水一瓢

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, Bitcoin closed with an increase of 2.22%. After forming a structure, it rebounded after three days of adjustment. For the 4-hour and 6-hour charts to form a structure, there must first be a rebound (indicating a slowdown). Of course, if this is not a pullback but a continuation upwards above 97895, it indicates that the upward cycle that started on April 9 is ongoing, and the adjustment has not yet come. If it continues upwards and the 4-hour close is above 97330, there will be further stagnation; if the 6-hour close is above 97402, there will also be stagnation, with the possibility of forming a structure again. For now, we will wait to see how the market moves before deciding on our actions.
Trading requires predictions, but predictions are not always correct. A high win rate does not necessarily indicate success; if there are no mistakes, the win rate issue does not come into play. Predictions cannot be 100% accurate, nor is it necessary for them to be. If the prediction is correct, trade based on that prediction; if the prediction is incorrect, use rules to constrain and resolve the situation.

BTC明日操作策略
今早大饼收盘跌幅1.65%，目前是有一定回调，但主要是看有没跌破趋势，结构是为了辅助和服务于趋势的，所以叫做趋势为王结构修边。如果结构不能引发趋势的改变，结构没有意义。如果结构引发了趋势的改变，结构的使命就已经完成了，趋势将接管接下来的行情，与结构再无关系。结构的作用是24个周期，6小时线从结构形成到今早收盘是8个周期，怎么操作看3天后行情怎么走？

BTC明日操作策略
今早大饼收盘涨幅0.41%,收盘时6小时线形成结构，按照规则是要减仓，如果结构有效的话会有6天时间的调整，不管这里是从4月9号开启的一浪上升还是B浪反弹，大概率都会有回调的可能性，关键是结构形成了，按照规则就该减仓！
事物总是朝着阻力最小的方向发展，波动是能耗最少的一种方式，就像跌的多了有反弹一样，涨的多了会有调整。因为这一次底部上来突破趋势所消耗的做多能量过大，经过适当的调整有利于后市进一步的上涨。

BTC Tomorrow's Operational Strategy
This morning, Bitcoin closed with an increase of 2.46%. While rising, a structure has formed on the four-hour line, and the six-hour line shows signs of stagnation. Currently, it is at a certain distance from the trend. If the four-hour line structure is valid, the probability of breaking the trend after four days of adjustment is low. However, if the six-hour line forms a structure, there is a high probability of breaking the trend after six days of adjustment, which requires reducing positions. For now, we should keep a close eye on the situation of the six-hour line!
Understanding Xu Xiaoming's Concepts of Stagnation and Structure
Stagnation and structure formation aim to quantify the divergence between peaks and troughs, which reflects a slowdown in speed and a weakening of momentum. From a natural law perspective, a reversal requires a regressive process, much like a moving car needing to decelerate before reversing. Structure formation is about identifying this turning point, while stagnation is the preparatory phase.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, the closing price of Bitcoin dropped by 0.79%, which is a small decline. Currently, it seems that the high of 9 has not failed yet. The adjustment and sideways movement is a strong performance. As for the operation, there is no structure; without a standard for operation above the trend, it is still best to hold onto your coins!
Xu Xiaoming's Thoughts on Building a Systematic Trading Approach
What should we pursue most in trading? Systematic trading. — Build your own operating system.
Whether considering a single transaction or a specific situation, the correct method does not necessarily yield the best results, and incorrect methods may lead to occasional victories or even brilliance. However, in the long run and in totality, success must come from adhering to correct habits and methods, as well as continuous refinement of character.
Correct analysis and prediction are only the first step towards successful investment. The foundation of successful investment requires rigorous risk management (position management and stop-loss management) and meticulous self-psychological and emotional control (remaining unflustered in honor or disgrace, calm in the face of change). Psychological control comes first, risk management second, and the importance of analytical skills is the least.

BTC明日操作策略
今早大饼收盘95011，涨幅1.34%，昨天序列高9，其有效性可以是前一个周期或后一个周期，所以今天收盘可以判定是短期高点，有效的话应该会有调整，但调整不一定就是下跌，也有可能是横盘滞涨，代表市场其实很强势，具体看接下来市场怎么走，失效的量化标准是日线收盘高于95011,操作方面目前因为没有结构，在趋势之上继续持币待涨！
这里究竟是B浪反弹还是反转的一浪上升，目前还不确定，走一步看一步，依据操作规则操作即可！
徐小明关于数字化定量分析的交易思想
克服人性弱点的量化哲学，成功的交易需要克服人性的弱点，如贪婪和恐惧。他主张用冷静的数字标准战胜这些情绪，强调知行合一与铁的纪律，通过系统化方法避免主观判断的偏差。

This morning, the pancake closed down 0.93%, with a series high of 9. However, the effect of the bearish candle is average. The series high of 9 may be a short-term peak for the previous and next cycles. The series is not regular and lacks structure. There is still no operation above the trend!
Xu Xiaoming's trading philosophy emphasizes that the trend is king and the structure is refined.
I greatly admire Steve Jobs' minimalist philosophy because minimalism is difficult to surpass. The trend is very reliable; strategies based on the trend have no issues in direction. However, there are so many people studying trends in the market, yet the successful ones are few. A deeper reflection on the reasons reveals that it is not a problem with the trend, but rather a problem with human nature. While the trend is reliable, the success rate is low. Human nature finds it challenging to remain consistent in an environment with a low success rate.
The trend has a low win rate, but when it wins, it wins big. Overall, it is profitable. In simpler terms, it means small losses and big gains, with many losing trades but each losing trade being small. When a trend emerges, the profits can be substantial, capturing a large portion of the market's movement. In contrast, most investors experience the opposite: small gains and large losses, earning little when they profit, and a single loss wipes out all previous profits. This also indirectly confirms the reliability of the trend, which tends to counter the losses of most people. However, it is challenging to maintain a trend, as trends are too broad and do not consider the weaknesses of human nature.
The oscillation strategy belongs to left-side trading, which greatly compensates for the shortcomings of right-side trading. Only the oscillation strategy can achieve this. Therefore, my trading philosophy is designed to be extremely simple: one trend strategy combined with one oscillation strategy. Adding one more is excessive, but removing one is insufficient. It is also essential to distinguish between primary and secondary strategies, so that the trend as king structure is refined, with the trend at a higher level than the structure.
The trend is right-side trading, while the structure is left-side trading. In trading philosophy, having one right-side trading combined with one left-side trading is sufficient; this is already minimalism.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, the closing price of Bitcoin formed a doji, indicating that there is currently a divergence between the bulls and bears. The daily sequence is high at 9, pay attention to the closing situation at 8 AM tomorrow.
The nine-turn sequence works better only in secondary reverse waves or oscillations, but if it enters a primary positive wave (one-sided rise), the effect is not good. The nine-turn is more suitable for oscillating markets or weak markets, and is not applicable during sharp declines in bear markets or in strong bull markets. That is: ① In a rising trend, look for low 9; ② In a falling trend, look for high 9; ③ Against the trend, look for divergence 9; ④ The killer technique of the nine-turn sequence in oscillating markets. If the market is in an upward cycle, the low 9 during pullbacks is effective, while the high 9 often fails. If the market is in a downward cycle, the high 9 during rebounds is effective, while the low 9 is not useful. When rising, low 9 can help the rise; when falling, high 9 can help the fall; when it rises, high 9 is needed to end the rebound and show a divergence resonance; when it declines, the decline ends with low 9, showing a divergence resonance. Of course, the sequence is not a rule and is generally not used alone. It should be used in conjunction with structure.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, the closing price of Bitcoin rose by 0.7%. Today's series high is 8, and if it continues to rise tomorrow, there will be a series high of 9, which will create a small peak. However, the sequence is not regular, so pay attention to whether there is structure on the 4-hour chart. If the level is not significant, there is a high probability it will dull and disappear. Without structure, there will be no trading!
Xu Xiaoming established the five key principles of systematic trading: the principle of openness.
If you are losing in the market, then it is certain that there are some shortcomings in your trading system. Therefore, your system should be open, always ready to accept the correct and correct the errors.
Because times are changing, market conditions are also changing, and the methods and logic of trading are changing as well. Trading systems cannot be rigid; they need to continually inject enthusiasm and vitality.
You need to open your eyes to observe more, perk up your ears to listen more, and more importantly, open your mind to communicate with others. You also need to periodically take a break, gather some data, and reflect on whether your trading system still adapts to the current market.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
Bitcoin closed this morning with a gain of 0.31%. In terms of operation, it is currently above the trend without any structure, so we will continue to hold and wait. Today's sequence high is 7, and we should pay attention to the high point situation the day after tomorrow.

Xu Xiaoming's Five Principles of System Trading: Discipline Principle

As an investor in the capital market, one must first develop good behavioral habits and form good trading habits. Only then can one navigate the turbulent trading market with ease.

Do not harbor 'luck' and 'fantasy' at the center of the market.

When you establish your own trading system and force yourself to adhere to ironclad discipline, you will become a general, and your capital will become soldiers. So think about it: who is more likely to win a battle, a disciplined regular army or undisciplined scattered troops during a clash?

This morning, the pancake closed with a rise of 2.74%, breaking through the long-term trend and surpassing both short and long-term trends. According to the rules, there is currently no reason to hold a short position. The only thing to pay attention to is that both the 4-hour and 6-hour charts have become dull. At the same time, the 4-hour chart is currently at a series high of 9. If the close at 16:00 is a bullish candle and the high is 9, it is very likely to form a structure here. Therefore, according to the rules, if there is a bullish close, one can reduce positions or wait for the structure to form before reducing positions. At this speed, the 4-hour chart has around 12 cycles left before dullness disappears, which means about two days' time. The 6-hour chart is at a smaller level, and it will take only two cycles for dullness to disappear. So the key now is still the speed; once dullness disappears, it means to continue holding the asset.

Xu Xiaoming established five major principles of systematic trading: the principle of simplicity:
There are two types of people in the world who are the happiest, one is children, and the other is fools; their common trait is that they do not overthink. Complex thinking can lead to hesitation and indecision in trading, resulting in a loss of decisiveness at critical moments.
The first is a complex way of thinking. For example, investors often overly focus on the stocks they have already bought, trying to gather information from various channels. However, because different people have different perspectives, when stock prices fluctuate, discrepancies arise. Information that aligns with the trend will repeatedly appear in their minds, leading them to lose objectivity. If they want to sell, negative news comes to mind; if they want to buy, subjective news comes to mind. The second is a complex method of operation. It is common to see people check KDJ, MACD, trading volume, and fundamentals before buying. By the time they have seen everything they want and feel satisfied, the stock price has already risen, causing them to miss the best opportunity to act. The same applies to selling.
Therefore, establish a single trading standard, and operate cleanly and decisively according to that standard, never dragging your feet.
Heaven rewards diligence, and trading is to be simple.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, the closing price of Bitcoin is close to breaking through the long-term trend, and it has now broken through. Pay attention to the closing situation tomorrow morning. At the same time, the four-hour line has formed a divergence, and the level is still relatively large. The six-hour line is also about to show divergence. Currently, it has broken through both the short-term and long-term trends. The mission of the bottom structure has been completed. Since there is divergence, the focus will now be on the speed. If the upward speed is fast, it will eliminate all divergences while moving away from the trend. If the upward speed is slow and forms a structure due to proximity to the trend, then it will be necessary to reduce positions. For now, there is no need to worry. Our bottom structure is fully loaded, and we are currently just holding assets and waiting.
Xu Xiaoming's Five Major Principles for Creating Your Own Trading System - The Principle of Planning:
As the ancients said, “If a person has no long-term worries, there will be immediate concerns.” One important principle of creating your own trading system is to have a plan before taking action, providing as detailed a corresponding strategy as possible for what may happen in the future. The only constant in the market is change. To respond to change, the best strategy is to adhere to a predetermined plan and remain unchanged in the face of all changes.
For example, you should plan where to take profits or under what conditions, how long you plan to hold, or how much loss you can tolerate—whether to set a moving stop-loss according to a certain standard.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, Bitcoin closed with an increase of 0.71%, and the drop of 0.56% the day before was also very small. The recent market has been quite dull, with little volatility and no trading activity. Today remains the same; everyone needs to be a bit patient. After the structure is formed, the market has neither become stagnant nor broken. As long as these two conditions are not met, we just wait. We are now very close to the long-term trend; we just need to wait!
Xu Xiaoming's trading system core philosophy:
Xu Xiaoming divides trading into three levels:
* Phenomenal Level: This is the level where most investors are situated. They focus on various indicators, candlestick patterns, and trading volume, among other surface phenomena. However, this type of analysis often falls into a cycle of 'repeated explanations' and struggles to grasp the essence of the market.
* Mathematical Level: Xu Xiaoming emphasizes the importance of quantitative analysis, believing that only by elevating trading to the level of numerical laws can one truly understand the operational logic of the market, achieving 'knowing what it is and why it is so'.
* Philosophical Level: This is the highest realm of trading. Through long-term systematic practice, investors can form an essential understanding of trading, reaching the level of 'Tao'.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, the closing price of Bitcoin rose by 1.09%. It has been a week since the trend broke, and it has mostly been sideways. During this week, the market has fluctuated up and down, remaining in a sideways oscillation. We need to be more patient here, waiting for results and for the market to make a choice. The position is quite delicate, so it's best not to make subjective judgments; waiting for results is the most objective and rational approach.

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, the closing price of Bitcoin rose by 0.46%, with very little volatility. It is still between the long-term trend and the short-term trend, and the space has further narrowed. In terms of operations, continue holding coins and waiting for an increase. The sequence high of 9 and sequence low of 9 on the two-hour chart are basically the high and low points of this small cycle, but the sequence is not regular. Don't always expect perfect trades; pursuing perfection is a major taboo in trading! Not all market conditions are suitable for you, so focus on what you can manage. Trading is about probability; make decisions where there is a significant probability advantage.

BTC Tomorrow's Operation Strategy
Bitcoin closed this morning with an increase of 0.99%, which is a very small change, as the trend is moving downward. Currently, it has further distanced itself from the long-term trend, so the focus remains on the trend. If it continues to rise, the two-hour line will show signs of flattening, and the four-hour line will also show signs of flattening, but the price is small, and the probability of flattening disappearing is high. Currently, there are still no operations, and we will continue to wait.
The trend is the standard for avoiding fundamental errors, allowing you to evade any downturn while also enabling you to ride from the bottom to the top during an uptrend. This is the advantage of the trend.
(Individual opinions are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice. The core is to practice rule-based trading thoughts together.)

BTC Tomorrow's Trading Strategy
This morning, the closing price of Bitcoin rose by 4.79%, creating a bullish engulfing pattern that completely recovered yesterday's losses. However, this is just a phenomenon; fluctuations are part of the market! The 1-hour chart shows a top structure, and if the structure is valid, there will be a day of adjustment. In terms of operations, continue holding coins and waiting for a rise; do not trade on too small of a timeframe, as it leads to overly frequent trading. Gann once said that the main reasons for trading losses are threefold: 1. Lack of stop-loss awareness (no stop-loss). 2. Making unlimited trades on limited capital (frequent trading). 3. Having very little knowledge of the market (insufficient understanding).
Currently, the judgment is a B-wave rebound; first, pay attention to when the trend will break through.

BTC明日操作策略
今早收盘涨幅8.25％，阶段性底部的大阳线，其力度代表了行情的高度，因为多头一直被压抑之后的奋力一击，能够测量多头的量级，如果需要筑底的话，需要单日大阳线的出现。12小时线和日线都形成结构，这是关键，距离长短期趋势都不远，如果日线结构有效就可能有24天的反弹！那就是大概率会突破趋势，按照规则就该大胆加仓满上！12小时线和日线钝化都消失时纠错，我们不管买入之后市场是上涨还是下跌，我们只按照既定规则操作！这才是正确的交易！
可能有人会说昨天最低是74508低点怎么不抄底，现在都8万多才加仓，问题是那时下跌速度很快，你怎么知道什么时候止跌，急跌时抄底不就像接飞刀，受伤是大概率，我们选择结构形成时买入是因为这里降速了有可能是转折的点

BTC Tomorrow's Operation Strategy
This morning, the market further declined, with a drop of 3.59%. The day before yesterday, we mentioned focusing on the speed. If this speed continues, the 12-hour line won't last more than 3 cycles before showing signs of dulling and disappearing. At the daily level, it can last for 4 days. The key now is to see if there is a slowdown. If it continues to accelerate downward, all dulling will be eliminated. The disappearance of dulling means there won't be any more dulling in the short term, which naturally leads to uncertainty in finding a buying point at a low! We can only wait and see how the market moves, taking it one step at a time!
The cycle of speed: From the perspective of cycles, speed is divided into birth, growth, peak, decline, and death.
Dulling refers to the process of transitioning from peak to decline, which is a quantitative standard for decline.
Decline is a process, but its end is a point, and the formation of structure is the quantitative mark of the end of decline.