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$SOL Today's highest reached 208.62, indicating a short-term adjustment after the rise. The current price is below the key resistance zone (205-208); it needs to break through this area to further challenge the target level of 213.

205 is the short-term breakout target; if broken, it may test the range of 208-213.

213 is the previous dense trading area; if broken, it may accelerate the rise to 230.

• If it fails to break 205 or falls below the support at 196, it may retract to 190, delaying the achievement of the 213 target.

• Entry timing: when the price stabilizes above 205 and the trading volume increases, lightly follow up.

• Target levels: 213 first target, 230 second target.
• Stop loss: below 198 (to prevent false breakouts).

• Retracement strategy:
• Buy point: if it falls to the range of 196-198 and stabilizes, consider building positions in batches with volume confirmation.
• Stop loss: below 190.

It is recommended to closely monitor changes in trading volume and the trends of BTC/ETH, and adjust positions flexibly.

Analysis of the Main Reasons for the Decline of $SOL
• MACD Indicator: Bearish market confirmed, histogram continues to extend negative values, dead cross pattern not reversed
• Volume-Price Divergence: Trading volume did not significantly increase during the price decline, indicating a lack of bottom-fishing funds intervention
• 179 serves as dual support from the lower Bollinger Band and a psychological level; a breach may accelerate the decline
• If the price holds above the 179 support, a light long position may be attempted, with a stop-loss set below 175
• Bearish Opportunity: If the price rebounds to the 190-193 resistance range (previous day's dense trading zone) and shows signs of stagnation, consider hedging risks
Support Level 179.0
Resistance Level 193.0
• Subsequent Downward Risk: If the 179 support is lost, a quick drop to the 170-173 range may occur
Current market sentiment is bearish; it is advised to control positions and strictly set stop-losses to avoid operating against the trend.

$SOL (1-3 days) 190 has broken the next target of 165. If market sentiment further deteriorates, it may test the psychological support level of 150
(1-2 weeks) If the market remains weak, it may fall to 140-130
Key support level 169 recent low
If the price breaks below 174 down to 152

From now on, we should go down; going up is just a point of rebound.

Probably rise to around 189 and not go up further

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$SOL Current Support: Approximately 197 is a short-term psychological level; if it breaks below, it may drop to 128 (lower boundary of the channel).
• Upper Resistance: 210 is a critical watershed; a breakthrough needs to be accompanied by increased trading volume and positive ecological news.

Currently, the volatility of SOL is still constrained by weak technicals and insufficient market confidence. It is recommended to closely monitor the breakout direction in the 142-210 range.

$SOL If there is currently a gap
Long Position Suggestions

• Buy Point One: If the price retraces to the 190-192 range (close to the recent support level of 193.35) and the 15-minute RSI rises above 40, consider taking a light long position.

• Buy Point Two: If the price breaks through the 200 round number with an increase in trading volume, you may add to your position, targeting the 205-210 area.

• Suggested Stop Loss: Set below 188 (below the recent support level of 193.35) to control risk.

Short Position Suggestions
• Sell Point One: If the price encounters resistance in the 196-198 range (close to the resistance level of 193.35) and the 1-hour RSI breaks above 70 entering the overbought zone, consider attempting a short position.

• Sell Point Two: If the price breaks below 190 with an increase in trading volume, you may add to your short position, targeting the 185-180 area.

• Stop Loss: Suggested to set above 198 (above the recent high of 193.35)

Key Support and Resistance Levels.
• Support Level: 190-185 (on-chain data shows 165 as strong support)

• Resistance Level: 200, 205 (significant pressure near historical highs)

• Risk Warning: The current market is highly volatile, closely monitor on-chain data (such as 43% of holders are in a loss state) and changes in technical indicators.

• It is recommended to build positions in batches to avoid heavy single operations.

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$SOL Conservative Strategy: Buy-in Points
If the price retraces to the 170-173 support range and does not increase in volume, one can build positions in batches, with a stop loss set below 167.

• Target Price: First target 180, after breaking through look for 186-190.

2. Aggressive Strategy
• Breakout Signal: If there is increased volume above 178 and a MACD golden cross, one can liquidate and try going long, with a stop loss at 175.

• Risk Warning: Market reactions need to be closely monitored after the token unlock in August to avoid chasing highs and panic selling.

• Ideal Buying Timing: Stabilization around 170 or a volume breakout above 178.

• Key Observation Indicators: Changes in trading volume, institutional fund flows, and market absorption capacity after the token unlock.

You are guessing, this method is not acceptable.

High probability 160-170 low

Resistance level for $SOL : 187.22 is the short-term resistance level, and if broken, it may further rise to the 192.200 area

Options Hedging

I am not a teacher, just a personal suggestion: immediately add margin. The current price is close to the liquidation line of 4.310.45 (with a 50x leverage, the remaining safety margin is only 1.2%). If the price rises further to above 4.300, at least 20% additional margin is required to maintain the position. Set a dynamic stop-loss and adjust the stop-loss to the 4.200 area (a drop of 1.4% from the current price) to avoid extreme fluctuations triggering forced liquidation. If you are optimistic about Ethereum's long-term trend, it is advisable to reduce leverage to below 20x and adjust the liquidation price to around 3.900.

$SOL If it breaks 180, it may pull back near 175

Analysis of $SOL Coin's Trend Forecast After August 2025
1. Short-term Technical Analysis from August to December 2025
Price Range: Most analyses believe that SOL will fluctuate in the range of 162-345 in the short term, with key support at 150-162 and resistance at 182-200!

• Rebound Signal: If it breaks through the 200-day moving average, it could initiate a new round of upward targets at 258-345

• Risk Warning: If it falls below 150, it could further drop to around 138

2. Long-term Outlook for the Entire Year of 2025 and Beyond, Conservative Forecasts, Some Institutions Believe that $SOL May Stabilize at 280-320, Mainly Based on Technical Indicators and On-chain Data

• Optimistic Forecast: If the SOL ecosystem expands (for example, market share increases from 15% to 22%), the price may break through 500-520

• Extreme Scenario: If market sentiment surges coupled with technical breakthroughs (for example, AI smart contracts being implemented), SOL could hit high prices of 344-520 USD

3. Operational Recommendations
• Short-term Trading: If the price stabilizes above 182, a light long position can be attempted, with a stop loss set at 150, target 200-258

• Long-term Holding: It is recommended to build a position in batches, focusing on ecosystem development and policy trends, and if it breaks through 300 USD, it can increase the position

Risk Warning: Cryptocurrencies are significantly volatile, and position allocation should be based on personal risk preferences

The probability of breaking 188 USD tonight for $SOL is about 50%. It is recommended to closely monitor the volume changes between 8-10 PM and the BTC correlation effect

$SOL

Key Events and Risk Points to Focus on from August 10 to August 12, 2025
August 12 is an important time window for China-US tariff negotiations. If the negotiation results are not as expected, it may trigger market risk aversion, putting short-term pressure on risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

I see it this way too