星冉分析

I initially thought the weekend market would pass steadily, but unexpectedly, events related to Trump triggered severe market fluctuations (intense market long and short battles), resulting in a large bearish candle on the weekly K-line. In the current weak market structure, this downward trend often has continuity, and any intraday rebound can be seen as a short-selling signal. Based on the current situation, 100,000 is by no means the bottom of this round of decline; I tentatively set the target near the middle of the weekly line at 95,000.

From the 4-hour perspective, a large bearish candle has completely established a short-term bearish pattern. During the subsequent rebound process, the price encountered resistance and fell back, indicating a lack of bullish momentum. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward like a waterfall, the indicators are showing a continuous death cross divergence, and the bearish momentum is strong, with multiple technical indicators continuously releasing bearish signals.

Currently, although the price of Bitcoin has seen a slight rebound, the strength is weak. Therefore, subsequent operations are recommended to focus on a high-short strategy.
Operational advice: Start with a light position to short around 101,000 -- add to the short position around 101,500. Overall position control should not exceed 30%. The target is set at 100,000 - for positions greater than 50,000 USD, consider a medium-term layout.

At this point, the only option is to short the market; any form of bottom fishing is bound to be like hitting the beach, and will be directly crushed.

The K-line may rebound, but it is merely a rebound, definitely not a reversal. Shorting is inevitable, directly targeting the 100,000 mark. Of course, we should focus on shorting at high levels, around 103800 to 104000.

Take profits on short positions first, there will be opportunities to trade again later.

US stocks market is closed. Prices have continued to fluctuate in a narrow range over the past two days, and the Bitcoin market has entered a critical phase of contention!
From the analysis of the four-hour candlestick chart, although the current candlestick has recorded two consecutive bullish candles forming a slight rebound, the price has not effectively broken through the consolidation range. Both bullish candles have long upper shadows, reflecting strong selling pressure above, with the upper highs continuously moving lower, and bears still dominate.
In the one-hour chart, the three consecutive bullish candles' rebound stopped at the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and then fell back. The RS indicator has turned downward, and the MACD double lines are still below the zero axis, indicating weak short-term momentum. It is advisable to maintain a high short and low long position before an effective breakout.
Pay attention to the directional breakout at key price levels—if it can break through and stabilize above the resistance level of 105500 with increased volume, it may open up upward space; conversely, if it loses the lower support, it could trigger a technical correction. It is recommended to closely monitor changes in trading volume and confirmation of key level breakouts, and to control positions to manage short-term volatility risks.
It is advised to focus on short positions on rebounds as long as Bitcoin has not broken through 106000:
Short at the range of 105300-105800, looking down at breakouts at 103300 and 102600.
For the second currency: looking at the range of 2545-2565, with support at around 2515-2480.
For those with large amounts of funds, the medium to long-term bearish trend remains unchanged.

目前，以色列和伊朗之问的紧张局势不断升级，冲突难以缓和。
美国总统特朗普已经批准对伊朗动武，让地区局势更加紧张。
与此同时，加密货币市场中，比特币、以太坊继续缩量整理，市场交易活跃度较低。不过，值得注意的是，，比特币、以太坊的现货ETF却呈现净流入状态，表明部分投资者仍在借此布局，对其长期前景保持一定信心。后续，地缘政治局势与加密货币市场的走向，都充满不确定性，需持续关。

【Important Notice: US Stock Market Closure on June 19, 2025】
Attention
According to the trading rules of the US securities market, June 19 is a federal holiday in the United States known as "Juneteenth". The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq will be closed all day on
Thursday, June 19, 2025. All stock, options, ETF, and derivatives trading will be halted.
Next Trading Day Arrangement:
The US stock market will resume normal trading on Friday, June 20, 2025. Investors are advised to prepare their funds and trading plans in advance and closely monitor subsequent market developments.

In the early morning, the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision remains unchanged, and the market reacts mildly. Last night, Bitcoin rebounded to around 105300 before falling back to around 103400.
From the dynamic evolution of technical indicators and the potential shift in market sentiment, blindly following the crowd to short is clearly not a wise choice. The repeated tests of the Bitcoin price around the 103000 line have all failed, indicating strong buying power below, forming a solid bottom support. This situation often suggests that the market is about to experience a directional turning point, potentially triggering a new round of upward breakout at any time.
Bitcoin continued to oscillate in a small range in the morning, dropping to around 104300 after returning from around 105200.
The four-hour chart shows a shrinking volume, with Bitcoin rebounding from the bottom, forming a doji star, while the hourly chart shows increasing volume, maintaining operation near the middle-upper track.
For intra-day short-term trading, look at Bitcoin between 104600-104800, targeting around 105400-105800.
If it breaks down, further adjustments will follow.

02:00 Interest Rate Decision + Dot Plot
02:30 Powell's Speech

The market expects the interest rate to remain unchanged this time, with the focus on Powell's remarks, which can be interpreted as (hawkish - negative for the market, dovish - positive for the market)

Please set your profit and loss limits in advance and manage your risk properly!

Last night's sharing indicated a rebound, and this morning the big coin dropped to around 103300, capturing 3000 points. Some people couldn’t hold on and took a break. Xing Ran also gave a signal at 104000 in the middle of the night, aiming to continue looking at 105800. In the morning, we also provided a hint to go long at the big coin around 104000. Currently, it has reached 105100, giving us a space of 1000 points. The weekly chart has again entered a cross star adjustment, and the current price remains pressured below the daily level. However, as the range of fluctuations narrows, the downward space is limited. After confirming support in the short cycle, a rebound began, but the overall rebound space still shows a strong slow rise pattern. Today, during the day, we first look for a short-term rebound at low positions to go long. In the afternoon, the big coin short-term focus is on going long around 104800-104300, with a target around 106500. Continuous days of one-sided market movements, with fluctuations of thousands of points each day. Those who could grasp the opportunity have turned the tables, while those who missed it are regretting. Have you realized a new skill these days: 'going with the flow'? If you insist on being stubborn, you can only be pressed down and rubbed furiously.

The market direction leans towards the bulls, with the funding situation and market sentiment showing neutrality, and expectations that the market will continue to fluctuate. BTC continues to have concentrated long positions, with whales shifting to short positions after significantly reducing their long positions in the morning, while bullish momentum increases on the second day. According to the liquidation map, the liquidation zone for the bulls below BTC falls between 102k and 103k, while the liquidation zone for the bears above falls between 108k and 110k.

When the account numbers fluctuate, steady your breath; when the market is wildly volatile, hold your bottom line. A good trading mindset treats each decision as a move in a chess game, planning before acting, and not letting temporary gains or losses disrupt the overall strategy.

Daily Cryptocurrency Updates Summary (2025-06-17)

The strategy for going long this morning is to buy around 105000 with a target of 106000-106500. Currently, we have easily captured 1600 points. Congratulations to those who followed along. If you traded 10 bitcoins, you would have gained 16000 U. I won't say much; the market will speak for me. Perfection has already reached the target position, and those who followed can directly enjoy the profits.
The more volatile the market, the more it tests your courage to make independent judgments.

Today's early market dynamics in the cryptocurrency sector show that the price of Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a downward fluctuation pattern, with a low point touching the critical support line of 104900 during the session. From a technical analysis perspective, although the short-term trend is still under some pressure and maintaining a fluctuating adjustment stance, the KDJ indicator has shown a turn upward and is displaying a divergent pattern. Meanwhile, the red momentum bars of the MACD indicator continue to expand, indicating that bullish forces are gradually accumulating.

Based on the current market trend and technical indicator signals, the following early trading suggestions are provided: Bitcoin can be accumulated on dips near the 105000 price level, with target prices set at approximately 106000 and 106500.
Investors are advised to closely monitor market fluctuations. If the range of 106000 to 106500 does not break, consider a bearish outlook. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, so be cautious of sudden market changes, and strictly set stop-losses to control trading risks.

With coffee in hand and K-lines on the screen, the weekend is a remedy for review and a prologue to future planning. Let's say hi to the opportunities of the new week together! ☕

BTC, the weekend is mainly characterized by range fluctuations.
In the early morning, it surged to near the resistance level of around 106,000, followed by a downward fluctuation. In the short term, pay attention to the pullback space!
During the day, focus on the range fluctuations around 106,000-104,000; there won't be too much one-sided movement, so maintain good defense and grasp the segments, and don't hold the positions for too long!

In the short term, short at 105,200-105,500, with a target near 104,000.

In the morning, a long position near 103000 was given, capturing 1640 points
If you make 10 big cakes, you can capture 16400 dollars

From the hourly chart, after the big coin dipped to around 102600, there are signs of a rebound. The MACD green momentum is gradually decreasing, indicating a potential golden cross upwards. The KDJ is turning up and diverging upwards, suggesting that a bullish trend must have a rebound. Returning to the technical trend, Xingran also provided the 103000 line for long positions this morning, which is currently profitable.

Big coin entry: around 102500-103000
Target: around 104500-105000

#BTC The 4-hour chart trend this evening still leans towards a bullish stance, with the retracement point rebounding from the Fibonacci 61.8 support level. At the same time, the Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart have broken down and are starting to recover. The daily level is approaching the norm, giving us an opportunity to go long!
Therefore, Xingran has already entered a long position in the real cabin
Waiting for the first target of 108800

June 12th Analysis Suggestions: The daily chart for Bitcoin formed a small bearish candle yesterday, after attempting to reach the high point around 110300, it pulled back after the high. The pressure from above is still relatively strong; to break through the high point again, we need a boost from news. However, even with the positive CPI data yesterday, there was no upward movement, so prices should see a decline today! Looking at the 4-hour chart, the current price is running below the middle Bollinger Band, MACD is in a dead cross state, green momentum is diverging, and KDJ is diverging downwards near the O axis. There is still a possibility for a downward move in prices, so in the short term, one could consider taking a short position. Operation Suggestions: Enter short positions around 108600--108900, targeting near 107500--107000. For those with larger positions, I will help with positioning. Congratulations to those who followed the trades yesterday and the day before, with continuous profits from both long and short positions; for those with larger positions, 50,000 USDT has already realized a half-position profit. There are only two pathways in the world to get rich quickly and cross classes: one is to buy lottery tickets, and the other is in the cryptocurrency space. Compared to relying on luck, I prefer to take a chance with probabilities! Xingran is here to accompany you in exploring the crypto world and holding onto wealth.