一次不亏一分不亏一生不亏

#XRPETF XRPETF
Will XRP Spot ETF Take Off?
The new SEC Chairman is about to take office
Over 70 crypto applications are lying in front
With the Senate officially confirming Paul Atkins
As the next SEC Chairman
This veteran who supports crypto is about to take office
This means that the attitude of U.S. regulators towards the crypto market
May face a significant shift
Currently, the SEC is reviewing 72 applications for various crypto ETFs
Industry insiders like Bloomberg's Eric Balchunas expect
Many of them are likely to be approved
The number of XRP spot ETF applications
Is more than any other altcoin
This undoubtedly greatly enhances the bullish case for XRP
Of course, it may take until autumn to see approval results
But these applications have already shown the remainder of this year

#特朗普暂停新关税 Trump has indeed suspended the new tariff policy for most countries, but there are exceptions for China. The specifics are as follows:
1. Suspension of tariffs for most countries: On April 9, Trump announced a 90-day suspension of new tariffs for over 70 countries and regions, excluding China, while increasing tariffs on China to 145%. This decision was made to negotiate trade with countries and regions around the world, with the grace period expiring in early July.
2. Tariff policy on China: Although tariffs on most countries have been suspended, Trump has raised tariffs on Chinese goods to 145%. He stated that he would not consider lowering tariffs on China unless China makes 'substantial concessions'. Additionally, the Trump administration is considering reducing tariffs on Chinese goods by more than 50%, with some products' rates potentially falling between 35% and 65%.
3. Domestic reaction: Trump's tariff policy has sparked widespread controversy in the United States. Twelve states have jointly sued the Trump administration, accusing it of overstepping its constitutional authority without congressional approval, threatening the stability of the U.S. economy. Furthermore, some major donors and economic experts have criticized this policy for its negative impact on the U.S. economy.
4. International reaction: European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen and other European leaders welcomed Trump's latest suspension of tariffs and announced a decision to postpone retaliatory tariffs on U.S. products.
In summary, Trump has indeed suspended the new tariff policy for most countries, but his tariff policy towards China remains under high pressure.

Currently, BTC is oscillating in the range of 94,000-95,000, with resistance at 96,400/97,500 above and support at 93,100-94,300 below. Major altcoins like ETH and SOL are also entering a wait-and-see state following the market.
Survival strategies for ordinary investors
Abandon the 'carving the boat to seek the sword' mentality: The model of becoming rich by holding altcoins in 2021 is extremely dangerous in the current environment; the high interest rate environment will continue to drain market liquidity.
Event-driven trading: Look for volatility opportunities in BTC before and after key macro data/policy nodes, and then capture the rebound using the 'BTC trend - altcoin lagging response' transmission chain.
The art of position management: Within the oscillation range of 94,000-96,000, gradually build positions close to support levels, and be cautious of false breakouts that lure in buyers when breaking resistance levels; if there are profits in the position, taking partial profits before major events is often more rational than gambling.

#以太坊的未来 Let's analyze ETH a bit
1. The actual transaction volume (158,000) can't even reach the estimated volume (590,000), indicating that retail investors are lying flat and the main forces are also waiting for an opportunity to strike. This kind of 'shrinking volume and downward trend' is the most vicious - either a sudden big bullish candle tricks traders, or it directly crashes through the floor price. Be careful, folks, or you might end up as dumpling filling!
2. The MACD death cross has locked the car door, with the DIF (35.14) being pressed down by the DEA (39.73), and the MACD bars are green and alarming (-9.19), clearly showing bearish control. Want to reverse your fate? Unless the DIF can rocket launch and break through the DEA to create a 'golden cross', this downward trend script can continue for another ten seasons!
3. The moving averages are inverted, with the 5-day line (690,000) being crushed by the 10-day line (769,000), and the two lines are splitting apart to grandma's house, a typical 'bear market beating situation'. The price can't even touch the MA5, thinking of catching the bottom? Be careful or your arm might get chopped off by the dog fund to feed the sharks!

$ETH From the current market perspective, last night broke the recent high again, and the trend that has been fluctuating for many days has once again shown signs of continuation, which is also what we have been mentioning that this fluctuation is just a buildup for upward movement. The target of 955 given before the market yesterday has also been successfully reached. Currently, although there are signs of stabilization above, the strength of the rebound is continuously weakening. Combined with the weekend break, there will inevitably be signs of a bearish correction in the short term!
From the four-hour perspective, the Bollinger Bands are turning down, and the contraction will further decline to reclaim. Currently, it is below the upper band, with significant resistance at high levels. The KDJ golden cross is about to form, and there will inevitably be a small correction before continuing to rise in the short term. The focus will be on fluctuations over the weekend, operating around the upper band for high positions and the middle band for low positions!
BTC: Short at 955-950, looking down to around 935-930.
ETH: Short at 1830-1800, looking down to around 1750-1700.

#TRUMP晚宴 The whales at the dinner lost badly!
TOP1 big shot is suspected to be it……
In simple terms:
1. 10 wealthy big shots hoarded 1.65 million TRUMP coins, now worth 20.49 million USD, but have lost a total of 1.26 million (the cost is not disclosed, it's estimated)!
2. Only 2 people bought the coins early, while the remaining 8 only bought coins from the exchange or directly on-chain after hearing about the dinner news (following the trend for sure 😅)
3. The wealthiest big shot (TOP1)'s wallet address is suspected to belong to Wintermute (a very famous market maker, possibly related to market manipulation)
4. The big shot ranked 9th, although hoarding the second most coins, bought late, thus suffering even greater losses according to the timing (hoarding coins also depends on timing!)
Be careful not to follow the trend blindly! Not recommended to buy recklessly!

#比特币市值排名 Cryptocurrency Trends: The TRUMP Dinner Celebration and BTC's Milestone Moment 📈
Recently, two major news stories in the cryptocurrency world have captured attention! On one side, the TRUMP token skyrocketed over 60% thanks to the hype from Trump's dinner, and on the other side, BTC successfully surpassed Google, firmly securing its position as the fifth largest asset in the world. What hidden meanings lie behind these two events, and what kind of impact will they have on the cryptocurrency market? Let's have a good chat!
$TRUMP Dinner: A Carefully Planned Capital Game 🎮
Trump's team announced that the first 220 $TRUMP holders would be invited to an exclusive dinner at his golf club. As soon as the news broke, the token's price took off. Essentially, this operation is a combination of the "celebrity effect + scarcity marketing." Imagine having dinner with the president, listening to him talk about cryptocurrency, and even the top 25 can get a VIP tour of the White House. This kind of social capital is extremely attractive to many and has successfully ignited speculative enthusiasm in the market.
$BTC Surpasses Google: The Coming of Age for Cryptocurrency 🌟
Bitcoin's market value surpassing Google is undoubtedly a significant moment in the history of cryptocurrency development! This means that $BTC is moving from the margins to the mainstream, gaining recognition from more and more institutions and investors.
The influx of institutions is a key factor, with financial giants like BlackRock and JPMorgan all entering the Bitcoin space, and MicroStrategy holding over 2 million Bitcoins. At the same time, the U.S. government plans to include Bitcoin in its strategic reserves, a signal that has greatly increased market confidence and also driven more capital inflow.

$TRUMP 🎭 Trump is not really here to be president; he is just here to create a 'crypto reality show'!
The more you watch, the more absurd it becomes—Trump becoming president might just be to build a 'super IP' and pave the way for his future cryptocurrency! As for governance? That's just a backdrop, part of the script.
This president is not playing politics; he is playing operations. Simply put, he treats the 'White House' as a 'live streaming room' and 'policies' as 'scripts', with every speech and controversy serving as a pretext for traffic monetization. The result not only sent $TRUMP soaring but also turned the political stage into an NFT exhibition.

From the 4-hour chart of Bitcoin, the battle between bulls and bears is intense. Although the overall trend is slightly bullish and the bullish strength is not exhausted, technical indicators show risk signals: MACD is decreasing in volume, and the red bars are shortening, indicating weakened bullish momentum; the K-line shows divergence at the top, with the price reaching a new high while the indicators do not strengthen in sync, which is a precursor to a trend reversal. Morning trading advice suggests focusing on a high short strategy, as price rebounds are stagnant, allowing for light short positions.
Bitcoin: 93800-94300 short, looking at 93000-92000.

Ethereum currently shows a combination of L3 and S signals, while still maintaining an L signal in the smart chart.
Currently, Ethereum has been consolidating around $1800 since yesterday, clearly observing the direction of Bitcoin.
Overall, Ethereum still has ample room for upward movement. Although it will take time, it continues to strive to return to the $2000 mark.
However, the recent high point around $1838 has already faced resistance twice. To smoothly enter the $2000 price range, a strong breakout at this position is necessary.
If Bitcoin experiences a slight pullback, Ethereum's first support level is expected to be at $1738. If it breaks below, we may see the second support level at $1693. However, at this point, it is more likely to see a rebound after touching the first support level, with a relatively low chance of falling to the second support.

#加密市场反弹 The bull market hasn't arrived yet, don't get too carried away! This wave of rebound, just go for it!
Now it's April 23, 2025, Bitcoin is at 93,000, and Ethereum is around 1,785.
Although the market looks fierce, don't get it wrong: this is not a bull market, it's a phase of rebound.
The key driving force behind this rebound is quite realistic—Trump's 90-day tariff suspension, giving the market a breather.
In the short term, this 'buffer period' can at least last until July, which means we can expect to see a secondary peak structure.
In simple terms, this is not a bull, it's a little spring.

#Metaplanet增持比特币 Metaplanet is once again increasing its Bitcoin holdings! This Tokyo-listed company has just announced the use of 1 billion yen (approximately 6.5 million USD) to purchase 97 BTC, bringing their Bitcoin treasury to 152 coins. The most aggressive part is their method of buying coins—directly using 90% of the company's cash reserves; this is no longer asset allocation, it's essentially an all-in bet. The reason given by the board is very Japanese: "to hedge against the risk of uncontrolled government bond yields," after all, the Bank of Japan is still printing money like crazy, and holding cash is indeed not as good as holding Bitcoin as hard currency.
The market voted with its feet, and after the news was released, the company's stock price surged 23% in a single day, marking the largest increase of the year. Their market value is now linked to 62% of the Bitcoin price, effectively making them the Japanese version of MicroStrategy. However, compared to their American counterparts, the Japanese are more aggressive—not only are they buying coins with full cash, but they also issued zero-interest convertible bonds, clearly aiming for an extreme operation of "debt-financed coin purchases." Analysts have calculated that as long as Bitcoin remains above $65,000, they can cover their annual operating costs just through the appreciation of their holdings.

In recent times, the bulls have truly defined what strong momentum means. Starting from the beginning of the week, the market has continuously risen, achieving a significant increase of over 10,000 points in just a little more than two days, moving from around 84,000 to the 94,000 range, creating a dreamlike stretch. From the current market perspective, the continued upward momentum of the bulls has vividly showcased the current trend, with a large daily candle stretching upward, moving averages presenting a bullish arrangement and continuing to diverge upward. The four consecutive bullish candles are certainly not the end of this rally. From the four-hour chart, we can see the Bollinger Bands opening sharply upward, with prices adhering to the upper band and continually rising. The volume of the bulls has not shown any significant reduction, and it is expected that the market will likely maintain a sideways consolidation during the day, with a stretching rhythm in the evening session. On the orange chart, we will naturally continue to maintain a bullish outlook.

Bitcoin: 92,600～93,000 bullish, looking up at 95,500.

#加密市场反弹 BTC
Overall, it has broken the weekly range oscillation, and in the end, the leading party has outperformed, breaking through 865 and hovering near the 875 pressure area. During the day, don't rush to chase the rise; patiently wait for the right entry opportunity.
After a strong surge in the morning, it is currently moving densely around 875. In March, as the end of the month approached, there was also a rise from around 840 to 887 before moving densely around 875, followed by a pullback of 6000-7000 points.
From the four-hour perspective, the resistance range around 883-888 remains effective. As long as the four-hour pullback does not break below 863-855, it will further test the support. Only after breaking through 888 can it be considered a genuine strengthening, at which point the upper target can further look towards the 895-905 area.
Therefore, before further testing, do not be eager to blindly chase the rise at this position.

Why has the US stock market been falling continuously?
​Due to the US-China trade war, many Chinese goods cannot enter the United States. Now that the dollar is starting to depreciate, these goods are entering the US at higher prices, which in turn raises the prices of domestic products. As domestic product prices rise, consumers' purchasing power for these products decreases, but businesses earn more. When businesses earn more, they continue to raise prices, which leads to a vicious cycle. However, inventory is limited, and when the inventory is depleted, prices will continue to rise. Inflation is an eternal topic in the United States, and this time inflation will last for a long time.
​​​​This could lead to layoffs, business closures, reduced income for the public, and a decline in living standards... it may even trigger social unrest!

$BTC BTC rebound still has two high points. This week is a rebound on Monday and Tuesday, so we will look for a pullback on Thursday and Friday. Early Thursday, there is the Federal Reserve's beige book, and we expect a downward spike here. Tomorrow, when going long, we need to be cautious to avoid being caught.
BTC is draining, we can only short BTC in sync, but we cannot go long on BTC for profit taking, because now BTC is leading ETH by one dimension and is significantly ahead of SOL, resulting in a gap in levels.
New resistance points above BTC: 89850/90050, 90333, 91333 nearby (strong resistance). All are short points.

Recently, I've heard that the TRON ETF might be approved. If this is true, that would be fantastic! TRON has developed quite well over the years, and the data from on-chain transactions can show that. Just talking about the recent times, TRON's on-chain transaction volume has been quite active, with some popular DeFi projects having considerable daily trading volumes. This indicates that TRON's ecosystem is already very vibrant.
If the ETF can indeed be approved, TRON will be able to attract more funds and investors from the traditional financial sector. This would certainly elevate TRON's ecosystem development to a new level, such as the circulation of stablecoins and the trading of NFTs, both of which would develop faster due to the influx of funds. Currently, the number of TRON users is also continuously increasing, which lays a solid foundation for the launch of the ETF.

When the news of the TRON ETF application was released, the entire Asian market went into a frenzy. Sun Yuchen is really playing with fire this time, directly submitting the world's first TRX spot ETF application to the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, clearly aiming to be the first to grab the opportunity before the Bitcoin ETF. The market's reaction was quite honest; within half an hour of the news breaking, TRX surged 18%, causing a collective uproar among all tokens in the TRON ecosystem.
But those in the know are sweating—it's true that the daily settlement volume of USDT on the TRON chain surpasses Visa, but the 70% centralized nodes and Sun Yuchen's one-man governance model perfectly align with the characteristics of securities that the SEC hates the most. Ironically, on the very day the application was submitted, an abnormal transfer of 290 million TRX suddenly appeared on the TRON chain, directly breaking through the critical support level of $0.14.
Insiders reveal that this application is essentially a high-stakes gamble. If Hong Kong opens this door, it would be equivalent to implicitly acknowledging that TRON is not a security, allowing Sun Yuchen to return to the US market with a powerful mandate. But do you think the regulatory bodies will buy this? Just look at those somewhat obscure short-selling contracts to know that the big players are betting on the outcome of this farce.

$ETH Bitcoin K-line pattern, the doji star indicates that the market's bullish power is balanced, the trend is unclear, the bottom formation suggests a short-term rebound, and the top formation indicates the presence of pullback pressure. The DIF and DEA lines are near the 0 axis, showing weak momentum. The changes in red and green columns indicate that the market momentum has weakened, lacking significant directional breakout.
Operation suggestion:
Bitcoin: 85700-85400, target 84700-84200, defense 86000
Altcoin: 1650-1620, target 1550-1500, defense 1670

Bitcoin has been hovering around $84,500 for 37,982,392,095 days, and the fear index has dropped below 30. I sincerely hope it can calm down for a couple of days and not cause any more trouble! The price of Bitcoin has been oscillating within the range of $83,000-$86,000 for many consecutive days, showing characteristics of high-level consolidation, with the market in a stage of increasing divergence between bulls and bears. Technical Formations: The daily level has formed a continuous five-day horizontal consolidation pattern, with the candlesticks mostly showing small bodies and obvious upper and lower shadows, indicating fierce competition between bulls and bears in this range. On the 4-hour chart, the MACD indicator is tending to flatten, the RSI indicator is oscillating in the neutral zone (50-55), and trading volume is gradually shrinking, typical characteristics of consolidation, indicating a potential change in trend is imminent.