In the past couple of days, ETH has bounced back from 1573 and hasn't dropped below that, but it also hasn't broken through 1626, the movement is minimal. 1573 is the precise retracement level of 0.382, one of the low buy points.
If BTC can drop below 83000 and find support around 79100 before attempting to rise again, there will be significant profit potential. However, this time the scenario may not unfold that way. Because SOL has strengthened earlier, it serves as a barometer and will lead BTC in its next move.
Starting today, I will watch the financial reports of the U.S. stock market with friends. Short the stocks a day before the financial reports are released. @shequjuncrypto used this method last time and basically gained 3-10% on each. However, it may also be related to the time of deepseek. Let's test it for a while and see.
After studying for half a day, I still don't understand. Is 785 in Figure 2 the 'turning point for rising'? How is it inconsistent with 68 in Figure 3???
艾叔
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April 16 Market Analysis $BTC --------------------------------- The S&P SPX500 continues to test the lower point before breaking past 5460; if it doesn't break through 5700, it will just be a rebound, and will continue to move downwards. (15m level trendline focus) BTC's stage divergence has not been fully digested yet. The value of the benefits strategy linked via registration continues to increase.
As long as it hasn't passed 89, this expected script remains unchanged, and the operational structure remains the same. Yesterday, I provided several long and short positions to blindly take (no need to ask me if you have hands), and I will not judge; just randomly act based on the position—it's better than chasing highs and cutting losses.
The viewpoint over the past few days is that a divergence appears on the 4-hour chart, and when a high point is reached, take a position; the viewpoint for a pullback is clear, regardless of whether it’s discussing divergence first or after the high of 848 on the 14th, or just randomly acting based on yesterday's resistance and support.
It is essential to reduce positions and take profits at key levels. As for the rebound at 83, this is where a small-level pullback begins; you can take a position, but ensure to have a stop loss. 79 is an important starting point. You can take positions on the left side. For pullbacks: the viewpoint remains unchanged; the resistance levels within the range have never changed. Pay more attention to charts, combine trading with position, do not guess, do not fear. What should be respected is the objective market, not subjective speculation.
Congratulations on your return! Support Lao Ai! Let's continue to mess around with Lao Ai 😂
艾叔
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April 16 Market Analysis $BTC --------------------------------- The S&P SPX500 continues to test the lower point before breaking past 5460; if it doesn't break through 5700, it will just be a rebound, and will continue to move downwards. (15m level trendline focus) BTC's stage divergence has not been fully digested yet. The value of the benefits strategy linked via registration continues to increase.
As long as it hasn't passed 89, this expected script remains unchanged, and the operational structure remains the same. Yesterday, I provided several long and short positions to blindly take (no need to ask me if you have hands), and I will not judge; just randomly act based on the position—it's better than chasing highs and cutting losses.
The viewpoint over the past few days is that a divergence appears on the 4-hour chart, and when a high point is reached, take a position; the viewpoint for a pullback is clear, regardless of whether it’s discussing divergence first or after the high of 848 on the 14th, or just randomly acting based on yesterday's resistance and support.
It is essential to reduce positions and take profits at key levels. As for the rebound at 83, this is where a small-level pullback begins; you can take a position, but ensure to have a stop loss. 79 is an important starting point. You can take positions on the left side. For pullbacks: the viewpoint remains unchanged; the resistance levels within the range have never changed. Pay more attention to charts, combine trading with position, do not guess, do not fear. What should be respected is the objective market, not subjective speculation.
There definitely aren't any shorting conditions now. But weren't we following Brother Chi's second phase theory to short at 83.84~ Who would have thought you flew to Malaysia and immediately entered the third phase😰 Just want to ask, are we still holding the short position? Thank you for the guidance😍
颜驰Bit
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Break the trend line, create a lower low, and then shift to a bearish mindset on a smaller scale.
Otherwise, what shorting conditions do you have right now? Answer me! What are your shorting conditions?
Even if he ships it to you, their efficiency is just too touching! Decline is inevitable.
Cathy姐玩链游
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Ten thousand circles, bought the second generation Solana phone at the beginning of 2024, it was said to be shipped at the beginning of 2025 when ordered. Has anyone received the goods?
The impact of information has reduced, only then can the advantages of technical analysis be realized! Do you know how? One moment this way, the next that way, I really trusted the wrong person, don't mislead others.
泡椒田鸡
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The impact of the information aspect is gradually weakening. After shorting for so long, the shorts have started to lose strength in the past couple of days, indicating that we are getting closer to a trend reversal. Short-term trading should shift to a focus on lower longs. This 4-hour level is the boundary for the exchange between long and short. However, ETH still appears weak; when BTC rebounded to the 2-day line, ETH only rebounded to the 8-hour level.
I'm really getting old, always feeling emo while scrolling through Douyin in the evening. Just two or three years ago, when I was young, I always thought about becoming a wealthy person, making a million at 16, becoming a key figure in the entrepreneurial industry at 18. For someone my age, I indeed had the capital to be arrogant, had too much youthful recklessness, and only thought about rushing forward, wanting to stand in the spotlight and perform a wonderful dance for the world, leaving a mark in this world. Now, I often think about my mother and the relatives who have helped me. I just want to find a woman with a normal worldview to marry and spend more time with my parents and family. Now I approach work more steadily, thinking things through. Regardless of anything, the path of trading is the one I chose. I believe this is a fair path for everyone, whether you are poor or rich. There are no uncomfortable human sentiments; as long as you are willing to put in the effort, this path will fairly reward you. I am very grateful to all my brothers. Thank you for your support, which has led me to who I am today. As I said, my trading system has basically matured. In the past, I also caused others to incur losses. I will always remember those who lost money while following me. At that time, I felt so guilty and found it hard to forgive myself, so I kept reflecting and reviewing my thoughts, little by little becoming who I am today. I received a lot of encouragement from my brothers during my low points, which I will never forget. I feel so fortunate to receive this love from everyone ❤️ Thank you 🙏 Thank you.
The technology of the gods is something I have always admired 🙏 However, many words are too much; the cryptocurrency world is never short of miracles, and there are far too many unexpected moments.
泡椒田鸡
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Many analysts optimistically say that 76560 is the lowest point for BTC, but looking at the monthly trend, there is still a possibility of a new low. If 76560 is to be the lowest point, April needs to close above March's highest point of 94850 or stay parallel to March, in order to turn 76560 into a V-shaped low and create a right-side market trend. Clearly, it seems unlikely for April to reach 95k. Unless a miracle occurs.
As of today, the expectation for a 25 basis point rate cut at the Federal Reserve's meeting on June 19 has reached 66.2%. It can basically be anticipated that there will be a rate cut in June. This is because in order for the April monthly line to reverse the trend, it needs to close above March's highest point of 95k or remain parallel, which currently seems unlikely, so there must be a lowest point in April-May, and then in June, the rate cut will result in the monthly line closing above the lowest point of April or May, starting a reversal in the third quarter. This is the most ideal trend and also the only hope for the bulls this year.
Of course, as long as the weekly line does not release a signal for a bottom reversal, I will basically not be bullish or take long positions. I am a rational trader, not a theoretical analyst, and I only decide to enter or exit based on indicators.
Yes, yes, yes, debating about bulls and bears every day is meaningless. Just go long if there are more bulls, and go short if there are more bears.
泡椒田鸡
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A: Will BTC go below 8W?
Answer: Don't ask whether it's possible or not. Anything is possible; what is meant to come will eventually come. Think in reverse: if it can't go down, then couldn't we just go long right now?
When it goes and how far it might go, no one knows. We just respond accordingly. For short-term trading, there's no need to overthink; worrying too much can be exhausting. Just do what needs to be done at the given position. We only need to focus on this loop: where to take profits when it drops to a certain level, and where to short when it rebounds to a certain level.