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BTC Market Analysis - (March 6)

Overall Market Trend
1. Mid-term Trend (12H-Daily):

• The mid-term moving average system is in a bearish arrangement, indicating that the overall market trend is currently bearish.

• The K-line high has reached the upper edge of the contracting triangle area, and the space and probability for continued price increase are small, so we must be alert to the risk of short-term pullbacks after a spike.

2. Short-term Trend (4H):

• The price is within a bearish arranged moving average system, but the K-line has not yet shown obvious signs of exhaustion.

• There is a noticeable divergence between bulls and bears, and combined with the sideways movement before the previous market decline, there is a certain probability of a pullback at the lower edge of this area, but excessive speculation is not recommended.

3. Ultra-short-term Trend (1H and below):

• After experiencing sharp rises and falls, the small-scale moving average system is relatively chaotic, but support is gradually forming.

• The price is in the mid to later stages of the contracting triangle, and the amplitude of rise and fall will gradually narrow until a new range structure is formed.

Operational Strategy

1. Large-scale (12H-Daily):

• Being in the intraday short-term high point area, it is recommended to focus on selling high to reduce the risk of chasing long positions.

2. Small-scale (1H and below):

• The price is at the back end of the overall triangular shape, and the amplitude of rise and fall will gradually moderate until a change occurs.

Key Points

1. Short-term Support Levels:

• First Support Level: 88340-86959 (quick in and out recommended).

• Second Support Level: 84910-83982 (consider placing orders).

2. Short-term Resistance Levels:

• Shape Resistance Level: 93350-94910.

• If the price first spikes to this area and above, be alert for bull traps and temporarily set aside breakout buying points.

Summary

• Overall trend is bearish, large-scale is at a high point area, with a short-term risk of pullbacks after spikes.

• Small-scale movements are chaotic but supported, with narrowing amplitude of rise and fall, waiting for a change.

• Operationally, it is recommended to focus on selling high, pay attention to key support and resistance levels, and avoid blindly chasing long positions.

btc second target 8 27 7 7 has been reached! Currently around 8.4, do not chase long positions, if there is a pullback around 81750, you can make a quick entry and exit 😉
There won't be many updates in the future, not much time, focus on trading! If you feel my suggestions are good, you can click on my profile to find me 😊! 🆓🆓🆓 Let's communicate and improve together 💪

Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 02/28

BTC daily chart shows 6 consecutive bearish days, the major decline has been released, and continuing to be bearish is unwise. The smaller timeframe has not yet bottomed, and further observation is needed for 1-2 days.

Short-term Trends

• Rebound Expectation: After the price entered the second support level without breaking down, a rebound occurred. The negative divergence on the 4-hour and 12-hour levels is significant, indicating an upward expectation.

• 1 Hour and Below: After a continuous decline, the bearish structure on the smaller timeframe is evident, but the current trend is stabilizing, allowing for short-term quick in-and-out operations.

Key Levels

• Aggressive Entry Range: 80300-79794

Stop Loss: 79500 (1-hour candlestick body)

Take Profit Reference: 81520/82777

• Short-term Support: 78555-77910 (quick in-and-out)

• Medium-Short Term Resistance: 83514-85315

Medium-term Operations:

• Wait for a bullish structure to appear on the 1-hour and below level before combining with the 'Lifeline Strategy Ma30 Moving Average' for operations.

Macroeconomic Outlook

• In 1-2 weeks: The price is likely to return above 81,000.

• In 2-4 weeks: The price may reverse to the 88,900-92,000 range.

• Main Force Movements: Even if the main force wants to offload, it needs to be completed through a rise and consolidation; subsequently, pay attention to rebound opportunities.

Remarks

• Current range opportunities are limited; operations are primarily quick in-and-out.

• A bullish structure on the 1-hour and below level must be formed before a daily chart rebound.

Daily Market Interpretation - BTC February 27, 2025

Short-term Trend

• Rebound Expectation: BTC has entered the oversold zone after 3 consecutive days of decline over 4 days, and may rebound by $6000-$8000 in the coming days.

• Operational Suggestions:

• For those who did not sell high in the previous medium to long-term spot positions, it is recommended to exit with the rebound.

• For short-term positions, take profit when the opportunity arises and avoid chasing highs.

Key Price Levels

• Short-term Support:

• 85644-84915 (Aggressive trading, quick in and out)

• 79988-78310 (Buying the dip on a sharp decline)

• Short-term Resistance:

• 87560-87868 (After reaching, pull back to 86699 for quick in and out; if there is a volume breakout, consider buying on the pullback)

• Medium-term Resistance:

• 91060-92370 (Watch for short opportunities; actively reduce positions that are trapped from previous highs)

Technical Analysis

• Hourly Level: The current rebound has recovered part of the oversold condition but has not formed a bottom structure.

• Levels above 4 hours: New buying points need to wait for further declines or a breakout on the hourly level.

• Small-level Bullish Conversion: If it maintains sideways movement, it needs about 15 hours to convert into a bullish structure.

btc#比特币价格走势分析 pullback 86550-84500 can make another long position

Daily Market Interpretation — BTC 02/25

1. Short-term Trend Analysis
From the 12-hour to daily structure, the BTC price has shown a clear downward trend. After experiencing three bearish days in a row, a rebound is expected in the next two days. However, if this rebound fails to recover the neckline, one should be cautious of a potential new downward phase, and the market will likely continue to oscillate at low levels.

2. Hourly Level Trend
From the 1-hour to 4-hour trends, BTC has seen a sharp drop after consecutive declines, and the current price is close to long-term support levels. The frequent doji patterns during the hourly decline indicate that most of the short-term downward pressure has been released, and further shorting is not recommended. However, a clear bottoming structure has not yet formed, and under normal fluctuations, the price is unlikely to rise significantly, so it is advisable to wait for a new low before attempting a rebound.

3. Key Support and Resistance

• Short-term support: 86,427-84,777 (focus on quick in-and-out trading).

• Second support: 83,301-81,510 (can consider a rebound during sharp declines).

• Medium to short-term resistance: 90,770-92,859 (do not support breakout buying points).

4. Market Sentiment and Technical Indicators
According to the technical analysis on February 25, the overall market sentiment for BTC is bearish, with only 9 out of 20 technical indicators showing bullish signals. The current BTC price is near its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) support level, which is expected to reach $88,960 on March 27. Additionally, the relative strength index (RSI) is at 44.73, indicating a neutral range, suggesting that the market is currently in a wait-and-see state.

5. Macro Market Trends
After the recent theft incident on Bybit, market sentiment for BTC has been somewhat affected, with upward momentum weakening. Nevertheless, BTC continues to oscillate within the range of $94,000 to $100,000; if it breaks below $94,000, it may further dip to $90,000. However, in the long term, the 200-day and 100-day moving averages for BTC still show some support.

6. Market Outlook

• Short-term: Pay attention to the short-term support between 86,427 and 84,777; consider a rebound during sharp declines, but be aware that the rebound strength may be limited.

• Medium to long-term: If BTC can hold the $94,000 support level, it is likely to continue testing the $100,000 resistance level. If it breaks below $94,000, one should be cautious of further downside risks to $80,000.

According to current market analysis and forecasts, there is indeed a possibility that the BTC price will fluctuate between $150,000 and $180,000 in the near future. The following are some judgments based on macro analysis and market trends:

1. The bull market is still ongoing: Despite multiple adjustments in the market, from a technical structure and market sentiment perspective, the current bull market has not yet ended. The main upward wave that began in October 2023 and the subsequent adjustment periods (such as from March to October 2024 and from November 2024 to now) show that the market remains positive even amid high-level fluctuations.

2. Market support and resistance: Currently, the BTC price is fluctuating in the range of $95,000 to $100,000, with short-term support around $93,000 and resistance around $102,000. From a macro technical structure perspective, although the market is volatile, the large-scale support structure remains positive, providing a foundation for subsequent increases.

3. Short to medium-term trend prediction:

• In the next 2 to 3 months, BTC may continue to oscillate at high levels, with the monthly mid-line structure showing the potential to rally to $105,000, after which there may be another cycle of breaking lower and then rebounding.

• If the market experiences a sharp drop without sufficient consolidation, consider bottom-fishing around $86,500 and below, which could evolve into a phase of a double-headed bull market.

• If the market evolves according to the above cycle, after the horizontal structure ends in 2 to 3 months, the price may further rise to between $150,000 and $180,000.

4. Long-term price prediction: According to CoinCodex's forecast, the price range for BTC in 2025 may be between $95,000 and $160,000, with an average price expected to be $120,000. Additionally, other analyses indicate that BTC may rise further in 2025 due to the launch of ETFs and improved market sentiment.

In summary, there is a possibility that the BTC price will rise to between $150,000 and $180,000 in the near future, but investors should be aware of the risks of market fluctuations and adjustments. Specific operational advice should be based on recent market dynamics and analysis.

Daily Market Interpretation — BTC 02/22

Daily Chart Trend
BTC price remains within the oscillation center of the past 15 days, with the upper resistance at 98410 and the lower support at 94350. The overall trend has not yet formed a clear direction; subsequent breakouts, whether upward or downward, could evolve into a trending market. Investors need to pay attention to opportunities for buying on pullbacks and exiting on breakdowns.

4H to 12H Trend
BTC is currently in a pullback state after a sharp decline, with a new short-term resistance formed in the 96955-98066 range. Caution is advised for further price dips; it is suggested to manage existing positions and wait for better opportunities during a second bottom test.

1H and Below Trend
The price rebound has some strength but is insufficient to offset the negative impact from yesterday's sudden news. If the trend remains strong, there is a high probability of oscillation in the 96177-97196 range over the next two days. Due to the small fluctuations in this range, short-term trading is not recommended; focus should be on the daily chart's fluctuating range.

Key Levels and Strategies

• Short-term Support: 95468-94339-93242 (1:1:2 quick in and out; the latter two levels can be split for separate operations)

• Medium to Long-term Support: 87848-85720 (not within the current fluctuating range, can be used as pre-selected points for limit orders)

• Medium to Short-term Resistance: 98630-99786 (5% chance of reaching; it is not recommended to gamble on this level with existing positions; wait for breakout signals).

Operational Suggestions

• For short-term trading, be cautious of high selling, patiently wait for low buying opportunities, and avoid blindly chasing after rises or falls.

• Pay attention to breakout signals on the daily chart, adjusting strategies in conjunction with market sentiment and macro factors.

Market Dynamics

• BTC price finds support near 95000 USD, but the overall market remains in a broad oscillation range.

• The Bybit theft incident has a short-term impact on Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, but market resilience is strong.

• Institutional inflows and the popularity of ETFs continue to support Bitcoin's long-term trend.

In summary, the BTC market is expected to remain oscillatory in the short term; investors should operate with caution and wait for clear breakout signals.

Market Analysis——ETH, SOL 2/21

ETH and SOL currently have no independent trends, and their long and short rhythms mainly follow the changes in BTC's points. When BTC reached key support or resistance levels recently, ETH and SOL also showed corresponding rebounds or adjustments.

Recommendations

1. Operation strategies of ETH and SOL:

• Since the trends of ETH and SOL are highly dependent on BTC, you only need to predict the direction of BTC when operating.

• The mid- and long-term preparatory pin points given earlier remain unchanged, waiting for a clear breakthrough signal from BTC.

2. Market Trends:

• The trend of BTC has a significant impact on ETH and SOL. BTC is currently near a key point, and the trends of ETH and SOL also show signs of bottoming out or adjustment.

• SOL has shown strong market activity recently, with its on-chain transaction volume continuing to rise, while ETH's transaction volume has declined.

Summarize
In the current market environment, the operations of ETH and SOL should be based on the trend of BTC, with a focus on the key support and resistance levels of BTC. The previous medium- and long-term operation points remain unchanged, waiting for further clear signals from the market.

Daily market interpretation - BTC 02/21

Overall analysis

From the 12-hour to the daily level, BTC remains positive, and the price is close to the previous suppression level of 99,600, but has not yet broken through. Although there has been an increase recently, it has not broken through the previous high. It is recommended to avoid chasing the rise to avoid buying at local highs. There are signs of bottoming out at all levels, but the medium- and short-term structural suppression has not been broken. The general direction of the subsequent market is not bad, and the timing of entry needs to wait for volatility to increase.

Short-term operation suggestions

• Current suppression level: 99,600 (spot profit stop, small stop loss short, keep the first suppression or return to the cost).

• First suppression level: 100204-101052 (the night high point to this area needs to be supplemented with large volume, and you can consider entering the market after 8 hours of sideways trading, with a stop loss of 99480).

• Second suppression level: 102499-103646 (after reaching this area, it is necessary to step back to the first suppression level around 99600, and stop loss is 99480).

Medium- and long-term operation suggestions

Medium- and long-term chips can set a capital protection order and wait for a breakthrough before adjusting the strategy.

Market sentiment and technical analysis

• BTC closed positive at the daily level, the Bollinger Bands closed, and the MACD bullish volume increased, but it is necessary to pay attention to the breakthrough of the upper suppression level.

• The 1-hour to 4-hour level shows a "head and shoulders bottom" pattern, which is currently rising at the neckline position, but it is necessary to pay attention to risks before breaking through.

Summary

BTC's overall trend tends to fluctuate. It is recommended to operate cautiously before breaking through and wait for clear signals before entering the market.

2/21 Market Analysis: ETH, SOL

ETH

• Short-term support: 2487-2403 (aggressive, slow decline can be done, 1:2 fast in and out)

• Mid-term support: 2276-2177 (regular fluctuations are less than, sharp decline can grab rebound, 1:2 position)

SOL

• Short-term support: 154.2-145.6 (watch the market operation, valid for 7 days, break can be rebounded, sharp decline can be grabbed)

• Sharp decline reference: 133-125 (high probability of pin-shaped reversal)

Operation suggestions

1. Short-term operation value is low, it is recommended to link BTC market synchronous operation.

2. The rise is suppressed by shorts, avoid chasing high.

3. Prepare a low multi-point downward first, and then adjust the strategy after the upward breakthrough.

Daily market analysis - BTC (02/20)

Market analysis
From the 12-hour to daily trend, BTC has been performing positively in the past 5 days, but the overall price is still in the range of fluctuations in the past 15 days. It has not broken through the upper pressure, nor has it fallen below the lower support. The overall trend is neutral, and there is no clear trend. The current price is close to the pressure zone of 100,000. There is a risk of short-term correction. It is recommended not to chase the rise.

From the 1-hour to 4-hour trend, the market forms a standard head and shoulders bottom pattern. The price rebounds after stepping back on the right shoulder and approaches the upper pressure. Short-term operations need to pay attention to stop-profit, and be wary of the risk of a sharp drop after a failed breakthrough. Operations can be combined with the characteristics of the head and shoulders bottom pattern.

Operation strategy

1. Short-term suppression and support:

• Short-term suppression: 98182-99828 (if the volume breaks through and steps back, you can consider entering the market).

• Short-term support: 96823-96150 (head and shoulders bottom neckline, aggressive operation, slow decline can enter, sharp decline can not enter, fast in and out, only operate once).

• Second support: 94153-92872 (need to watch the market operation).

2. Key points and operations:

• Suppression zone: 100,000 mark area, do not chase the rise before breaking through, take the initiative to stop profit.

• Short-term opportunities: retracement after breaking through the 100,000 mark, short-term rebound of the head and shoulders bottom pattern.

• Low-long opportunities: low-long at the lower track of the original oscillation range.

3. Alternative points:

• Low-probability points: 87127-84763 (not the existing fluctuation range, regular fluctuations are difficult to reach, alternative pending orders, 1:2 ratio, effective in the near future).

Notes

• It is recommended to operate in batches to avoid merging positions.

• Short-term operations require flexible responses. It is recommended to wait and see when the market drops sharply, and to participate with a light position when the market drops slowly.

• Continue to pay attention to market dynamics and wait for clear breakthrough signals or confirmation of pullback before operating.

2/19 Daily Market Analysis - BTC

Daily Trend Analysis
From the daily trend perspective, Bitcoin's price remains in a range of $94,000 to $100,000, with clear upper and lower boundaries. Currently, the overall market volatility is low, but there is strong support near $94,000, while $100,000 is an important psychological resistance level.

Short-term Trend Analysis

1. 4H to 12H Level: The candlestick shows some positive signals after forming a pin bar, but the upward pressure remains significant. The current price is close to the resistance area of $100,000, and short-term traders should take profits proactively to avoid chasing highs.

2. 1H and Below Levels: The short-term trend has reached a resistance level, and the candlestick structure shows a 'Head and Shoulders Bottom' pattern. If the price retraces to the trend line of the left shoulder, it can be seen as a short-term opportunity for quick entry and exit.

Price Level Analysis

1. Short-term Support Levels:

• $95,192 - $94,380: Suitable for short-term operations. If the 1H level aligns with the lifeline strategy, one may pre-position a primary position with a suggested tail ratio of 1:2.

• $93,110 - $92,268: This is the second support level and can be considered a more stable low buy point.

2. Short-term Resistance Levels:

• The resistance level above the current range is referenced at $98,182 - $99,828. If the price breaks out with volume and confirms with a retracement, one may consider entering the market.

3. Alternative Price Levels:

• $87,127 - $84,763: This is a low-probability level, not within the current volatility range, but can be considered as an alternative, placed at a ratio of 1:2.

Market Dynamics and Risk Warning

1. Market Sentiment: Although Bitcoin's price is fluctuating slightly, the overall confidence in the market is strong, and recent large liquidations have not triggered a significant decline.

2. Macro Factors: High inflation data from the U.S. and macroeconomic headwinds exert some pressure on market sentiment, but Bitcoin's long-term trend is still influenced by institutional investors and the ETF market.

3. Operational Suggestions: Short-term operations should focus on quick entries and exits, avoiding excessive chasing of highs. Medium to long-term investors should pay attention to trend changes following a breakthrough at $100,000.

In summary, Bitcoin is currently in a range-bound phase, requiring flexibility in short-term operations, while medium to long-term focus should be on the breakthrough of key resistance levels.

2/18 Market Analysis - ETH: Watch carefully and seize the opportunity of low-to-long

Daily Trend Analysis
From the daily chart, the ETH moving average system is in a short position arrangement, and local dead cross patterns frequently appear, indicating that the current market is in a weak pattern as a whole, and the space and sustainability of upward rebound are limited. The price fell back several times after touching the upper suppression level, and the momentum for further upward exploration is insufficient. It is recommended to temporarily avoid chasing high positions. The K-line structure shows that ETH still has the possibility of further downward exploration. It is recommended to focus on low-to-long operations.

Short-term trend analysis
From the 1-hour, 4-hour, and 12-hour charts, ETH has evolved a breakout trend after the decline, and it is necessary to be vigilant about the risk of further downward exploration after a small sideways movement. The current price is in a range of fluctuations, and the upper suppression and lower support are relatively clear.

Key points

• Upper suppression band: 2860-2975 (short-term suppression 2784).

• Short-term support: 2558-2454 (aggressive operation range, slow decline can be done, fast in and out).

• Mid-term support: 2276-2177 (it is difficult to reach with regular fluctuations, and you can grab a rebound in case of a sharp drop).

Trading suggestions

1. Short-term operation: If the price falls to the 2558-2454 range, you can buy more with a light position, with a target of around 2784 and a stop loss below 2400. If there is a sharp drop to the mid-term support level, you can consider grabbing a rebound, with a target of 2600-2700.

2. Mid-term operation: The overall market trend is weak at present, so it is recommended to wait and see cautiously, waiting for a clear bottoming signal or reversal pattern to appear.

3. Risk warning: The current short-term trend is obvious, so don't chase the rise, and avoid blindly buying the bottom or chasing the high.

Overall, ETH will continue to fluctuate in the short term, and investors need to pay close attention to market dynamics and flexibly adjust their operation strategies.

2/18 Market Analysis - SOL: Wait patiently for rebound opportunities and operate with caution

From the daily trend, SOL fell for 4 consecutive days after hitting the key long-short watershed of 205. The main decline has been released, but the bottoming structure has not yet been formed. The risk of buying directly is relatively high. It is recommended to wait patiently for the opportunity of a sharp drop and rebound after further exploration, and avoid blindly buying the bottom.

From the 1-hour, 4-hour, and 12-hour charts, SOL's short-term short structure is obvious, and it has broken several times locally. There is still a risk of further exploration after consolidation. The rebound range and sustainability are questionable. It is recommended not to chase the rise, and only grab the rebound after a new low appears.

Key points:

• Short-term support: 154.2-144.3 (watch the market, valid for 7 days. Even if this area falls below, there is still a chance of rebound. If it falls sharply, you can actively grab the rebound, with a reference point of around 133)

• Short-term suppression: 176.9-187.1

• Second suppression: 203.4-212.1

Operation suggestions:

1. Short-term operation: If the price falls to the 154.2-144.3 range, you can grab the rebound with a light position, with a target of around 176.9. If it falls below 144.3, you can wait for a sharp drop to around 133 before entering the market, with a target of 150-160.

2. Mid-term operation: It is not recommended to chase long or short in the short term, and wait patiently for a clear bottoming signal or reversal pattern to appear.

3. Risk warning: The current short trend is strong, so don't chase the rise, and avoid blindly buying the bottom or chasing high.

2/18BTC market analysis: Wait for a breakthrough, grasp the key points

BTC is in a narrow sideways state as a whole, with no obvious changes. Investors are advised to remain cautious and wait for clear breakthrough signals.

Key points:

• Short-term support level: 94100-92500

• Second support level: 87200-84800 (small probability, alternative order)

• Short-term suppression level: 98200-99700

• Second suppression level: 100800-101300 (if the volume breaks through and falls back, you can consider entering the market)

Operation suggestions:

There are many resistances above at present, and the upward space is limited. It is recommended to stay put before the breakthrough. If the daily line shows a negative decline, it can be regarded as accumulating rebound momentum. When the price touches the support level, you can consider buying more at a low price.

2/17 BTC Market Analysis and Trading Suggestions:

1. Short-term Trend: The daily chart shows small red and green candles, with an unclear direction. The current price is in a densely packed short-term resistance zone around 100,000; if it hasn't broken through, it is considered a continuation of the downward trend, allowing for low long opportunities.

• Breakout Situation: If it breaks through 100,000, it may form a bottom; a pullback to the neckline and the lower half of the bullish candle is a buying point.

• Downward Situation: If it declines first, short-term support is at 93,800-92,300; if the rebound space is insufficient or it continues to decline, then hold off on trading; if it drops to the mid-term support of 87,200-84,800 (low probability), a rebound can be seized, with higher certainty.

2. Mid-term Resistance: 99,200-101,380; entry can be considered after a volume breakout and pullback.

3. Key Operational Points:
• Breakout buying points need to wait for structural confirmation; do not chase the first rise.

Core Strategy: Trade in the direction the market first moves.

2/16 Everyone, please pay more attention to the current market. The market has reached a critical node!

Current market analysis and operation suggestions

The overall market volatility is small at present. Bitcoin (BTC) has risen or fallen by less than 1% today, and the market is in a relatively stalemate. In this case, short-term operations are difficult. Investors are advised to remain patient and wait for the market to break out of the current range before operating.

BTC operation suggestions

1. Rising situation

If BTC rises first and breaks through the key resistance level of 100,800, investors are advised to wait for the price to step back and confirm that the breakthrough is effective before considering buying. At that time, I will further provide detailed analysis and operation details.

2. Falling situation

If BTC falls, this may be a high-probability event. Investors are advised to pay attention to the support level near 91,700. If the price is close to this point, you can consider participating in the operation of a sharp drop and rebound, but you need to pay attention to controlling your position and risk.

About ETH and SOL

At present, we will not conduct a detailed analysis of (ETH) and (SOL) separately, because they usually follow the trend of BTC. However, the key points of ETH and SOL mentioned earlier are still valid. If market volatility intensifies, it is recommended to lower the pending order level appropriately to increase the safety and flexibility of operations.

Can SOL 2/15 still rise? Beware of a decline in the near future!

Short-term support 183~178 (watch the market), second support 158~146 (small probability event, but 1:2 can be hung), short-term suppression 209~214, second suppression 221~225$SOL

February 15 ETH Market Sentiment is Cautious, What Other Profit Opportunities Exist?
The whale has cleared a profit of $348,000 after building a position of 3,000 ETH at $2,615 two weeks ago, indicating short-term volatility and profit opportunities. From the ETF perspective, the net inflow situation is good, and institutions still have confidence in ETH. Recently, the NFT market activity has increased, which may also drive ETH demand.
Strategy Recommendation: Short-term support at 2570~2530 (quick in and out), second support at 2445~2395, short-term resistance at 2730~2780, comprehensive pattern resistance at 2930~3025,

Note: Be cautious of significant drops following small rises; if there is a drop first, consider seizing the rebound. The emergency drop zone is 2210~2166 (low probability) $ETH