白色小短袍

In retrospect, my observation is that the so-called BTC disaster may actually belong to the cryptocurrency disaster. The more I look, the more it matches.
Since December, when the main force started to build a historical peak, I saw LAH sell a total of one million BTC to the market. In January, Binance followed with more sell-offs, adding up to a total sell-off of nearly three million BTC by large institutions during this peak-building period (historical data can be checked; I'm sure everyone remembers vividly).

During this period, it could be felt that the main force thought they could suppress BTC and attempted to let BTC drop. In several attempts to suppress it, they also learned that BTC is not easy to collapse.
Subsequently, the main force thought of a way to make BTC collapse, which was to target other coins' liquidity pools, so they began to shift focus to altcoins and ETH. The main force knew that by letting altcoins crash to zero, it would create panic across the entire cryptocurrency market, dragging down BTC without needing to suppress it directly.
I believe the main force is also gradually identifying weaknesses; the disaster belongs to the cryptocurrency market, not just BTC. The way to suppress BTC is to crash ETH and altcoins, create profits, and then enter BTC.

Initially, I kept thinking that the main force was just trying to suppress BTC, but the more I looked, the more I felt that the main force was targeting weaknesses, and thus BTC became not the primary target of attack, which naturally leads to BTC's decline.
Therefore, the disaster message observed on January 25 indicated
"Either BTC surges, or ETH and altcoins collapse"
which is indeed very consistent, and we are currently in the second disaster phase.

From this logic, future situations can be anticipated: the price of BTC is not the focus. Regardless of how the cryptocurrency market is suppressed, there is no so-called concern for BTC's price. Because the main force is suppressing ETH and altcoins.

This statement may be confusing to some. It means that if ETH is going to 1000, it does not imply that BTC will reach 80k. For BTC, whether it goes to 80k or not is irrelevant,
because the main force is not speculating on BTC, but rather on ETH and altcoins; BTC is just affected. One cannot consider the affected area as the main cause of the issue.
This is similar to the explanation of event emptiness; your tomorrow is determined by others. The chance of having a tomorrow for yourself is 30%, but for those who decide whether you have a tomorrow, it is either 0% or 100%.