一次不亏一分不亏一生不亏

#特朗普比特币金库 Trump's Bitcoin Vault Plan: The Intersection of Cryptocurrency and Politics
On May 27, 2025, local time in the United States, Trump Media & Technology Group (TMTG) announced a remarkable plan: to raise $2.5 billion through private financing to create a Bitcoin vault.
This move has not only caused a stir in the financial world but has also sparked new discussions in the political arena.
Background of the Bitcoin Vault
TMTG's Bitcoin vault plan aims to raise funds by issuing $1.5 billion in common stock and $1 billion in zero-coupon convertible senior secured bonds.
This funding will be used to incorporate Bitcoin into the company's reserves to achieve financial stability and long-term value storage.
At the time of the announcement, the price of Bitcoin was approaching historical highs, and the largest annual digital asset event, 'Bitcoin 2025,' was taking place in Las Vegas, undoubtedly adding significant attention to TMTG's plan.

$BTC 一旦比特币在月底选择向下变盘，大的趋势方向是下跌趋势，下跌的就不是五六千点，至少是一万多点的下跌。下跌的目标价在 8.35万-8.8万。
如果比特币向上变盘，大的趋势方向是上涨趋势，上涨的的目标价在 15万附近。
根据主力资金流向和ETF机构的资金流向，比特币选择向下变盘开启下跌趋势的概率高。

#卡尔达诺稳定币提案 #卡尔达诺稳定币提案
卡尔达诺稳定币提案是指卡尔达诺创始人Charles Hoskinson提议将国库中价值1亿美元的ADA转换为卡尔达诺原生支持的稳定币USDM。这一提案具有多方面意义：
增强生态系统流动性：稳定币是DeFi发展的重要基础，提案旨在提升卡尔达诺网络中稳定币的流动性，有助于促进生态系统内的交易、做市等活动，提高网络的总锁定价值（TVL），推动去中心化金融业务发展。
创造经济收益与资金循环：该提案包含自给自足的经济模型，预计可实现5%-10%的年化收益。收益将用于从公开市场购买ADA并返还至国库，有助于减少流通中的ADA数量，扩大国库规模，为生态系统提供持续支持，形成资金的良性循环。
吸引投资机构：提案若实施，可能吸引a16z或Pantera Capital等大型风险投资机构加入卡尔达诺生态系统，为生态带来更多资金和资源，促进其进一步发展壮大。
提升竞争力：稳定币是区块链领域的重要资产类别，以太坊在稳定币TVL中占据领先地位。卡尔达诺通过增强稳定币相关布局，可提升在DeFi领域的竞争力，更好地与其他公链竞争，吸引更多开发者和用户。
探索隐私与合规平衡：卡尔达诺计划推出隐私稳定币，依托零知识证明等技术，在保障交易隐私的同时，通过“选择性披露和季节性冻结制度”满足监管要求，为链上金融隐私保护与合规发展提供新思路。

The recent price trend of $ADA shows a certain rebound momentum. After previously dipping to key support levels, buying interest is gradually warming up. Currently, market attention is focused on the upcoming stablecoin proposal and the Hydra expansion plan, which may inject new vitality into the Cardano ecosystem. From a technical perspective, if $ADA can firmly hold the support at $0.42 and successfully break through the resistance at $0.48, it is expected to open a mid-term upward channel. However, the overall market is still influenced by the broader market; it is recommended that investors closely monitor Bitcoin's movements and on-chain capital inflow, control risks, and gradually build positions for greater safety.

#以色列伊朗冲突 Attention Attention! Tonight these messages will ignite the Bitcoin market
1. US Regulatory Relaxation
The department in the US that regulates cryptocurrency is called the SEC. Previously, they often troubled crypto companies, such as suing Coinbase for allegedly selling 'unregistered securities' (which are cryptocurrencies). Now that Trump is in office, the SEC has changed leadership and the winds have shifted! Those lawsuits that weren't considered fraud have a high probability of being withdrawn, and Coinbase's lawsuit is close to being dropped. Moreover, companies may be allowed to boldly hold crypto assets in the future. Although new regulations won't come out immediately, as long as people believe that future regulation will be relaxed, they will be willing to buy Bitcoin, and the price will naturally rise; if policy advancement encounters difficulties, the price could dangle.
2. Wars and Tariffs Stirring Things Up
Recently, Israel is fighting Iran, and oil prices have directly risen by 9%, while gold prices have soared to $3,400/ounce, causing global stock markets to fall. At this time, if someone believes Bitcoin can hedge against risk, they will rush to buy and drive the price up; however, if panic escalates and everyone frantically sells assets to escape, Bitcoin will also drop. Additionally, the US plans to impose a 50% tariff on steel household appliances on June 23, which will affect global trade. If the economy worsens, fewer people will invest in Bitcoin, affecting the price as well.
3. Industry Movements Cannot Be Overlooked
If big players like MicroStrategy continue to buy Bitcoin, market demand will increase, and the price will definitely rise. Furthermore, if more and more stores accept Bitcoin for payments or if cross-border transfers can use Bitcoin, then Bitcoin will become more practical, attracting more buyers, and the price will naturally rise.
4. US Stock Market Fluctuations Are Also Key
If the US stock market is performing well, everyone will rush to buy stocks, and Bitcoin will be in less demand, causing the price to drop; if the US stock market is not doing well, Bitcoin will become a 'spare tire,' attracting funds, and the price will rise. Additionally, if bank interest rates increase, saving money in the bank becomes more profitable, making holding Bitcoin less appealing, and people will sell it; if interest rates drop, Bitcoin's attractiveness will rise again.

$BTC Bitcoin and Ethereum have recently displayed the same pattern, with three consecutive bearish candles on the daily chart indicating a downward correction. Before reaching the previous low, a rebound occurred, aligning with the bullish market trend. As long as the previous low is not broken, any brief pullback serves to build momentum for a future upward surge. However, the large volatility increases the market's tug-of-war, intensifying the pullback's strength, while the overall trend remains unchanged. In our intraday analysis of the market trend, our timely reversal to a bullish outlook has also been validated. The 4-hour chart for Bitcoin shows consecutive bearish candles, with a strong rebound occurring after touching the previous lower point. The weak market condition has been promptly broken, entering the weekend with a focus on smaller time frame patterns for participation. Due to the large volatility, both bulls and bears have opportunities, which further tests the entry points. We will continue to follow the trend, opting for low entries after pullbacks.
Bitcoin can be bought on Saturday in the range of 105200-104700, targeting around 106500; Ethereum can be bought in the range of 2530-2500, targeting around 2620.

The recent trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown similar patterns, with the daily chart showing three consecutive bearish candles pulling back. Before reaching the previous low, a rebound occurred, aligning with the bullish market trend. As long as the previous low is not broken, short-term pullbacks serve to build momentum for future upward movement. However, the volatility is large, increasing the tug-of-war effect and intensifying the pullback. The market trend has not changed; our intraday analysis of the market trend has validated our timely reversal to a bullish perspective. The 4-hour chart of Bitcoin shows consecutive bearish candles pulling down, with a strong rebound occurring when it approaches the previous lows. The weak market has been effectively broken, and as we enter the weekend, we should participate in smaller scale patterns without being too rigid. The volatility is significant, providing opportunities for both bulls and bears, which tests the precision of entry points. We still follow the trend without being constrained by specific bands; after the pullback, we can enter long at lower prices.
Bitcoin can be bought at 105200-104700 on Saturday, targeting around 106500; Ethereum can be bought at 2530-2500, targeting around 2620.

In London, China and the U.S. had a life-and-death talk for 48 hours, temporarily pressing the nuclear button of the trade war, but the fuse is still burning. August 10 is the line between life and death!
Temporary painkillers:
The U.S. has eased its grip on rare earths.
China has also released some pressure, allowing Shenzhen rare earth companies to export again.
The harshest move is the drastic tariff reduction! The U.S. punitive tariffs on China have been slashed from 145% to 30%, and China’s tariffs on the U.S. have dropped from 125% to 10%. This is definitely a significant concession from both sides!
BUT! A time bomb hangs overhead:
August 10 is the deadline! If no agreement is reached beforehand, all the reduced tariffs will “boom” back up, even harder! This is not an agreement at all; it’s merely a delayed explosion!
Surface ceasefire, secret stabbing:
The U.S. is being cunning: The ban on chips and aircraft equipment against China remains unchanged, while boasting that the court supports its 34% “standard” tariff. I see this as a delaying tactic; the big stick could come down at any time!
China is not backing down either: Exports to the U.S. plummeted by 34.5% in May, setting a record; the trade war indeed hurts. But we have the rare earth trump card, forcing the U.S. to come back to the negotiating table; this hand is solid!
The world is terrified:
The World Bank overnight lowered its global growth forecast for next year to a dismal 2.3%.
ECB President Lagarde urgently shouted: Continuing like this will put the global economy in ICU!
Countries like the EU, Japan, and Mexico, especially those in the aircraft business, are begging the U.S. “not to fire”! The market is truly scared to death!
Experts' outrageous remarks:
This is a “Syrian-style ceasefire”—fragile as a piece of paper! The deep-seated contradictions are not resolved at all, entirely depending on the leaders' moods; they can flip at any moment. I completely agree; this “peace” is too unreliable!
The market goes crazy:
Rare earth stocks soar, related companies in Shenzhen are like printing money.
The dollar strangely drops, exposing the market's underlying anxiety.
U.S. companies are schizophrenic: on one hand, they yell “long live the probation,” while on the other hand, they secretly stockpile goods to guard against an August explosion! This blatantly shows that no one believes this ceasefire can last!
My ultimate judgment:
Trump's tariff cannon is already loaded, just waiting to fire on August 10! Beijing holds the rare earth card, and when pushed to the limit, will retaliate fiercely.

From an overall perspective of $BTC , the pin-inserting market indicates a strong washout sentiment. The daily K-line has broken through the middle track, intending to form a double top structure. However, after breaking through the middle track, it quickly stopped falling and did not experience a deeper decline.
The four-hour line has shown signs of bottoming out, and after the price broke through the lower track, the technical indicators have shown signs of turning. However, the rebound is weak, and in the short term, it needs to maintain a low-level oscillation adjustment to digest the released momentum. The upper level of 106500, as a previous strong resistance level, was quickly broken through, but it did not convert into a strong support level. Thus, in the short term, there will be a key contest around this level. Meanwhile, the area of 105500-105300 is active in trading with a slightly higher buying ratio; if it breaks below this level, it will accelerate downward again.
In the morning, for Bitcoin, consider buying near the current price of 106000, targeting 107500;
For Ethereum, consider buying near 2650, targeting 2700.

#交易类型入门 First time dealing with virtual currency trading, feeling confused about various trading types? Don't worry, you'll understand after reading this!
• Spot Trading: Buy and sell virtual currencies at the current market price, exchanging money for coins directly. Earnings fluctuate with coin prices, trading is simple, and it's suitable for new traders seeking stability.
• Futures Trading: Predict future price trends of coins, go long when prices rise and short when they fall. It comes with leverage, which can amplify profits, but misjudgment can also magnify losses, making it riskier.
• Margin Trading: Borrow coins or money from the platform to trade, increasing capital to gain more profits. Requires rich experience, otherwise, it's easy to face liquidation.
New traders are advised to start with spot trading, accumulate experience, and then try other trading types. Always invest with caution!

#中心化与去中心化交易所 What is a centralized exchange (CEX)?
For example: Binance, OKX, Coinbase, HTX
• Operated by a company
• Users need to register an account, funds are held on the platform
• Supports various services such as fiat deposits, contracts, wealth management, etc.
Advantages:
✅ User-friendly interface, suitable for beginners
✅ Fast trading, good liquidity
✅ Customer support, fully featured
Disadvantages:
⚠️ Platform holds assets, must trust the platform
⚠️ Heavily influenced by regulations
⸻
🔹 What is a decentralized exchange (DEX)?
For example: Uniswap, PancakeSwap, dYdX
• No account registration required
• Users connect to the exchange using a wallet (like MetaMask)
• All operations are completed on-chain
Advantages:
✅ You control your asset private keys
✅ Completely anonymous, no KYC required
✅ Transactions are public, transparent, and censorship-resistant
Disadvantages:
⚠️ Complex operations, not beginner-friendly
⚠️ Higher transaction fees (especially on Ethereum)
⚠️ Easy to encounter fake tokens or phishing websites

#订单类型解析 Market Order
• Executed instantly at the current market price, suitable for quick transactions or avoiding price fluctuation risks.
• Commonly used in forex trading for "stop loss" or "cashing out".

Limit Order
• Set at a specific price, executed only when the market price reaches that level, suitable for locking in profits or stopping losses.
• Divided into "buy limit order" and "sell limit order".

Stop Loss Order
• Triggered when the price reaches the preset stop loss point, executed automatically to limit losses.
• Can be used in conjunction with market orders or limit orders.

Conditional Order
• Triggered by specific conditions, such as "execute after price breaks a certain level" or "close position after holding a long position".

All large-scale crypto bull markets share one commonality: they coincide with massive injections of liquidity into the global economy. These liquidity surges are not random events, but are initiated by central banks and fiscal authorities, pulling along one or more of the following macro leverages:
Interest rate cuts – Lowering borrowing costs to encourage debt-driven growth
Quantitative easing (QE) – Central banks purchasing government bonds to inject cash into the system
Forward guidance (commitment not to raise interest rates) – Influencing market sentiment by releasing expectations of low interest rates in the future
Lower reserve requirements – Increasing the amount of funds banks can lend
Easing capital regulations – Reducing constraints on institutions taking risks
Loan forbearance policies – Maintaining credit flow even in the face of defaults
Bank bailouts or backstops – Preventing systemic collapse and restoring confidence
Massive fiscal spending – Governments injecting funds directly into the real economy
Release of funds from the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) – Injecting cash from the Treasury's account into the market
Overseas QE and global liquidity – Actions by foreign central banks impacting the crypto market through capital flows
Emergency credit facilities – Temporary lending tools established during crises
These actions not only drive up traditional assets but also trigger what Jesse refers to as 'speculative frenzy.' Cryptocurrencies, being the highest-risk but potentially most rewarding assets in the system, often benefit the most.

The trading pair #交易对 is a fundamental concept in financial markets, especially widely used in areas such as foreign exchange, futures, and cryptocurrencies. Here are some key pieces of information about trading pairs:
Definition of a trading pair
A trading pair typically refers to the trading combination between two assets or currencies. In the foreign exchange market, trading pairs usually consist of one currency against another (e.g., EUR/USD, USD/JPY). In the cryptocurrency market, a trading pair refers to the trading between two cryptocurrencies (e.g., BTC/ETH).

#加密安全须知 最近加密货币盗窃事件频发，看得人心惊胆战！作为币圈老韭菜，必须给大家敲响警钟，安全意识一刻也不能放松！
首先，私钥是你的命根子！绝对不要截图、拍照，更不要轻易告诉任何人。想象一下，如果你的银行卡密码泄露了，会发生什么？私钥的重要性，比银行卡密码有过之而无不及！
其次，警惕钓鱼网站和诈骗短信。骗子们会伪装成交易所客服，或者发送虚假活动链接，诱导你输入账号密码。一定要仔细核对网址，不要轻易点击不明链接。
最后，开启二次验证（2FA）。这就像给你的账户加了一把锁，即使密码泄露，别人也无法轻易登录。币安App就提供了多种2FA方式，强烈建议大家开启。记住，保护好自己的资产，才能在币圈安心赚钱！

#特朗普马斯克分歧 is all a script!

The plot twists too quickly! In just a few hours, Musk suddenly softened, and Trump's response is even more incomprehensible.
When asked about his public falling out with Musk, Trump said, "Oh, it's fine." He also mentioned that things are progressing very smoothly, better than ever.
White House aides have arranged a call with Musk on Friday to facilitate a reconciliation, trying to ease the current tense situation. The White House did not immediately respond to requests for comment late Thursday on the possibility of easing tensions.
Earlier, Trump also met with the new German Chancellor Merz in the Oval Office to discuss the tense relations between the U.S. and Europe, while recalling an event he held for Musk last week, noting that his eyes were black at the time. "I asked him if he wanted to wear some makeup? But he said, 'No, I don't think so,' which was funny and nice," Trump said on Thursday. "He always wants to be himself."

$BTC Today is the first day of the college entrance examination. I wish all candidates good luck.
Last night's high-altitude strategy had no issues; it was just that the trend of Bitcoin was not satisfactory. Currently, it seems that Bitcoin faced too much pressure upon reaching the upper Bollinger Band and failed to break through, and is now starting to pull back, moving from the upper Bollinger Band to the middle band, with a downward trend.
However, today is the weekend, so the movements may not be as significant, but the overall high-altitude trend has already been established.
The morning operation suggestion is still to focus on short positions.
Operation Suggestion
Short Bitcoin between 104400 and 104900, targeting 102500. If it breaks through, continue to look down to 101000. If it doesn't break, consider going long.

$BTC Check out my latest transactions and see if you can surpass me!

#晒出你的交易 $BTC The more it falls, the more I buy; I am optimistic in the long term

#Circle扩大IPO规模 Circle上市首日炸裂，股价一度突破100美元！
USDC稳定币发行方Circle（CRCL）今日登陆纽交所，IPO定价仅31美元，盘中狂飙突破100美元，现报75.90美元，涨幅惊人。华尔街正式迎来加密新贵！
作为USDC稳定币的发行方，Circle不仅服务于加密市场，更被视为“链上美元”的基石。随着美国监管态度逐渐清晰、贝莱德等机构积极布局，Circle正在逐步构建加密世界与传统金融之间的桥梁。
当然，挑战也在加剧。Tether依旧占据稳定币市场主导地位，Circle能否持续扩大份额、提升营收透明度，将决定其是否配得上未来数百亿美元的估值。
无论最终是新一代“金融基础设施”，还是阶段性资金狂欢，Circle的上市已经打响了华尔街与链上金融融合的第一枪。