墨镜鹰探长

Let me tell you something everyone likes to hear:

The recent small rebound has basically surpassed the big cake!

Smart money is already ready to move, and now all that is missing is an opportunity to detonate the market. The rise of the big cake is not a bull market, that is the most basic and natural thing, and the chaos of demons is a bull market. Q1 of 2025 is worth looking forward to.

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2024\12\27Important indicators

FGI: 74 (less than 10 is the bottom area, greater than 90 is the high area)

MVRV: 2.35 (less than 1 is the bottom area, greater than 3.7 is the high area)

ahr999: 1.86 (less than 0.45 is the bottom area, less than 1.2 is the fixed investment area, less than 5 is the holding area, and greater than 5 is the selling area)

Big pie market value share: 56.03 (the smaller the proportion, the greater the risk of the bull top, and vice versa, the greater the proportion, the greater the possibility of the bear bottom, the last round of bull top 42.14)

Big pie rainbow chart: dark green (blue is the bottom area, green is the fixed investment area, yellow is the holding area, and red is the liquidation area)

Big pie escape top index: red line 232040, green line 46408 (Prices above the red line are in the escape zone, and prices below the green line are in the bottom zone. The current price is 96688) $BTC #2025加密趋势预测

A few days ago, I mentioned that this wave of mid-term adjustment has not yet ended. The extreme mid-term bottom position for Bitcoin is around 88,000, and for Ethereum, around 2,900. These two positions may not necessarily be reached 100%, but if touched, it will definitely lead to a rapid V-shaped rebound. Conversely, if they cannot be reached, then it is likely that the weak oscillating trend will continue until just before Trump takes office.

The former exchanges space for time, while the latter exchanges time for space!

As for the bull market and altcoin season that everyone is concerned about, the eagle can confidently say that the bull market is still ongoing, and the altcoin season will eventually come. If you lack confidence, you can take a look at this chart for mutual encouragement.

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Important indicators on 2024\12\26

FGI: 79 (less than 10 is the bottom area, greater than 90 is the high area)

MVRV: 2.44 (less than 1 is the bottom area, greater than 3.7 is the high area)

ahr999: 1.90 (less than 0.45 is the bottom buying area, less than 1.2 is the regular investment area, less than 5 is the holding area, greater than 5 is the selling area)

Bitcoin market cap ratio: 56.21 (the smaller the ratio, the greater the risk of a bull top; conversely, the larger the ratio, the greater the possibility of a bear bottom. The last bull top was 42.14)

Bitcoin rainbow chart: Deep green (blue is the bottom buying area, green is the regular investment area, yellow is the holding area, red is the liquidation area)

Bitcoin escape top index: Red line 232040, Green line 46408 (prices above the red line are in the escape top area, below the green line are in the bottom buying area, current price 95440)$BTC #BTC上攻11万？

🎅Take a look at the historical Christmas prices of the big pancake:

2010: $0.25
2011: $4
2012: $13
2013: $682
2014: $319
2015: $456
2016: $896
2017: $14,027
2018: $3,815
2019: $7,275
2020: $24,665
2021: $50,430
2022: $16,831
2023: $43,665

2024: $99,374

As time goes by, there are only two things in this world that will keep rising: your age and the price of the big pancake. An ironclad fact, no one can change it—Jesus, Buddha, the Queen Mother of the West, the Jade Emperor, Sun Wukong, Guanyin... no one can change it! $BTC #2025加密趋势预测

🎄Merry Christmas, my friends. Here is a "big positive" related to Christmas. According to the 21-year history, the Shanzhai market made a big counterattack and the Shanzhai season broke out completely, which started on the third day after Christmas in 21.

So, we only have two days left before the start of this round of bull market Shanzhai season. Do you think it is possible?

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2024\12\25Important indicators

FGI: 73 (less than 10 is the bottom area, greater than 90 is the high area)

MVRV: 2.43 (less than 1 is the bottom area, greater than 3.7 is the high area)

ahr999: 1.98 (less than 0.45 is the bottom area, less than 1.2 is the fixed investment area, less than 5 is the holding area, and greater than 5 is the selling area)

Big pie market value share: 55.87 (the smaller the proportion, the greater the risk of the bull top, and vice versa, the greater the proportion, the greater the possibility of the bear bottom, the last round of bull top 42.14)

Big pie rainbow chart: dark green (blue is the bottom area, green is the fixed investment area, yellow is the holding area, and red is the liquidation area)

Big pie escape top index: red line 232040, green line 46408 (Prices above the red line are in the escape zone, and prices below the green line are in the bottom zone. The current price is 99154) $BTC #“圣诞老人行情”再现

Yesterday marked the first net outflow for the Bitcoin ETF and net inflow for the Ethereum ETF, indicating a shift in the market's perception of the upcoming short to medium-term profit potential. From the chart, it is evident that the recent rebound has shown altcoins to be significantly stronger than Bitcoin, which is conducive to the onset of altcoin season.

However, it remains to be seen whether this round of adjustment has concluded or if a bottom has been reached. The mid-term support for Bitcoin is around 88,000, while Ethereum's is around 2,900. Even if there is another drop, the space for decline is already quite limited.

If it drops, the market will exchange space for time, and a new round of upward movement will soon begin; if it cannot drop, then time will be exchanged for space, and if there is continued weak sideways turbulence, it is likely we will have to wait until around January 20 for the new administration to take office!

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Important indicators for 2024\12\24

FGI: 73 (Below 10 is the bottom area, above 90 is the high area)

MVRV: 2.34 (Below 1 is the bottom area, above 3.7 is the high area)

ahr999: 1.79 (Below 0.45 is the bottom-buying area, below 1.2 is the dollar-cost averaging area, below 5 is the holding area, above 5 is the selling area)

Bitcoin market cap ratio: 55.51 (The smaller the ratio, the greater the top risk; conversely, the larger the ratio, the greater the potential bottom. The last bull market top was 42.14)

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: Deep Green (Blue is the bottom-buying area, Green is the dollar-cost averaging area, Yellow is the holding area, Red is the liquidation area)

Bitcoin Escape Top Index: Red line 229194, Green line 45838 (Prices above the red line are in the escape top area, below the green line are in the bottom-buying area, current price 94174) $BTC #加密市场反弹

MicroStrategy has purchased 5,262 Bitcoins at an average price of 106,662. The big players are still continuing to gamble and buy, and we, the small fry, don't need to panic; 2025 will be the major bull market!

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Important Indicators on 2024\12\23

FGI: 70 (less than 10 is the bottom area, greater than 90 is the high area)

MVRV: 2.36 (less than 1 is the bottom area, greater than 3.7 is the high area)

ahr999: 1.84 (less than 0.45 is the bottom buying area, less than 1.2 is the regular investment area, less than 5 is the holding area, greater than 5 is the selling area)

Bitcoin Market Cap Ratio: 56.53 (the smaller the ratio, the greater the risk of the bull top; conversely, the larger the ratio, the greater the possibility of the bear bottom, the last bull top was 42.14)

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: Deep Green (blue is the bottom buying area, green is the regular investment area, yellow is the holding area, red is the clearance area)

Bitcoin Escape Top Index: Red Line 229194, Green Line 45838 (price above the red line is the escape top area, below the green line is the bottom buying area, current price 95925)

Are you panicking today, my friends?
Don’t panic. Trump won the election and the daily line has never rebounded from more than 60,000 to nearly 110,000. It should have come long ago. It’s hard to say where this wave of retracement will hit, but what is certain is that the bull market is not over yet. Not to mention other altcoins, even Ethereum has not broken through the peak of the last bull market. No matter how big the pie is, it will not be the case that even the second place will not have the opportunity to break the historical high, so don’t panic, just wait slowly, I said that there is no creation without destruction!

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2024\12\20Important indicators

FGI: 74 (less than 10 is the bottom area, greater than 90 is the high area)

MVRV: 2.44 (less than 1 is the bottom area, greater than 3.7 is the high area)

ahr999: 1.93 (less than 0.45 is the bottom area, less than 1.2 is the fixed investment area, less than 5 is the holding area, and greater than 5 is the selling area)

Big pie market value share: 57.18 (the smaller the proportion, the greater the risk of the bull top, and vice versa, the greater the proportion, the greater the possibility of the bear bottom, the last round of bull top 42.14)

Big pie rainbow chart: dark green (blue is the bottom area, green is the fixed investment area, yellow is the holding area, and red is the liquidation area)

Big pie escape top index: red line 229194, green line 45838 (Prices above the red line are in the escape zone, and prices below the green line are in the bottom zone. The current price is 95330) #加密市场回调 $BTC

Today, it dropped to the third support level mentioned earlier; the good thing is that it held and did not break down, but the bad thing is that it held and did not break down. Currently, this market, especially for altcoins, is definitely in a situation where one cannot establish without a breakdown. The daily divergence for Bitcoin itself has not yet been eliminated, and in the short term, it is likely to continue weak consolidation, while in the medium to long term, there is still upward potential!

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Important Indicators for 2024\12\19

FGI: 75 (less than 10 is a bottom area, greater than 90 is a high area)

MVRV: 2.53 (less than 1 is a bottom area, greater than 3.7 is a high area)

ahr999: 2.07 (less than 0.45 is a bottom-buying area, less than 1.2 is a regular investment area, less than 5 is a holding area, greater than 5 is a selling area)

Bitcoin Rainbow Chart: Deep Green (Blue is a bottom-buying area, Green is a regular investment area, Yellow is a holding area, Red is a liquidation area)

Bitcoin Escape Top Index: Red Line 229194, Green Line 45838 (Price above the red line is an escape top area, below the green line is a bottom-buying area, current price 102432)$BTC #加密市场回调

The short-term correction will continue, with three supports below: 102000, 100000, and 98500. At present, new funds dare not act easily, and existing funds are also in a wait-and-see state. There are two opportunities for the market to change, either the big cake falls below 98500 or breaks through 120000.

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2024\12\18 Important Indicators

FGI: 81 (less than 10 is the bottom area, greater than 90 is the high area)

MVRV: 2.68 (less than 1 is the bottom area, greater than 3.7 is the high area)

ahr999: 1.72 (less than 0.45 is the bottom area, less than 1.2 is the fixed investment area, less than 5 is the waiting area, and greater than 5 is the selling area)

Big Pie Rainbow Chart: Dark Green (Blue is the bottom area, green is the fixed investment area, yellow is the holding area, and red is the liquidation area)

Big Pie Escape Index: Red Line 229194, Green Line 45838 (Prices above the red line are the escape area, and prices below the green line are the bottom area. The current price is 104936) #加密市场盘整 $BTC

The bull market is not over yet, the bull market is still there! $BTC At least look at 150,000, the whole market still has a wave of sprint, the copycat is likely to wait until the big cake breaks through 120,000 and then explode again #加密用户突破1800万 #BTC持续刷新高点

Statistics of major events in May, whether $BTC breaks through 70,000 to set a new high, or falls below 60,000 and falls back to MA120, it depends on the performance next month! #美联储 #非农数据 #大盘走势 #BTC

In April, Soha bought 122 $BTC at a price of 7.8 million US dollars. The big guys are still buying at the bottom, so we don’t need to panic [eat melon] ​​​#大盘走势 #BTC #美联储

$BTC The most staunch believer is 🇸🇻Salvador, who insists on buying a pie every day regardless of bull or bear market or price.

Perseverance, always optimistic, only buy and never sell, bet on luck! ​​​#比特币减半 #大盘走势 #BTC

Many people in the cryptocurrency circle cannot accept the volatile market. They simply believe that "a bull market should rise, and a bull market will always rise".

Unfortunately, whether it is a bull market or a bear market, whether it is a one-year cycle or a four-year cycle, most of the time is volatile, and the time of unilateral rise or fall does not exceed 20%. "Keeping a coin is like being a widow", this sentence is really not in vain! ​​​#比特币减半 #大盘走势 #BTC #ETH

$ETH broke through 3300, and the exchange rate against $BTC hit a new high in nearly half a month. The trend also broke through MA30, which is much stronger than the big cake. This is a sign that the cottage season is coming. The cottage season will break out in May. I said it on April 3rd. Everything is under control! ​#ETH #BTC #大盘走势

3 pictures, Eagle gives you a clear understanding of the current market of $BTC !!!

Figure 1 is a typical rising flag consolidation pattern. The upper edge is the biggest pressure point on the market. Once it breaks through the absolute new high, it will at least look at 80,000+. I said. The lower edge is a strong support. The daily line 2 exploration is still continuing, and there is a risk of stepping back.

From the moving average, MA30 is a short-term pressure point. The previous wave of rebound was suppressed here. It was a rebound before it was effectively stabilized. After an effective breakthrough, it was a reversal.

The MA120 below is the ultimate support and the iron bottom of this round of retracement. It is impossible to break it. I said. At present, the probability of stepping back is very small, but as I said, if it steps back, it is an absolute opportunity to get on the bus, and it will be done without thinking!

In Figure 2, the red arrow is the trend of stepping back to the lower edge of the flag (strong support), and the black arrow is the trend of stepping back to MA120 (iron bottom). No matter where the 2nd probe will step back, from the perspective of time, it has been very fast, and it has reached the end of the consolidation.

As shown in Figure 3, the flag consolidation pattern is the most common trading consolidation technique in the bull market, especially in the main rising wave market, the main force will continue to wash the market by lowering the "high point" and "low point", and then violently pull up after the chips are thoroughly cleaned.

Another point, the increase after the end of this pattern consolidation is very considerable, generally similar to the flagpole of the previous flag, and at least more than 50%! #比特币减半 #大盘走势 #BTC

The mainstream views in the current market (bullish 🆚 bearish):

Bullish views include:
1. Ethereum is about to usher in the Prague upgrade
2. Hong Kong ETF officially opened for trading on April 30
3. Stablecoin inflows hit the third highest in history last week
4. Brother Sun recently bought tens of thousands of ETH ETFs at the bottom
5. After the halving, the cost of mining the big cake for miners has risen to more than 50,000 dollars
6. MVRV short-term holders show that 60,000 is the bottom
7. The Federal Reserve is about to usher in a rate cut

Bearish views include:
1. The halving has brought good news, and the good news has turned into bad news
2. The market has a large sell-off and negative financing rates
3. ETF inflows are continuing to decrease
4. The big cake has not fallen to the real bottom, and there is still a big drop
5. Wars are still continuing in various places overseas, and the S3 season may start
6. The Federal Reserve may raise interest rates again

So, what do you think ???

This is the second exploration, the standard daily second exploration! Eagle said on the 3rd that don't have any expectations this month, most of the time will be "garbage time". If you look at Figure 2 carefully, then all the trends this month should be within your cognition and reasonable!

The script is going very perfectly at present, just waiting for this month $BTC monthly line to close in the negative, just waiting for MACD to form an effective golden cross, the next wave of market surge is brewing crazily! ​​​#比特币减半 #大盘走势

Witness history: $BTC has completed the fourth halving! ​#比特币减半

First halving: $BTC price is about $12. A year later, it rose to $1,100, and the price has soared by nearly 10,000% since the halving.

Second halving: $BTC price is about $670. In December 2017, the price approached the $20,000 mark, and the price has risen by nearly 3,000% since the halving.

Third halving: $BTC price is about $9,500. On November 10, 2021, it took a year and a half since the halving to rise to $69,000, an increase of 725%. #比特币减半 #大盘走势