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The 4-hour level of Bitcoin and SUI is still in a downtrend, but the downtrend is weakening. We consider both shorting and longing directions 🤔
⚠️ If the downtrend is confirmed, from the perspective of trading volume, the 'gap' in the cumulative volume below the prices of Bitcoin and SUI is the largest, indicating the least resistance to further decline, making it suitable for shorting.
⚠️ If it continues upward, from the perspective of resistance above, Ethereum, SOL, and DOGE are more suitable for longing, providing more room for growth.
1 is to wait for clearer signals; 2 is to observe the signals of the cryptocurrencies you are familiar with, prioritizing trades in those with higher market capitalization and that you are familiar with.
$BTC
$SUI
⚠️ If the downtrend is confirmed, from the perspective of trading volume, the 'gap' in the cumulative volume below the prices of Bitcoin and SUI is the largest, indicating the least resistance to further decline, making it suitable for shorting.
⚠️ If it continues upward, from the perspective of resistance above, Ethereum, SOL, and DOGE are more suitable for longing, providing more room for growth.
1 is to wait for clearer signals; 2 is to observe the signals of the cryptocurrencies you are familiar with, prioritizing trades in those with higher market capitalization and that you are familiar with.
$BTC
$SUI
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Strategy
First, master these three simple points.
It’s not like you can’t make money
Hang it up to remind yourself
——————
From the Great Road to the Simple
Mentality first, technology second
It’s not like you can’t make money
Hang it up to remind yourself
——————
From the Great Road to the Simple
Mentality first, technology second
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Forward some long-term investment insights
10 Investment Insights Every Investor Must Know
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The Logic Behind the Fluctuations of Stablecoins
The fluctuations of btc/eth are now determined by the Americans.
How can we determine through simple signals whether the Americans are increasing their positions to buy or sell?
Since the most traded mainstream trading pair in the crypto market is usdt, but the Americans deposit and withdraw using usdc.
Therefore, through the slight fluctuations in the price of usdc,
if the Americans are increasing their positions or plotting to buy in a stealthy manner, it will manifest as selling usdc to exchange for usdt, causing the price of usdc to drop, and btc/eth is very likely to rise.
If usdc rises, it indicates that the Americans are selling btc/eth to obtain a large amount of usdt, and then selling usdt to buy usdc, which manifests as an increase in the price of usdc. In this case, it is very likely that the Americans are brewing a bearish scenario or are in the process of selling btc/eth on a large scale.
How can we determine through simple signals whether the Americans are increasing their positions to buy or sell?
Since the most traded mainstream trading pair in the crypto market is usdt, but the Americans deposit and withdraw using usdc.
Therefore, through the slight fluctuations in the price of usdc,
if the Americans are increasing their positions or plotting to buy in a stealthy manner, it will manifest as selling usdc to exchange for usdt, causing the price of usdc to drop, and btc/eth is very likely to rise.
If usdc rises, it indicates that the Americans are selling btc/eth to obtain a large amount of usdt, and then selling usdt to buy usdc, which manifests as an increase in the price of usdc. In this case, it is very likely that the Americans are brewing a bearish scenario or are in the process of selling btc/eth on a large scale.
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#Btc走势
Bitcoin 30-Minute Trend
Currently in the 30-Minute Support's 5th Wave which has not yet completed
Whether it's the 5th wave or the 3rd wave, both can be combined into a wave, and a wave can also be divided into 3 or 5 waves, based on experience analysis
Ethereum 30-Minute Trend in the second image
Ethereum 4-Hour Trend in the third image
UNI's 4-Hour Trend in the fourth image
Only the support line is drawn, no resistance line drawn #支撑位教学 $BTC
Bitcoin 30-Minute Trend
Currently in the 30-Minute Support's 5th Wave which has not yet completed
Whether it's the 5th wave or the 3rd wave, both can be combined into a wave, and a wave can also be divided into 3 or 5 waves, based on experience analysis
Ethereum 30-Minute Trend in the second image
Ethereum 4-Hour Trend in the third image
UNI's 4-Hour Trend in the fourth image
Only the support line is drawn, no resistance line drawn #支撑位教学 $BTC
Today's PNL
2025-04-26
+$357.62
+5.11%
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#The Play of Options
A visual representation of the core logic of options trading!
To help my brothers understand, I specially created this guide.
To help my brothers understand, I specially created this guide.
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#震荡回调 #ETH
Around 3:30 PM on April 24
Compare the trends on April 24 and March 20 in one chart
4-hour water pullback compared to #30-minute pullback
Currently, the 4-hour trend shows a water pullback, the intensity won't be too great
The trend on March 20 is very similar to today's trend
The second chart is a comparison of the 30-minute trend, there might still be one or two more bottom tests
However, currently it is a first buy, second bottom test, which is a second buy #加密市场反弹
Around 3:30 PM on April 24
Compare the trends on April 24 and March 20 in one chart
4-hour water pullback compared to #30-minute pullback
Currently, the 4-hour trend shows a water pullback, the intensity won't be too great
The trend on March 20 is very similar to today's trend
The second chart is a comparison of the 30-minute trend, there might still be one or two more bottom tests
However, currently it is a first buy, second bottom test, which is a second buy #加密市场反弹
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#SWARMSUSDT
Quickly getting to zero, down 90%, does it need to rise 900% to break even?
Quickly getting to zero, down 90%, does it need to rise 900% to break even?
My 30 Days' PNL
2025-03-25~2025-04-23
+$5,056.56
+1270129.17%
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#震荡or突破
The weekly candlestick trend, MACD, and WR trends are very consistent.
The daily chart is also in a small range of fluctuations, waiting to see if it can break through the small range and break the top of the large range, forming a resonant breakout.
Whether we can pull a large bullish candle to break through is crucial. $ETH
This wave breaks 2100, which confirms the reversal.
The weekly candlestick trend, MACD, and WR trends are very consistent.
The daily chart is also in a small range of fluctuations, waiting to see if it can break through the small range and break the top of the large range, forming a resonant breakout.
Whether we can pull a large bullish candle to break through is crucial. $ETH
This wave breaks 2100, which confirms the reversal.
My Assets Distribution
SHIB
PAXG
Others
57.36%
26.66%
15.98%
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Wealth is a manifestation of human nature.
In my thirties, I finally understood the essence of human society.
The essence of human society is that a small portion of people reap the rewards of the majority.
How do we see the lives of the rich?
Live in high-end luxury apartments, ultra-luxury hotels, buy yachts, private jets, enjoy high-end meals, and be with the most beautiful girls.
These things are provided by the lower-level workers.
They take the fruits of the labor of most people for their own enjoyment.
And how does all this work?
It cannot be separated from the essence of money.
In fact, behind money is the valuation of labor.
The essence of human society is that a small portion of people reap the rewards of the majority.
How do we see the lives of the rich?
Live in high-end luxury apartments, ultra-luxury hotels, buy yachts, private jets, enjoy high-end meals, and be with the most beautiful girls.
These things are provided by the lower-level workers.
They take the fruits of the labor of most people for their own enjoyment.
And how does all this work?
It cannot be separated from the essence of money.
In fact, behind money is the valuation of labor.
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#Bitcoin and Blockchain
有故事的NPC
--
Back then, Bitcoin was banned nationwide, and people were not allowed to promote it freely.
Community leaders, in order to let the spark of the cryptocurrency world spread,
decided to stop promoting cryptocurrencies and instead promote its technology.
Thus, a great term was born.
It is ——— Blockchain.
From the day we started talking about its technology, the term blockchain swept the globe like a spark.
And when talking about blockchain, we naturally cannot forget its predecessor, Bitcoin.
Of course, the more powerful its technology, the more impressive Bitcoin becomes.
So over the years, Bitcoin's price has risen steadily,
directly soaring to over $100,000 per coin, making it the asset with the highest appreciation rate globally over the years.
Blockchain is praised to be miraculous, but many people do not know its specific functions; it feels more like a rumor.
Let me explain what blockchain is really useful for:
1. Financial Sector
Buying and selling cryptocurrencies, contract leverage, staking for interest, and exchanges between cryptocurrencies.
2. Cross-Border Payments
Transfers can be made without the need for third parties or any financial institutions, just relying on a payment address, greatly reducing transaction costs.
3. Property Identity Authentication
Each NFT is unique; NFTs can be used as identification documents or to determine the ownership of intellectual property. (The Indian government collaborates with Hyperledger to develop a blockchain identity system for bank account openings and government services)
4. Asset Issuance
Stablecoins issued can be exchanged 1:1 for US dollars; some projects issue tokens, making them shareholding systems, where holding their tokens can yield various dividends.
5. Supply Chain Management
Recording every step of a product from production to delivery, ensuring transparency and preventing counterfeit goods. (Walmart collaborates with IBM to improve food safety using blockchain technology)
6. Healthcare
(MIT development) Uses blockchain to store patient medical records, allowing patients to control data access, while doctors and hospitals can share information securely, avoiding data silos.
Drug traceability: Pfizer collaborates with IBM to track drugs from production to distribution through blockchain, preventing counterfeit drugs from entering the market.
7. Government Management
Electronic Voting: Estonia and some regions of Switzerland are piloting blockchain voting systems to ensure voting transparency and immutability.
Land Registration: Sweden and Georgia use blockchain to record land ownership, preventing fraud and corruption.
Community leaders, in order to let the spark of the cryptocurrency world spread,
decided to stop promoting cryptocurrencies and instead promote its technology.
Thus, a great term was born.
It is ——— Blockchain.
From the day we started talking about its technology, the term blockchain swept the globe like a spark.
And when talking about blockchain, we naturally cannot forget its predecessor, Bitcoin.
Of course, the more powerful its technology, the more impressive Bitcoin becomes.
So over the years, Bitcoin's price has risen steadily,
directly soaring to over $100,000 per coin, making it the asset with the highest appreciation rate globally over the years.
Blockchain is praised to be miraculous, but many people do not know its specific functions; it feels more like a rumor.
Let me explain what blockchain is really useful for:
1. Financial Sector
Buying and selling cryptocurrencies, contract leverage, staking for interest, and exchanges between cryptocurrencies.
2. Cross-Border Payments
Transfers can be made without the need for third parties or any financial institutions, just relying on a payment address, greatly reducing transaction costs.
3. Property Identity Authentication
Each NFT is unique; NFTs can be used as identification documents or to determine the ownership of intellectual property. (The Indian government collaborates with Hyperledger to develop a blockchain identity system for bank account openings and government services)
4. Asset Issuance
Stablecoins issued can be exchanged 1:1 for US dollars; some projects issue tokens, making them shareholding systems, where holding their tokens can yield various dividends.
5. Supply Chain Management
Recording every step of a product from production to delivery, ensuring transparency and preventing counterfeit goods. (Walmart collaborates with IBM to improve food safety using blockchain technology)
6. Healthcare
(MIT development) Uses blockchain to store patient medical records, allowing patients to control data access, while doctors and hospitals can share information securely, avoiding data silos.
Drug traceability: Pfizer collaborates with IBM to track drugs from production to distribution through blockchain, preventing counterfeit drugs from entering the market.
7. Government Management
Electronic Voting: Estonia and some regions of Switzerland are piloting blockchain voting systems to ensure voting transparency and immutability.
Land Registration: Sweden and Georgia use blockchain to record land ownership, preventing fraud and corruption.
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#止损策略 Many people, when facing losses, can manage to stop losses within a small loss of 20%. Most people can do this, but once the loss exceeds 50%, the default mindset is to add to positions because they have already lost half, and subconsciously they find it hard to accept the stop loss. At this point, the idea of adding positions can override the thinking of stopping losses. This is why many people in the cryptocurrency space can lose 80%-95% and approach zero. It's not that they can't understand the trend; it's that after incurring significant losses, they start to resist the trend. When the losses are too great, it becomes hard to stop losses at the lowest points, and they develop a mentality of luck, ultimately leading to more significant losses. They stubbornly hold on when they lose, and when they make a small profit, they rush to sell without looking at the trend or the trading volume, only focusing on their account's profit and loss ratio. What’s the result? When they lose, they lose terribly, and when they profit, they make pitiful gains. The approach should be the opposite: hold onto profits and quickly stop losses when in the red. My principle for taking profits and stopping losses is simple: take profits at 15%, and if it retreats to 10%, then take profits; if it continues to rise, hold on to let the profits run. Conversely, if it drops after buying and losses exceed 5%, decisively stop losses. As long as you can take profits at 10% and control losses at 5% each time, even if you operate 100 times with only a 50% win rate, your returns can reach 300%. Is it difficult? The difficulty lies not in the method but in whether you can conquer your own greed and fear.
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#加密市场反弹 Market Alert: Bitcoin May Trigger a Chain Reaction of Liquidations!
According to on-chain data, Bitcoin is at a liquidation tipping point:
Once it breaks through $86,000, the cumulative liquidation intensity of short positions on major exchanges could reach $577 million! Shorts may be completely crushed, and a sharp upward movement may occur in the short term.
If it unexpectedly falls below $83,000, $1.522 billion in long positions would face liquidation, potentially triggering a severe sell-off, leading to the retreat of bulls!
The current market situation is like standing on a powder keg; any breach of a key range could trigger a waterfall or rocket-like instant market movement!
Manage your positions well to win from a distance! #加密市场反弹 #Whale Movements #DOGE #Binance Voting for New Listings #Protect Your Assets
According to on-chain data, Bitcoin is at a liquidation tipping point:
Once it breaks through $86,000, the cumulative liquidation intensity of short positions on major exchanges could reach $577 million! Shorts may be completely crushed, and a sharp upward movement may occur in the short term.
If it unexpectedly falls below $83,000, $1.522 billion in long positions would face liquidation, potentially triggering a severe sell-off, leading to the retreat of bulls!
The current market situation is like standing on a powder keg; any breach of a key range could trigger a waterfall or rocket-like instant market movement!
Manage your positions well to win from a distance! #加密市场反弹 #Whale Movements #DOGE #Binance Voting for New Listings #Protect Your Assets
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#Tariffs
Crypto飞哥
--
Trump's Tariffs: Many people still do not understand what tariffs mean; they only know it's bad news. Let me explain in simple terms.
First, let's explain what a tariff is.
For a simple example.
Assume China produces a mobile phone and exports it to the United States, with a selling price of 7,000 RMB. If we calculate at an exchange rate of 7:1, the price of this mobile phone in the U.S. market would be $1,000.
At this point, if Trump imposes a 30% tariff on Chinese goods, the price of this mobile phone in the U.S. market will directly rise to $1,300.
The additional $300 is equivalent to the U.S. government's "cut."
After Trump raised tariffs, the increase in mobile phone prices may lead to a decrease in sales. The performance of mobile phone manufacturers also faces the risk of declining, which could lead to a stock price crash.
If mobile phone manufacturers want to maintain their market share in the U.S., they will have to lower prices. For example, if they export the phone at a price of $800, after adding a 30% tariff, the selling price would still be just over $1,000, allowing them to maintain sales.
But the problem is, after the mobile phone manufacturers lower prices, their profits decrease, and they will similarly face the misfortune of declining performance and plummeting stock prices.
No matter how they try to maneuver, mobile phone exporters cannot escape a significant drop in stock prices!
Asian countries, especially Japan, export many products to the U.S. Under Trump's tariffs and bombarding policies, company profits will face unprecedented impacts.
First, let's explain what a tariff is.
For a simple example.
Assume China produces a mobile phone and exports it to the United States, with a selling price of 7,000 RMB. If we calculate at an exchange rate of 7:1, the price of this mobile phone in the U.S. market would be $1,000.
At this point, if Trump imposes a 30% tariff on Chinese goods, the price of this mobile phone in the U.S. market will directly rise to $1,300.
The additional $300 is equivalent to the U.S. government's "cut."
After Trump raised tariffs, the increase in mobile phone prices may lead to a decrease in sales. The performance of mobile phone manufacturers also faces the risk of declining, which could lead to a stock price crash.
If mobile phone manufacturers want to maintain their market share in the U.S., they will have to lower prices. For example, if they export the phone at a price of $800, after adding a 30% tariff, the selling price would still be just over $1,000, allowing them to maintain sales.
But the problem is, after the mobile phone manufacturers lower prices, their profits decrease, and they will similarly face the misfortune of declining performance and plummeting stock prices.
No matter how they try to maneuver, mobile phone exporters cannot escape a significant drop in stock prices!
Asian countries, especially Japan, export many products to the U.S. Under Trump's tariffs and bombarding policies, company profits will face unprecedented impacts.
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