比特币老三

Everyone is saying that the US will cut the market in September. Why is there such a rumor?
The main reason is that on August 23, Fed Chairman Powell
He made a clear statement;
"The time has come to adjust monetary policy
The direction of progress is clear
The timing and speed of interest rate cuts depend on future data"
Among these words, there is no word that the interest rate will be cut in September. So why do people spread the rumor of a September interest rate cut? Because people want to see a rise!!! Everyone feels that life is too hard now
As long as the US dollar 💲 interest rate cuts, our life will be better.
Will it be better? Let's not talk about it for now. Let's talk about whether there will be a rate cut in September. From the current rhythm, it does not exist, because from the perspective of the US, he wants to raise interest rates to drive the price of (zg)'s core assets to a historical low, and then he can buy at the bottom when he cuts interest rates later. Once he can buy at the bottom, he can solve his $35 trillion debt problem! At this point, some people who have read it will definitely say that you are talking about conspiracy theories.
We need to verify everything we say. As you can see, this is not the first time that the United States has raised interest rates in its financial history. Whenever the United States raises interest rates, global finance and geopolitics will appear.
Continue to pay attention and continue to update

Now I will explain how to operate in today’s market in 15 minutes.
First, let's look at how the blue downward trend line has not yet broken through the current market, which is currently under trend pressure, bouncing back down to around 67800.
Currently, the market has been consolidating at a high position after a decline but has not broken through around 67500, and there is also trend line pressure above this range.
At this moment, it is not suitable for you to go short; I suggest considering going short again after seeing this bounce end near 68000.
For going long, you need to wait for a second pullback to 67500 before considering entering the market again.
Currently, this is just a 15-minute market.

🍾🍾🍾
The 1-hour Fibonacci expansion of Bitcoin shows that the current resistance level is at 1.618, and the market has failed to test this level many times. At 10 pm on October 15, it hit 1.618 and then pulled back. Yesterday, it broke through the previous high to 68,400, which also quickly recovered to below 1.618. Today, it went sideways and did not break through the current resistance level. So at this position, can we assume that 68,400 is a false breakthrough, or the market rises and falls back to 1.618 and stabilizes, and we chase it again to see 2.382, which is also possible. #BTC要挑战7W大关了吗？ $BTC $ETH $BNB

10.11, will the detonation point be given in the future?
The market broke through 60k yesterday and quickly ushered in a wave of rebound.
The key is that this wave of decline has already fallen below the previous low point of 59.8k
Whether the current daily level market can stabilize the value of 0.5.
After the market appeared a special K-line form on October 7 and was quite low in front, the next step is to go back and quickly test the trend line starting from 48.8k.
We can try to buy at this position. After all, the trend line support, 0.382 support, and neckline support, even if you can't get long-term profits, but short-term profits are no problem!
Don't panic, brothers, the lower the point, the more you should consider buying.
For spot investors, I suggest you buy below 2300 and buy below 60000! $BTC $ETH $BNB

Interpretation of the weekend night market $BTC $ETH $BNB #美联储11月降息预期升温
The 1-hour market first considers the current environment and background, which is a bullish trend.
Although the market has been falling for two days over the weekend, it is not ruled out that it is currently in the stage of accumulation or distribution. According to the current market trend, although the ideal long position is around 64600, it may not give you such an opportunity.
We are currently in the trial stage. After all, after several declines in 1 hour, this position has received extreme support and cannot be broken!

9.26 morning member orders
BTC profit 1700 points, up 2.7%

ETH profit 78 points, up 3.11%

BNB profit 16 points, up 2.67%

DOGE profit 0.00793, up 7.34%

ORDI profit 2.63, up 7.37%

Whose members are so happy, they directly give 5 orders early in the morning, and each order doubles the position at least 2 times! ! ! Others have 1-2 orders a day, I directly throw out 5 orders a day, this is TM strength, I have been emphasizing low long in recent videos.
There were many opportunities to short in the middle, but I didn't do it. I waited for today.
#本周美国将公布PCE、GDP数据 $BTC $ETH $BNB

9.19.23; 29-minute BTC market analysis
Daily level
It has strongly broken through the current stage of the downward trend line. The current focus is the high point of 65.1K ahead. This wave can strongly break through the resistance level ahead. In the future, we will only focus on the consolidation channel at the daily level. Originally, this wave of downward channel is also a bull flag pattern.
BTC 4-hour level
Maintaining in the rising channel, the market is in a strong upward stage. It is recommended not to try short shorts at the moment. It is better to focus on the low-multiple market and take the band profit. #美联储宣布降息50个基点 $BTC $ETH $BNB

$2024/9/16/16/30#加密市场急跌 #ETHBTC汇率新低
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
Figure 1 and Figure 2
BTC 4-hour and 1-hour long order entry points, whether you are waiting for the bottom of the 4-hour channel or near the 1-hour trend line, this order should be entered into a long order. (This is all mentioned in the video), today's order is also in a reversal state, although it is not particularly excellent, but I also said that it is a short-term long state, so it is safe to enter the bag first!
Figure 3 and Figure 4
ETH has fallen really violently recently, rising slowly and falling rapidly. Yesterday's decline was 170 points, and we also made a profit of nearly 130 points.
Today's 1-hour and 4-hour market rose to 0.618-0.66. And according to the BTC trend, the retracement is not broken, which is the reason for going long! (Also mentioned in the video)
For short-term long orders, we need to pay attention to the approximate profit during the rapid decline.
If you don't covet the market, you will be the one who makes the profit in the end!

On the evening of the 12th, I have been showing that I am still bullish. Today, I have completely pocketed nearly 5,000 points.
At 2:35 pm on the 14th, I gave a short-term trading strategy! Go and study it yourself

9.12 Now let's talk about the market at 11 o'clock in the evening.
1. Figure 1 From the daily structure, the current market is still in the rising range, and MACD remains in the bottom golden cross pattern
2. Figure 3 Such a small-level retracement is normal. Today's 15-minute market has several double tops. After breaking the neckline, it rebounded strongly and inserted a pin market. There are more buying orders below the low point of the game range between long and short parties at 57k or 56k! The upper point touched 58.4k.
3. Figure 2.
The 1-hour market is currently falling, so the lower trading range has not changed. It has not fallen below 57.3k. Since you did not intervene in this wave of high altitude, you can only wait for low long.
Once the position of 56k below is broken, this wave of bullish rising sentiment will melt, so we can wait for the market to come to the trading range and make low long choices.

At present, the US stock market is also pulling up, and the rise is also blocked by 0.618-0.66.

If the US easily cuts interest rates in September and gives in, the fatal problem of the US dollar will be exposed. It turns out that the god of the US dollar has a blood bar and can be defeated. Then the credit of the US dollar will be seriously damaged and its hegemonic status will be greatly damaged. So will the US cut interest rates at this time? It should not be said that we can all see clearly. They can't see the visible hands in our country? Of course, they see it more thoroughly than us. So in this case, we can prepare for a rainy day and build a firewall. What is the concept of this firewall? The US hegemony is built on the basis of the US dollar. Behind the US dollar is a Swift global payment system. Like many BRICS countries now, they are afraid that the collapse of the US talks will lead to a crisis in the US dollar. We can now bring the BRICS countries together to build this firewall.
The big house that wants crude oil, plus the recent dog big households and Persia have already made secret signals to join the BRICS organization. Once they come in, the world's largest crude oil producing areas will be taken by the BRICS organization. In addition, the BRICS also includes copper, aluminum, alchemy and iron ore, which are resource producing countries such as Brazil. Another important point is our productivity. We need to know why we use the US dollar to come up with this Swift global payment system. Isn't it the US dollar and crude oil that are linked behind it? For countries around the world, some countries definitely don't like the US dollar, but they have no choice but to use oil as long as the economy develops upward. If you want to buy oil, you have to use US dollars. So now look at these three points of the BRICS organization. If you combine them together. Can we issue a new payment system to deal with the upcoming closure of the US market? I believe everyone's answer is the same. Yes.
Then under this payment system, who is most likely to become the mainstream currency, isn't it our RMB? Everything is prepared, and if it is not prepared, it will be abandoned. We should not pay too much attention to the US's deceptive expectation management. It doesn't matter whether it is a rate cut or not. We just need to make a plan for when the US does not lower the interest rate now! No matter how long the US wants to keep raising interest rates, we will stick with them to the end, and take advantage of the opportunity to promote the implementation of the global de-dollarization strategy step by step.

The US is raising interest rates now. After lowering the interest rate to 5.5%, the first problem is the collapse of US banks. Let's take an example. The current interest rate for bank deposits in the US is 5%, and the interest rate for loans is 7%. If there are more depositors and fewer lenders, the bank's profits will decrease. Once they decrease, the bank will collapse. If it is not handled properly, it will be a financial crisis. The second point is the employment problem of the US. The US says every day that we want to develop the manufacturing industry. Because only the manufacturing industry can take on more jobs, but now your deposit interest rate is above 5%, which has led to the US financial market being in a high-level rising stage. In this case, companies are willing to invest their money in the manufacturing industry. The answer is no. Because the manufacturing industry earns hard money. The money earned by any tossing in the financial market is more than the hard work of the manufacturing industry in a year. In this environment, the manufacturing industry is unwilling to expand investment, and there is a major problem with US employment! The third point is the problem of 35 trillion US dollars in US debt. Now the entire interest rate is at a high level, so the corresponding debt interest you have to repay will also rise. Now it has soared to 1.6 trillion. The US government's fiscal revenue is only 5 trillion dollars a year, and 1/3 of the revenue each year is used to fill this debt. Do you think the US government is under great pressure now? If these three problems are not handled properly, the US will collapse. So everyone may wonder why the US does not cut interest rates when there are so many problems? That's because the US dollar was invincible in the past. It has never failed to harvest at a fixed point. In the impression of the world, the US dollar is an unbeatable god!

So at this point, do you think the Americans will cut interest rates? I believe that after listening to these ideas, everyone will come to the same conclusion as me that they will not cut interest rates. Since they will not cut interest rates and we can still bear it, what will the Americans do? Will they not increase their bargaining chips? Where are these bargaining chips? Isn’t it on his lackeys?

The little Japan has raised interest rates twice in a row this year. One was in March and the other was in July. The current interest rate has been raised to 0.25%. The main impact of Japan’s interest rate hike is ASEAN. One of the largest sources of foreign investment in ASEAN is the Japanese yen. Once Japan raises interest rates, the Japanese yen will definitely flow back from ASEAN to Japan.

Our largest trading partner is ASEAN. Once ASEAN’s economy starts to decline and we are now in a state of liquidity depletion, isn’t this aimed at our family? Increase the bargaining chips to pull our family to pieces. Some listeners may think this is wrong! The current interest rate of the little Japan has only been raised to 0.25%, such a low interest rate? How can you use ASEAN to blow us up? We need to know why Yasuda made it clear that he would not participate in the next prime minister election this time, because from the perspective of the old Americans, what they need is someone to allow Japan to continue to raise interest rates in the future. If Yasuda is not able to do it, then he can only step down, and another prime minister will come up. If he can continue to raise interest rates in the future, when he directly raises the interest rate to more than 3%, will the funds from ASEAN flow back to Japan on a large scale? Of course! As Japan's interest rates get higher and higher, the funds flowing out of ASEAN will increase. Isn't it going to have a greater impact on our economy? If you understand the current financial war, you will find that we are indeed at a disadvantage in the financial war with the old Americans. But we must know that any strength will have backlash.

Too many restrictions
After listening to these two cases, everyone should be able to feel that if the US interest rate hike does not work, it will inevitably be accompanied by a geopolitical war. Then let's look at the recent US interest rate hike. It happened in March 2022. When the interest rate was raised, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict broke out. The US felt that it was not enough and began to secretly command Israel
Then the fire was supplied to the entire Middle East. As long as the war situation continues to escalate, the world's funds will regard the US area as a natural safe haven. The US wants to siphon the world's dollars by raising interest rates? Can't the plan be realized?
So now that we can understand the US interest rate hike, let's look at who the US interest rate hike target is this time? Isn't it ZG
(some traditional private investment institutions) These investment institutions, seeing the current interest rate hike in the US, must be thinking of ways to invest in the US. The corporate port has no money to invest
Aren't there problems with employment, income, and consumption? Then when it is transmitted to us individuals, isn't it just the two words "uncomfortable"? We were beaten like this by the Americans. Our response plan is reform. The investment port of enterprises mainly comes from the private sector. So now we let a tangible hand, that is, a visible hand, control this market. For example, we recently launched a large fund phase III. Isn’t the main investor behind this large fund phase III ICBC? Isn’t ICBC the visible hand? Invest money in the enterprise port. Then once the enterprise port has money, can it expand production, drive employment, drive income and drive consumption? Can’t we withstand it in many strategic industries? Once we can withstand it, there will be no systemic risks. But here we must know that there are still many industries that are not strategic. Everyone feels that liquidity is extremely uncomfortable. Since we can withstand it, the Americans want to increase the instability of the surrounding situation by raising interest rates. It is a double set of plans. If it is not realized, what will the Americans do? Will they cut interest rates? Once they cut interest rates. A large amount of US dollars in the United States will return to various countries. The problem of liquidity exhaustion on our side can be solved directly. Then, isn’t the interest rate hike by the Americans just a lonely increase?

After listening to these two cases, everyone should be able to feel that if the US interest rate hike does not work, it will inevitably be accompanied by a geopolitical war. Then WM will look at the recent US interest rate hike. It happened in March 2022. When the interest rate was raised, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict broke out. The US felt that it was not enough and began to secretly command Israel. Then the fire was supplied to the entire Middle East. As long as the war situation continues to escalate, the world's funds will regard the US area as a natural safe haven. The US wants to siphon the world's dollars by raising interest rates? Can't the plan be realized? Since WM can understand the US interest rate hike, let's take a look at who the target of the US interest rate hike this time is? Isn't it ZG? In order to blow up WM, he really did everything he could. First, he gave it to the Taiwan Army, and then instigated the Philippine maids to stir up trouble in the southern sea, and also asked the agents of Nanyuan to quickly expand the continental shelf eastward. These three things are all creating instability around WM. Think about it, are foreign capital still willing to come in? Wm, if you want to invest in a country, when there is a war around this country, do you dare to invest your money? I believe everyone's common answer is no! This is a plan that the United States wants to pull out, and WM uses.
Now that we know that the US interest rate hike is a conspiracy for ZG, will it be passive afterwards? In fact, we are facing this round of financial war with the United States internally. We are also constantly reforming ourselves. Let me give you an example. WM's current economic experience is very difficult. What is the main reason? It is because the liquidity in the market is exhausted.
First of all, we must know the underlying engine of the economy. First, there must be investment from enterprises to drive employment. Once there is employment, it means there is income. Only after there is income can there be consumption. This is a sophisticated underlying formula. So the United States is now raising interest rates, and then creating unstable factors around the home, which has led to the exhaustion of liquidity on our side. The manifestation of this liquidity exhaustion is mainly at the enterprise port. If an enterprise wants to expand and increase production, you must have investment behind you. Isn’t this investment nothing more than VC plus PE?
(Some traditional private investment institutions)

接上回

Back in the 1980s, the US raised interest rates. Now the US interest rate is only about 5.5%, but the highest interest rate at that time could be raised to more than 10%.
What was the purpose of such a sharp increase? Wasn't it to completely blow up Latin America in the 1980s?
At that time, the economy of Latin America was booming and soaring. Many Latin American countries had already reached the sequence of middle-income countries. Wouldn't they become developed countries if they could go up one step further?
So at this time, the US felt that the time was almost right. I want to blow you up~ I can't let you become a developed country. What was the result? The interest rate started to rise, and a problem arose when the interest rate was raised. When these Latin American countries saw that you, the US, were raising interest rates, they followed you to add drama to us. In this way, I can keep my domestic assets, but at this time
The US secretly hooked up with John Liu, wouldn't we just fight a Falklands War? So you can see that the Falklands War broke out in 1982. Once a war breaks out in Latin America, geopolitical turmoil begins. The US dollar is raising interest rates again, and risk-free assets of the US dollar are rising continuously. At this time, it will become a natural safe haven. Therefore, under the dual rhythm of interest rate hikes and geopolitical turmoil, a large amount of funds have been madly tilted from Latin America to the United States, and the economic highlight of Latin America has remained in the 1980s. If you think this is just a case, we can still regard it as a coincidence, but what we are actually looking at now is that in 1999, the United States launched the Kosovo War, because the euro was created at that time, and everyone unanimously expected that it would challenge the hegemony of the US dollar. When the euro collapsed to the Kosovo area, the United States secretly blamed Kosovo for the outbreak, and the United States immediately raised interest rates, and the European debt crisis broke out completely. The euro's ability to challenge the hegemony of the US dollar has thus become a tragedy in history.

昨日行情分析出多投信号，是不是爆赚1800

8.30
The short position has been entered in today's market.

The short position signal will be given at 23.30 in the evening, and enter the market directly!

8.29 13.47
Figure 1/5-minute market starts to follow the trend K-line, no overlapping interval

Figure 2/15-minute market follows a period of overlapping K-lines, combined with the 5-minute market, the trend K-line is currently continuing

Figure 3/1-hour market is continuing the trend K-line trend, waiting to break through the suppression interval ahead
#比特币行情走势分析 #比特币行情分析 #比特币行情 #比特币交易 #美联储何时降息？

The price of Bitcoin remains in a narrow range of fluctuations for 15 minutes.
The only advantage at present is that the overall bottom continues to rise.
However, the short trend has not been eliminated, and the real stop loss line has not appeared. So at this time, you either make aggressive orders or wait for the market to move out and participate again! ! ! ＄BTC
#Telegram创始人被捕 #美国CPI数据连续第4个月回落 #行情速览

4h level structure

We say that the pie has built a 1h central structure near 27100-28300, so there are other possibilities for our judgment of the 4h structure. Recently, we have been struggling with whether it is an extension of the 4h rise ahead or whether we will continue to follow our original plan. The idea is to go down for 4h. At present, we are still operating according to our original ideas.

Next, we will see whether this 4-hour move ends near 27000-26600, or whether it falls below 27000 and accelerates downward, ending at 26000 or below.

In terms of structure and time, the current 4h decline is satisfactory. It is also possible to end this 4h decline near 27000-26600. At that time, the fifth 4h structure will be taken, and the top may go to 29000. Or above.

From the perspective of the end of the daily rebound and the long-term sideways fluctuation at high levels, it is more perfect to end at 26,000 or below, and it is more in line with our expectations of the daily structure. At that time, it is possible to directly enter a daily The line is in a downward structure.