that they may have entered multiple times on the left, possibly losing once, or even 2 to 3 times, before obtaining a quality average holding price. If one has loss aversion and prefers to resist single trades, it is indeed not advisable to engage on the left side; sacrificing some points for a more certain trading opportunity is much better. Currently, Bitcoin is in a rebound state. If we cannot wait for a close at 1115 for the daily line, it is better to wait for a 4-hour close above 1102-1103 before entering, which would be more prudent. SOL needs to return to 187-188.5 for a line close to confirm a stop in decline + a short-term reversal, and Ethereum will be much better. If it can surpass 4455 with volume or close a 4-hour above 4455, it will return to bullish. As long as the downward pullback does not break below 4350, there shouldn't be much of an issue. I do not chase news; I just sometimes see news and forward it while making a few jokes. However, it seems that every time I forward news, I get told not to do it anymore. Last night, the US stock market dropped after hours. Today, during the first half of the night (21:30-24:00), there should be some rebound and repair in the market, but we still need to pay attention to the movements after 0:30. Reforming the Federal Reserve may make interest rate cuts more certain and could serve to boost adrenaline, but it will not improve the subsequent situation. A Federal Reserve that has lost its independence may lead to a 'collective exodus' of old money, and the market clearly is not prepared to respond. Previously, I did not believe that prices could be continuously pushed up until interest rate cuts. Now, I do not believe that we can just keep retracing until interest rate cuts.
2025-08-26 Half Night Line

I slept too late today, only falling asleep close to noon.

The mentioned positions are all given, 1090, 185, 4330. I do not advocate for entering on the left side too much, as the risks are still higher. The premise of envying those who hold positions at good prices on the left side is that they may have entered multiple times on the left, possibly losing once, or even 2 to 3 times, before obtaining a quality average holding price. If one has loss aversion and prefers to resist single trades, it is indeed not advisable to engage on the left side; sacrificing some points for a more certain trading opportunity is much better.

Currently, Bitcoin is in a rebound state. If we cannot wait for a close at 1115 for the daily line, it is better to wait for a 4-hour close above 1102-1103 before entering, which would be more prudent.

SOL needs to return to 187-188.5 for a line close to confirm a stop in decline + a short-term reversal, and Ethereum will be much better. If it can surpass 4455 with volume or close a 4-hour above 4455, it will return to bullish. As long as the downward pullback does not break below 4350, there shouldn't be much of an issue.
I do not chase news; I just sometimes see news and forward it while making a few jokes. However, it seems that every time I forward news, I get told not to do it anymore.

Last night, the US stock market dropped after hours. Today, during the first half of the night (21:30-24:00), there should be some rebound and repair in the market, but we still need to pay attention to the movements after 0:30.

Reforming the Federal Reserve may make interest rate cuts more certain and could serve to boost adrenaline, but it will not improve the subsequent situation. A Federal Reserve that has lost its independence may lead to a 'collective exodus' of old money, and the market clearly is not prepared to respond.

Previously, I did not believe that prices could be continuously pushed up until interest rate cuts.

Now, I do not believe that we can just keep retracing until interest rate cuts.
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Going to sleep, the same old talk before sleeping All night in a downward trend, unable to recover You need to be particularly careful about the potential pin bar that might happen between 9 to 10 AM the next day In 15 minutes, you need to be cautious If you really don't want to wait for the daily line to hit 1115 before entering the market At the very least, wait for it to reach the round number of 110,000, and after a 4-hour close, you can enter then.
Going to sleep, the same old talk before sleeping
All night in a downward trend, unable to recover
You need to be particularly careful about the potential pin bar that might happen between 9 to 10 AM the next day

In 15 minutes, you need to be cautious

If you really don't want to wait for the daily line to hit 1115 before entering the market

At the very least, wait for it to reach the round number of 110,000, and after a 4-hour close, you can enter then.
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Is this right? Why do I feel like the little yellow-haired person targeted the wrong person? In my impression, Cook has always been the "bootlicker" of the little yellow-haired person, right? A few days ago, the little yellow-haired person said they were extremely dissatisfied with Cook. Just now, a news popped up and they were directly eliminated. Is it really that the bootlicker has licked their way to nothing? Or is it to kill the chicken to warn the monkey and scare old Bao?
Is this right?
Why do I feel like the little yellow-haired person targeted the wrong person?
In my impression, Cook has always been the "bootlicker" of the little yellow-haired person, right?
A few days ago, the little yellow-haired person said they were extremely dissatisfied with Cook.
Just now, a news popped up and they were directly eliminated.
Is it really that the bootlicker has licked their way to nothing?
Or is it to kill the chicken to warn the monkey and scare old Bao?
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After searching around, I found this news, which was reported last night around 7 PM. I just found it, and this might be the reason for the recent weakness in Bitcoin. Below is a repost: OG Whales Hinder Bitcoin's Rise: 2011 Holders' Sell-off is the Culprit Bitcoin has once again plummeted — a 2.2% drop in price within 9 minutes, to $112,174, with a market value evaporation of $45 billion. ➡️ Who is Selling 🟡 According to Willy Woo, the main sell-off is coming from OG holders who bought BTC at $10 in 2011. 🟡 To offset every BTC they sell, the market needs $110,000 in new funds. 🟡 One whale sold 18,142 BTC (approximately $2 billion) and exchanged it for 416,598 ETH, some of which has been staked. ➡️ What Happened 🟡 Since August 16, this whale has transferred 24,000 BTC (about $2.7 billion) to Hyperliquid and made large-scale purchases of ETH. 🟡 At its peak, their ETH holdings reached 551,861 ETH (around $2.6 billion), making a profit of $185 million in ETH/BTC trading. 🟡 Once the long positions are closed, the market reverses, triggering a wave of selling. ➡️ What’s Next 🟡 This whale still has 152,874 BTC in their cold wallet. 🟡 Another major player has also shifted to ETH, selling 670 BTC (about $76 million) to go long on ETH. 🟡 Since April, ETH has risen by 220%, starting to siphon funds away from Bitcoin. 📊 Conclusion: Old BTC holders who bought at only $10 are cashing out, while new funds are flowing into ETH. Bitcoin is under pressure, and Ethereum is benefiting. Below are my thoughts: The market has long classified wallets that have not moved for over 5 years as lost keys, always basing price expectations on the actual circulating supply of about 7.1 million Bitcoins. They haven’t considered the share of these wallets in terms of liquidity, but recently it seems we were all wrong; there are still a large number of cold wallets that have been inactive for over 10 years, and they are still alive. The current market situation shows that it is not prepared to deal with the collective recovery of these “preemptive whales.” Not only retail investors are unprepared; institutions are as well. One silver lining is that these whales have not truly exited the market; they have only chosen to shift into Ethereum and reduce their holdings. If a concentrated recovery occurs without changing positions, and they simply cash out, the discomfort may not only affect retail investors; price expectations may need to be re-evaluated.
After searching around, I found this news, which was reported last night around 7 PM. I just found it, and this might be the reason for the recent weakness in Bitcoin. Below is a repost:
OG Whales Hinder Bitcoin's Rise: 2011 Holders' Sell-off is the Culprit
Bitcoin has once again plummeted — a 2.2% drop in price within 9 minutes, to $112,174, with a market value evaporation of $45 billion.
➡️ Who is Selling
🟡 According to Willy Woo, the main sell-off is coming from OG holders who bought BTC at $10 in 2011.
🟡 To offset every BTC they sell, the market needs $110,000 in new funds.
🟡 One whale sold 18,142 BTC (approximately $2 billion) and exchanged it for 416,598 ETH, some of which has been staked.
➡️ What Happened
🟡 Since August 16, this whale has transferred 24,000 BTC (about $2.7 billion) to Hyperliquid and made large-scale purchases of ETH.
🟡 At its peak, their ETH holdings reached 551,861 ETH (around $2.6 billion), making a profit of $185 million in ETH/BTC trading.
🟡 Once the long positions are closed, the market reverses, triggering a wave of selling.
➡️ What’s Next
🟡 This whale still has 152,874 BTC in their cold wallet.
🟡 Another major player has also shifted to ETH, selling 670 BTC (about $76 million) to go long on ETH.
🟡 Since April, ETH has risen by 220%, starting to siphon funds away from Bitcoin.
📊 Conclusion: Old BTC holders who bought at only $10 are cashing out, while new funds are flowing into ETH. Bitcoin is under pressure, and Ethereum is benefiting.

Below are my thoughts:
The market has long classified wallets that have not moved for over 5 years as lost keys, always basing price expectations on the actual circulating supply of about 7.1 million Bitcoins. They haven’t considered the share of these wallets in terms of liquidity, but recently it seems we were all wrong; there are still a large number of cold wallets that have been inactive for over 10 years, and they are still alive.
The current market situation shows that it is not prepared to deal with the collective recovery of these “preemptive whales.”

Not only retail investors are unprepared; institutions are as well.

One silver lining is that these whales have not truly exited the market; they have only chosen to shift into Ethereum and reduce their holdings. If a concentrated recovery occurs without changing positions, and they simply cash out, the discomfort may not only affect retail investors; price expectations may need to be re-evaluated.
See original
2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement (SOL) Where will the province's tomorrow ask for more··· Since it's a good idea, let's just send it all at once·· On the SOL side, the position of 188-189 has arrived, hitting the bottom on the 4-hour level, it will go to around 178. I do not advocate buying on the left side; buying on the right side requires standing firm at 192. There is support at 185 on the daily level, and support at 182-176 on the weekly level. The structure of SOL is healthier than Ethereum, and it looks stronger than Bitcoin, although recently it hasn't produced any gold dogs on the chain, I also don't know where the buying pressure is coming from. If we want to test the bottom, these are roughly the places to look at for now; it's still better to enter on the right side. Both SOL and Ethereum are in a bullish trend on the 4h-1d-1w scale, while Bitcoin's trend is soft and weak. Whether to reverse and pick up people before the interest rate cut, giving us a 'golden pit', or just a feint to wash out the high leverage longs on the vehicle, we will know after observing for 3 days. If it quickly pulls back before the weekly close, then before the interest rate cut lands, there will at least be one more 4-hour level correction. If it experiences a downward trend + oscillation for 2 weeks, then there will only be one correction. Prices move according to time; spiraling up to the interest rate cut was never very realistic. However, I think this is a good thing for retail investors, giving opportunities for those who missed out to catch up, indeed a good thing. However, this year's market is really hard to describe; when it should rise, it fell for several months due to tariffs, and when it should have corrected in the summer, it instead became very strong. Now that it's autumn, when it should be getting better, it instead shows signs of needing to correct. Comparing with the trend of 2024, this year is almost the opposite of last year. Specially tidying up those who seek swords in the boat··· To say the least, it's quite bad···
2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement (SOL)
Where will the province's tomorrow ask for more··· Since it's a good idea, let's just send it all at once··
On the SOL side, the position of 188-189 has arrived, hitting the bottom on the 4-hour level, it will go to around 178. I do not advocate buying on the left side; buying on the right side requires standing firm at 192.
There is support at 185 on the daily level, and support at 182-176 on the weekly level.
The structure of SOL is healthier than Ethereum, and it looks stronger than Bitcoin, although recently it hasn't produced any gold dogs on the chain, I also don't know where the buying pressure is coming from.
If we want to test the bottom, these are roughly the places to look at for now; it's still better to enter on the right side.

Both SOL and Ethereum are in a bullish trend on the 4h-1d-1w scale, while Bitcoin's trend is soft and weak.

Whether to reverse and pick up people before the interest rate cut, giving us a 'golden pit', or just a feint to wash out the high leverage longs on the vehicle, we will know after observing for 3 days.

If it quickly pulls back before the weekly close, then before the interest rate cut lands, there will at least be one more 4-hour level correction. If it experiences a downward trend + oscillation for 2 weeks, then there will only be one correction.

Prices move according to time; spiraling up to the interest rate cut was never very realistic. However, I think this is a good thing for retail investors, giving opportunities for those who missed out to catch up, indeed a good thing.

However, this year's market is really hard to describe; when it should rise, it fell for several months due to tariffs, and when it should have corrected in the summer, it instead became very strong. Now that it's autumn, when it should be getting better, it instead shows signs of needing to correct. Comparing with the trend of 2024, this year is almost the opposite of last year.

Specially tidying up those who seek swords in the boat···

To say the least, it's quite bad···
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2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement (ETH) Currently, the situation with Ethereum is that it has reversed after a 4-hour decline. It needs to return to the previously observed level of 4454 and close above it for one 4-hour candle. Seven hours ago, I thought this position was deep, and I couldn't see it for the time being. I didn't expect it to drop so quickly, and there hasn't been any news; tonight, there is really no news at all. Now it has exceeded the 4-hour level of correction, and it is in a transitional state between the 4-hour and daily charts. Starting from 4356, it has entered a daily correction. On the daily chart, the support below is at 4330 and 4070, and the maximum correction depth that the daily chart can support does not exceed 3960. On the weekly chart, the outlook is mainly not good. Today is Tuesday, and before the weekly change next Monday, if the bulls cannot pull the price back above 4500, be cautious of a weekly downtrend. The previous rise was too fast, with several candles pushing it up, and the recent weekly support is around 4000-4104. I still do not recommend going long on the left side; if you want to enter long, at least wait for a bullish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour chart to consider it; otherwise, just continue to wait.
2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement (ETH)
Currently, the situation with Ethereum is that it has reversed after a 4-hour decline. It needs to return to the previously observed level of 4454 and close above it for one 4-hour candle. Seven hours ago, I thought this position was deep, and I couldn't see it for the time being. I didn't expect it to drop so quickly, and there hasn't been any news; tonight, there is really no news at all.
Now it has exceeded the 4-hour level of correction, and it is in a transitional state between the 4-hour and daily charts. Starting from 4356, it has entered a daily correction.
On the daily chart, the support below is at 4330 and 4070, and the maximum correction depth that the daily chart can support does not exceed 3960.
On the weekly chart, the outlook is mainly not good. Today is Tuesday, and before the weekly change next Monday, if the bulls cannot pull the price back above 4500, be cautious of a weekly downtrend. The previous rise was too fast, with several candles pushing it up, and the recent weekly support is around 4000-4104.
I still do not recommend going long on the left side; if you want to enter long, at least wait for a bullish engulfing pattern on the 4-hour chart to consider it; otherwise, just continue to wait.
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2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement (BTC) The big pie isn't going up, so it's going down. The current situation is that on the daily to weekly scale, it is still bullish, but in a retracement state; the 4-hour chart has been in a downward channel without breaking out. Tonight it broke the previous 1106, and the next support level is around 109x. According to the previous left-side calculation method, the previous high of 124400x0.88=109472. From here, if it continues to go down, it will enter a daily level correction. The daily can support a maximum of 20%, which means 99520, and this almost overlaps with the lower boundary of the weekly bullish position at 98x. I don't want it to drop this deep, but I also hope it can come down; if it does drop, that would be the golden pit before interest rate cuts. At the same time, we need to pay attention because if the daily bullish breaks below 109x, it will ruin the pattern. If we enter on the right side, the daily can close above 1115, at which point we can start building long positions. Downward movement will basically follow the chart, and the remaining factors to watch are the ETF and news events. After all, it's these institutions that are selling off and also buying in. Right now, the most appropriate action is to observe more and act less, to see if it gives opportunities on the left side or the right side, and to avoid entering in uncertain areas.
2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement (BTC)
The big pie isn't going up, so it's going down.
The current situation is that on the daily to weekly scale, it is still bullish, but in a retracement state; the 4-hour chart has been in a downward channel without breaking out.
Tonight it broke the previous 1106, and the next support level is around 109x. According to the previous left-side calculation method, the previous high of 124400x0.88=109472. From here, if it continues to go down, it will enter a daily level correction.
The daily can support a maximum of 20%, which means 99520, and this almost overlaps with the lower boundary of the weekly bullish position at 98x.
I don't want it to drop this deep, but I also hope it can come down; if it does drop, that would be the golden pit before interest rate cuts.
At the same time, we need to pay attention because if the daily bullish breaks below 109x, it will ruin the pattern. If we enter on the right side, the daily can close above 1115, at which point we can start building long positions.
Downward movement will basically follow the chart, and the remaining factors to watch are the ETF and news events.
After all, it's these institutions that are selling off and also buying in.
Right now, the most appropriate action is to observe more and act less, to see if it gives opportunities on the left side or the right side, and to avoid entering in uncertain areas.
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2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement The positions of sol, eth, and btc mentioned in the evening have all been touched; if you bought, you bought, and if you didn't, it doesn't matter—what trading lacks the most is opportunity. SOL needs to close above 197.5 for a 4-hour period to confirm a stop in decline and a short-term reversal to bullish. On the Ethereum side, if you weren't greedy, that bounce was still captured; if you were greedy, then there's nothing to be done. Now, Ethereum needs to close above 4609 for a 4-hour period to confirm a stop in decline and a short-term reversal. The big coin at 110540 and 1106 actually isn't much different, just a few tens of points. If you bought, you bought; if you didn't buy at 1121, then that's fine too. Let's see if it stabilizes at 1121. If it can maintain above 1121 by 8 am when the daily line changes, then the big coin will have a short-term stop in decline and a reversal. This market is very suitable for intra-day short waves; as long as you are not greedy, you will still make some profit. Recently, those who engaged in short waves basically took off, just as they decided to have a mindset and hold on, this kind of market keeps educating them back and forth. The market is unreasonable like this; when you feel it isn't stable, it actually moves in one direction, and when you think it's about to stabilize, it instead fluctuates back and forth. If we start a 4-hour pullback now, then before the interest rate cuts take effect, there will likely be at least one more 4-hour pullback. So if you are not optimistic about this market, you can choose not to participate and wait for the next opportunity—there's nothing wrong with that. Don't take every rumor at face value, and that's okay.
2025-08-26 Nightline Supplement

The positions of sol, eth, and btc mentioned in the evening have all been touched; if you bought, you bought, and if you didn't, it doesn't matter—what trading lacks the most is opportunity.
SOL needs to close above 197.5 for a 4-hour period to confirm a stop in decline and a short-term reversal to bullish. On the Ethereum side, if you weren't greedy, that bounce was still captured; if you were greedy, then there's nothing to be done. Now, Ethereum needs to close above 4609 for a 4-hour period to confirm a stop in decline and a short-term reversal.
The big coin at 110540 and 1106 actually isn't much different, just a few tens of points. If you bought, you bought; if you didn't buy at 1121, then that's fine too. Let's see if it stabilizes at 1121. If it can maintain above 1121 by 8 am when the daily line changes, then the big coin will have a short-term stop in decline and a reversal.
This market is very suitable for intra-day short waves; as long as you are not greedy, you will still make some profit. Recently, those who engaged in short waves basically took off, just as they decided to have a mindset and hold on, this kind of market keeps educating them back and forth.
The market is unreasonable like this; when you feel it isn't stable, it actually moves in one direction, and when you think it's about to stabilize, it instead fluctuates back and forth.
If we start a 4-hour pullback now, then before the interest rate cuts take effect, there will likely be at least one more 4-hour pullback.
So if you are not optimistic about this market, you can choose not to participate and wait for the next opportunity—there's nothing wrong with that.
Don't take every rumor at face value, and that's okay.
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2025-08-25 Night Line In the afternoon, I went to deliver a motorcycle to the logistics center, no battery + no fuel, I pushed it twice, and in the evening I went to wash the car, and it got late when I came back. My method to relieve anxiety is to look at the market less, and try not to stare at it. As long as the overall trend hasn't reversed before, just enter in batches as long as it hasn't completely turned around. If you're not willing to average down, just gradually reduce your position and manage it well. You won't make a lot of money, but you won't die either. As long as you're alive, there's hope, take it slow. For Ethereum, entering on the right side requires a volume break over 4695 here. On the left side, not catching that floating spike is also very normal. If you're bold, just enter now and set a stop loss at the previous low. If you want to be cautious, wait until the US stock market opens to see the attitude of the institutions. The lower level of 4454 is too deep, currently not visible. It's at the Fibonacci 0.5 position, still okay, with some speculative value. Bitcoin is still in a downward channel on the 4-hour chart and hasn't broken out, along with continuous lower highs and lower lows. If the main force doesn't act tonight and it further declines, touching 1093-1106 is very normal, and 1106 has already been tested once. At this point, entering at the bottom is actually not as good as waiting for it to break 1121 with volume or to see it close once on the 4-hour line at 1121 before entering again. SOL's stop-loss position has been tested at this location before, used twice at most, and if it goes again, it might break. This position is also the Fibonacci 0.5, with speculative value. If you enter a position now, set the stop loss at the previous low. Below is 195, the approach on the right side is to wait for a volume break over 200, or to see it close once on the 4-hour line above 200 before entering, setting the stop loss at 0.3-0.5% below the lower edge of the previous candle. The left side is “prediction,” which is inherently high-risk and low accuracy, but if done right, the entry position will be better than the right side. The right side means not predicting, just following; after it breaks out, then enter. The probability of being wrong is low (if encountering narrow frequency oscillations or rapid oscillations, you will “go long at the peak” and “short at the floor”). This can only be said to have its pros and cons. I can only explain the direction I understand, and the positions on the left and right respectively; this only represents my personal viewpoint, and it’s perfectly fine if I’m wrong, this is for reference only. Your position still needs to be your own responsibility; I ask for nothing else, just please go easy on the criticism when I’m wrong. Let's patiently wait until 9:30 to see what attitude the ETF has.
2025-08-25 Night Line
In the afternoon, I went to deliver a motorcycle to the logistics center, no battery + no fuel, I pushed it twice, and in the evening I went to wash the car, and it got late when I came back.
My method to relieve anxiety is to look at the market less, and try not to stare at it. As long as the overall trend hasn't reversed before, just enter in batches as long as it hasn't completely turned around. If you're not willing to average down, just gradually reduce your position and manage it well. You won't make a lot of money, but you won't die either. As long as you're alive, there's hope, take it slow.
For Ethereum, entering on the right side requires a volume break over 4695 here. On the left side, not catching that floating spike is also very normal. If you're bold, just enter now and set a stop loss at the previous low. If you want to be cautious, wait until the US stock market opens to see the attitude of the institutions.
The lower level of 4454 is too deep, currently not visible. It's at the Fibonacci 0.5 position, still okay, with some speculative value.
Bitcoin is still in a downward channel on the 4-hour chart and hasn't broken out, along with continuous lower highs and lower lows. If the main force doesn't act tonight and it further declines, touching 1093-1106 is very normal, and 1106 has already been tested once. At this point, entering at the bottom is actually not as good as waiting for it to break 1121 with volume or to see it close once on the 4-hour line at 1121 before entering again.
SOL's stop-loss position has been tested at this location before, used twice at most, and if it goes again, it might break. This position is also the Fibonacci 0.5, with speculative value. If you enter a position now, set the stop loss at the previous low. Below is 195, the approach on the right side is to wait for a volume break over 200, or to see it close once on the 4-hour line above 200 before entering, setting the stop loss at 0.3-0.5% below the lower edge of the previous candle.
The left side is “prediction,” which is inherently high-risk and low accuracy, but if done right, the entry position will be better than the right side. The right side means not predicting, just following; after it breaks out, then enter. The probability of being wrong is low (if encountering narrow frequency oscillations or rapid oscillations, you will “go long at the peak” and “short at the floor”). This can only be said to have its pros and cons.
I can only explain the direction I understand, and the positions on the left and right respectively; this only represents my personal viewpoint, and it’s perfectly fine if I’m wrong, this is for reference only. Your position still needs to be your own responsibility; I ask for nothing else, just please go easy on the criticism when I’m wrong.
Let's patiently wait until 9:30 to see what attitude the ETF has.
See original
If you didn't pick up earlier, it's best to wait until after 4:30 to see how things go. If by 4:30 it’s still declining, you’d better not buy in. If you’re not tired, you can wait until 8 o'clock when the daily chart changes to take a look. If it’s still declining, don’t buy in, wait until after 9 to 10 in the morning to consider buying more. Don’t wait for a 4-hour bullish engulfing (bullish engulfing a bearish), at the very least wait for a 1-hour level bullish engulfing before entering, otherwise you won't even be able to set a stop loss. Still, don’t panic or feel anxious; in a bull market, there will be more spikes.
If you didn't pick up earlier, it's best to wait until after 4:30 to see how things go.
If by 4:30 it’s still declining, you’d better not buy in.
If you’re not tired, you can wait until 8 o'clock when the daily chart changes to take a look.
If it’s still declining, don’t buy in, wait until after 9 to 10 in the morning to consider buying more.

Don’t wait for a 4-hour bullish engulfing (bullish engulfing a bearish), at the very least wait for a 1-hour level bullish engulfing before entering, otherwise you won't even be able to set a stop loss.

Still, don’t panic or feel anxious; in a bull market, there will be more spikes.
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2025-08-25 Night Line Supplement I don't know what happened, suddenly spiked by 200 points, directly back to the starting point of 4740, but there's no problem with a rebound after the spike. It has provided an opportunity for short positions to reduce their holdings, and also given bulls a chance to add to their positions. I haven't seen any news, it just feels like they simply washed out the high-leverage bulls who got in midway after the rise. You need to pay attention to the trend after 4 o'clock; if it continues to decline after 4 o'clock, you really need to be cautious. However, these positions are within expectations. The spike just now has happened, if you didn't catch it earlier, then don't chase it while it's jumping up and down; wait until after 4 o'clock to see if it stabilizes before considering entering. Don't panic, don't be anxious. The sky won't fall.
2025-08-25 Night Line Supplement
I don't know what happened, suddenly spiked by 200 points, directly back to the starting point of 4740, but there's no problem with a rebound after the spike.
It has provided an opportunity for short positions to reduce their holdings, and also given bulls a chance to add to their positions.
I haven't seen any news, it just feels like they simply washed out the high-leverage bulls who got in midway after the rise.
You need to pay attention to the trend after 4 o'clock; if it continues to decline after 4 o'clock, you really need to be cautious.

However, these positions are within expectations.
The spike just now has happened, if you didn't catch it earlier, then don't chase it while it's jumping up and down; wait until after 4 o'clock to see if it stabilizes before considering entering.

Don't panic, don't be anxious.

The sky won't fall.
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