灵曼量化
微博：@曼桥做市-MB_MM｜极巢短线策略协同｜量化对冲引擎｜订单薄动态报价优化｜库存风险控制｜核心能力：多策略执行系统-市场动态分享-社区策略共享
10 Following
141 Followers
128 Liked
10 Shared
All
Quotes
See original
PINNED
The post mentioned before 49588320877 indicates that to determine if the rebound trend has ended, we need to wait for a daily top divergence signal. Currently, there is an expectation of an end, but it cannot be confirmed yet.
First, let's look at Chart One: three segments abc in 30 minutes, and the c segment has already diverged. Logically, the rebound trend can be seen as either having ended or not.
Next, let's look at Chart Two: after the three segments abc in 30 minutes, a retracement consolidation forms a 30-minute center, waiting for the next segment to reach a new high (above yesterday's high of $108,780).
From a bearish perspective, the viewpoint described in Chart Two aligns more with the current trend logic. The premise is that there is no strong breakout above $110,000; otherwise, its mathematical model will certainly lead the price to fall below $98,200 again. Conversely, if the price breaks strongly above $110,000, the bearish structure may be disrupted.
In summary: it is temporarily impossible to determine whether Chart One has ended; it needs to be chosen by the actual market; Chart Two must remember that premise, which is the condition for ensuring its mathematical model holds; ETH has no specific trend, only oscillating around the center, linked with BTC.
First, let's look at Chart One: three segments abc in 30 minutes, and the c segment has already diverged. Logically, the rebound trend can be seen as either having ended or not.
Next, let's look at Chart Two: after the three segments abc in 30 minutes, a retracement consolidation forms a 30-minute center, waiting for the next segment to reach a new high (above yesterday's high of $108,780).
From a bearish perspective, the viewpoint described in Chart Two aligns more with the current trend logic. The premise is that there is no strong breakout above $110,000; otherwise, its mathematical model will certainly lead the price to fall below $98,200 again. Conversely, if the price breaks strongly above $110,000, the bearish structure may be disrupted.
In summary: it is temporarily impossible to determine whether Chart One has ended; it needs to be chosen by the actual market; Chart Two must remember that premise, which is the condition for ensuring its mathematical model holds; ETH has no specific trend, only oscillating around the center, linked with BTC.
See original
$BTC The trading market is composed of liquidity controllers and retailers, rather than simply long and short positions. The price fluctuations forming the center are essentially a product of the game between buyers and sellers. The main players create a balance zone through two-way quotes, attracting retail investors to participate in short-term bets.
The true main players are called "quote and withdrawal"; they do not predict the direction but focus on volatility—since a lack of volatility will lead to a decline in retail enthusiasm. For example, the main players maintain the range fluctuations by squeezing prices; if the fluctuations last too long, retail trading willingness decreases, and the main players will actively withdraw orders to create a liquidity vacuum (such as pulling key price level buy or sell orders), forcing the price to break out in one direction (such as selling pressure dominating the decline or buying pressure pushing up), thus restarting market fluctuations.
Institutions are merely big players manipulating local liquidity in the short term and cannot dominate the market in the long term. Once the direction is wrong, like retail investors, their liquidation will similarly trigger a stampede-like chain reaction (such as collective short covering leading to passive buying and price increases, often mistakenly seen as main players entering the market).
The true main players (quote and withdrawal manipulators) do not stop loss, do not judge direction, but manage risk through hedging and create liquidity by placing orders in target areas, thus forming a vacuum area. Their core goal every day is singular: to hunt retail investors and take out your stop loss.
The content written by this ID combines technical theory with market-making strategies to give direction to trends—quote and withdrawal are merely tools for the main players to provide initial momentum for the trend.
#美联储取消创新活动监管计划
The true main players are called "quote and withdrawal"; they do not predict the direction but focus on volatility—since a lack of volatility will lead to a decline in retail enthusiasm. For example, the main players maintain the range fluctuations by squeezing prices; if the fluctuations last too long, retail trading willingness decreases, and the main players will actively withdraw orders to create a liquidity vacuum (such as pulling key price level buy or sell orders), forcing the price to break out in one direction (such as selling pressure dominating the decline or buying pressure pushing up), thus restarting market fluctuations.
Institutions are merely big players manipulating local liquidity in the short term and cannot dominate the market in the long term. Once the direction is wrong, like retail investors, their liquidation will similarly trigger a stampede-like chain reaction (such as collective short covering leading to passive buying and price increases, often mistakenly seen as main players entering the market).
The true main players (quote and withdrawal manipulators) do not stop loss, do not judge direction, but manage risk through hedging and create liquidity by placing orders in target areas, thus forming a vacuum area. Their core goal every day is singular: to hunt retail investors and take out your stop loss.
The content written by this ID combines technical theory with market-making strategies to give direction to trends—quote and withdrawal are merely tools for the main players to provide initial momentum for the trend.
#美联储取消创新活动监管计划
The central combination structure below $BTC is extremely complex, and the short-term price pullback near 110,000 USD is only the first target based on personal estimates. The specific path needs to be dynamically adjusted in conjunction with the extension direction of the central structure and the real-time liquidity distribution (such as market maker quote depth).
Currently, it may be possible to observe the establishment signal of the second type of selling point (the rebound second high point) at the 30-minute level, but the completion of the trend still requires time to digest.
The liquidity of the trading market is dominated by the quoting mechanism: for example, market makers as liquidity controllers determine the possibility of immediate transactions with their quotes. If quoting is absent, even if buyers are bullish to sky-high prices, they cannot effectively build positions; conversely, when liquidity is abundant, the competition between long and short positions can truly drive price fluctuations.
#中国投资者涌向印尼
Currently, it may be possible to observe the establishment signal of the second type of selling point (the rebound second high point) at the 30-minute level, but the completion of the trend still requires time to digest.
The liquidity of the trading market is dominated by the quoting mechanism: for example, market makers as liquidity controllers determine the possibility of immediate transactions with their quotes. If quoting is absent, even if buyers are bullish to sky-high prices, they cannot effectively build positions; conversely, when liquidity is abundant, the competition between long and short positions can truly drive price fluctuations.
#中国投资者涌向印尼
See original
The central combination structure below $BTC is extremely complex, and the short-term price pullback near 110,000 USD is only the first target based on personal estimates. The specific path needs to be dynamically adjusted in conjunction with the extension direction of the central structure and the real-time liquidity distribution (such as market maker quote depth).
Currently, it may be possible to observe the establishment signal of the second type of selling point (the rebound second high point) at the 30-minute level, but the completion of the trend still requires time to digest.
The liquidity of the trading market is dominated by the quoting mechanism: for example, market makers as liquidity controllers determine the possibility of immediate transactions with their quotes. If quoting is absent, even if buyers are bullish to sky-high prices, they cannot effectively build positions; conversely, when liquidity is abundant, the competition between long and short positions can truly drive price fluctuations.
#中国投资者涌向印尼
Currently, it may be possible to observe the establishment signal of the second type of selling point (the rebound second high point) at the 30-minute level, but the completion of the trend still requires time to digest.
The liquidity of the trading market is dominated by the quoting mechanism: for example, market makers as liquidity controllers determine the possibility of immediate transactions with their quotes. If quoting is absent, even if buyers are bullish to sky-high prices, they cannot effectively build positions; conversely, when liquidity is abundant, the competition between long and short positions can truly drive price fluctuations.
#中国投资者涌向印尼
$BTC According to strict segment classification, the upper and lower central hubs are actually of the same level trend structure. However, the area of central hub B is obviously larger than that of central hub A, so I personally lean towards the aAb+Bc structure, meaning that the level of central hub B is larger than that of central hub A, and aAb can be seen as entering the segment.
In other words, central hub B is in a medium bearish stage of consolidation, or after completing a nine-segment upgrade, it will choose whether to leave the segment upward or in reverse.
From the perspective of market making strategy, this place is still absorbing liquidity, making a false breakout to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the long position, and making a false breakdown to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the short position, until the consolidation ends.
Essentially, the BTC trend currently has no specific direction, only oscillating around the central hub. The subsequent price retracement is expected to be at least around 100,000 USD; this viewpoint will be analyzed further at that time. #加密市场回调
In other words, central hub B is in a medium bearish stage of consolidation, or after completing a nine-segment upgrade, it will choose whether to leave the segment upward or in reverse.
From the perspective of market making strategy, this place is still absorbing liquidity, making a false breakout to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the long position, and making a false breakdown to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the short position, until the consolidation ends.
Essentially, the BTC trend currently has no specific direction, only oscillating around the central hub. The subsequent price retracement is expected to be at least around 100,000 USD; this viewpoint will be analyzed further at that time. #加密市场回调
See original
$BTC According to strict segment classification, the upper and lower central hubs are actually of the same level trend structure. However, the area of central hub B is obviously larger than that of central hub A, so I personally lean towards the aAb+Bc structure, meaning that the level of central hub B is larger than that of central hub A, and aAb can be seen as entering the segment.
In other words, central hub B is in a medium bearish stage of consolidation, or after completing a nine-segment upgrade, it will choose whether to leave the segment upward or in reverse.
From the perspective of market making strategy, this place is still absorbing liquidity, making a false breakout to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the long position, and making a false breakdown to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the short position, until the consolidation ends.
Essentially, the BTC trend currently has no specific direction, only oscillating around the central hub. The subsequent price retracement is expected to be at least around 100,000 USD; this viewpoint will be analyzed further at that time. #加密市场回调
In other words, central hub B is in a medium bearish stage of consolidation, or after completing a nine-segment upgrade, it will choose whether to leave the segment upward or in reverse.
From the perspective of market making strategy, this place is still absorbing liquidity, making a false breakout to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the long position, and making a false breakdown to hit the stop-loss of those chasing the short position, until the consolidation ends.
Essentially, the BTC trend currently has no specific direction, only oscillating around the central hub. The subsequent price retracement is expected to be at least around 100,000 USD; this viewpoint will be analyzed further at that time. #加密市场回调
See original
$ETH leaves the segment end expectation, or new high trend divergence, or no new high forms a second type of selling point, waiting for the completion of the bearish structure.
In summary, the other views remain unchanged.
BTC fluctuates around the center, with no specific trend, can be linked to ETH.
#ETH走势分析
In summary, the other views remain unchanged.
BTC fluctuates around the center, with no specific trend, can be linked to ETH.
#ETH走势分析
See original
$ETH New high indicates a sell; if no new high, it's a second sell in 4 hours. The previous low of $3300 downtrend is not divergence; from a technical perspective, this level will eventually be broken again.
The 5-minute internal structure is in a divergence phase, so there is no value in long positions.
A trend is a continuous price movement that must contain at least one trend center in any level chart.
Not worrying about bones: Trends at any level must contain a center and can only be divided into two categories: trend and consolidation;
Worrying about flesh: The number of centers, forms of turning points, and level evolution are all unpredictable;
Position is pulse: By comparing the current trend with the position difference of the 'not worrying' rule, we can locate the boundaries of buying and selling.
Operations are dialectical; using the power of 'not worrying', we can predict the unpredictable 'worry' changes.
#特朗普允许401(k)投资加密货币
The 5-minute internal structure is in a divergence phase, so there is no value in long positions.
A trend is a continuous price movement that must contain at least one trend center in any level chart.
Not worrying about bones: Trends at any level must contain a center and can only be divided into two categories: trend and consolidation;
Worrying about flesh: The number of centers, forms of turning points, and level evolution are all unpredictable;
Position is pulse: By comparing the current trend with the position difference of the 'not worrying' rule, we can locate the boundaries of buying and selling.
Operations are dialectical; using the power of 'not worrying', we can predict the unpredictable 'worry' changes.
#特朗普允许401(k)投资加密货币
See original
$ETH 30 minutes central has not yet expanded and upgraded, let's treat it as a normal oscillation for now. As shown in Chart One, the price trend is very clear, and the market still lacks an upward breakout segment.
If the market chooses to expand and upgrade (Chart Two), the price trend will continue to oscillate up and down until the upgrade conditions are met. Expansion and upgrade is just a classification of trends, not an operational suggestion. For now, we only need to focus on the upward breakout segment after the pullback ends.
$BTC In the current macroeconomic environment, it is not easy to break through new highs. However, geopolitical risk events such as regional conflicts or trade wars may trigger market risk aversion demands, pushing BTC to rise significantly, possibly reaching new highs. Therefore, relying solely on this information to judge future prices is clearly insufficient.
K-line charts represent price trajectories as well as human psychological trajectories, and the final combined force will be reflected in the trend. Trends have their own internal logic of operation; as long as the market exists, anyone who trades on their own cannot escape this cycle.
If the market chooses to expand and upgrade (Chart Two), the price trend will continue to oscillate up and down until the upgrade conditions are met. Expansion and upgrade is just a classification of trends, not an operational suggestion. For now, we only need to focus on the upward breakout segment after the pullback ends.
$BTC In the current macroeconomic environment, it is not easy to break through new highs. However, geopolitical risk events such as regional conflicts or trade wars may trigger market risk aversion demands, pushing BTC to rise significantly, possibly reaching new highs. Therefore, relying solely on this information to judge future prices is clearly insufficient.
K-line charts represent price trajectories as well as human psychological trajectories, and the final combined force will be reflected in the trend. Trends have their own internal logic of operation; as long as the market exists, anyone who trades on their own cannot escape this cycle.
See original
The position of the $ETH level 5 minute rebound can be high or low. From a recursive perspective, the decline of ETH has not ended, and we still need to pay attention to the situation after the end of a 5 minute rebound during the day. Observe whether its price movement conforms to the description of recursion in the chart.
Recursive structure of movement:
Initial level (a0): Such as fractals, strokes, segments, serving as the smallest indivisible unit (similar to benchmark conditions).
Upgrade logic (f1, f2):
f1(a0)=a1: Constructing the lowest level center from the smallest units (such as segments).
f2(an)=an+1: Generating a higher level center recursively from the lower level center.
The core of recursion is the self-similarity of market movements: movements at different levels (such as 1 minute and daily) exhibit the same consolidation/trend structure (a+A+b). The essence of the recursive process is the self-organizing growth of levels.
#以太坊十周年
Recursive structure of movement:
Initial level (a0): Such as fractals, strokes, segments, serving as the smallest indivisible unit (similar to benchmark conditions).
Upgrade logic (f1, f2):
f1(a0)=a1: Constructing the lowest level center from the smallest units (such as segments).
f2(an)=an+1: Generating a higher level center recursively from the lower level center.
The core of recursion is the self-similarity of market movements: movements at different levels (such as 1 minute and daily) exhibit the same consolidation/trend structure (a+A+b). The essence of the recursive process is the self-organizing growth of levels.
#以太坊十周年
The short-term price trend of $BTC has retested the lower edge of the 30-minute central point at 116800 USD, with a minor rebound in the 5-minute timeframe.
Currently, the central point, compared to the lower central point, technically does not have enough consolidation segments, but since the consolidation area is roughly the same, it can be regarded as the same level. Therefore, the trend can continue to consolidate around the central point until a third-class buying or selling point outside the central point appears.
In actual trading, there are many non-standard trends, and standard trends are rare, so defining the central point range is for better forecasting and differentiation later. Personally, I prefer to follow trends and am waiting for a significant drop pattern to complete. Small positions can participate in the minor fluctuations in the 5-minute timeframe; whether the market continues to make new highs is no longer my primary concern, and readers can observe on their own.
#上市公司加密储备战略
Currently, the central point, compared to the lower central point, technically does not have enough consolidation segments, but since the consolidation area is roughly the same, it can be regarded as the same level. Therefore, the trend can continue to consolidate around the central point until a third-class buying or selling point outside the central point appears.
In actual trading, there are many non-standard trends, and standard trends are rare, so defining the central point range is for better forecasting and differentiation later. Personally, I prefer to follow trends and am waiting for a significant drop pattern to complete. Small positions can participate in the minor fluctuations in the 5-minute timeframe; whether the market continues to make new highs is no longer my primary concern, and readers can observe on their own.
#上市公司加密储备战略
See original
The short-term price trend of $BTC has retested the lower edge of the 30-minute central point at 116800 USD, with a minor rebound in the 5-minute timeframe.
Currently, the central point, compared to the lower central point, technically does not have enough consolidation segments, but since the consolidation area is roughly the same, it can be regarded as the same level. Therefore, the trend can continue to consolidate around the central point until a third-class buying or selling point outside the central point appears.
In actual trading, there are many non-standard trends, and standard trends are rare, so defining the central point range is for better forecasting and differentiation later. Personally, I prefer to follow trends and am waiting for a significant drop pattern to complete. Small positions can participate in the minor fluctuations in the 5-minute timeframe; whether the market continues to make new highs is no longer my primary concern, and readers can observe on their own.
#上市公司加密储备战略
Currently, the central point, compared to the lower central point, technically does not have enough consolidation segments, but since the consolidation area is roughly the same, it can be regarded as the same level. Therefore, the trend can continue to consolidate around the central point until a third-class buying or selling point outside the central point appears.
In actual trading, there are many non-standard trends, and standard trends are rare, so defining the central point range is for better forecasting and differentiation later. Personally, I prefer to follow trends and am waiting for a significant drop pattern to complete. Small positions can participate in the minor fluctuations in the 5-minute timeframe; whether the market continues to make new highs is no longer my primary concern, and readers can observe on their own.
#上市公司加密储备战略
The short-term price trend of $BTC fluctuates around the center and may fall before rising. Although many altcoins still show an upward structure, all of my long positions have been closed. After the 30-minute downward segment completes its pullback, whether to re-enter needs to be decided by observing the structure.
Following the trend to call trades is the easiest way to stir up retail investors' emotions, but it is also the least valuable. What is truly worth exploring in the market is how to interpret these ups and downs, and to establish one's own trading order amidst chaos.
#ETH重返3800
Following the trend to call trades is the easiest way to stir up retail investors' emotions, but it is also the least valuable. What is truly worth exploring in the market is how to interpret these ups and downs, and to establish one's own trading order amidst chaos.
#ETH重返3800
See original
The short-term price trend of $BTC fluctuates around the center and may fall before rising. Although many altcoins still show an upward structure, all of my long positions have been closed. After the 30-minute downward segment completes its pullback, whether to re-enter needs to be decided by observing the structure.
Following the trend to call trades is the easiest way to stir up retail investors' emotions, but it is also the least valuable. What is truly worth exploring in the market is how to interpret these ups and downs, and to establish one's own trading order amidst chaos.
#ETH重返3800
Following the trend to call trades is the easiest way to stir up retail investors' emotions, but it is also the least valuable. What is truly worth exploring in the market is how to interpret these ups and downs, and to establish one's own trading order amidst chaos.
#ETH重返3800
$ETH same level, market manipulation warning!
#以太坊交易量反超比特币
#以太坊交易量反超比特币
See original
$ETH same level, market manipulation warning!
#以太坊交易量反超比特币
#以太坊交易量反超比特币
See original
$ETH same level, market manipulation warning!
#以太坊交易量反超比特币
#以太坊交易量反超比特币
See original
The Avellaneda–Stoikov (A–S) model is essentially a set of "automated pricing rules" that helps market makers find a price spread that balances both profit and risk between buying and selling. To put it in the simplest terms, it’s like running a fruit stall:
Set an "average price"
Take the average of the current market's best buy and sell prices as your "benchmark price" (mid).
Create a "safety zone"
Place a buy and sell order around this benchmark price to form a "spread", which is the profit margin you hope to earn.
Adjust the "size" based on market fluctuations
If the market is very stable (low volatility), the spread can be narrow;
If the market is very volatile (high volatility), the spread needs to be widened to avoid losses from large price swings.
Manage your own "inventory"
If a market maker has bought too much, they will worry about a price drop; if they have sold too much, they will worry about a price increase. The model will automatically "tilt" the orders in an unfavorable direction:
When inventory is high, place more sell orders at a slightly higher price and fewer buy orders;
When inventory is low, place more buy orders at a slightly lower price and fewer sell orders.
Considering these factors
The A–S model integrates "risk aversion", "market volatility", "inventory size", and "transaction speed" into a single formula to calculate the optimal buying and selling prices.
In summary: A–S acts like an intelligent pricing agent, helping you dynamically decide at what price level to place the spread, allowing you to earn market-making income while controlling position risk.
#GalaxyDigital抛售比特币
Set an "average price"
Take the average of the current market's best buy and sell prices as your "benchmark price" (mid).
Create a "safety zone"
Place a buy and sell order around this benchmark price to form a "spread", which is the profit margin you hope to earn.
Adjust the "size" based on market fluctuations
If the market is very stable (low volatility), the spread can be narrow;
If the market is very volatile (high volatility), the spread needs to be widened to avoid losses from large price swings.
Manage your own "inventory"
If a market maker has bought too much, they will worry about a price drop; if they have sold too much, they will worry about a price increase. The model will automatically "tilt" the orders in an unfavorable direction:
When inventory is high, place more sell orders at a slightly higher price and fewer buy orders;
When inventory is low, place more buy orders at a slightly lower price and fewer sell orders.
Considering these factors
The A–S model integrates "risk aversion", "market volatility", "inventory size", and "transaction speed" into a single formula to calculate the optimal buying and selling prices.
In summary: A–S acts like an intelligent pricing agent, helping you dynamically decide at what price level to place the spread, allowing you to earn market-making income while controlling position risk.
#GalaxyDigital抛售比特币
See original
$ETH Standing from the same level decomposition perspective, the current price trend can continue to reach new highs. Standing from a non-same level decomposition perspective, it is necessary to complete the decline central, the price trend first reaches a new low (breaking the morning low), and then how the market evolves remains to be seen. In short, please observe yourself.
#RWA热潮
#RWA热潮
See original
$ETH Standing from the same level decomposition perspective, the current price trend can continue to reach new highs. Standing from a non-same level decomposition perspective, it is necessary to complete the decline central, the price trend first reaches a new low (breaking the morning low), and then how the market evolves remains to be seen. In short, please observe yourself.
#RWA热潮
#RWA热潮
See original
$BTC individuals typically discuss high-frequency policy disturbances and short-term market noise infrequently, as economic phenomena are extremely complex and many viewpoints lack empirical evidence. These changes are not directly linked to professional or non-professional traders, but are more about passive responses to systemic risk.
The rich getting richer inevitably accompanies the poor getting poorer, stemming from the fact that inflation is essentially a tool for wealth transfer. To consolidate its hegemony, the United States needs global support; the "Great and Beautiful Act" is the first shot, and recent tariff actions have proven to increase harvesting.
The underlying logic driving gold and the dollar is now fundamentally different from ten or even twenty years ago. Lowering interest rates may not necessarily be bullish for gold or bearish for the dollar; the global central banks increasing their gold holdings is a hedging strategy against the $36 trillion debt of the dollar. Bitcoin has become a new variable—its anti-inflation property is similar to gold, but it is more volatile and can evade bank sanctions.
If Trump does not initiate the second round of the tariff war, Powell will not lower interest rates; if tax increases stop, the U.S. economy may collapse (lacking new expansion support); if the dollar depreciates significantly, consumer confidence will be hard to boost. The secondary contradiction is that 72% of the U.S. GDP relies on the service industry; depreciation may exacerbate capital flight. The last non-farm payroll data was falsified precisely to delay the interest rate cut in July. The world is shifting from an incremental market to a stock game in the U.S., China, and Europe supply chains, with aging intensifying competition. The central bank continues to increase gold holdings, with the core logic being to build a firewall against the $36 trillion debt risk; I personally believe that the NASDAQ will still fall below 16,500 points again, waiting for verification. #山寨季來了？
The rich getting richer inevitably accompanies the poor getting poorer, stemming from the fact that inflation is essentially a tool for wealth transfer. To consolidate its hegemony, the United States needs global support; the "Great and Beautiful Act" is the first shot, and recent tariff actions have proven to increase harvesting.
The underlying logic driving gold and the dollar is now fundamentally different from ten or even twenty years ago. Lowering interest rates may not necessarily be bullish for gold or bearish for the dollar; the global central banks increasing their gold holdings is a hedging strategy against the $36 trillion debt of the dollar. Bitcoin has become a new variable—its anti-inflation property is similar to gold, but it is more volatile and can evade bank sanctions.
If Trump does not initiate the second round of the tariff war, Powell will not lower interest rates; if tax increases stop, the U.S. economy may collapse (lacking new expansion support); if the dollar depreciates significantly, consumer confidence will be hard to boost. The secondary contradiction is that 72% of the U.S. GDP relies on the service industry; depreciation may exacerbate capital flight. The last non-farm payroll data was falsified precisely to delay the interest rate cut in July. The world is shifting from an incremental market to a stock game in the U.S., China, and Europe supply chains, with aging intensifying competition. The central bank continues to increase gold holdings, with the core logic being to build a firewall against the $36 trillion debt risk; I personally believe that the NASDAQ will still fall below 16,500 points again, waiting for verification. #山寨季來了？
See original
Chan Theory Central Upgrade: Core Logic of Expansion
(1) Core Definition: The essence of central expansion is the level upgrade after the death of the original center, which must strictly meet: overlapping fluctuation ranges of two centers, and the appearance of the third type of buying and selling points in the secondary level trend.
(2) Structural Characteristics: Unlike expansion, there is no reverse pullback segment in the expansion. Taking the rise as an example, its indicator is that the secondary level trend of the second center breaks through the original central range, and the pullback intersects with the fluctuations of the previous center (not overlapping intervals).
(3) Key Operations: Expansion represents the strengthening of the original trend's power (such as bullish center expansion). After the third type of buying and selling points, the new center directly covers the original range, and the old center is completely invalidated. In this pattern, the new center should be used as a benchmark and viewed according to the trend extension.
(2) Structural Characteristics: Unlike expansion, there is no reverse pullback segment in the expansion. Taking the rise as an example, its indicator is that the secondary level trend of the second center breaks through the original central range, and the pullback intersects with the fluctuations of the previous center (not overlapping intervals).
(3) Key Operations: Expansion represents the strengthening of the original trend's power (such as bullish center expansion). After the third type of buying and selling points, the new center directly covers the original range, and the old center is completely invalidated. In this pattern, the new center should be used as a benchmark and viewed according to the trend extension.
See original
$BTC The current market is neutral. However, regarding the target of $100,000 mentioned in previous posts, I believe that the price will still drop to this level again. Logically speaking, there is a missing structure that needs to be filled in again.
ETH's current trend is not over yet... If the three buys are established in the next 4 hours, the upward trend will continue; otherwise, it will consolidate on the daily chart.
#加密立法新纪元
ETH's current trend is not over yet... If the three buys are established in the next 4 hours, the upward trend will continue; otherwise, it will consolidate on the daily chart.
#加密立法新纪元
$ETH this rebound trend is essentially the growth structure of an expanding center. Although, from a broader trend perspective, ETH is experiencing a halving structure, after completing the 30-minute center construction, the price will still continue to reach new highs.
The K-line trend is dynamically changing, and the market can update at any time. For traders, it is crucial to enhance sensitivity to subtle changes and strive for foresight.
Taking the upward trend as an example, regardless of how many central price movements there are, there will always be the first type of buying point before the first one, followed by the formation of the second type of buying point. After the last center, there will definitely be a first type of selling point, followed by the formation of the second type of selling point. The intermediate process is merely upgrading small centers into large centers, or adding a few small centers within a large center, making it difficult for everyone to find direction. This is the essence of trading.
#比特币巨鲸动向
The K-line trend is dynamically changing, and the market can update at any time. For traders, it is crucial to enhance sensitivity to subtle changes and strive for foresight.
Taking the upward trend as an example, regardless of how many central price movements there are, there will always be the first type of buying point before the first one, followed by the formation of the second type of buying point. After the last center, there will definitely be a first type of selling point, followed by the formation of the second type of selling point. The intermediate process is merely upgrading small centers into large centers, or adding a few small centers within a large center, making it difficult for everyone to find direction. This is the essence of trading.
#比特币巨鲸动向
See original
Technical Architecture
Data Layer: Real-time collection of multi-dimensional market features, including trading market, order book depth, and transaction volumes;
Decision Layer: AI inference services deployed on high-availability servers, responsible for generating trading instructions in real-time;
Feedback Layer: Local/cloud caching of trading logs and strategy execution data, periodically synchronized for AI fine-tuning;
Execution System: Executes orders in Maker mode through a universal trading interface, enjoying ultra-low fees; triggers a small amount of Taker matching during stop-loss.
Risk Control and Monitoring
Position and Capital Management: Single multi-position ≤ 2% of total capital, empty position ≤ 50% of total multi-position;
Loss Summary Control:
Automatic stop-loss when a single multi-position reaches 60% floating loss;
If all long positions have triggered stop-loss, and the cumulative total loss does not exceed 5% of the principal, the system continues to operate;
Once cumulative loss ≥ 5%, no new positions will be opened for the entire day, waiting for a review.
#比特币巨鲸动向
Data Layer: Real-time collection of multi-dimensional market features, including trading market, order book depth, and transaction volumes;
Decision Layer: AI inference services deployed on high-availability servers, responsible for generating trading instructions in real-time;
Feedback Layer: Local/cloud caching of trading logs and strategy execution data, periodically synchronized for AI fine-tuning;
Execution System: Executes orders in Maker mode through a universal trading interface, enjoying ultra-low fees; triggers a small amount of Taker matching during stop-loss.
Risk Control and Monitoring
Position and Capital Management: Single multi-position ≤ 2% of total capital, empty position ≤ 50% of total multi-position;
Loss Summary Control:
Automatic stop-loss when a single multi-position reaches 60% floating loss;
If all long positions have triggered stop-loss, and the cumulative total loss does not exceed 5% of the principal, the system continues to operate;
Once cumulative loss ≥ 5%, no new positions will be opened for the entire day, waiting for a review.
#比特币巨鲸动向
Cryptocurrency Market Making Strategy:
Manbridge's AI-based intraday high-frequency market making trading system captures tiny profits through a large number of small transactions and wins by trading volume. The system enjoys ultra-low transaction fee advantages by relying on the Maker order model; it uses AI models to judge market bullish and bearish trends in real-time, intelligently adjusting entry and exit decisions; and continuously fine-tunes and optimizes strategies through daily trading results and AI predicted closed-loop feedback.
Market Opportunities
High Liquidity Market: The liquidity of the digital asset market continues to improve, providing stable arbitrage opportunities for market making strategies.
Fee Advantages: The pure Maker model enjoys ultra-low transaction fees, significantly reducing costs and allowing small profits to be scalable.
AI Self-Adaptation: An online feedback mechanism is introduced, enabling the system to evolve with market changes and quickly adapt to different market environments.
Core Strategy
1. High-Frequency Market Making Cycle
Long Position Cycle: When AI determines that the current trend is bullish, it continuously and quickly opens and closes long positions, locking in a small profit of 0.2%–0.8%;
Long Position Risk Control: The maximum floating loss for a single long position is controlled at 60%, strictly limiting principal risk.
2. Short Position Hedge Mechanism
Conditional Short Opening: Short positions are only opened after holding a certain number of long positions, using the minimum unit to hedge against bullish risks;
Short Position Limit: Short positions do not exceed 50% of the current total long positions, and profits are made through short trading to hedge risks when prices fall.
3. Fast Entry and Exit Process
Bulk Order Entry: All positions are quickly entered using order placements;
Tiny Profit Closing: The closing price is set as the cost price + target tiny profit, and slight fluctuations can trigger it, quickly releasing funds for the next round.
#山寨季何时到来？
Manbridge's AI-based intraday high-frequency market making trading system captures tiny profits through a large number of small transactions and wins by trading volume. The system enjoys ultra-low transaction fee advantages by relying on the Maker order model; it uses AI models to judge market bullish and bearish trends in real-time, intelligently adjusting entry and exit decisions; and continuously fine-tunes and optimizes strategies through daily trading results and AI predicted closed-loop feedback.
Market Opportunities
High Liquidity Market: The liquidity of the digital asset market continues to improve, providing stable arbitrage opportunities for market making strategies.
Fee Advantages: The pure Maker model enjoys ultra-low transaction fees, significantly reducing costs and allowing small profits to be scalable.
AI Self-Adaptation: An online feedback mechanism is introduced, enabling the system to evolve with market changes and quickly adapt to different market environments.
Core Strategy
1. High-Frequency Market Making Cycle
Long Position Cycle: When AI determines that the current trend is bullish, it continuously and quickly opens and closes long positions, locking in a small profit of 0.2%–0.8%;
Long Position Risk Control: The maximum floating loss for a single long position is controlled at 60%, strictly limiting principal risk.
2. Short Position Hedge Mechanism
Conditional Short Opening: Short positions are only opened after holding a certain number of long positions, using the minimum unit to hedge against bullish risks;
Short Position Limit: Short positions do not exceed 50% of the current total long positions, and profits are made through short trading to hedge risks when prices fall.
3. Fast Entry and Exit Process
Bulk Order Entry: All positions are quickly entered using order placements;
Tiny Profit Closing: The closing price is set as the cost price + target tiny profit, and slight fluctuations can trigger it, quickly releasing funds for the next round.
#山寨季何时到来？
Login to explore more contents