趋势分析苏晓
公众号；趋势分析苏晓，币圈六年从业者，擅长现货周期操作，日内合约波段，日常分析市场行情走向，策略分享
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$ETH $$BTC Just shorted Ethereum, but the support is still strong, so I choose to take profits and stay safe. There are still opportunities to position during the day. The current market is quite tense, and many people lack direction and struggle with entry points! Friends who want to keep up with the trading ideas, follow along to catch every opportunity #币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币
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Several common trends in pie circle contract trading, you need to know
Several common trends in cryptocurrency contract trading
1. Upward trend: step-by-step rise, pullback is an opportunity
Features: Highs and lows gradually move up, moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern (MA50>MA100), and the Bollinger Bands open upward.
Strategy:
Go long when it pulls back to MA50 or trend line support, and set the stop loss at 2% below the previous low (for example, if BTC pulls back to 30,000, the stop loss is 29,500).
When the volume breaks through the previous high, chase the long position. The trading volume needs to increase by more than 50% for confirmation, and the stop loss should be set below the breakthrough level.
Risk control: Be wary of top divergences (prices reach a new high but RSI goes down), and reduce positions to prevent reversals when they occur.
2. Downward trend: spiral down, short selling when rebounding
1. Upward trend: step-by-step rise, pullback is an opportunity
Features: Highs and lows gradually move up, moving averages are arranged in a bullish pattern (MA50>MA100), and the Bollinger Bands open upward.
Strategy:
Go long when it pulls back to MA50 or trend line support, and set the stop loss at 2% below the previous low (for example, if BTC pulls back to 30,000, the stop loss is 29,500).
When the volume breaks through the previous high, chase the long position. The trading volume needs to increase by more than 50% for confirmation, and the stop loss should be set below the breakthrough level.
Risk control: Be wary of top divergences (prices reach a new high but RSI goes down), and reduce positions to prevent reversals when they occur.
2. Downward trend: spiral down, short selling when rebounding
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$ETH Ethereum Breaks Long-Term Downtrend — What Comes Next?
Ethereum (ETH) has broken through its long-term downtrend, piercing the black diagonal trend line that has constrained its price for months. Currently trading at $2,629, ETH is consolidating just below the critical resistance zone of $2,800–$2,850.
Despite the strong breakout signals, the current hesitation below this critical level suggests that traders are waiting for a decisive move. A successful breakout above $2,850 could open the door for the next step — but before that, all eyes remain on whether ETH can build enough momentum to turn resistance into support.
📈 The breakout is bullish — but the battle is not over yet. #美国加征关税 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC
Ethereum (ETH) has broken through its long-term downtrend, piercing the black diagonal trend line that has constrained its price for months. Currently trading at $2,629, ETH is consolidating just below the critical resistance zone of $2,800–$2,850.
Despite the strong breakout signals, the current hesitation below this critical level suggests that traders are waiting for a decisive move. A successful breakout above $2,850 could open the door for the next step — but before that, all eyes remain on whether ETH can build enough momentum to turn resistance into support.
📈 The breakout is bullish — but the battle is not over yet. #美国加征关税 #Strategy增持比特币 $BTC
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Why will those who achieve financial freedom through Bitcoin never be you?
The so-called 'Bitcoin wealth myth' is mostly just a joke.
Successful cases shared in friend circles are mostly fabricated or rare exceptions. Those who can really make tenfold returns never come out to tell stories.
Long-term believers have indeed made money, but the premise is: they were already wealthy.
They can withstand crashes, hold onto their investments for years, and not check prices daily because this money is insignificant to them. Ordinary people do not have such confidence. Do you dare to challenge your own humanity?
Want to turn your life around with Bitcoin? It's almost impossible.
This thing fluctuates too much, and it's too hard to maintain a stable mindset, making it unsuitable to risk your entire fortune. Trying to achieve a class leap through a sudden price surge is no different from buying a lottery ticket. Moreover, gains and losses originate from the same source; if you don't exit the market, all profits are just gains and losses. High-leverage contracts inevitably lead to liquidation, and constantly watching the market is too contrary to human nature. You say you have 2x leverage, but an elder in the group could suddenly get taught a lesson by a spike from the other side of the world after a nap.
Successful cases shared in friend circles are mostly fabricated or rare exceptions. Those who can really make tenfold returns never come out to tell stories.
Long-term believers have indeed made money, but the premise is: they were already wealthy.
They can withstand crashes, hold onto their investments for years, and not check prices daily because this money is insignificant to them. Ordinary people do not have such confidence. Do you dare to challenge your own humanity?
Want to turn your life around with Bitcoin? It's almost impossible.
This thing fluctuates too much, and it's too hard to maintain a stable mindset, making it unsuitable to risk your entire fortune. Trying to achieve a class leap through a sudden price surge is no different from buying a lottery ticket. Moreover, gains and losses originate from the same source; if you don't exit the market, all profits are just gains and losses. High-leverage contracts inevitably lead to liquidation, and constantly watching the market is too contrary to human nature. You say you have 2x leverage, but an elder in the group could suddenly get taught a lesson by a spike from the other side of the world after a nap.
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From getting rich to losing everything: the painful lesson of losing 5 million in the cryptocurrency contract
$BTC $ETH 1. First time entering the cryptocurrency circle: the temptation from spot to contract
In 2020, I entered the cryptocurrency world with a capital of 500,000 yuan. Thanks to the bull market of Bitcoin and DeFi, my assets once grew to 3 million yuan. At that time, I felt that I had mastered the laws of the market and even began to fantasize about "financial freedom."
Until one day, I saw someone in a cryptocurrency trading group showing off his contract earnings—10x leverage, making 1 million a day. At that moment, my mindset completely changed.
"Spot prices are rising too slowly, so contracts are the shortcut to getting rich."
2. The first liquidation: 200,000 yuan in tuition fees
In 2020, I entered the cryptocurrency world with a capital of 500,000 yuan. Thanks to the bull market of Bitcoin and DeFi, my assets once grew to 3 million yuan. At that time, I felt that I had mastered the laws of the market and even began to fantasize about "financial freedom."
Until one day, I saw someone in a cryptocurrency trading group showing off his contract earnings—10x leverage, making 1 million a day. At that moment, my mindset completely changed.
"Spot prices are rising too slowly, so contracts are the shortcut to getting rich."
2. The first liquidation: 200,000 yuan in tuition fees
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Playing contracts really requires rationality; you can't get too emotional. You must have stop-losses. Those with a gambler's mindset win a lot but lose a lot as well. Don't be influenced by the myth of becoming rich through contracts; after all, it's harder than winning the lottery 🤐#美国加征关税 #Strategy增持比特币 $ETH $BTC
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Is everyone losing money in the contract market? Who is actually making money from this? Today, I encountered four people who added me, and they are all in the red. Who is making money in the contract market? 😳 Or are they just treating contracts like gambling? They only care about buying up or down, ignoring everything else? $ETH $BTC #BTC走势分析 #BTC☀
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True or false, if it's true, what will happen? Can the crypto world take off? Haha😃$BTC $ETH #Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场反弹
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In the world of cryptocurrency contracts, 99.9% of players ultimately cannot escape the fate of liquidation. Want to know the reason? They all made three fatal mistakes.
I once saw an incredibly reckless gambler who went all in with 125x leverage, making an astonishing eight-digit profit in just seven days. However, on the morning of the eighth day, a single spike wiped him out completely.
Now, I am going to reveal a secret even more exciting than 'young models in clubs', teaching you how to use mathematical formulas to overcome the merciless harvesting machine that is the exchange.
Everyone always thinks that the higher the leverage, the better, but that's a huge mistake! While everyone brags about 100x leverage, true professional players silently apply the 'Death Ladder Principle': with a principal of under $10,000, 5x leverage is the limit; for under $50,000, 4x leverage is the best choice; and if the principal reaches over $100,000, 1x leverage privilege is beckoning you.
And that expert who rolled $1,000 into $500,000 but ended up crying and closing his account, do you know why? Because he ignored the 'Withdrawal Iron Rule': once profits exceed 200% of the principal, you must immediately withdraw your principal; this is not just ordinary advice, but the key to survival! After that, use the remaining profit to trade, and you will have a sense of control over the situation, a 'God's perspective', after all, that is money earned from the exchange!
Remember, candlestick charts may deceive you, but mathematics will not. My survival in the cryptocurrency world comes from the '2.5x Stop-Loss Rule': the amount for each stop-loss must never exceed 2% of the principal, and profits should cover 2.5 times the stop-loss, with no more than 15 trades per month.
If you want to steadily grow your $1,000 principal to $10,000, remember: when seemingly beautiful wealth fantasies can turn into nightmares, the truly skilled players are already using the money earned from the exchange to buy villas.
I once saw an incredibly reckless gambler who went all in with 125x leverage, making an astonishing eight-digit profit in just seven days. However, on the morning of the eighth day, a single spike wiped him out completely.
Now, I am going to reveal a secret even more exciting than 'young models in clubs', teaching you how to use mathematical formulas to overcome the merciless harvesting machine that is the exchange.
Everyone always thinks that the higher the leverage, the better, but that's a huge mistake! While everyone brags about 100x leverage, true professional players silently apply the 'Death Ladder Principle': with a principal of under $10,000, 5x leverage is the limit; for under $50,000, 4x leverage is the best choice; and if the principal reaches over $100,000, 1x leverage privilege is beckoning you.
And that expert who rolled $1,000 into $500,000 but ended up crying and closing his account, do you know why? Because he ignored the 'Withdrawal Iron Rule': once profits exceed 200% of the principal, you must immediately withdraw your principal; this is not just ordinary advice, but the key to survival! After that, use the remaining profit to trade, and you will have a sense of control over the situation, a 'God's perspective', after all, that is money earned from the exchange!
Remember, candlestick charts may deceive you, but mathematics will not. My survival in the cryptocurrency world comes from the '2.5x Stop-Loss Rule': the amount for each stop-loss must never exceed 2% of the principal, and profits should cover 2.5 times the stop-loss, with no more than 15 trades per month.
If you want to steadily grow your $1,000 principal to $10,000, remember: when seemingly beautiful wealth fantasies can turn into nightmares, the truly skilled players are already using the money earned from the exchange to buy villas.
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Analysis of Techniques for Generating Ten-Thousandfold Returns
Position management advice for everyone: for example, if you allocate 30,000 USDT for contracts, my suggestion is to divide it into three parts, with each part being 10,000 USDT. Use one part to open a position each time, with a fixed 10,000 USDT. Do not exceed 10 times leverage for Bitcoin and 5 times for altcoins. If you lose money, for instance, if you lose 1,000 USDT, you can add 1,000 USDT from outside. If you gain 1,000 USDT, withdraw that amount. Ensure that each time you open a position, you maintain a fixed position of 10,000 USDT. Continue this way until you have earned 60,000 USDT from your initial 30,000 USDT, and then increase each part's position to 20,000 USDT. The benefit is:
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From 50,000 to 500,000, using the simplest trading method for coins, currently achieving a win rate of 100%! A must-read for all new and old investors.
First, when making money, you must protect your profits. For example, if you buy a coin and it rises by more than 10%, you need to be careful. If it drops back to your purchase price, sell it immediately without hesitation. If you make a 20% profit, you need to set a rule for yourself that you cannot sell unless you have at least a 10% profit, unless you are certain this is a temporary high point; otherwise, don't sell easily. The same goes for if you make a 30% profit; you must at least protect 15% of your profit before selling. This way, even if you don't have the technical skills to judge high points, you can still let your profits grow on their own $BTC
Second, if you are losing money, you must decisively cut your losses. If you buy a coin and it loses 15% (you can set this number yourself, but 15% is a suitable reference), you need to quickly sell to cut your losses. This is to prevent yourself from falling deeper into losses. If it rises afterward, that's fine; it just means you chose the wrong entry point this time, which is a mistaken trade, and mistakes come with a price, which is the loss. Remember, every time you open a position, you must set a stop-loss; this is an essential condition for trading coins #Crypto
Second, if you are losing money, you must decisively cut your losses. If you buy a coin and it loses 15% (you can set this number yourself, but 15% is a suitable reference), you need to quickly sell to cut your losses. This is to prevent yourself from falling deeper into losses. If it rises afterward, that's fine; it just means you chose the wrong entry point this time, which is a mistaken trade, and mistakes come with a price, which is the loss. Remember, every time you open a position, you must set a stop-loss; this is an essential condition for trading coins #Crypto
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Crypto Hunting Logic: Who is pre-emptively planning your dreams of wealth?
In the stock market, this is called insider trading and market manipulation; in the crypto world, this is basic operation and daily rhythm—
The crypto world is really damn interesting:
The crypto world is very fair; it’s so fair that if you only invest in Bitcoin, as long as you dare to hold on without moving, you are a genius and a perpetual winner.
If your desire to make money and delusions grow, rushing into altcoins and contract markets, or the MEME hell, then the crypto world is your grave:
The project parties pump the prices in advance, MeMr conspiracy plans produce ten targets in a day, news linked to calls, there are already people lurking before the exchange lists, the airdrop list has already been divided internally before it is made public, filled with hidden agendas.
The crypto world is really damn interesting:
The crypto world is very fair; it’s so fair that if you only invest in Bitcoin, as long as you dare to hold on without moving, you are a genius and a perpetual winner.
If your desire to make money and delusions grow, rushing into altcoins and contract markets, or the MEME hell, then the crypto world is your grave:
The project parties pump the prices in advance, MeMr conspiracy plans produce ten targets in a day, news linked to calls, there are already people lurking before the exchange lists, the airdrop list has already been divided internally before it is made public, filled with hidden agendas.
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The Paradox of Comebackers: The poorer you are, the more you should play in the cryptocurrency world?
When traditional industries are monopolized by giants, and physical entrepreneurship is crushed by costs, even paid knowledge becomes a routine, the cryptocurrency world still leaves a door open for ordinary people. No degree, no connections, no problem; with just 1,000 yuan as capital, anyone can enter the game. Every day, stories of young people transforming from grassroots to millionaires are being told. Of course, high returns come with high risks, such as the FTX collapse and projects absconding with funds, but for those looking to make a comeback, this remains the track with the lowest trial-and-error costs and the highest profit potential.
Hoarding coins: a steady wealth code
In the cryptocurrency world, 9 out of 10 stories of sudden wealth are traps; **"Value Hoarding"** is the true skill to navigate bull and bear markets. Remember: only use spare money, heavily invest in Bitcoin, and you'll surpass 80% of investors.
Hoarding coins: a steady wealth code
In the cryptocurrency world, 9 out of 10 stories of sudden wealth are traps; **"Value Hoarding"** is the true skill to navigate bull and bear markets. Remember: only use spare money, heavily invest in Bitcoin, and you'll surpass 80% of investors.
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The essence of making money in the cryptocurrency world boils down to four gaps:
First, the information gap — what I know, you don't know yet;
Second, the cognitive gap — what I understand, you haven't grasped yet;
Third, the execution gap — we both understand, but I dare to act while you are still hesitating;
Fourth, the competition gap — we are both in the game, but I do it faster and better.
In the cryptocurrency world, the winner is often not the smartest
but the one who can see the direction clearly in chaos, maintain a steady mindset, and take decisive action.
The real opportunities belong to those who can continuously learn, adapt to the market, and dare to take action.
Therefore, recognize the gaps, improve yourself.
In the end, those who will always outperform the market are the ones with compounded cognition and execution.
First, the information gap — what I know, you don't know yet;
Second, the cognitive gap — what I understand, you haven't grasped yet;
Third, the execution gap — we both understand, but I dare to act while you are still hesitating;
Fourth, the competition gap — we are both in the game, but I do it faster and better.
In the cryptocurrency world, the winner is often not the smartest
but the one who can see the direction clearly in chaos, maintain a steady mindset, and take decisive action.
The real opportunities belong to those who can continuously learn, adapt to the market, and dare to take action.
Therefore, recognize the gaps, improve yourself.
In the end, those who will always outperform the market are the ones with compounded cognition and execution.
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From 60K to 1M, enlightenment is like a piece of paper!
From 60,000 yuan to 1 million yuan, everything begins with a sudden moment of enlightenment! The field of digital currency is full of unique charm, and being a part of it, each participant gambles with real money, where greed, anger, and ignorance in human nature can easily be magnified. Truly experienced investors are mostly willing to share their knowledge and experience, yet most beginners misunderstand this as having ulterior motives, believing that others are trying to deceive them out of their small amounts of money, which essentially reflects a difference in cognitive levels.
In digital currency investment, the knowledge and skills to be learned and mastered are vast. Without the guidance of experienced individuals, it may take years of learning and accumulation to gradually grow into a mature investor. The allure of digital currency also lies in the fact that whether a person is truly initiated or understands trading is often revealed the moment they speak, making it difficult to disguise and pass off as knowledgeable.
In digital currency investment, the knowledge and skills to be learned and mastered are vast. Without the guidance of experienced individuals, it may take years of learning and accumulation to gradually grow into a mature investor. The allure of digital currency also lies in the fact that whether a person is truly initiated or understands trading is often revealed the moment they speak, making it difficult to disguise and pass off as knowledgeable.
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Is achieving financial freedom from trading coins for 3 years what you expect?
Position management: Don't put all your eggs in one basket
Diversification strategy: Divide your money into 5 parts, only spend 1 part to buy coins each time (for example, if you have 100,000, only spend 20,000 at a time).
Stop-loss rule: If you buy wrong, admit it, sell if it drops by 10% (if you lose 2,000 on a 20,000 investment, stop-loss), at most make 5 mistakes (total loss of 10,000), don’t hold on stubbornly!
Take-profit rule: You can sell if you earn over 10%, don’t be greedy (for example, if it rises by 15%, take the profit).
Key to profit: Follow the trend, don’t go against it.
Upward trend: When the coin price rises, a pullback is an opportunity (for example, if it drops from 100 to 80, it might rise back to 120, consider buying low).
Diversification strategy: Divide your money into 5 parts, only spend 1 part to buy coins each time (for example, if you have 100,000, only spend 20,000 at a time).
Stop-loss rule: If you buy wrong, admit it, sell if it drops by 10% (if you lose 2,000 on a 20,000 investment, stop-loss), at most make 5 mistakes (total loss of 10,000), don’t hold on stubbornly!
Take-profit rule: You can sell if you earn over 10%, don’t be greedy (for example, if it rises by 15%, take the profit).
Key to profit: Follow the trend, don’t go against it.
Upward trend: When the coin price rises, a pullback is an opportunity (for example, if it drops from 100 to 80, it might rise back to 120, consider buying low).
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People Who Make Money in the Crypto Circle
First of all, they definitely are not contract players. None of the contract players I know are making money. Even if they made money at some stage, the final result is still a total loss. In fact, 90% of the essence of contracts is gambling, making money through probability. Only the remaining 10% can earn money through skill. Here is a piece of advice for those who want to recover losses or make money through contracts: so many people who lose money still stay in the crypto circle just to recover their losses. However, there is a harsh reality: most people cannot recover their losses and cannot make money, especially those who want to recover losses through contracts. They are simply delusional. The few who make money through contracts in the market are rare, and it is very few. Don’t fantasize about why you are not that person. To be honest, if you want to recover losses through contracts, you are really not cut out for it. No matter how much you lose, it’s the same. Even if you go bankrupt, it is impossible to recover losses through contracts. Therefore, I advise those who want to recover losses through contracts to quit contracts, or in other words, to quit gambling.
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Can cryptocurrency people really sleep?
The sleep quality of cryptocurrency people depends on three factors: position, leverage, and whether a stop loss is set.
First type: Full position in spot, Zen holding.
This type of person can theoretically sleep, but only in a bull market.
Assets of 1 million before bed, wake up to 1.2 million: sleeping soundly, dreaming of skyrocketing K-lines.
1 million before bed, wake up to 800,000: turn over and comfort myself with 'value investing, long-term holding'.
1 million before bed, wake up to 500,000: tossing and turning, starting to doubt life.
1 million before bed, wake up to 100,000: directly insomnia, frantically refreshing Twitter for bad news.
Second type: Contract leverage, life and death speed.
First type: Full position in spot, Zen holding.
This type of person can theoretically sleep, but only in a bull market.
Assets of 1 million before bed, wake up to 1.2 million: sleeping soundly, dreaming of skyrocketing K-lines.
1 million before bed, wake up to 800,000: turn over and comfort myself with 'value investing, long-term holding'.
1 million before bed, wake up to 500,000: tossing and turning, starting to doubt life.
1 million before bed, wake up to 100,000: directly insomnia, frantically refreshing Twitter for bad news.
Second type: Contract leverage, life and death speed.
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Do you remember the "3.12" in the crypto world five years ago? 【Five years ago today, a reminiscence of Bitcoin's "312 crash"!】
On March 12, 2020, the crypto community collectively lost sleep! Bitcoin halved in a day by 40%, dropping to $3,782 (heartbreaking price 💔), with market value shrinking by tens of billions of dollars, and everyone was liquidated to the point of questioning life!
Why did it crash?
1. The global pandemic triggered panic! Global stock markets plummeted, and even the crypto world sought cash for survival;
2. Leverage players were severely impacted, plummeting to the point of being unrecognizable;
3. Miners shut down and fled, selling coins to pay electricity bills…
What happened later?
1. Retail investors cut losses, institutions secretly bottom-fed (looking back, they made a fortune!);
2. Regulators frantically caught up, exchanges dared not act recklessly anymore;
3. Veteran investors realized: Don't go all in! Regular investments + lying flat is the way to go～
Who would have thought that two years later it surged to $69,000?! The sharper the drop, the crazier the rebound… 82977266606
On March 12, 2020, the crypto community collectively lost sleep! Bitcoin halved in a day by 40%, dropping to $3,782 (heartbreaking price 💔), with market value shrinking by tens of billions of dollars, and everyone was liquidated to the point of questioning life!
Why did it crash?
1. The global pandemic triggered panic! Global stock markets plummeted, and even the crypto world sought cash for survival;
2. Leverage players were severely impacted, plummeting to the point of being unrecognizable;
3. Miners shut down and fled, selling coins to pay electricity bills…
What happened later?
1. Retail investors cut losses, institutions secretly bottom-fed (looking back, they made a fortune!);
2. Regulators frantically caught up, exchanges dared not act recklessly anymore;
3. Veteran investors realized: Don't go all in! Regular investments + lying flat is the way to go～
Who would have thought that two years later it surged to $69,000?! The sharper the drop, the crazier the rebound… 82977266606
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