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Analysis of the Big Cake Market Trend on the Evening of February 13, 2025
Since February 4, the BTC market has shown two trend states: first, a [sharp rise and slow decline] in a downward fluctuation (orange channel), then the current horizontal box fluctuation in the 95,000-98,000 range (cyan box). This reflects a transition from 'weakening' to 'sideways', which is also a sign of a stop in decline. However, this short-term trend state has not broken the larger box fluctuation of 90,000-108,000, and the current cyan fluctuation range is only a step away from the strong support of 90,000-92,000 below. The BTC market is trapped in a small fluctuation within a large fluctuation. Moreover, the unexpected market movements and data in the past two days have not had a breakthrough impact on BTC, and BTC is also caught in the 'trap of liquidity deficiency'. There is only one way to break the deadlock: funding. Only by waiting for a strong influx of capital, whether bullish or bearish, to break the fluctuation can new opportunities arise. #BTC走势分析
Since February 4, the BTC market has shown two trend states: first, a [sharp rise and slow decline] in a downward fluctuation (orange channel), then the current horizontal box fluctuation in the 95,000-98,000 range (cyan box). This reflects a transition from 'weakening' to 'sideways', which is also a sign of a stop in decline. However, this short-term trend state has not broken the larger box fluctuation of 90,000-108,000, and the current cyan fluctuation range is only a step away from the strong support of 90,000-92,000 below. The BTC market is trapped in a small fluctuation within a large fluctuation. Moreover, the unexpected market movements and data in the past two days have not had a breakthrough impact on BTC, and BTC is also caught in the 'trap of liquidity deficiency'. There is only one way to break the deadlock: funding. Only by waiting for a strong influx of capital, whether bullish or bearish, to break the fluctuation can new opportunities arise. #BTC走势分析
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Analysis of Bitcoin and ETH market trends on the afternoon of February 13, 2025
Since the 4th, the turning point of BTC has been very random, difficult to grasp, and there is no strong support, so it just turns around casually. Now there is a change, that is, although it is still fluctuating widely, it was fluctuating downward before, and now it is fluctuating horizontally, so it may slowly fluctuate and strengthen next. Trump suppresses the strong dollar and supports non-US products. I dare not say that BTC will definitely soar again. From the market point of view, at least it is no longer fluctuating downward, and it has begun to fluctuate horizontally. This is a state of stopping the decline. ETH is staring at 2800~3000. If it goes up, it will continue to strengthen. If it can't go up, it's still nonsense...
#BTC走势分析 #ETH
Since the 4th, the turning point of BTC has been very random, difficult to grasp, and there is no strong support, so it just turns around casually. Now there is a change, that is, although it is still fluctuating widely, it was fluctuating downward before, and now it is fluctuating horizontally, so it may slowly fluctuate and strengthen next. Trump suppresses the strong dollar and supports non-US products. I dare not say that BTC will definitely soar again. From the market point of view, at least it is no longer fluctuating downward, and it has begun to fluctuate horizontally. This is a state of stopping the decline. ETH is staring at 2800~3000. If it goes up, it will continue to strengthen. If it can't go up, it's still nonsense...
#BTC走势分析 #ETH
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February 11, 2025, Morning Pancake Market Trend Analysis
BTC's Short-Term Difficult Times May Come to an End!
Since February 4, when BTC started a [Rapid Rise and Slow Decline], a week of volatile weakening ensued, with a low point reaching 94,000, leaving the market quite desolate.
This situation began to change last night:
Benefiting from the continuous rise in international gold prices, BTC, which has some safe-haven attributes, also began to rise passively and is gradually evolving from a passive increase to an active increase. This is good news for the bulls!
In last night's BTC text analysis, we mentioned: "The MACD energy bars on the 4-hour chart began to contract last night, indicating that the downward momentum of the market is weakening. If the energy bars return above 0 in the future, BTC's price is expected to stop falling and rebound, making another upward push.
After a night of fermentation and this morning's market movements, this expectation is turning into reality. If all goes well, this afternoon the MACD energy bars will return above the 0 axis, and driven by this, BTC's price will also begin to rise.
First Resistance: 100,000 threshold. As long as it breaks through and stabilizes at 100,000, BTC will once again challenge the historical strong resistance of 106,000-107,000!
For the aggressive, it is advisable to cautiously set up long positions; for the conservative, it's not too late to wait until it stabilizes above 100,000 before positioning.
#BTC
BTC's Short-Term Difficult Times May Come to an End!
Since February 4, when BTC started a [Rapid Rise and Slow Decline], a week of volatile weakening ensued, with a low point reaching 94,000, leaving the market quite desolate.
This situation began to change last night:
Benefiting from the continuous rise in international gold prices, BTC, which has some safe-haven attributes, also began to rise passively and is gradually evolving from a passive increase to an active increase. This is good news for the bulls!
In last night's BTC text analysis, we mentioned: "The MACD energy bars on the 4-hour chart began to contract last night, indicating that the downward momentum of the market is weakening. If the energy bars return above 0 in the future, BTC's price is expected to stop falling and rebound, making another upward push.
After a night of fermentation and this morning's market movements, this expectation is turning into reality. If all goes well, this afternoon the MACD energy bars will return above the 0 axis, and driven by this, BTC's price will also begin to rise.
First Resistance: 100,000 threshold. As long as it breaks through and stabilizes at 100,000, BTC will once again challenge the historical strong resistance of 106,000-107,000!
For the aggressive, it is advisable to cautiously set up long positions; for the conservative, it's not too late to wait until it stabilizes above 100,000 before positioning.
#BTC
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February 10, 2025, Morning Pancake, ETH Market Trend Analysis
BTC has been experiencing this oscillating weakening trend for 5 consecutive days now, with the market center slowly shifting downwards, rebound highs slowly decreasing, and lows slowly moving down, causing sentiment to drop to freezing point.
In the current situation of continued bearish sentiment, it is not recommended to lay out long positions.
As we mentioned before, for the market to rise, there are only two expectations:
1. A technical rebound after falling to the 90,000-92,000 range.
2. A sudden favorable event.
Before reaching the above two conditions, do not lay out long positions.
If you really can't hold back, it would be better to make a small short position lightly, just to have some fun.
Compared to BTC, I actually think that recently trading ETH is better. The [Decline of ETH] has already opened up, and the future trend is towards weakness.
Therefore, instead of trading BTC recently, it would be better to try laying out short positions on ETH; the downside space is indeed huge!
Because 2800-3000 is equivalent to BTC's 90,000-92,000, which is hard to break through, looking ahead is just an abyss.
#BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
🔥🔥
BTC has been experiencing this oscillating weakening trend for 5 consecutive days now, with the market center slowly shifting downwards, rebound highs slowly decreasing, and lows slowly moving down, causing sentiment to drop to freezing point.
In the current situation of continued bearish sentiment, it is not recommended to lay out long positions.
As we mentioned before, for the market to rise, there are only two expectations:
1. A technical rebound after falling to the 90,000-92,000 range.
2. A sudden favorable event.
Before reaching the above two conditions, do not lay out long positions.
If you really can't hold back, it would be better to make a small short position lightly, just to have some fun.
Compared to BTC, I actually think that recently trading ETH is better. The [Decline of ETH] has already opened up, and the future trend is towards weakness.
Therefore, instead of trading BTC recently, it would be better to try laying out short positions on ETH; the downside space is indeed huge!
Because 2800-3000 is equivalent to BTC's 90,000-92,000, which is hard to break through, looking ahead is just an abyss.
#BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
🔥🔥
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February 7, 2025, Market Trend Analysis for BTC, ETH, and SOL
Yesterday, BTC continued the trend of [sharp rise and slow decline], experiencing a fluctuating and slow decline.
The market focus is still slowly shifting downward, which reflects a depressed market sentiment and relatively weak popularity. In fact, since two days before Trump's inauguration on January 18, BTC has been in a turbulent range of 90,000-108,000, experiencing multiple, frequent, and intense wide fluctuations in just under a month.
Every few days, we see reports of "how many people liquidated and how much money was lost". This back-and-forth “killing” market is unsustainable, and very few retail players in contracts can exit unscathed.
The current market's dullness and low sentiment also reflect that the market is in a [severe injury healing] stage. The BTC market will not remain silent forever; the volume, popularity, speculative nature, and belief are all present. As time goes on, players' psychology, capital, and sentiment will slowly recover, and at that time, market volatility, trends, and activity will gradually return. Additionally, since Trump took office, it has become increasingly clear that his current focus is still on traditional political policies.
Cryptocurrency is clearly just a direction he does not oppose, rather than the focus of his term. The crypto market has also increasingly recognized this.
Therefore, for the upcoming market, I believe it will gradually revert to the more rational market conditions seen before October last year. The daily volatility of the market will not be too intense, there will be more consolidation and recovery phases, and the space for fluctuations will be smaller, allowing for more development opportunities in short-term trading.
As for today's operational thoughts, I still recommend watching more and acting less, as the floating price levels,
are neither up nor down, can go either way, with support and resistance being relatively distant and difficult to grasp.
ETH has been under pressure between 2800-3000 after a day's fluctuations.
The trend is not obvious, but overall it is weak, and there are no suitable trading opportunities at the moment. Continue observing the market's battle of bulls and bears around the 2800-3000 lifeline.
SOL, pay attention to the important support around 175 below. If the market can pull back to this level,
it will be a relatively good opportunity to position long orders.
Yesterday, BTC continued the trend of [sharp rise and slow decline], experiencing a fluctuating and slow decline.
The market focus is still slowly shifting downward, which reflects a depressed market sentiment and relatively weak popularity. In fact, since two days before Trump's inauguration on January 18, BTC has been in a turbulent range of 90,000-108,000, experiencing multiple, frequent, and intense wide fluctuations in just under a month.
Every few days, we see reports of "how many people liquidated and how much money was lost". This back-and-forth “killing” market is unsustainable, and very few retail players in contracts can exit unscathed.
The current market's dullness and low sentiment also reflect that the market is in a [severe injury healing] stage. The BTC market will not remain silent forever; the volume, popularity, speculative nature, and belief are all present. As time goes on, players' psychology, capital, and sentiment will slowly recover, and at that time, market volatility, trends, and activity will gradually return. Additionally, since Trump took office, it has become increasingly clear that his current focus is still on traditional political policies.
Cryptocurrency is clearly just a direction he does not oppose, rather than the focus of his term. The crypto market has also increasingly recognized this.
Therefore, for the upcoming market, I believe it will gradually revert to the more rational market conditions seen before October last year. The daily volatility of the market will not be too intense, there will be more consolidation and recovery phases, and the space for fluctuations will be smaller, allowing for more development opportunities in short-term trading.
As for today's operational thoughts, I still recommend watching more and acting less, as the floating price levels,
are neither up nor down, can go either way, with support and resistance being relatively distant and difficult to grasp.
ETH has been under pressure between 2800-3000 after a day's fluctuations.
The trend is not obvious, but overall it is weak, and there are no suitable trading opportunities at the moment. Continue observing the market's battle of bulls and bears around the 2800-3000 lifeline.
SOL, pay attention to the important support around 175 below. If the market can pull back to this level,
it will be a relatively good opportunity to position long orders.
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Analysis of the trend of Bitcoin and Ethereum at noon on February 6, 2025
The real short-term crisis of BTC:
There is a real weak market, which is [rapid rise and slow fall].
The logic behind this market fluctuation is that the emotional surge meets rational suppression.
It is like two people quarreling, one with a red face and a loud voice, and the other with a smile and a soft voice. The latter is often the most terrible.
This is the current BTC 4-hour chart.
If the market continues to fluctuate and weaken until the two big positive lines on the 4th are eaten up,
it will form [rapid rise and slow fall]. Not only will the market be likely to further test the green support area, but it will also greatly increase the risk of breaking 90,000.
And if 90,000 breaks, we all know what terrible consequences will happen.
Therefore, you must keep a close eye on the market trend, do not blindly open long orders, and pay attention to the current situation consultation! When there is no good opportunity, you must be short or light!
ETH's 4-hour market is much stronger than BTC, at least it maintains the motivation and hope to hit 2800-3000! 2800-3000 is the lifeline!! An area more important than life!!
At present, watch more and do less, and see if ETH establishes a new trend, will it fall under pressure? Or will it stand on 3000 again!
#BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
The real short-term crisis of BTC:
There is a real weak market, which is [rapid rise and slow fall].
The logic behind this market fluctuation is that the emotional surge meets rational suppression.
It is like two people quarreling, one with a red face and a loud voice, and the other with a smile and a soft voice. The latter is often the most terrible.
This is the current BTC 4-hour chart.
If the market continues to fluctuate and weaken until the two big positive lines on the 4th are eaten up,
it will form [rapid rise and slow fall]. Not only will the market be likely to further test the green support area, but it will also greatly increase the risk of breaking 90,000.
And if 90,000 breaks, we all know what terrible consequences will happen.
Therefore, you must keep a close eye on the market trend, do not blindly open long orders, and pay attention to the current situation consultation! When there is no good opportunity, you must be short or light!
ETH's 4-hour market is much stronger than BTC, at least it maintains the motivation and hope to hit 2800-3000! 2800-3000 is the lifeline!! An area more important than life!!
At present, watch more and do less, and see if ETH establishes a new trend, will it fall under pressure? Or will it stand on 3000 again!
#BTC走势分析 #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥
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Analysis of the Bitcoin Market Trend on the Evening of February 5, 2025
In yesterday's analysis, we emphasized the important support significance of the 9.8-10 boundary zone.
After a day's fluctuation today, the BTC market focus has clearly shifted downwards, and the boundary zone has not provided effective support. Currently, the 9.8-10 area is in a [failed state], offering neither support significance nor pressure significance. Apart from the upper red area and the lower green area, there are no effective support or pressure zones in the market.
Therefore, the upcoming fluctuations in BTC market carry significant risks, as there is no support or pressure reference in the large range of 9.2-10.6 (blue area). The market fluctuations are falling into an emotional, disorderly, and trendless state, where any direction could be valid, presenting a substantial risk of being caught in both long and short positions.
Rationally, there is no operational idea or direction in the short term. It is advisable to avoid this period of market fluctuation and wait for the price to approach the significant support and pressure zones before making any plans.
#BTC Market Analysis #比特币国家战略储备
In yesterday's analysis, we emphasized the important support significance of the 9.8-10 boundary zone.
After a day's fluctuation today, the BTC market focus has clearly shifted downwards, and the boundary zone has not provided effective support. Currently, the 9.8-10 area is in a [failed state], offering neither support significance nor pressure significance. Apart from the upper red area and the lower green area, there are no effective support or pressure zones in the market.
Therefore, the upcoming fluctuations in BTC market carry significant risks, as there is no support or pressure reference in the large range of 9.2-10.6 (blue area). The market fluctuations are falling into an emotional, disorderly, and trendless state, where any direction could be valid, presenting a substantial risk of being caught in both long and short positions.
Rationally, there is no operational idea or direction in the short term. It is advisable to avoid this period of market fluctuation and wait for the price to approach the significant support and pressure zones before making any plans.
#BTC Market Analysis #比特币国家战略储备
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Analysis of the trend of the big cake market on the morning of February 4, 2025
Today's operation ideas:
There are only short-term opportunities, waiting for opportunities in the upper half:
1. The market will fall back and adjust, pay attention to whether the 98,000-100,000 boundary area can be adjusted back, and going up again is a good short-term long opportunity;
2. If the market does not pull back and directly rises, it is recommended that all long positions be closed at 106,000-107,000.
It is unknown whether the market can break through the pressure of 108,000, but if it breaks through, then the big shock will break through, and new opportunities and trends will be officially launched! #加密市场反弹
Today's operation ideas:
There are only short-term opportunities, waiting for opportunities in the upper half:
1. The market will fall back and adjust, pay attention to whether the 98,000-100,000 boundary area can be adjusted back, and going up again is a good short-term long opportunity;
2. If the market does not pull back and directly rises, it is recommended that all long positions be closed at 106,000-107,000.
It is unknown whether the market can break through the pressure of 108,000, but if it breaks through, then the big shock will break through, and new opportunities and trends will be officially launched! #加密市场反弹
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90,000 major support has also been provided, the current market will not drop deeper, and it is time to start consolidating and building a bottom with fluctuations. Long-term cycle: 90,000~108,000 high-level box fluctuation.
#BTC走势分析
#BTC走势分析
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Analysis of the trend of Bitcoin and ETH in the morning of February 1, 2025
When we analyzed BTC two days ago, we emphasized: Beware of the pressure near 106,000, and be careful of the rapid correction of the market! Now, it has come true. The pressure of 106,000 should not be underestimated. It has fallen back under pressure twice in a row, especially last night, the retracement was rapid and deep. For long players, it was another "sleepless night".
Same as the previous analysis, I think the current BTC is still oscillating in a high-level box, large box: 90,000-108,000.
Small box: 98,000-106,000. There is no unilateral trend, only disordered oscillation. For the oscillating market, you can't just look at the longs or shorts. Go short near the pressure, go long near the support, buy low and sell high, and combine short-term long and short positions. This is the correct idea.
What should I do on the following Saturday and Sunday?
The current market is in a suspended zone, neither going up nor down, so the strategy is:
1. Fall back to the 98,000-100,000 range, and distribute long orders;
2. Rise to the 106,000-107,000 range, and distribute short orders. (No operation in the middle zone)
ETH's surge last night drove BTC, but BTC's flash crash at the 106,000 pressure level affected ETH's continued strength. It is still obvious that ETH does not have its own independent market, BTC cannot be strong, and ETH still depends on its face.
Faith is power, but reality is the job.
ETH still has not gotten rid of the shackles of low-level disordered fluctuations, and the new trend has not emerged. 3000 support, 4100 pressure. #BTC #ETH #加密市场反弹
When we analyzed BTC two days ago, we emphasized: Beware of the pressure near 106,000, and be careful of the rapid correction of the market! Now, it has come true. The pressure of 106,000 should not be underestimated. It has fallen back under pressure twice in a row, especially last night, the retracement was rapid and deep. For long players, it was another "sleepless night".
Same as the previous analysis, I think the current BTC is still oscillating in a high-level box, large box: 90,000-108,000.
Small box: 98,000-106,000. There is no unilateral trend, only disordered oscillation. For the oscillating market, you can't just look at the longs or shorts. Go short near the pressure, go long near the support, buy low and sell high, and combine short-term long and short positions. This is the correct idea.
What should I do on the following Saturday and Sunday?
The current market is in a suspended zone, neither going up nor down, so the strategy is:
1. Fall back to the 98,000-100,000 range, and distribute long orders;
2. Rise to the 106,000-107,000 range, and distribute short orders. (No operation in the middle zone)
ETH's surge last night drove BTC, but BTC's flash crash at the 106,000 pressure level affected ETH's continued strength. It is still obvious that ETH does not have its own independent market, BTC cannot be strong, and ETH still depends on its face.
Faith is power, but reality is the job.
ETH still has not gotten rid of the shackles of low-level disordered fluctuations, and the new trend has not emerged. 3000 support, 4100 pressure. #BTC #ETH #加密市场反弹
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January 31, 2025, Morning Analysis of BTC and ETH Market Trends
Regarding the BTC daily chart, we have some new insights and discoveries:
1. Currently, BTC is still in a high-level range oscillation between 90,000 and 108,000. Until this range is broken, 108,000 is an important resistance, and 90,000 is an important support.
2. Since New Year's Day, the overall market trend in January has been strong, moving from 90,000 to 106,000 in a bullish trend, which is an upward movement within the oscillation range. There is a good sign currently:
The consecutive daily gains over the last two days have recovered the previous four days of daily losses (within the blue box). Within the short-term rising channel (green channel), it forms a [Bullish Engulfing] pattern, which is a good continuation bullish formation, presenting certain opportunities: BTC price is expected to strengthen continuously, challenging 108,000 and 110,000, creating new highs!
This is also an opportunity we need to focus on recently. Only by breaking out of the range will BTC embrace greater trend opportunities.
3. However, do not blindly be optimistic about the bullish breakout of the price because, in principle, without an effective breakout result, the range of 108,000 to 110,000 is currently the ceiling of the market, and the price may anytime face pressure and turn back!
Minimum
Therefore, the current price level presents both opportunities and risks! Do not be blindly optimistic or pessimistic; waiting quietly for the right opportunity is the best strategy.
ETH:
[History will repeat itself, but not simply] Pay attention to the ETH daily chart
On the left side, the first half of 2024 shows a unilateral rise + five-wave correction, while on the right side, the second half of 2024 shows a unilateral rise + five-wave correction. The fluctuations, amplitudes, and time cycles are almost identical,
Is it possible for ETH to [repeat history] and soar again?
(If such an opportunity arises, then BTC must break through the 110,000 barrier!)
We shall see!
#BTC走势分析 #ETH
Regarding the BTC daily chart, we have some new insights and discoveries:
1. Currently, BTC is still in a high-level range oscillation between 90,000 and 108,000. Until this range is broken, 108,000 is an important resistance, and 90,000 is an important support.
2. Since New Year's Day, the overall market trend in January has been strong, moving from 90,000 to 106,000 in a bullish trend, which is an upward movement within the oscillation range. There is a good sign currently:
The consecutive daily gains over the last two days have recovered the previous four days of daily losses (within the blue box). Within the short-term rising channel (green channel), it forms a [Bullish Engulfing] pattern, which is a good continuation bullish formation, presenting certain opportunities: BTC price is expected to strengthen continuously, challenging 108,000 and 110,000, creating new highs!
This is also an opportunity we need to focus on recently. Only by breaking out of the range will BTC embrace greater trend opportunities.
3. However, do not blindly be optimistic about the bullish breakout of the price because, in principle, without an effective breakout result, the range of 108,000 to 110,000 is currently the ceiling of the market, and the price may anytime face pressure and turn back!
Minimum
Therefore, the current price level presents both opportunities and risks! Do not be blindly optimistic or pessimistic; waiting quietly for the right opportunity is the best strategy.
ETH:
[History will repeat itself, but not simply] Pay attention to the ETH daily chart
On the left side, the first half of 2024 shows a unilateral rise + five-wave correction, while on the right side, the second half of 2024 shows a unilateral rise + five-wave correction. The fluctuations, amplitudes, and time cycles are almost identical,
Is it possible for ETH to [repeat history] and soar again?
(If such an opportunity arises, then BTC must break through the 110,000 barrier!)
We shall see!
#BTC走势分析 #ETH
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January 30, 2025 Afternoon Bitcoin Market Analysis
The early morning BTC market's initial decline followed by a rise actually indicates that the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate cuts have already been digested, or in other words, it hasn't been taken too seriously. Coupled with Powell's usual ambiguous statements, saying a lot of vague things, the market only saw a symbolic drop. The subsequent increase actually reflects that the bullish momentum in the market is still stronger than the bearish side.
Currently, there are several challenges in the market:
1. The fundamentals are still eagerly waiting for the stimulus from [Trump's new policy], so the market hasn't been able to drop for a long time;
2. On the technical side, apart from the significant support at the 90,000 level, there is no effective support in the short term. Everyone knows they should buy on dips, but where is considered 'low'? It's very hard to determine if a correction has completed;
3. The market's volatility is extremely large, and the emotional market is very obvious. The disorderly fluctuations make short-term operations difficult, seemingly providing a large space for fluctuations, but in fact, it's hard to grasp the buying and selling points;
4. There is a potential danger to note, as shown in the chart: the market has not yet approached the 106,000 level. In previous instances, there have been quick reversals near this level, and now as we approach this price again, caution is needed for a potential rapid correction!
#BTC走势分析
The early morning BTC market's initial decline followed by a rise actually indicates that the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to pause interest rate cuts have already been digested, or in other words, it hasn't been taken too seriously. Coupled with Powell's usual ambiguous statements, saying a lot of vague things, the market only saw a symbolic drop. The subsequent increase actually reflects that the bullish momentum in the market is still stronger than the bearish side.
Currently, there are several challenges in the market:
1. The fundamentals are still eagerly waiting for the stimulus from [Trump's new policy], so the market hasn't been able to drop for a long time;
2. On the technical side, apart from the significant support at the 90,000 level, there is no effective support in the short term. Everyone knows they should buy on dips, but where is considered 'low'? It's very hard to determine if a correction has completed;
3. The market's volatility is extremely large, and the emotional market is very obvious. The disorderly fluctuations make short-term operations difficult, seemingly providing a large space for fluctuations, but in fact, it's hard to grasp the buying and selling points;
4. There is a potential danger to note, as shown in the chart: the market has not yet approached the 106,000 level. In previous instances, there have been quick reversals near this level, and now as we approach this price again, caution is needed for a potential rapid correction!
#BTC走势分析
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Since January 19th, the market has been oscillating at the top, with technical patterns and indicators distorted. Subsequently, it has been fluctuating within a range of nearly 5%. Pure technical analysis is quite challenging, so it is recommended to temporarily ignore small-scale technical analysis.
As mentioned before, in an optimistic scenario, Bitcoin could reach around 104,000 to 105,000. I believe the current price has already reflected Powell's speech yesterday, and the market is relatively optimistic about the future. This has already been basically priced in, and the entry value is relatively low.
My plan now is to pay attention to the data at 9:30 PM. This is a hardcore data point; if it is favorable, I will go long, targeting 108,000, and there may be preparations for breaking through 110,000 (however, whether it can actually break through 110,000 will likely depend on the large non-farm payroll report a week later). If the data is unfavorable, I will go short, expecting another battle for 100,000, which is very likely to break below this level, targeting around 95,000 to 96,000.
#BTC走势分析
As mentioned before, in an optimistic scenario, Bitcoin could reach around 104,000 to 105,000. I believe the current price has already reflected Powell's speech yesterday, and the market is relatively optimistic about the future. This has already been basically priced in, and the entry value is relatively low.
My plan now is to pay attention to the data at 9:30 PM. This is a hardcore data point; if it is favorable, I will go long, targeting 108,000, and there may be preparations for breaking through 110,000 (however, whether it can actually break through 110,000 will likely depend on the large non-farm payroll report a week later). If the data is unfavorable, I will go short, expecting another battle for 100,000, which is very likely to break below this level, targeting around 95,000 to 96,000.
#BTC走势分析
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In-depth analysis of the market trends of BTC, ETH, and SOL on the afternoon of January 29, 2025.
The essence of the BTC big cycle is still the box oscillation between 90,000 and 108,000. There are not many opportunities for one-sided market trends; short-term operations are more suitable.
During this period, while it seems that the market fluctuates greatly, there are also many one-sided opportunities, overall, they are mostly emotional markets, difficult to grasp, and the trends are disorderly. Technical analysis has become severely blunt during this time, making it hard to operate.
Aside from 90,000 and 108,000, there is currently no effective and clear strong support and resistance in the market.
Technical analysts should try to watch more and act less during this period, waiting for the right opportunity.
Currently, ETH's support at 3,000 points is indeed strong,
However, given that BTC is hesitant to initiate a bullish trend, ETH is currently a good opportunity for long positions. Once BTC's bullish trend is established, then we can consider a correlated layout with ETH.
The current operational approach for SOL is the same as for ETH,
SOL has also reached significant support around 229. Although there might be some slip, it still has a certain supportive effect overall. Right now, we must also wait for the establishment of BTC's bullish trend before considering laying out long positions in SOL. If the big brother has no direction, even if various altcoins seem bullish, they dare not operate easily.
#BTC走势分析 #ETH #SOL
The essence of the BTC big cycle is still the box oscillation between 90,000 and 108,000. There are not many opportunities for one-sided market trends; short-term operations are more suitable.
During this period, while it seems that the market fluctuates greatly, there are also many one-sided opportunities, overall, they are mostly emotional markets, difficult to grasp, and the trends are disorderly. Technical analysis has become severely blunt during this time, making it hard to operate.
Aside from 90,000 and 108,000, there is currently no effective and clear strong support and resistance in the market.
Technical analysts should try to watch more and act less during this period, waiting for the right opportunity.
Currently, ETH's support at 3,000 points is indeed strong,
However, given that BTC is hesitant to initiate a bullish trend, ETH is currently a good opportunity for long positions. Once BTC's bullish trend is established, then we can consider a correlated layout with ETH.
The current operational approach for SOL is the same as for ETH,
SOL has also reached significant support around 229. Although there might be some slip, it still has a certain supportive effect overall. Right now, we must also wait for the establishment of BTC's bullish trend before considering laying out long positions in SOL. If the big brother has no direction, even if various altcoins seem bullish, they dare not operate easily.
#BTC走势分析 #ETH #SOL
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In-depth analysis of the big pancake market trend on the evening of January 27, 2025
In fact, if it weren't for the mild fluctuations in the market during the weekends, this round of decline should have started last Friday. The delay of 2 days before the drop has intensified the accumulated emotions in the market, thus increasing the determination to fall further.
We have previously discussed the range of market fluctuations: 100,000 to 108,000,
Today, it was pierced downwards, indicating the strength of the bears. Such an important support level was broken so easily.
However, after the breakdown, the market did not fall too deep, mainly because the starting point of this wave was too high: 105,000. In the absence of significant negative news, relying solely on emotions to drop this much is already enough, so the current market is caught in a short-term adjustment, and the adjustment price level is quite intriguing: just below 99,500.
We have mentioned that breaking below 99,500 represents opening up the space for further declines, with the trend continuing to look weak. Therefore, there are two possible ways for the market to move next:
1. Consolidate around 99,500; as long as it cannot effectively stand above 99,500, we will continue to be bearish and expect further declines tomorrow;
2. The market may rebound tonight, but as long as the rebound height does not exceed 102,000, it will be judged as a weak rebound, and we will still continue to expect declines tomorrow;
Only if the rebound stands above 102,000 can we consider being bullish in the future.
#BTC走势分析
In fact, if it weren't for the mild fluctuations in the market during the weekends, this round of decline should have started last Friday. The delay of 2 days before the drop has intensified the accumulated emotions in the market, thus increasing the determination to fall further.
We have previously discussed the range of market fluctuations: 100,000 to 108,000,
Today, it was pierced downwards, indicating the strength of the bears. Such an important support level was broken so easily.
However, after the breakdown, the market did not fall too deep, mainly because the starting point of this wave was too high: 105,000. In the absence of significant negative news, relying solely on emotions to drop this much is already enough, so the current market is caught in a short-term adjustment, and the adjustment price level is quite intriguing: just below 99,500.
We have mentioned that breaking below 99,500 represents opening up the space for further declines, with the trend continuing to look weak. Therefore, there are two possible ways for the market to move next:
1. Consolidate around 99,500; as long as it cannot effectively stand above 99,500, we will continue to be bearish and expect further declines tomorrow;
2. The market may rebound tonight, but as long as the rebound height does not exceed 102,000, it will be judged as a weak rebound, and we will still continue to expect declines tomorrow;
Only if the rebound stands above 102,000 can we consider being bullish in the future.
#BTC走势分析
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In-depth analysis of the trend of Bitcoin and SOL on the evening of January 24, 2025
BTC fluctuated slightly upward today
But the overall trend has been "disorderly and trendless" up and down since before Trump took office
It is obvious that the market is still looking forward to Trump's new policy in the cryptocurrency market
In the short term, it is not easy to operate.
But...
In the short cycle, it is indeed difficult for the market to have an operating direction.
But there is an indicator: the state of MACD, which may have some reference significance. Since Trump took office, MACD has been adjusting weakly, and only today did it begin to show signs of a golden cross.
This expectation and state may indicate that the market is about to start rising.
At present, when there is no effective reference, we can pay attention to the dynamics of MACD. If it can continue to rise and strengthen, perhaps the market will also usher in a turnaround.
And SOL's MACD has already golden cross, SOL may have started!#BTC走势分析 #SOL
BTC fluctuated slightly upward today
But the overall trend has been "disorderly and trendless" up and down since before Trump took office
It is obvious that the market is still looking forward to Trump's new policy in the cryptocurrency market
In the short term, it is not easy to operate.
But...
In the short cycle, it is indeed difficult for the market to have an operating direction.
But there is an indicator: the state of MACD, which may have some reference significance. Since Trump took office, MACD has been adjusting weakly, and only today did it begin to show signs of a golden cross.
This expectation and state may indicate that the market is about to start rising.
At present, when there is no effective reference, we can pay attention to the dynamics of MACD. If it can continue to rise and strengthen, perhaps the market will also usher in a turnaround.
And SOL's MACD has already golden cross, SOL may have started!#BTC走势分析 #SOL
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In-depth analysis of the market trends of Cake and SOL at noon on January 24, 2025
Today, there are only two focuses:
The upper pressure level is 108,000 and the lower support level is 100,000. Look for opportunities to short or long around these two prices.
The current market is very simple:
First, the emotional fluctuations are serious, there is no trend opportunity, and it is all driven by emotions; second, the current price is in the middle of the box, neither up nor down, it can go up or down. No matter what data there is in the afternoon and evening, the market will rise or fall sharply. It will face the upper pressure and lower support. Instead of drifting with the tide in the box, it is better to wait for support or pressure, and go long at low or short at high.
The operating idea of SOL is the same as BTC. But one thing to note:
Before this round of weakness, SOL was in a very clear rising state, that is, SOL’s current weakness is completely driven by BTC.
If BTC rises moderately in the future, it is not ruled out that SOL will rise in retaliation and break through 270 to continue to rise.
##BTC走势分析 #SOL
Today, there are only two focuses:
The upper pressure level is 108,000 and the lower support level is 100,000. Look for opportunities to short or long around these two prices.
The current market is very simple:
First, the emotional fluctuations are serious, there is no trend opportunity, and it is all driven by emotions; second, the current price is in the middle of the box, neither up nor down, it can go up or down. No matter what data there is in the afternoon and evening, the market will rise or fall sharply. It will face the upper pressure and lower support. Instead of drifting with the tide in the box, it is better to wait for support or pressure, and go long at low or short at high.
The operating idea of SOL is the same as BTC. But one thing to note:
Before this round of weakness, SOL was in a very clear rising state, that is, SOL’s current weakness is completely driven by BTC.
If BTC rises moderately in the future, it is not ruled out that SOL will rise in retaliation and break through 270 to continue to rise.
##BTC走势分析 #SOL
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