薛昀辰C

Monday evening, speaking clearly and plainly!
Should have eaten meat by now?
On the plate 85700 rise, 84400 exit
Eating down 1300 of the decline! $BTC #巨鲸动向 #美国半导体关税

Deliveries are made to the 85000 area at noon, with 700 points in place! In a fluctuating market, both long and short operations have profit opportunities; the key lies in the entry position. If the position is chosen well, the operations will be more confident.

Tonight, pay close attention to the 85500-86200 resistance level. If it cannot break through, there will be a short-term pullback with a target down to the 83800 area.

After Bitcoin surged to the upper boundary of 86100 on the 4-hour chart yesterday, there was a pullback. Today, the price quickly surged again. The fluctuations at this stage are normal, as we exchange time for space. There have already been two tests of the middle line today, where support has been found to stop the decline and rebound. For the market to weaken and move downward, the middle line is the first position that needs to be broken. Currently, the continuation of long and short positions is insufficient, and the pattern remains weak in the background. For intraday operations, maintain a high short and low long strategy. At present, we can rely on the upper resistance of 85500-86200, with a target looking down at 83800-82300, touching but not breaking.
$BTC #巨鲸动向 #美国半导体关税 #MichaelSaylor暗示增持BTC

It seems this Monday is going to be another 'black' one. Recently, affected by unreliable factors, a series of emotional fluctuations combined with buying pressure have led to a washout. The night before last, Trump announced a tariff exemption policy, and as soon as this news broke, the market surged immediately. The price of the currency shot up to the 86100 area in one go. Initially, it was thought that Monday could take advantage of the positive news, but in the end, it caught everyone off guard. It appears to be a united front, but in reality, internal information leaks frequently ahead of time, causing an imbalance in market expectations, which has happened before. The script of the 90-day tariff suspension has just been played out. The market has also been quite choppy these days, and short-term traders should try to wait to avoid being caught off guard!

The rumors about electronic equipment tariffs have not yet settled, and then they were personally denied by Ater, turning what should have been a quietly released positive signal into a chaotic signal on stage. The result is: those that should rise dare not rise, and those that should stabilize dare not stabilize. Ater and Lutnick operate as if they are a duo operating system of the Federal Reserve and Powell, frequently disrupting their own market rhythm. Overall, the market is currently in a very delicate stage. Positive news can bring short-term rebounds, but there is heavy pressure above; negative news may trigger violent fluctuations. In this environment, the best strategy is to control positions.

Looking at today, the pressure at 86700 has not been broken, and the short-term 4-hour chart has shown obvious signs of overbought on the right side. As it approaches 86700, it is nearing the end of the rebound. The upper track of the Bollinger system has already come under pressure, and the moving averages have not crossed above. If today continues to follow the 4-hour channel with adjustments and washouts, it is highly likely to return to this downward channel, repeating yesterday's washout and today's washout situation! The biggest risk now is not the technical aspect but the policy news aspect, which is unpredictable.

Therefore, in short-term operations, the focus should still be on shorting, with the upper area relying on 84000-84800 as a support level, targeting the lower area of 82200-81300.

The United States has started to stir things up again!!!

The tariff exemptions were seen by us as the end of the tariff increases, but in fact, it is only temporary. The main goal is to reduce national debt yields before the trade war. The U.S. Secretary of Commerce stated at the meeting that electronics tariffs "will be restored in a month or two," with no timetable, adding uncertainty to the market about what the future holds, which is quite unclear!

The White House will announce tariffs on semiconductor/technology products next month, and this uncertainty is causing confusion in the market. Trump's tariff measures have seen a series of reversals, leading to a massive sell-off in the $29 trillion U.S. Treasury market last week.

It is very likely that more information on Trump's semiconductor tariffs tomorrow will involve reclassification rather than reductions!

There are too many uncertainties during this period; operations must be cautious to avoid getting trapped or swept away by news. A double kill in both directions, with significant fluctuations.

Brothers, let's take off together,
Ether clearly indicates to do 1570,
Short-term target 70 points!
Simple and clear, stick to the plan!$BTC #巨鲸动向 #特朗普暂停新关税

Precise strategy, needs to be executed! Have a dream,
then keep it simple!
Just two words. Trust. 👆The car is to fly together!
Evening clear prompt 83500 to do more,
accurately hit, already 1200 points in the account! $BTC #巨鲸动向 #特朗普暂停新关税

"This is not a permanent exemption"

In other words, the knife is always in my hand, and whether I stab you depends on your performance!?

Brothers, the current price of Bitcoin is 83500, lightly open a position and aim for 1500-2500 points! $BTC #特朗普暂停新关税 #巨鲸动向 #

On Sunday, a brand new analysis outline of Bitcoin and Ethereum's trends for next week!

These days have gradually built a bottom, with the market testing up and down; sometimes it feels like it's sleeping soundly on the floor, and sometimes it seems eager to break through the floor and leap down. But the market is almost there now, and there's no need to panic; Trump has played all his cards, and there are no cards left. It's time to support the financial industry. As long as interest rates can be lowered normally in June and July of the second half of the year, the U.S. stock market and the cryptocurrency market are sure to welcome a surge. The previous price level of $75,000 is likely to be the iron bottom.

From on-chain data, whales have quietly purchased 26,000 Bitcoins, with costs all controlled below $78,000. This is undoubtedly a precise operation by experienced buyers who are already preparing for the next round of surges.

At this stage, although Bitcoin has risen significantly, the price has returned to the $85,000 area, indicating that the overall market does not want to go down. A preliminary three-week reversal seems to be forming, but currently, this reversal strength is still insufficient. It needs to oscillate at this position for a while. If it can stabilize, the next resistance levels will be $88,000-$92,000. As it stands, reaching these levels does not seem to be a difficult task. According to the current trend, it seems to have arrived; we are just waiting for the timing of the interest rate cut bull market to begin.

Trend trading focuses on certain market conditions. The most important thing is to grasp the reversal signals for entry points and position management. Just pay attention to entry and exit points while ignoring the process in between.

Bitcoin trading suggestions: After a pullback to $82,000-$83,500, patiently wait for Bitcoin to reach the $86,600-$88,000 range. If there is a volume-reduced rise or a spike test, you can basically commission a trial entry. If it reaches without any reversal signal or without a decrease in volume, continue to wait; $92,000 will be the second target level. In trend trading, always follow the trend, keep an eye on the strength of the rise. Once it shows weakness or a reversal signal appears, immediately take profit and exit. The essence of trading is to bet on probabilities, so the core of trading is not whether you can win or lose once, but whether you can achieve profitability over the long term. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #巨鲸动向 #特朗普暂停新关税

On Sunday afternoon, after Trump's tariff concessions, Ether surged like Bitcoin, reaching a high of 1670. It has stabilized above 1600 in the short term, and 1700 is definitely within reach. Currently, it has a certain soothing effect on the altcoin market; its wave of extreme conditions will also drive the rise of other altcoins. This can be considered a short-term barometer. The market still has a favorable sentiment, so the focus is on low positions. The support zone can rely on the 1570-1600 area, with the target looking at the upper 1670-1700 region. $BTC #加密市场反弹 #巨鲸动向 #特朗普暂停新关税

On Sunday afternoon, last night, Ater announced the tariff exemption policy. Influenced by this positive news, Bitcoin surged in the morning, reaching a high of 86100. We publicly suggested going long at 85000 in the morning, which provided a 1000-point gain. However, it is important to pay extra attention to the market sentiment before the US stock market opens tonight and tomorrow; the sentiment is definitely positive, and a bullish outlook can be considered. However, based on URPD data, if 85000 holds, there are still resistance levels at 86600 and 87700 above. Meanwhile, ETH has also reached the resistance level around 1650-1700, and SOL's resistance is around 135-138. The values are not necessarily 100% absolute.

Don't forget that BTC's price has risen from 75 and 76, increasing by 10000 USD. It is inevitable that some of the previous bottom-picking will be sold off, and do you all remember that period at the end of March? It has not been able to break and hold around 88000. Therefore, we still need to treat this rationally.

However, the impact of such news brings a certain positive sentiment in the short term. Tomorrow is likely not to be a "Black Monday"; US stock futures should be able to rise in the morning.

Therefore, for short-term operations, it is still mainly about going long, with support in the 83500-84000 area as a basis for going long, targeting the 86600-87700 area above. $BTC #特朗普暂停新关税 #加密市场反弹 #巨鲸动向

On Sunday morning, yesterday's short selling turned out to be a disaster, Lao Xue was rubbed against the floor, completely the wrong direction. There’s no need to deny anything, when being hit, one should stand at attention; I accept everyone's criticism! However, those trolls don’t need to gloat and watch the show like bystanders. Having stop-loss orders is normal, and being stopped out is nothing to be psychologically dark about; it’s always a sarcastic attitude.

Yesterday, I can only say that Ater is too skilled. Just the day before yesterday, he had just suspended all equivalent tariffs for 90 days, and everyone thought it was the start of the China-US trade war. Today, Ater announced that there will be no 10% basic tariff on mobile phones, computers, and other components, and even China's 125% retaliatory tariffs were exempted. Of course, there is still a 20% tariff on China due to fentanyl! After the news broke, the overall market showed an upward trend, which should also provide considerable encouragement for the opening of US stocks on Monday. This indicates that Ater's tariff policy is more of a bargaining chip for negotiation, rather than a heavy-handed approach.

Currently, from a technical structure perspective, the four-hour chart shows a stable wave-like upward structure from the neckline, breaking the high points to form a one-sided acceleration. The current high position continues to show strong strength with consecutive bullish candles, and there is no obvious retracement low point. The daily line’s lowest point is already far from the 83000 level, while the resistance from the high point has shifted to support around 85000. In terms of the short-term strong upward movement, the rise is quick with small retracements, and today’s short line will continue to extend appropriately. As long as the short line holds the broken high point support, we can continue to look for extended bullish opportunities.

Therefore, in terms of short-term operations, the focus is on low buy positions, with support around the 84500-85000 area for buying, targeting the upper range of 86800-88800.

$BTC Ah, recently the technical analysts

have been deeply hurt by Trump! #加密市场反弹 #特朗普暂停新关税

The market is celebrating Trump's tariff exemptions on mobile phones, computers, and chips! The crypto market is cheering early, but in the end, Trump compromised. #加密市场反弹 #特朗普暂停新关税 $BTC

If you wrap yourself in a Bitcoin quilt, people will criticize you. When you are right, no one pays attention, so what’s there to panic about? Enter the market, maintain your defenses, and there’s nothing to worry about. The trend is not as strong as you think, just wait for the pullback! $BTC #特朗普暂停新关税 #加密市场反弹

On Saturday evening, oscillating rebound around 84600,
the rhythm is still biased towards the range,
the current price is directly soaring, looking back at the 83000 area! $BTC #加密市场反弹 #特朗普暂停新关税

Bitcoin is expected to experience a wave of volatile correction next, with short-term prices fluctuating between 82,500 and 83,800. The reason has been explained yesterday; the impact of news has temporarily dissipated, and both China and the U.S. are building relations. The Federal Reserve is currently observing, focusing on the economic outcomes and their execution.

Currently, there isn't anything significant happening on the macro front, but geopolitical risks have not calmed down. Negotiations between the U.S. and Iran are ongoing, and if they break down, based on Trump's previous statements, military action is highly likely. Israel is taking the lead, with the U.S. providing support from behind. This is not a joke; the USS Eisenhower aircraft carrier has already moved closer to the Middle East, and several B2 bombers have been on standby at U.S. military bases in the Indian Ocean for the past few weeks. Such geopolitical risks are like a ticking time bomb, potentially detonating the market at any moment.

Overall, the market is currently in a very delicate phase. Positive news can bring about a short-term rebound, but there is significant pressure above; negative news may trigger severe fluctuations, but there is also support below. In this environment, the best strategy is to control your positions, and not to bet everything. Mainstream currencies can be appropriately allocated, while altcoins should be approached with caution. Remember, in this kind of market, surviving is more important than making money. It’s not too late to increase positions once the trend becomes truly clear.

Yesterday's rebound has nearly cleared out the short positions. Even if Bitcoin rises to 92,000 in the short term, it can only explode 1.7 billion dollars; conversely, if it drops to 74,000, it can crash more than 3.1 billion dollars. If you were a dog fund, what would you do? #加密市场反弹 #特朗普暂停新关税 $BTC

In the early morning, the White House stated that Trump is willing to reach an agreement with China to ease tensions. Continue to monitor developments. At 2 AM, Bitcoin peaked at around 84,300, still held down by 85,000, as mentioned yesterday.

There shouldn't be any major negative news until the end of the month. However, that doesn't mean it can continue to rise; not to mention any positive news, those who bought at around 7,500 will definitely want to sell. So the price will still be pressured, and even if 8,500 breaks through and stabilizes, there’s still 87,700, which is a level that was not previously broken and stabilized. So it may continue to fluctuate.

Then at the end of the month, there are GDP data and PCE data. Especially the GDP data, if it can't be met, will trigger risk-averse sentiment. After that, in May, we will look at April's economic indicators and employment data. Note that this inflation data includes tariffs.

Now it seems that various macroeconomic data and market performance indicate an economic slowdown. If old Powell puts interest rate cuts on the agenda, it will likely lead the market to believe that you are afraid of a recession, hence the rate cut.

So this logic is different from the rate cuts in September last year; such emergency rate cuts would not be beneficial for risk markets (U.S. stocks and BTC). #加密市场反弹 #特朗普暂停新关税 $BTC #币安投票上币