链语先知

From liquidation to hunting the big players #交易故事

I was also an individual investor before, just like you. I once charged into the futures market with passion, playing like a gambler, and staying up late was a common routine.

On the sixth day of the Lunar New Year in 2025, Bitcoin and Ethereum suddenly plummeted, and the market collapsed. My 50x long position got liquidated. It wasn’t just a loss; it was a complete evaporation of funds—my account was in the red, and my mind was blank.

That day I lay in bed smoking, asking myself: "What the hell am I doing?"

I decided to no longer be a gambler. I rebuilt the DAO, studied profit-taking and stop-loss indicators, and focused on short-term trading. Now, I and a group of awakened brothers have established a 'self-rescue DAO.' We don’t gamble on direction; we only execute strategies; we only target the big players!

Liquidation is not the end; it’s the beginning of awakening.

If you’re still blindly trading futures, not setting stop-losses, not reviewing your trades, dreaming of getting rich overnight—wake up, brother, the big players are waiting for you to make a mistake.

Retail investors must unite to hunt the big players!

🔥【Interest Rate Cuts Again! Crypto Friends, Stay Calm!】
Is the Federal Reserve just talking big again?!
What happened to the promised interest rate cut in June? It seems to have gone to grandma's house!
Now the probability of a rate cut in July is also uncertain, and who knows when the money printing machine will start again?
Macro risks have calmed down a bit, but things aren't looking that great either. 😤

📢 Keep an eye on these three lines, don't get caught off guard!
1️⃣ June Federal Reserve meeting
If they cut rates under tariff pressure, the liquidity will surge, and the crypto market will take off! 🚀
If they stubbornly refuse to cut, the market might just show you how bad it can get! 💀
2️⃣ SEC's stance on Ethereum ETF
If the Ethereum ETF gets approved, a new market worth hundreds of billions will explode! 💥
Once the staking feature is released, institutional funds will rush in, so are you in or not?
3️⃣ Structural market legislation
If this thing really passes, on-chain assets will skyrocket! The opportunity for compliance is here, those who prepare in advance will profit immensely! 💰

⚠️ Summary: The next few months will definitely not be peaceful!
Tariffs, the Federal Reserve, and regulation are all stirring the pot, and market volatility is inevitable! But don’t panic, regulations are improving, institutions are entering the market, and the bull market is still brewing! Stay steady and wait for the wind to come! 🌪️

Market Trend Tracking

Ethereum 30-minute resistance rebound pullback, retesting the 30-minute high ice line position reversing and rebounding

Intra-day tracking structure shows signs of 1-hour hidden divergence crossing below the zero axis - 2550 is the key position

2-hour support in the 2530-2500 range; lower risk control support: 2450-2420

High position pressure range: 2622-2640; core clearing: 2642-2670;

Ethereum is really tough! I choose to short!

#新闻交易
I really don't pay attention to so-called news trading; data is king. It's only by looking at it from the perspective of the market makers that we can see which price levels they are clearing, taking retail orders, and even blowing out those orders. A double explosion of long and short positions is necessary for market making to occur. If they are clearing or filling liquidity gaps without any fuel, it doesn't align with the market maker's motives. Just like today's significant pullback, there may not be many liquidations, but a lot of profits from long positions are being given back. The market maker can also choose the most profitable way to operate based on the price fluctuations. This is all in a day's work for the market makers.

The overall strategy will also influence the market maker's movements. For example, recent Ethereum upgrades and tariff relaxations allow market makers to ride the wave, using external funds to control the overall direction while also picking opportunities to grind long positions and create false pullbacks. Trading strategies must align with the profits of the market makers and the overall direction!

🔥This Week's Major Events #贸易战缓和 #Strategy增持比特币
1. Amber International establishes a $100 million cryptocurrency ecosystem reserve
2. Strategy purchased 13,390 bitcoins for approximately $1.34 billion last week
3. The US Treasury will host a series of cryptocurrency policy roundtable discussions this week
4. Coinshares: Net inflow of $8.2 billion into digital asset investment products last week
5. The US retains the option to impose an additional 10% tariff, while canceling or suspending other proposed tariffs;
6. BlackRock has applied to enable physical redemptions for its Ethereum trust;

Ether's intraday short position has insufficient upward momentum in the 45-minute top pattern: the price range for building short positions is between 2532-2545, and one can re-enter short positions. The stop loss is set at 2555. The target profit is around 2440.

#山寨币交易 This wave of altcoins still has a large amount of bottoms that have not been liquidated, it's not bearish. There will still be a sideways fluctuation, and there are some opportunities for high leverage and hedging that can be taken

TRUMP Short

Light position
Entry point: 14.77
Stop loss: 15.3
First take profit: 13.75
Second take profit: 12.75

#BTC突破99K callback short position one?!

🚨 The president can't issue coins? #MEME法案
U.S. Senator Chris Murphy wants to promote the "MEME Act", banning the president and lawmakers from issuing Meme coins, saying that "Trump Coin is the biggest corruption in White House history".
Goodness, if $TRUMP is illegal, then $DOGE should be shot?
Issuing a coin is not allowed anymore, presidential campaigns will lack a bit of on-chain humor in the future.

Market Analysis of #ETH

Key Levels: 1790-1855

1. The daily MACD has finally crossed above the zero line, and the enthusiasm brought by #Pectra升级 has been absorbed by a lukewarm market. Structurally, a breakthrough of the daily moving average is not ruled out, testing the upper range of 1900-1950 for positions.

2. High-level core liquidation zone: 1840-1870; support range: 1782-1758;

3. Structural tracking: focus on the small shape changes at the 3-4 hour bottom level during the 12-hour rebound adjustment, and track the 30-minute shape on a smaller scale. Smart money accumulation zone: 1775-1751; discount zone: 1735-1715.

2025/5/8 Ethereum Strategy Update：

Long Strategy 1
Initial Position: Around 1793
Take Profit: 1833
Stop Loss: 1778
Long Strategy 2
Initial Position: 1766±2
Take Profit: 1810
Stop Loss: 1750

Short Strategy 1
Initial Position: 1836±1
Take Profit: 1803
Stop Loss: 1847
Short Strategy 2
Initial Position: 1866±2
Take Profit: 1818
Stop Loss: 1883

Unexecuted short orders canceled.

Ethereum strategy update:

Short order strategy: 1842, take profit 1796, stop loss 1855.

Bitcoin strategy update:

Secondary short order around 97200.

Take profit 96100, stop loss 97700.

#ETH 12 Hour Level Support

Internal focus on the breakout of the 30-minute 1800 structure. Pullback support range: 1805--1785 range as intraday support.

Long Position Strategy: Around 1803.
Take profit at 1843, stop loss at 1790.

Short Position Strategy: Around 1853,
Take profit at 1815, stop loss at 1867.

These politicians in the House have dithered for so many years, and now they finally come up with a regulatory draft! But at least it's a first step — the bill clearly prohibits the Treasury and FinCEN bureaucrats from reaching into self-custody wallets! These vampires are always thinking about how to monitor the assets of ordinary people, and now they are finally being held back by the law.

But don't be naive, this broken bill is still far from being implemented! Hearings, squabbling, lobbying, compromises... The bureaucratic assembly line in Washington won't produce results without a few years of turmoil. Those two useless agencies, #SEC and #CFTC , will surely still fight for territory. Research on DeFi and NFTs? Ha, by the time they finish their research, the industry will have already cooled down!
#美国众议院市场结构讨论草案

There is 1 day left until the next FOMC meeting of the Federal Reserve, with a probability of only 2.7% for a 25 basis point rate cut in May, and a probability of 97.3% for maintaining the current interest rate.
The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining the interest rate until June is 69.8%, the cumulative probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 29.4%, and the cumulative probability of a 50 basis point rate cut is 0.8%.

Notice the volatility!
#美联储FOMC会议