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Bitcoin has been in a horizontal fluctuation phase over the weekend, and has not yet broken through the resistance of the moving averages above. This constraint has prevented Bitcoin from launching an upward trend. Pay attention to the breakthrough situation in the area around 106190. For Bitcoin to develop a strong upward trend, it must break through this resistance level in the short term. Currently, it appears that Bitcoin's daily chart has adjusted sufficiently, with expectations for a rebound, but constrained by the resistance above. If the rebound is not strong enough, there is a possibility of another decline in this area in the short term. The horizontal range must be broken before deciding the direction, to guard against false signals followed by a downturn. The key position in the early session is here; if it breaks through, it can open up the channel for a rebound. This upward movement originating from a sideways trend is usually a critical point for a trend change, so patiently wait for confirmation of direction before entering the market.

6.13 Strategy Analysis

Bitcoin experienced a plunge at a key position yesterday. The new tariffs involve products like steel washing machines, refrigerators, and other appliances, combined with Israel's airstrikes on Iran, further exacerbating the tension in the financial markets. Poor economic data, among other factors, directly broke the previous upward trend, leading to a plunge starting at two in the morning. There are signs of weakening in the downward force this morning, with expectations for a rebound from the oversold condition. Let's first observe the strength of the rebound: whether it's a weak rebound followed by a drop to form a support level or a strong V-shaped reversal to repair the bearish area. The previous upward trend has already been disrupted by last night's drop. The downward force is too strong, switching from long to short, with a short-term expectation of testing the 100,000-point level below. Let's see if this area can form a support platform; if the support platform is also broken, it will enter a bearish trend in the short term.

Negative news is coming, and the original trend has been disrupted! The probability of this news causing issues recently is a bit high, pay attention to position control, and those monitoring the market should appropriately short when the plunge begins.

Trump will sign key parts of the U.S.-UK trade agreement in a few days. 2. Canadian Prime Minister: Progress has been made in U.S.-Canada trade negotiations. 3. Trump: Auto tariffs may be raised in the near future. 4. The U.S. Department of Commerce announces a new process for auto tariff credits and also announces tariffs on steel appliances starting from the 23rd, including washing machines and refrigerators.

1. U.S. media: Israel is considering taking military action against Iran in the coming days, with the earliest attacks possibly on Sunday, leading to a significant drop in U.S. stocks.

Bitcoin slightly surged last night after the data was released, reaching the high point of the oscillation range before directly reversing downwards. Obviously, this platform had a short duration, and the large amount of profit accumulated earlier has not been digested yet. After a tentative upward attack, it was directly smashed down. This aligns with our live analysis; the relative late stage of the first wave of the upward trend has adjustment expectations, and the adjustment range will not be too large. A lower shadow has already appeared in the early session, indicating a rebound expectation in this area. Pay attention to the strength of the rebound; whether it is a strong return to the oscillation range or a weak rebound followed by another slight drop. Near the lower shadow, one can try a short position with rebound expectations. Overall, the first round of Bitcoin's upward market has ended, entering an adjustment phase. After the adjustment ends, the next round of upward market will start. Currently, the news remains bullish, but be wary of unreliable factors that are thinking about taxing; pay attention to any announcements that may disrupt the market trend.

Bitcoin made a slight upward move last night without breaking new highs or experiencing significant increases, as most of the funds last night flowed into the Ethereum chain, leading to a broad rise in Ethereum-related cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin neither fell significantly nor rose sharply, but remained within a range. Currently, this phase of consolidation may continue, forming a larger support platform, setting the stage for the next push to new highs. If the first wave of the rise has ended, then after this platform is constructed, there will be a second wave of strong upward movement, at which point it will challenge new highs and create new highs. After all, at this position, there are still institutions significantly increasing their holdings, and the subsequent historical peak of Bitcoin is expected to exceed expectations. In terms of operational strategy, after high-level consolidation, wait for a slight pullback to the low point of the consolidation range before launching another upward attack. Be mindful of the time taken to construct the entire platform. The shorter the construction time for the strong upward movement, the better.

6.10 Strategy Analysis

Bitcoin rose unilaterally last night, directly standing above 110000 points. This rise was expected, but the intensity exceeded expectations, resulting from multiple positive news in succession, with 7 favorable news already mentioned in my previous post. Stimulated by such positive news, today's bullish direction is likely to be consistent. If it is too consistent, one needs to guard against the occurrence of a market crash, where it may fall first and then rise. Those chasing highs should be cautious as there is a possibility of a sharp decline today. When entering long positions, try to choose low points that have adjusted for more than 4 hours. Otherwise, if the adjustment has not ended and there is an expectation of a sharp decline, the position may not be good. After this wave of large rises, breaking through historical highs is very likely. Now, we need to see the strength of the push towards historical highs: whether it continues to rise strongly or gets hit after reaching historical highs. An adjustment above the new high is inevitable; only if the main force is still willing to continue after the adjustment will history continue to be created.

The big rise in the currency circle yesterday was due to a cluster of positive factors. This wave of Bitcoin will hit a new high again! Reaching a new all-time high! Ethereum's supplementary gains have begun!

1. According to Foresight News, Strategy purchased 1,045 Bitcoins between June 2 and June 8, at an average price of $105,426.

2. According to BlockBeats, Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas disclosed that BlackRock's IBIT holdings have exceeded $70 billion. The ETF reached this milestone in just 341 days, 5 times faster than GLD's old record.

3. According to Wu Shuo, Morningstar data shows that crypto funds attracted $7.05 billion in net inflows in May, with total assets reaching a record high of $167 billion. In comparison, Lipper data shows that global stock funds had net outflows of $5.9 billion and gold funds had net outflows of $678 million for the first time in 15 months.

Bitcoin has rebounded for three consecutive days, currently touching moving average resistance, with expectations of adjustment. This wave of rebound has been strong enough to directly V-shaped reverse rise since the positive economic data was released on Friday. Now that it has reached the upper resistance, after a period of adjustment, it will attack again. At this time, we need to focus on the size of the adjustment force; horizontal adjustments go without saying, the next wave of market will still be strong. However, if the rebound is weak, the adjustment force will expand, so pay attention to the adjustment range. Once the adjustment falls to 103300 points, it will indicate that the downward pressure has increased. The best stop-loss point for this adjustment is expected to be around 104630, and adjusting to this area is likely to start a new round of upward market. In terms of operational strategy, during the upward process, adjustments are expected, and the volatility space is relatively small, so participate less or not participate in adjustments, waiting for the adjustment to stop falling before entering long positions again.