#美国加征关税 【#美国加征关税 Trade War Escalation and Market Impact|Deep Analysis on April 9】 On April 2, the United States announced a 34% tariff increase on Chinese goods imported into the U.S., which, combined with previous rates, brings the total tariff to 65%. In response, China announced that starting April 10, it would impose an equivalent 34% tariff on U.S. imports and resorted to the WTO dispute mechanism, while also placing 11 U.S. companies on the "Unreliable Entity List," restricting exports of strategic resources such as rare earths. The escalation of this tariff war has caused global supply chain disruptions, with U.S. media describing it as "a nightmare" for businesses, particularly small enterprises that face surging costs and bankruptcy risks. The market needs to be wary of two major risks: 1) Export controls on heavy rare earths could raise costs in the new energy industry supply chain; 2) U.S. tech companies that rely on Chinese supply chains (such as semiconductors and medical equipment) will face supply pressure. Investors are advised to pay attention to updates on the tariff exemption list and signals from subsequent U.S.-China negotiations, with a focus on short-term risk aversion.
#交易心理学 #交易心理学 Emotion Management Under Tariff Panic|April 9th】 Market volatility is extreme, and trading psychology determines success or failure: 1. **Confirmation Bias**: Avoid overinterpreting tariff news, and cross-verify data (e.g., bankruptcies of U.S. companies account for only 0.3%); 2. **Loss Aversion**: After setting a hard stop-loss, refuse the obsession with 'breaking even' to prevent losses from expanding; 3. **Herd Effect**: Layout positions in undervalued assets that have been wrongly punished (e.g., compliant stablecoins), and independently assess on-chain data (e.g., USDC issuance increased by 66.5 million in one day); 4. **Overconfidence**: Leverage ratio should be negatively correlated with volatility; the current ETH futures funding rate is -0.03%, indicating a bearish dominance, so be cautious with high leverage. Remember: emotional stability is the ultimate Alpha for navigating cycles.
#币安理财收益竞技场 【#币安理财收益竞技场 Strategy Analysis|April 4】 As the volatility in the cryptocurrency market intensifies, the Binance Wealth Management earnings arena has become a popular choice for investors to optimize their asset allocation. Currently, the platform offers flexible, fixed-term, and structured financial products, among which the annualized return for BTC/USDT dual currency financial products reaches 8%-15%, and the APY for ETH staking products stabilizes at 4.5%-6.2%. It is worth noting that the recent high market volatility has increased the demand for capital-protected structured products like shark fins, with the highest potential return reaching an annualized 32%.
$BTC 【$BTC Long and Short Game and On-chain Signals|April 4】 BTC is currently priced at $84,200, with a 24-hour trading volume of $32 billion. Both bulls and bears are engaged in a fierce battle around key levels: - **Technical Analysis**: A 'descending wedge' has formed on the daily chart, with RSI (44) neutral to weak. If the neckline at $85,500 is broken, a bullish pattern will be established, targeting $88,000; the strong support below at $83,000 may lead to a drop to the psychological level of $80,000 if breached. - **On-chain Data**: 1. Addresses holding over 1,000 BTC have increased their holdings by 24,000 BTC in the past week, with an average cost of $83,500; 2. The open interest in futures has risen to $18.6 billion, with the funding rate remaining negative (-0.03%). Shorts dominate, but there is a risk of a short squeeze.
Since I started interacting with 50 accounts daily, I've been under a lot of pressure. Although this part can be completed in a couple of hours each day, if I haven't finished interacting with these 50 accounts, I feel a bit powerless doing anything else. There's always a thought in my mind: "There are still 50 accounts left to interact with" 😭
📝 Adjustments for the future: Complete the interactions for these 50 accounts first each day before doing other work. By the way, here's an update on the recent projects I'm following for these 50 accounts: 1⃣ Monad: 3~4 DAPPs daily 2⃣ SosoValue: Complete daily social tasks 3⃣ Beamable: Daily check-in + social tasks 4⃣ Newton: Roll the dice every day 5⃣ Somnia testnet: Daily transfers + Swap 6⃣ Inertia: Daily water collection, supply + lending when water is sufficient 7⃣ Klok: Have a few conversations with AI daily I also plan to add RECALL, but the galaxy is too troublesome, and my procrastination has kicked in 🙃
#币安投票下币 【#币安投票下币 Potential Impact Outlook | March 22】 With the resumption of Binance's voting mechanism for listing new coins, the question of whether the rights to delist coins will be opened simultaneously has become a focal point. Historical experience shows that in 2017, Binance's initial voting mechanism was suspended due to issues like project infighting and vote manipulation. Although this time the rules introduce a 'vote cleaning algorithm' and holding thresholds, community dynamics still hide risks. If a delisting voting mechanism is introduced in the future, it may trigger two major chain reactions: 1. **Accelerated Elimination of Bad Coins**: Projects with long-term low liquidity or compliance risks will be voted out by the community, enhancing the quality of exchange assets; 2. **Short Selling Tool Interaction**: Combined with contract trading, expectations of delisting may lead to a concentrated short-selling wave targeting weak tokens. Currently, attention should be paid to the boundaries of the decentralization of Binance's governance rights, and caution should be exercised against manipulators using the rules to sway market sentiment.
#币安投票上币 【#币安投票上币 First Phase Battle Status Update|March 22】 Binance resumed the "Voting for New Tokens" mechanism on March 20, with the first phase focusing on BNB Chain ecosystem tokens, sparking market discussions. Among the 9 candidate projects, the communities of tokens such as BANANAS31, BID, and KOMA have initiated a "Vote Rally," with some projects promising airdrop rewards to attract BNB holders to vote. The rules indicate that users must hold at least 0.01 BNB (approximately $6.2) to participate in the voting, and the top two will enter Binance's professional due diligence process. It is noteworthy that the candidate tokens are already listed on Binance's contract trading, leading to arbitrage strategies of "shorting unselected tokens" in the market, which increases short-term price volatility risks. If this round of autonomous experimentation is successful, it could provide the industry with a new paradigm of "community screening + professional oversight," long-term benefiting the cohesion of the BNB ecosystem.
$BTC 【BTC Current Price 83,000 USD, Triangle Convergence Brewing Trend Change Storm】Bitcoin is currently reported at 83,000 USD, with a symmetrical triangle forming on the four-hour chart, and trading volume shrinking to a monthly average of 65%. Three major signs of a trend change are emerging:
1️⃣ **Volatility Squeeze**: Bollinger Band width has narrowed to its lowest level since 2024 2️⃣ **Long-Short Battle**: The perpetual contract funding rate oscillates sharply between -0.02% and +0.15% 3️⃣ **On-chain Anomalies**: Net inflow to exchanges has plummeted by 73%, with dormant coins over 1 year moving 42,000 in a single day
The key time window points to March 15, the quarterly settlement day, with 84,000 USD accumulating a value of 4.2 billion USD in options positions. A breakout above the upper triangle (83,500) will trigger programmatic buying from CTA funds, while a drop below the 80,800 support could lead to a 15% level correction. The bull-bear showdown is imminent; which side are you on?
#比特币反弹 【Bitcoin's Last-Ditch Comeback Breaks 83000, Three New Forces Support the Bull Market】After experiencing a flash crash to 78500 USD at the beginning of the week, BTC rebounded strongly by 9% to reclaim the 83000 mark. On-chain data reveals three major reversal signals:
🔥 **Main Force Returns**: Addresses holding 1000+ BTC increased by 37 this week, setting a record for the highest single-week increase in 2024. 📈 **Derivatives Warm Up**: Open interest in futures surged by 28% to 46 billion USD, and the call option ratio rose to 1.8. 🌐 **Global Buying**: Trading volume in the Asian session exceeded 62%, with European and American institutions increasing their positions at lower prices.
The technical analysis shows a textbook bullish engulfing pattern, and the daily MACD is about to form a golden cross. The key resistance level is the 84000 USD options wall; breaking through this will open the way to 88000. Bears take note! The Fear and Greed Index skyrocketed from 40 to 68, indicating a complete shift in market sentiment.