蒋胜论势

币圈投资是一场马拉松，而非短跑。成功往往属于那些有耐心，愿意等待的人。不要因为一时的得失而失去耐心，要学会在市场的起伏中保持冷静，用时间去换取空间的收益。昨日午夜比特币行情如期迎来上冲，价格在早间凌晨攀升至108900高点一线，随后开始回落，以太坊行情同步与比特币，价格从昨日晚间的2594低点一线一路震荡式上行至2683高点一线。

根据当前盘面来看，四小时级别显示行情在经历一轮涨幅之后空头给到大阴下探，价格也是回调到布林带上轨下方，KDJ和RSI指标三线均是表现出向下拐头的动作，短期内多方已被红方牢牢压制，从一小时级别来看，行情呈二连阴态势下行逼近布林带中轨线，KDJ指标三线在这一级别已经形成死叉形态，并持续向下延伸，空头动能持续发散，那么早间操作上我们以高空的思路进行。

比特币108500附近可空 目标看106000

以太坊2600附近可空 目标看2500#BTC☀

On Monday evening, after a slight pullback in the Bitcoin market, a strong rebound was welcomed again, with the price rebounding from a low point of 106446 to a high point of 107759. Ethereum followed a similar trend with Bitcoin, dipping to a low point of 2592 before the bulls started to take action, and the price subsequently rose to a high point of 2657. In the evening, through his own on-site experience, Brother Sheng decisively seized the bullish rebound when the bears did not give a decent pullback, while also positioning long positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum, entering around 106759 and 2616 respectively, and advising to take profits around 107655 and 2652. The Bitcoin long position gained 1000 points of space, while the Ethereum long position gained 36 points of space.

According to the current market situation, the four-hour level shows that after a slight pullback, the bulls have formed a strong two consecutive candles, with the price continuously maintaining a high level. The Bollinger Bands are gradually widening, and the current bullish momentum is relatively strong. From the one-hour level, after the market fell below the upper Bollinger Band, it is approaching upwards again. The KDJ indicator's three lines are running closely together, forming a golden cross pattern. The overall trend is under the control of the bulls, but the K and J values of the KDJ indicator have entered the overbought zone, indicating short-term pullback risks. Combining the overall market trend, each time the bulls make an upward move, it is accompanied by a slight pullback, but the strength of these pullbacks has not shown strong continuity. Therefore, in our midnight operations, we will adopt a strategy of buying low after a pullback.

Bitcoin can be bought near 107000, with a target of 108500-109000.

Ethereum can be bought near 2580, with a target of 2700#BTC☀ .

The market is like the changing seasons, with cold winters and warm springs. The current market situation is just a phase; as long as we maintain our mindset, the future remains promising. On Monday afternoon, the Bitcoin market did not break out of a large range, with the price stopping after reaching a high point of around 107250, followed by a fluctuating downward trend, and nearing the evening market, it touched a low point of around 106617. The Ethereum market also showed a fluctuating downward trend in the afternoon, with the price retreating from a high point of around 2642 to a low point of around 2602.

According to the current market situation, the four-hour level shows that after experiencing three consecutive bullish candles and breaking through the upper Bollinger Band, the market has stopped and retreated, with momentum clearly diminishing. The KDJ and RSI indicators have all shown downward turns, and the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines have not yet returned above the 0 axis. Therefore, the overall market is gradually leaning towards a weak shape. From the one-hour level, the market shows three consecutive bearish candles retreating, and the price has also come below the upper Bollinger Band. Accompanied by the price retreat, the KDJ indicator's three lines have formed a death cross shape, with bearish momentum gradually being released. Thus, for evening operations, we are optimistic about a rebound followed by bearish decline.

Short Bitcoin around 107000, targeting 104500.

Short Ethereum around 2630, targeting 2500#BTC☀ .

In this ever-changing world, maintaining calmness and rationality is our most valuable asset. Don't let temporary fluctuations disrupt your overall strategy. Remember, real opportunities are always reserved for those who are prepared and patient. The crypto market may be turbulent, but as long as we have light in our hearts and a path beneath our feet, we can surely weather the storm and welcome our own dawn. On Monday afternoon, the Bitcoin market continued the upward momentum from the morning, with prices rising slightly again, reaching a high of around 106,777. Meanwhile, Ethereum's afternoon market experienced a brief period of consolidation before also making an upward move, with prices touching around 2,620.

From the current market perspective, the one-hour timeframe shows that the market has broken through the upper Bollinger Band with four consecutive bullish candles but has since slowed down, leaving a long upper shadow after the breakout, indicating that selling pressure still exists above. The KDJ indicator's three lines have all entered the overbought zone, and there are signs that the lines may curve downward, indicating that the market is at a critical point of transition between bulls and bears. The overall trend has a higher probability of peaking and retreating, so in the afternoon, we can take advantage of the rebound space to short at high points.

Short Bitcoin around 107,000, targeting 104,500.

Short Ethereum around 2,630-2,650, targeting 2,550-2,500.

The market is never short of opportunities; what it lacks is the patience to wait for the flowers to bloom and the insight to seize the moment. In this fast-changing era, staying learning and keeping up with trends provides more peace of mind than blindly following the crowd. Just as navigators use the stars for guidance, we must rely on the light of knowledge to illuminate our path forward. On Monday morning, Bitcoin initially dipped to a low of 104920 before experiencing a slight rebound, reaching a high of 105927 by midday. Ethereum followed a similar pattern, with a minor pullback in the morning before making a second upward move, reaching a high of 2579.

Based on the current market situation, the four-hour chart shows a consecutive two green candles approaching the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Band remains in a contracted state; although the bullish performance is relatively strong in the short term, the momentum has not driven the price to break through the upper resistance zone. The upper Bollinger Band acts as a lifeline for bears; as long as this level holds, we can still consider bearish positions. From the one-hour perspective, the market shows a stair-step rise to the upper Bollinger Band, but in conjunction with the overall trend, the movement hasn't broken out of the legitimate range. Additionally, both the K and J values in the KDJ indicator have entered the overbought zone, significantly increasing the probability of a pullback in the future. Therefore, we still maintain a bearish outlook during lunchtime.

Bitcoin can be shorted around 106000, targeting 104000.

Ethereum can be shorted around 2600, targeting 2500.

#BTC☀

The past is merely a prologue, and the symphony of a new week is about to begin. In this new week of the cryptocurrency world, it is a treasure island full of opportunities, but also a minefield fraught with crises. It all depends on each of you holding the keys—knowledge, experience, and courage—to unlock the door to your own crypto wealth. Last midnight, Bitcoin's market showed a staircase-like decline, with the price dropping from a high of 105744 to a low of 104399 before halting. Currently, the market is in a rebound recovery phase. Ethereum displayed a similar pattern, with the market dropping from a midnight high of 2562 to a low of 2494 before stopping and subsequently welcoming a rebound.

According to the current market analysis, the four-hour level shows a pattern of two bearish candles followed by one bullish candle. The Bollinger Bands are gradually contracting, compressing the space, leading to smaller K-line bodies. However, the KDJ indicator's three lines have formed a dead cross, indicating that bearish momentum exceeds bullish momentum, suggesting that the overall trend is more inclined towards weakness. From the one-hour level, after three consecutive bearish candles, the bulls managed to push back with two consecutive bullish candles. The KDJ and RSI indicators' three lines show an upward turn, but the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines have formed a dead cross and continue to operate below the zero axis, indicating that the current rebound is insufficient to change the overall downward trend. Therefore, for morning operations, we can adopt the strategy of selling high after the rebound.

Bitcoin can be shorted near 105500-106000, targeting 104000-103500.

Ethereum can be shorted near 2560, targeting 2480.

The charm of the cryptocurrency market lies in its uncertainty and infinite possibilities. Just like the brightest star in the night sky often shines at the darkest moments, every adjustment in the market is a quiet arrangement for future opportunities. Over the weekend, the Bitcoin price began to rebound after dipping to a low of 104225 in the early hours, reaching a high of 105631 in the morning before oscillating within a small range. Ethereum's price movement synchronized with Bitcoin, rising from a low of 2488 to a high of 2540 before pausing and entering a consolidation phase.

According to the current market situation, the four-hour level shows a two consecutive bullish rebound, but the pressure from the middle band of the Bollinger Bands has caused the bullish momentum to weaken, and the price rise has also halted. The overall trajectory remains within the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands. The MACD indicator's dual lines are running closely below the zero axis, and currently, both bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war phase. From the one-hour level perspective, the price has retraced below the upper band of the Bollinger Bands and is slowly rising with three consecutive bullish candles, but the real body of the bullish candles is relatively small, leaving long upper shadows. The KDJ indicator's three lines have all entered the overbought zone, and the MACD histogram is gradually shrinking above the zero axis, indicating an expectation of an overall trend pullback. Therefore, in the afternoon, we will operate with a bearish mindset.

Bitcoin can be shorted around 105600-106000 with a target of 104000.

Ethereum can be shorted around 2550 with a target of 2480.

#BTC☀

Over the weekend, the Bitcoin market exhibited a volatile downward trend, with the price dropping from a high of 106,173 in the morning to a low of 104,290 by midnight. Ethereum's daily movement mirrored that of Bitcoin, with the price declining from a high of 2,586 in the morning to a low of 2,491. The Bitcoin short positions established in the morning were entered around 106,051 and exited near 105,157, yielding a profit of 900 points. A second set of Bitcoin short positions was established around 105,307, exiting near 104,349, securing a profit of 1,000 points. The Ethereum short positions established during the day were entered around 2,544 and exited near 2,501, capturing a profit of 43 points. The total profit from the two Bitcoin short positions during the day amounted to 1,900 points.

From the current market perspective, the four-hour timeframe shows the market gradually declining with a pattern of two bearish candles enveloping one bullish candle. The Bollinger Bands are opening downwards, and the KDJ indicator's three lines are forming a death cross. The MACD indicator's two lines continue to operate below the zero axis, indicating that the overall trend is firmly in the hands of the bears. From the one-hour timeframe, after experiencing five consecutive bearish candles, the bulls provided some rebound, but the long upper shadow above the bullish candlestick indicates that there is still pressure above in the short term, and the bulls' desire to rebound is not strong. Therefore, our midnight strategy is to look for shorts after a rebound.

Bitcoin can be shorted near 105,000, aiming for a target of 103,000.

Ethereum can be shorted near 2,530, aiming for a target of 2,450.

Market fluctuations are the norm, losing control of emotions is the real enemy! Stay calm, act according to the plan, do not rejoice in wild surges, and do not panic in sharp declines. True champions always move steadily at their own pace. Yesterday at midnight, Bitcoin's market displayed a fluctuating upward trend, with prices first dipping to a low point around 104607 before stopping, then starting to rise, reaching a morning high of around 106141. Ethereum's market followed a similar pattern, first dropping to a low point around 2513 before rebounding, with the market reaching a morning high of around 2586.

From the current market perspective, the four-hour level shows that after a slight rebound, the bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war phase, but the Bollinger Bands maintain a downward opening trend. The MACD indicator formed a death cross at a high level and continues to extend downward, with the histogram gradually enlarging below the zero axis, indicating that the overall trend still leans toward bearish. From the one-hour level, the market showed a four consecutive bullish candle rebound to the upper Bollinger Band before starting to retrace. The upper Bollinger Band provides strong resistance, and the KDJ indicator's K and J values began to turn downward after entering the overbought zone, indicating that the downward trend has begun, and the bears are starting to gain strength. Therefore, in the morning operations, we can proceed with a short position strategy.

Short Bitcoin around 106000-106500, target at 103500

Short Ethereum around 2600, target at 2500.

On Friday evening, the Bitcoin market showed a pattern of initially declining and then rising, with the price first dropping to around the low point of 104069 before stopping, followed by a strong rebound, reaching a high of around 105912. Ethereum's evening movement was similar to Bitcoin's, with the price rebounding after a pullback to around the low point of 2505, and the market subsequently climbing to a high of around 2589. Brother Sheng's intraday layout included one short and one long for Bitcoin, and one short for Ethereum, all of which were successfully executed. The short position for Bitcoin set in the morning was entered near 105854 and exited near 102863, gaining a profit of 3000 points. The short position for Ethereum was entered near 2651 and exited near 2484, gaining a profit of 167 points. In the evening, capturing the bullish rebound, a long position for Bitcoin was entered near 104471 and exited near 105853, gaining a profit of 1400 points, with the total gain from the intraday Bitcoin short and long positions amounting to 4400 points.

According to the current market situation, the four-hour level shows that the market has rebounded three consecutive times above the lower Bollinger Band, but the Bollinger Band still maintains a downward opening trend, with the MACD indicator values also in the negative range, and the fast and slow lines operating below the zero axis, indicating that the overall trend has not changed and remains bearish. From the one-hour level, the market shows a stepwise upward trend approaching the upper Bollinger Band, and there are already signs of stopping, indicating strong resistance at the upper Bollinger Band. Both KDJ and RSI indicators show signs of turning downwards, suggesting a high short strategy for midnight operations.

Bitcoin can be shorted near 106000 with a target of 103500.

Ethereum can be shorted near 2600 with a target of 2500.

Those who do not dare to take risks will always watch from the shore, while those who dare to embrace fluctuations can catch big fish in the tides. Every heartbeat in the cryptocurrency circle is proof that you are one step closer to your goal! On Friday afternoon, the market slightly rose to a high point of around 105,459 but faced resistance, then it oscillated within a small range. Ethereum's market also saw a rebound to a high point of around 2,545 before stopping, subsequently hovering around 2,520.

From the current market situation, the four-hour level shows that after a slight rebound, the bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war phase, but the Bollinger Bands maintain a downward opening stance. The MACD indicator has formed a death cross at a high level and is continually extending downward, with the histogram gradually enlarging below the zero axis. The overall trend still leans towards bearish. From the one-hour level, after the market warmed up to below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, it alternated between small downward and upward movements; both the KDJ and RSI indicators show signs of turning downward. The MACD fast and slow lines exhibit a mutual adhesion below the zero axis, suggesting that the current consolidation is likely preparing for a secondary downward probe for the bears. Therefore, we will maintain a downward outlook for tonight.

Short Bitcoin around 105,500 with a target of 102,000.

Short Ethereum around 2,550 with a target of 2,450.

#BTC☀

In the cryptocurrency world, the true winners are often those who remain steadfast amidst turmoil and are adept at adjusting their strategies. Now is the time to test ourselves; maintain composure, respond actively, and the dawn of victory is just ahead. On Friday afternoon, Bitcoin's market made a significant move, with the price slightly rebounding to around the 104578 high point before facing resistance again, subsequently maintaining a fluctuating operation near 104000. Ethereum's market is similar, with the price rising from the 2440 low point to around the 2527 high point before entering a phase of consolidation.

From the current market perspective, the hourly level shows that after experiencing a sharp decline, the bulls have provided a two-day rebound, and the price has warmed up to operate above the lower Bollinger Band. However, it is evident that the strength of this rebound is not significant and lacks continuity. Currently, the market has again entered a downward trend. Although the KDJ indicator's three lines have formed a golden cross pattern, none of the three lines have reached above 50, which may indicate a turning point. The MACD indicator's fast and slow lines are still operating below the zero axis, suggesting that this rebound is merely a normal corrective action, and the overall trend continues to revolve around the bears. Therefore, in the afternoon, we maintain our strategy of short positions.

Sell Bitcoin around 104500 with a target of 102000.

Sell Ethereum around 2530 with a target of 2450#BTC☀ .

On Friday morning, Bitcoin's market stabilized slightly around 106000 before continuing the downward trend from midnight, with the price strongly dipping to a low of 102614. Ethereum's market moved in sync with Bitcoin, with the price declining from around 2660 and hitting a morning low of 2457. Early in the morning, Brother Sheng provided a bearish outlook, and the market moved as expected. The Bitcoin short position was entered around 105854 and exited around 102863, capturing a profit of 3000 points. The Ethereum short position was entered around 2651 and exited around 2484, capturing a profit of 167 points.

Based on the current market analysis, the four-hour level shows a significant downward movement, with the Bollinger Bands widening, and the middle band also turning downward. The MACD indicator's double lines formed a death cross and continued to decline, with the histogram gradually increasing below the zero axis. The overall trend remains bearish. From the one-hour level, the market shows a one-sided downward trend with the Bollinger Bands' lower band, and both bulls and bears are in a fierce competition stage. The KDJ indicator formed a death cross at this level and entered the oversold zone, now showing a turning upward movement. Therefore, for the afternoon operations, we will first look at the strength of the rebound and proceed with a high short strategy.

Bitcoin can be shorted around 104500, targeting 102000.

Ethereum can be shorted around 2550, targeting 2450.

The bearish outlook provided in the morning has unfolded as expected, with Bitcoin offering over 2000 points of space and Ethereum providing 100 points of space.
#BTC☀

There are no shortcuts in the cryptocurrency world; getting rich overnight is merely a stroke of luck. True winners understand how to settle amidst the noise, maintain their stance during fluctuations, and are not swayed by temporary rises and falls. They do not let short-term gains blind their eyes. Last midnight, Bitcoin exhibited a pattern of rising then falling, with the price first peaking at around 108,398 before stopping, followed by a rapid decline, with the price hitting a low of around 105,700 in the early morning. Ethereum's market moved in sync with Bitcoin, initially rising slightly to a peak of around 2,773 before starting its downward trend, with the morning low reaching around 2,617.

Based on the current market situation, the four-hour chart shows that the market has not provided a decent rebound, with prices presenting a series of bearish candles that have broken through the lower Bollinger Band. Bearish momentum continues to expand, fully opening the downside space. From the one-hour chart, after experiencing a rebound, the market faced resistance, with strong pressure from above, and bullish momentum failing to support a sustained price breakout. Currently, the price shows four consecutive bearish candles. After the KDJ indicator's three lines formed a death cross, they began to diverge downwards, indicating that the overall market has entered a weak state. However, since all three lines of the KDJ indicator have entered the oversold zone, and the three lines of the RSI indicator have slightly turned upwards, there is a possibility of a technical rebound in the future. Therefore, we will adopt a strategy of shorting after the rebound in the morning.

Bitcoin can be shorted around 106,500 with a target of 104,000.

Ethereum can be shorted around 2,680 with a target of 260,001,705,278,992.

Midnight provides a bullish outlook, the market is running as expected, currently Bitcoin has given us over 1000 points of space, and Ethereum has given over 50 points of space. #BTC☀

On Thursday, the Bitcoin market exhibited a volatile downward trend, with prices dropping from an early high of 109,164 to a low of 106,539 in the evening before stopping. This was followed by a slight rebound, with the market recovering to a high of 107,769. Ethereum's market also experienced a decline throughout the day, until the evening when prices rebounded after hitting a low of 2,714, reaching a maximum of 2,775 before stopping. On Thursday, Brother Sheng's trading strategy with one short and one long position in Bitcoin and one long position in Ethereum was successfully executed. The short position in Bitcoin, initiated around 108,635, was closed near 107,449, yielding a profit of 1,200 points. The simultaneous long positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum, entered near 106,855 and 2,721 respectively, were closed around 107,690 and 2,773, capturing 800 points in Bitcoin and 52 points in Ethereum.

According to the current market, the four-hour level indicates that after experiencing a round of adjustment, the market is currently in a stagnation phase. The lower Bollinger Band is providing strong support, and the bears have not broken through the lower band. The KDJ and RSI indicators are showing upward movements, with the expectation of a golden cross forming. From the one-hour level, the market is alternating between large bearish and bullish candles, with prices warming above the lower Bollinger Band. The KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross at this level, and the MACD histogram has also risen above the zero axis. Therefore, during midnight operations, we can proceed with a low long strategy.

Bitcoin can be bought near 107,000, targeting 109,000.

Ethereum can be bought near 2,700, targeting 2,800.

The fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market are like the ebb and flow of the tides, akin to the breathing of the ocean; the rise and fall of coin prices is also part of the market rhythm. Maintain your enthusiasm for learning, continually enhance your understanding, and let the light of reason illuminate the path ahead. On Thursday morning, the Bitcoin market slightly rose to a peak of 108782 before falling back again, with the price touching a low of 107300 during the afternoon. The Ethereum market rebounded after dropping to a low of 2745 in the morning, with the price reaching a high of 2787 before facing pressure, subsequently oscillating around this range.

According to the current market situation, the four-hour chart shows a four consecutive downtrend, with prices operating below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands. The KDJ indicator's three lines have formed a dead cross downward, but the J value has entered the oversold zone. Moreover, the current pullback has not damaged the trend structure, so as long as the 107000 level holds, the bullish sentiment remains dominant. From the one-hour perspective, after experiencing five consecutive downtrends, the market has stopped, and the KDJ indicator's three lines have turned to form a golden cross. Therefore, in the afternoon operations, we look for a bullish rebound after the pullback.

Buy Bitcoin near 107300, targeting 109000-109500.

Buy Ethereum near 2750, targeting 2850.

#BTC☀

The market has its ups and downs, and this is a perfectly normal pattern. Remember, each pullback is to build momentum for the next stronger rise. Stay calm, analyze rationally, and do not let emotions influence your decisions. The Bitcoin market showed a downward trend around midnight on Wednesday, with prices falling from last night's high of 110350 down to the morning's low of 108001. Ethereum is similar, as the market gradually declined from last night's high of 2882 to the approaching low of 2745.

Based on the current market situation, the four-hour level shows a two consecutive bearish trend approaching the middle band of the Bollinger Bands before slowing down, with prices clearly showing signs of a stop in decline. The middle band of the Bollinger Bands continues to rise. Although the MACD indicator has entered the negative zone, the DIF and DEA lines have not broken down below the 0 axis, which increases the expectation of bullish momentum pushing prices to rebound. From the one-hour level, the market broke through the lower band of the Bollinger Bands with consecutive bearish candles, but the key support below remains strong, preventing a continuous breakdown from the bearish momentum. The bearish candle body has a long lower shadow, and the KDJ indicator's three lines have shown signs of turning upwards after entering the oversold zone, indicating that I will adopt a bullish approach for morning operations.

For Bitcoin, around 108000 targeting 110000

For Ethereum, around 2750 targeting 2850

#BTC☀

On Wednesday evening, Bitcoin's market first fell to the low point around 108950 before stopping, then along with the release of the CPI data, it experienced a strong rebound, with the price reaching a high of 110350. Ethereum also followed Bitcoin's lead in the evening, with the price strongly rising from the low point around 2754 to a high point around 2879. Brother Sheng's previously given bullish strategy performed perfectly, with the Bitcoin long position entered near 109060 and exited near 110257, capturing a space of 1200 points. The Ethereum long position was entered near 2773 and exited near 2869, achieving a space of 96 points. Regarding tonight's market, I want to say that while the market may change, Brother Sheng's style of letting strength speak remains the same. What makes us happier than the increasing positions of students is their transformation from anxiety and following trends to confidently holding positions. Because professionalism provides students with the best sense of security, if you want to win at the starting line in the next wave of the market, following Brother Sheng is the best choice.

Based on the current market situation, the four-hour level shows that the market remains above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, which are still opening upward, with prices continuing to run at high levels, and the overall trend still leaning towards bullish. From the one-hour level, the market faced a two-candle bearish pullback after hitting the upper line of the Bollinger Bands, but the bearish candle has a long lower shadow, indicating that short-term support remains strong, suggesting that the continuity of this pullback is not strong. Additionally, the MACD indicator's dual lines are still operating above the zero axis, so for the midnight operation, we will maintain a strategy of buying on dips after pullbacks.

Bitcoin can be bought around 108800-109000, with a target of 111000.

Ethereum can be bought around 2820, with a target of 2900-2920.