星汉流金

As of May 4, 2025, the BTC price is approximately $96,393, with an intraday fluctuation range between $95,936 and $97,124. Market sentiment is positive, whales continue to accumulate, and technical indicators suggest a possible breakthrough of the $100,000 mark. In the short term, trading volume and volatility may rise, and key support levels should be monitored.

#苹果放宽加密规则 Apple suddenly "released funds"! 30% Apple tax collapses, bringing a carnival for NFTs and cryptocurrencies?
On May 2, Apple unexpectedly announced a major rule change for the App Store in the U.S., allowing developers to bypass the 30% "Apple tax" and directly link to external payment options! This means:
🔥 Free trading of NFTs: Platforms like OpenSea can finally sell NFTs on iPhones, but new project launches are still banned.

Airdrops like #空投防骗手册 are a common marketing method in the cryptocurrency field, essentially involving high risks and opportunities. Users must adhere to the principles of 'not being greedy, not being gullible, and not leaking information' to reduce risks through three core strategies: multi-party verification, wallet isolation, and community collaboration. Remember: genuine airdrops do not require payment or provision of private keys; all promises of 'easy profits' are traps.

#SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批
The price of Bitcoin has recently fluctuated around $95,000, and the market is full of expectations for a breakthrough at the $100,000 mark, but there is also a risk of a pullback. Whether to buy or sell currently depends on the following key factors:
1. Current market trend: short-term pullback or building momentum for a breakthrough?
Short-term pullback signals:
Bitcoin has recently fallen from $95,500 to $93,500, in sync with the decline in U.S. Treasury yields, indicating an increase in market risk-averse sentiment.
The technical chart shows a 'Evening Star' candlestick pattern; if it falls below $91,700, it could lead to further pullbacks.
Potential upward momentum:
The weekly purchase amount of spot Bitcoin ETFs reached $3 billion, indicating strong institutional demand.
Power law models predict that Bitcoin could reach $130,000 to $200,000 by the end of 2025; the current price is still undervalued by 40%.

#特朗普就职百日 Bitcoin may experience significant volatility. The BTC concentration indicator shows that there may be a big market movement soon. What is concentration? It refers to the buy prices of many BTC being clustered around the current price, making market sentiment easy to ignite, which could trigger a surge or a crash. Historical data indicates that when the concentration exceeds 13%, it often signals a major fluctuation. The last time the concentration was high, it surged by 42% in February 2024 and dropped by 15% in February 2025. Currently, it has reached around 12%, close to the sensitive area.

$BTC How to Play with Binance Alpha Points? Asset + Trading Combination, Easily Seize the First Wave of Web3 Opportunities
The Binance Alpha Points system is becoming a new opportunity pursued by more and more Web3 players. By accumulating Alpha Points, users can gain priority participation in Binance Wallet TGE projects, receive limited airdrops, and lay the groundwork for the first wave of opportunities for more potential projects in the future. For those who want to seize this wave of dividends, understanding the rules and strategically planning is more important than blindly accumulating points.
Alpha Points mainly come from asset points and trading points. Earning asset points is very simple; you just need to hold a certain amount of assets on the Binance Exchange, Binance Web3 Wallet, or Alpha Platform. Holding $100 earns you 1 point per day; holding $1,000 earns you 2 points per day; holding $10,000 earns you 3 points per day. Although the daily increase is not significant, the advantages become very obvious over time. For example, if you earn an extra point every day, after 15 days, that's an additional 15 points, which often makes the difference in whether you can qualify for an airdrop. If conditions permit, maintaining around $10,000 in your account is currently the best holding strategy, ensuring a stable daily earning of 3 asset points.

#空投操作全指南 How to Play with Binance Alpha Points? Asset + Trading Combination, Easily Seize the First Wave of Web3 Opportunities
The Binance Alpha Points system is becoming a new opportunity pursued by more and more Web3 players. By accumulating Alpha Points, users can gain priority access to Binance Wallet TGE projects, receive limited airdrops, and lay the groundwork for the first wave of opportunities for more potential projects in the future. For those who want to seize this wave of dividends, understanding the rules and making scientific arrangements is more important than blindly grinding.
Alpha Points mainly come from asset points and trading points. Acquiring asset points is very simple; you just need to hold a certain amount of assets on the Binance exchange, Binance Web3 wallet, or the Alpha platform. Holding $100 earns 1 point per day; holding $1,000 earns 2 points per day; holding $10,000 earns 3 points per day. Although the daily increase is not significant, the advantages become very apparent over time. For example, if you earn 1 more point every day, in 15 days, you’ll have 15 more points. Many times, whether you qualify for an airdrop can hinge on these 15 points. If conditions permit, maintaining an asset around $10,000 in your account is currently the optimal holding strategy, ensuring you steadily earn 3 asset points every day.

#空投发现指南 #空投发现指南 Web3 Airdrop is the act of blockchain project teams distributing tokens for free to let more people know about them. You can think of it like this: the project team is throwing money around, and you just need to reach out and catch it! 💰 For example: imagine you are walking down the street, and suddenly someone hands you a coupon: "Hey, come to our store and get a free cup of milk tea!", wouldn't you be tempted? Web3 Airdrop is like this "tasting event", but instead of milk tea, it uses tokens that might be worth much more! 😏

#阿布扎比稳定币
Compared to the past, the cryptocurrency market appears more professional and sophisticated, with significant institutional funds pouring in. However, the issue is that the cryptocurrency market is gradually shifting from a growth market to a mature market. The influx of new players is no longer as rapid as before—this also means that phenomenon figures like Trump may become the market peaks for the next year or two, or even longer.
In the future, if the cryptocurrency market wants to attract more users, possible approaches include the popularization of payment methods, such as promoting cryptocurrency payments to become mainstream payment methods; or through the enhancement of consensus, such as incorporating Bitcoin into national reserves, making it a strategic asset like gold.

In this round of the bull market, Wall Street is in control. They have teamed up with Trump's big mouth to frantically ambush, create hype, run ahead, cut randomly, and retail investors are suffering greatly. The voice of the Chinese in the crypto space has dropped to zero. I suggest everyone lower their expectations for the crypto market and adopt a conservative approach (only invest in BTC for the long term), as preserving capital is crucial.
It is not ruled out that in the next two or three months, those institutions may turn to operate ETH as the market's main line (after all, it has enough room to grow), and the retail investors who recently swapped various altcoins for Bitcoin to preserve their capital may be cut again. I think this possibility is very high.

$ETH
ETH, as the leader of smart contract platforms, still plays a core role in the ecological construction of Layer 2, DeFi, NFT, and AI chain applications. Although the recent price is under pressure and market sentiment is cautious, from a long-term perspective, ETH has gradually evolved from a single asset to a representative of Web3 infrastructure. Whether it is the improvement of the Staking mechanism or the deflationary logic brought about by EIP upgrades, ETH is continuously solidifying its value support. Short-term fluctuations are inevitable, but if you believe in the future of blockchain, ETH may be worth continuous attention and investment.

#交易心理学
The outcome of trading often does not depend on technology, but on psychology. Many people clearly have strategies, yet they hesitate to enter the market due to fear; or they delay exiting due to greed, ultimately giving back profits or even turning gains into losses. True experts can remain calm during emotional highs and execute their plans rationally even when facing losses. Trading is not about conquering the market, but about conquering oneself. Discipline, patience, and self-control are the core of long-term profitability. Remember: you are not fighting against candlestick charts, but against your own desires, panic, and impulses.

#风险回报比
Recently, the price of BTC has been fluctuating repeatedly in a key range, and market sentiment has shifted from greed to wait-and-see. This is a good time to reassess the risk-reward ratio. Based on the current trend, the short-term downside potential is limited, with clear support levels making stop-loss easy to set. If the resistance is broken on the upside, the potential profit space could be considerable. Assuming a stop-loss of 2% and a target return of over 6%, the risk-reward ratio reaches 1:3, which is a structure worth trying. Of course, please consider your own risk control ability before executing any strategy, and avoid over-leveraging or emotional trading.

#止损策略
ETH Contract Stop Loss Strategy (Template Version)

1. Determine Trading Style

Please clarify which type you are doing:
• Short-term (a few hours to a few days)
• Medium-term (a few days to a few weeks)
• Long-term (a few weeks to a few months)

For short-term trading, the stop-loss point can be set tighter, while for medium/long-term trading, it can be more lenient.

2. Stop Loss Types

A. Fixed Percentage Stop Loss
• Set based on entry price, for example:
• Short-term: 3%~5%
• Medium-term: 5%~10%
• Long-term: 10%~15%
• Example:
• You buy ETH at $1,600
• Set a 5% stop loss
• Stop loss price = $1,600 × (1 - 0.05) = $1,520

B. Technical Stop Loss
• Set below key support level (for long) or above key resistance level (for short)
• Example (long):
• Key support at $1,500
• Stop loss set at $1,480 (leave a little space to prevent 'spike')

C. ATR Dynamic Stop Loss (suitable for medium to long term)
• Use ATR (Average True Range) to measure volatility
• Stop loss = Entry price - (1.5 × ATR)
• Suitable for trending markets, can dynamically track price fluctuations

3. Trailing Stop Loss (Protecting Profits)
• When the price breaks through the first target level, you can move the stop loss up to the cost price or higher
• Example:
• Entry price $1,600
• First target $1,700 achieved
• Move the stop loss from $1,520 to $1,600 or $1,650

4. Position Control
• Regardless of how much you stop loss, the maximum loss per trade should be controlled within 1%-3% of the account
• For example, account $10,000, maximum loss $200
• If the stop loss is 5%, you can use at most $4,000 for this trade

If you tell me:
• Current position direction (long or short)
• Entry price
• Position size
• Trading period

As of April 8, 2025, the current price of Ethereum (ETH) is $1,574.15, with a daily high of $1,607.64 and a low of $1,526.71.

Recent Market Dynamics:
• Price Fluctuation: Recently, the ETH price has experienced significant volatility, with a closing price of $1,805.97 on April 5. 
• Market Sentiment: According to reports on April 8, the Market Sentiment Index (Fear & Greed Index) has fallen to 19, indicating that the market is in a state of "extreme fear." 

Contract Trading Analysis:
• Futures Contract Data: As of last week, the total open contracts for ETH reached $21.6B, showing strong interest in ETH futures. 
• Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out a noticeable price gap in the CME futures market for ETH, which typically gets filled, suggesting there may be room for price increases. 

Market Predictions and Views:
• Bearish View: Some analysts predict that the ETH price may drop below $1,500, mainly due to network congestion and declining market demand. 
• Bullish View: On the other hand, some analysts believe that the ETH price could reach new highs in the future, exceeding $5,000, provided that the current supply and demand trends continue. 

Trading Recommendations:

Given the current high volatility and uncertainty in the market, contract traders are advised to:
1. Risk Management: Set stop-loss points to control risk exposure for each trade.
2. Pay Attention to Market Sentiment: The market sentiment index is in an extreme fear state, which may indicate an imminent market rebound, but it could also continue to decline.
3. Technical Analysis: Use technical indicators, such as support and resistance levels, to assist in decision-making.
4. Fundamental Analysis: Keep an eye on fundamental factors such as Ethereum network upgrades and regulatory developments, as these may impact the long-term value of ETH.

Conclusion:

The ETH market is currently filled with uncertainty, and contract traders should proceed with caution, combining technical and fundamental analysis to formulate clear trading strategies and strictly enforce risk management measures.

#美国加征关税
1. Basic Concepts of U.S. Tariffs

Tariffs are taxes imposed by the government on imported goods, aimed at protecting domestic industries, increasing fiscal revenue, or serving as bargaining chips. The U.S. government has historically adopted high or low tariff policies at different stages of history.

2. Historical Background
• **19th Century:** The U.S. previously implemented high tariff policies to protect emerging industries.
• 1930s: The Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act led to a global trade war and was one of the factors exacerbating the Great Depression.
• **Post-War to Present:** The U.S. participated in the creation of GATT and WTO, promoting global free trade.

3. Tariff Policies during the Trump Era
• **U.S.-China Trade War:** Starting in 2018, the U.S. imposed tariffs on Chinese goods for reasons including intellectual property and trade deficits.
• **Allied Countries Also Affected:** For example, tariffs were imposed on steel and aluminum products from the EU and Japan.

4. Biden Administration's Stance
• The Biden administration did not fully revoke the tariffs from the Trump era but slightly eased them in certain areas.
• At the same time, it emphasizes “coordinating with allies” to combat China’s “non-market behavior” in global trade.

5. Impact of Tariffs
• **On U.S. Consumers:** Imported goods become more expensive, leading to increased costs.
• **On U.S. Businesses:** Some benefit (like steel companies), while others suffer (such as manufacturers reliant on Chinese products).
• **On Global Supply Chains:** Causing fluctuations, with some companies seeking to “decouple from China.”
• **On the World Economy:** Escalating trade tensions and triggering retaliatory tariffs.

Challenge 20 Days of Compound Interest Day 1 $ETH

Stop loss at 1745 for the 1725 liquidation, let's see if we can hold on.

Seize the opportunity, every needle pierces the flesh, no return on investment, a heart that longs to return like an arrow, every arrow hits its target, every occurrence, every detail.

If it rises to 2500, I can return to profit, take profit at 2500😁