The sol pin has retreated near 199.5 Short positions near 200 have been realized. If you participated, please use the cost price for stop loss. This order will not be referenced again if it rises again.
Ethereum short position adjustment 4020 entry into shorts other levels canceled If all goes well, it will reach this week, and then adjustments will begin
If you seek stability, you can avoid placing orders and wait for BTC to show a peak signal before starting a short position layout. This is a right-side thinking approach. Here is the direction provided, but it is not recommended to do all of it. If you are interested, it is advised that the total position should not exceed 5 times. In other words, BTC 2.5 times, ETH paired with 1.5 times, SOL 1 time, like this.
In terms of risk, The least risky is BTC, because the stop-loss is very clear; a breakout of 124,000 is sufficient, with minimal space. For ETH, if you seek stability, you can refer to the position of 4025. The stop-loss should be based on a breakout stabilization of 4080, and as long as it doesn't break during the pullback, it is fine.
Previously mentioned that Bitcoin has completed a bearish butterfly pattern in the range of 121000~121500, and ETH has pulled back at the 3672 (1.618) position, which has now been realized. Looking ahead, I believe there is a high probability that Bitcoin will complete a larger bearish harmonic structure, with potential lows considered in the range of 121500~122300 after breaking 121000. The target position can refer to the previous low of 115800. ETH's deformed rise has entered an important selling zone, with no effective structural support below. SOL's rebound sentiment is strong, and there is a high probability of another pullback before further rise. Bearish resonance expectation is occurring.
Short ETH around 3920~3940, target 3380 breakdown. Short BTC around 121500~122300, target 115800 breakdown. Short SOL around 200, target 156 breakdown.
The levels for ETH will be adjusted over time, but the overall direction remains unchanged.
In terms of operation, since BTC has already started trading, no more thinking analysis is provided
ETH thinking analysis: Trial and error with a small stop loss in the 2880 range (if it falls below 2860 and there is no strong rebound, a pin-point loss can be made) Then focus on the 2840-2780 range, consider arranging long orders, and stop loss when the pin breaks 2780 and there is no strong recovery
Sol focuses on the position range of 152.1-151.1 below (up and down 1) and defends against an effective break of 149
Unable to publish thoughts on the square video details in time, key trading intervals have been reached, the spike speed is too fast, very regrettable, everyone. (Originally planned to share thoughts before 1 PM)
This technology has been verified by numerous experienced traders in real markets, and is truly reliable.
First, divide your funds into two parts. 50% of the funds should be kept completely idle; this money acts as the bank system for your account and cannot be subject to 'manual operations'.
The other 50% of your funds, aside from spot trading, should utilize a reasonable fixed margin model for trading.
Assuming you have 10,000u, then 5,000u should be non-movable assets deposited in your 'virtual bank', while the remaining 5,000u should have a fixed margin for each trade (divided by coin). For example, if trading BTC, the margin should match the leverage used, such as using 500u when making a profit and 1,000u when incurring a loss. However, we can reduce the leverage after making a profit, for instance, using 1,000u for profits and 500u for losses, which is perfectly acceptable.
It is recommended to use 2~3 times leverage for BTC trading (maximum 5 times), (2 times leverage, maximum 3 times) for SOL trading using 0.75~1.5 times leverage (maximum 2 times).
Below is the essence of this system
After you earn money using your funds, you should immediately deposit the newly earned funds into your bank system. Then, when you incur a loss, you should 'borrow' from your bank system to temporarily cover the trading fund losses.
Upgrade
When you have earned an amount equivalent to 100% of your trading funds in the bank system (which often takes several months or more), you can withdraw funds from the bank system, adding them to your trading funds, thereby restoring the balance between trading funds and bank system funds to 1:1.
Downgrade
If the loss amount is too large and your trading funds have suffered a 50% loss, you will need to rebalance your trading funds with the bank system, reducing your fixed margin amount.
Recommended spots include
doge ltc xrp sol btc eth bch
Recommended contracts include btc eth sol (but all six of the above pairs are suitable for contract trading; doge ltc xrp bch are recommended to not exceed 2 times leverage).
Finally, I leave you with two sayings
The weak water has three thousand streams, but I only take a ladle to drink.
Slow is fast; the market is mostly a trap, and opportunities often arise unexpectedly.
At 1 PM, the latest market analysis video will be released.
Market Analysis Short ETH at 3120, set stop loss at the high point after the candlestick at 3160 (hard stop loss at 3205) 50x 2% No specific take profit level set for now, details will be followed up in real time
I think the trading difficulty of this round of market from July 2 to July 9, 2025 is the greatest since the fomo in 2020. In addition to the multi-period divergence of macd wm rsi and vol, the market's multi-period short-selling arrangement and the break of the key horizontal trend line, the high-level distribution of usdt issuance signals and the "heavyweight institutional holdings signal", and the increasing interest rate cut benefits are all high-level prompts before a deep decline.
If you make a mistake, I hope you will not be affected by this setback. Confidence is the most important treasure in the trading market. I always think that trading is one of the few ways for ordinary people like us to get real rewards through our thinking, hard work, and determination. I will accompany you in this market until the end of my trading life. I sincerely hope that all friends can reach heaven at the end of the twists and turns in this market that seems to be a dark abyss and hell, just like the protagonist in the Divine Comedy.
Attention everyone, BTC orders are proceeding as usual, ETH short orders are temporarily canceled. I will announce the current price when suitable opportunities arise.