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The bonus of the cryptocurrency circle has disappeared! Now the difficulty of speculating in cryptocurrencies is approaching that of speculating in the Nasdaq index! Bitcoin has become a mature investment product, and everyone’s opponents have become various top hedge funds! Everyone’s opponents have changed from retail investors to Wall Street elites!

From the data point of view, Ethereum is still in the main spot accumulation stage; Since this round of bull market, Ethereum has experienced 3 rounds of spot accumulation and is now in the fourth round of accumulation, but the fluctuation range of this round is greater than the previous three rounds:
First round: August 2023-October 2023, accumulation range 1750-1520, oscillation range 13%, final high point 2700, increase 70%;
Second round: January 2024, accumulation range 2500-2200, oscillation range 12%, final high point 4100, increase 70%;
The third round: from mid-April 2024 to mid-May 2024, the accumulation range is 3200-2800, the fluctuation range is 13%, and the final high point is 4000, with an increase of nearly 40%;
The fourth round: from mid-June 2024 to now, the accumulation range is 3500-2800, the fluctuation range is 20%, and the next one can be observed; Finally: The spot accumulation mentioned here is not the kind of situation that many retail investors or KOLs understand, that is, they keep buying and never selling. From the data, the profit expectation of the main spot is 40%-70%. When entering this profit range, the main force will start to stop profit, which is the real transaction; so those radical pie that rises and falls every day looks at 100,000 for big cakes and 10,000 for ether, and say that those who come to the market to find zero are all fools who do not trade at all;

BTC
Continue to wait for a new low after breaking 53485
After breaking the new low, buy at a good structure
You can stop loss and take the opportunity to buy more
Plan your trade
Trade your plan

#Bitcoin❗ and Ethereum rose immediately after a key K-line appeared in the EMA20 moving average support area. The current operation ideas are as follows:
1. Friends who have not yet boarded the train: Don’t worry, if there is a continuous upward trend, there will be opportunities to go to the market.
2. Friends who have already boarded the train: Raise the stop loss line to the break-even area, no other operations are needed, and let the market continue to develop.

When the number of first-time unemployment claims in the United States exceeds expectations, it usually reflects that the economy is under pressure and companies are laying off more people. This data is an important indicator of the health of the labor market. A higher unemployment rate indicates that more people have lost their jobs, which may indicate an economic slowdown or recession.
Consumer confidence and spending will also be affected. An increase in the number of unemployed people will lead to a decline in consumer confidence and increase people's uncertainty about future income, which will reduce consumption. This is not good for overall economic growth because consumer spending is an important part of the economy.
The government needs to pay more unemployment benefits, which will increase fiscal pressure and may lead to a larger fiscal deficit. In response to this situation, the government and central bank usually take measures such as increasing public spending, lowering interest rates or implementing economic stimulus policies.
Financial markets are also sensitive to unemployment data. Higher unemployment rates may cause stock markets to fall and investors seek safe-haven assets. The exchange rate market will also be affected, and the US dollar may weaken.
Overall, the number of first-time unemployment claims exceeding expectations is an important economic signal to pay attention to, reflecting the health of the labor market and the overall economy, and will trigger a series of economic and policy responses.
#美国首次申领失业救济人数超出预期

ETH has continued to rise, ready to hit a new high, and the decline has attracted many parties to buy at the bottom.
In case the price reduction in the first quarter is too large, wait quietly
BTC big holders have lost their faith.

24-hour BTC-3.3%, ETH-3.9%; Top 500 by market capitalization rose ≥30%: HONEY +31% - Biden is weighing whether to continue to run; White House spokesman: The report is completely wrong; Biden's will to run: No one will withdraw from the election before me - BTC and S&P 500 are at the peak of infection; BTC miners' capitulation indicator is close to the market bottom level after the collapse of FTX; Shenma M30S++ and Shenma M33S++ mining machines are close to the shutdown price - Ethereum core developers proposed EIP-7732 proposal, which is a recognized cryptocurrency upgrade that separates execution verification from recognized verification - Documentary "Vitalik: The Story of Ethereum" will be released globally on September 18 - Pacman: Blast's fourth proposal will adopt a user voting system - Notcoin announced the launch of Telegram game accelerator - Jupiter launched Meme coin trading platform Ape

July 3, 2024

1. I chatted with a "big trader" a few days ago

1. I said: "If $BTC can't reach 100,000 in this cycle, no one will play in the next cycle!"; 2. I said: "It's not too much to look at the previous high of 4800-5000 for the medium-term goal of ETH?"; 3. I said: "Look at the US stock market next door, after the boss, it reached 234567, and look at the cryptocurrency circle, which is collectively down, hating the US stock holdings for too little"; 4. The big trader said: "In fact, if the timeline is extended, from last year to now, the cryptocurrency circle is obviously much higher than the US stock market." 5. I said: "That's right!"

2. Talk about the market

1. $BTC is still very successful. If the bottom-picking cost line is 60,000→61,000, although there is no more cost zone to open up the distance, there is no need to rush. For mid-term orders, a stop loss should be given.
2. Although there is no push, you will know if you admit it. The adjustment since 73777 is all sawtooth. I can only say that sawtooth is awesome.

3. Don't be anxious about this kind of large-scale adjustment. Just look at the bears' liquidation and unload the exchange. Continue to look at the bulls. Don't participate in small-level adjustments. Do medium-term or hold positions and wait, because there are too many ways to move, and it's annoying. Watching the market every day affects your mood. Find something that doesn't affect your mood.

4. From the online point of view, there is indeed a little atmosphere around 64,000, but I don't think the atmosphere here is very big. It's just a control method. The real atmosphere is in the middle area;

5. If there are futures orders here, and you have finished your bullets and are waiting, you can stop loss a little bit below the 60,000 integer level. Personally, because I build positions in batches, I am not prepared to stop loss. If it is below 60,000, I will continue to build positions;

6. My personal futures strategy this time is to build a left side.

A list of major events to watch in the cryptocurrency world in July——
On July 11, the June CPI data of the United States was released.
In July, more than 40 projects will unlock $755 million in assets. ALT, XAI, Aptos, ARB, OP, SUI, and STARK will all unlock large amounts. Be aware of the risks.
ether_fi opens S3, and S2 airdrops (5% of the total) will be available for query on July 5, and claims will be available on July 8.
The US SEC returned the S-1 form to the Ethereum spot ETF issuer for further revision, and it should be approved within two weeks. In terms of fees, in order to seize the market, Ethereum's fees are generally lower than those of Bitcoin ETFs, all below 30 basis points.
Mentougou has begun to repay#BTC#BCH, which will lead to a decline in market sentiment. Abnormal monitoring:
Our cousin CZ may return.

The annual rate of increase in the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index in the United States in May hit a new low since March 2021.
Simply put, this means that the rate of price increases in the United States slowed down in May this year compared with last year.
The core PCE price index is an important indicator of price changes in goods and services purchased by consumers, removing fluctuations in food and energy prices. The lower increase this time indicates that inflationary pressures have eased and prices are not rising as fast as before.
#美国5月核心PCE物价指数年率增幅创2021年3月以来新低

Mt.Gox launches repayment plan
Mt.Gox, once the world's largest Bitcoin trading platform, lost about 850,000 Bitcoins in a hacker attack in 2014 and eventually went bankrupt.

Years later, the trustee of Mt.Gox announced that it would launch a repayment plan to return some of the lost Bitcoins to affected investors.

This repayment plan means that investors will recover some of their lost assets. Although it cannot fully compensate for the losses, it is a positive development.

The implementation of the repayment plan will also help restore the market's trust in cryptocurrencies and promote the improvement of industry standards.

With the strengthening of supervision and security measures, the cryptocurrency market is expected to be more transparent and stable in the future, providing investors with a safer trading environment.
#Mt.Gox将启动偿还计划

Why I don't dare to mine small currencies other than BTC, because the logic of POW is usually like this:
1. The project party promotes the project, builds the enemy's plate, and allows graphics card miners to enter to help the project party to make data: miners, nodes, mining pools, total network computing power, mining difficulty, and transaction volume. 2. The manufacturer (actually the project party) launches a low-power, low-computing mining machine for sale, and recovers part of the early capital investment.
3. Use the income from the mining machine to recover the token chips sold by the miners into circulation, pull up the market dozens or hundreds of times on the exchange, and then tell a story to ship the chips to retail investors.
4. After the manufacturer ships to retail investors, according to the increase in mining difficulty, continue to produce the next high-power, higher-computing mining machine, sell it in the form of futures, and use this part of the income to continue to push up the price, serving the sales of mining machines (sometimes launching new mining machines even regardless of whether the miners who bought the mining machines in the early stage have recovered their investment)
5. Repeat steps 3 and 4 above
6. BTC is the best-performing market, LTC+DOGE is also OK, but there have been 5 or 6 major drawdowns in computing power in history, so I don’t dare to participate.

Summarize several techniques for bottom-picking
Learn more when the market is not good
1. The daily K-line forms a double bottom pattern, and the right side of the bottom has begun to increase in volume. Once it breaks through the neckline, you can buy boldly.
2. The daily K-line forms a triple bottom pattern, and the right side of the bottom has begun to increase in volume. Once it breaks through the neckline, you can buy boldly.
3. The daily K-line forms a head and shoulders bottom pattern, and the right shoulder has begun to increase in volume and break through the neckline, so you can buy boldly.
4. The daily K-line forms a small Yin and Yang pattern, and the right side of the bottom has begun to increase in volume moderately. Once it breaks through the top of the box, you can buy boldly.
5. The daily K-line forms an arc bottom pattern, and it has begun to increase in volume moderately recently, so you can buy boldly.
6. There is an accelerated pit-digging decline, and then a sudden continuous increase in volume breaks through the previous falling Yin line. You can buy boldly in the callback.
7. The daily KDJ indicator and the 4-hour KDJ indicator of the technical system are all below 20. When all the golden crosses resonate and attack upward at low levels, it is a golden opportunity to buy.
8. After a large positive line breaks through the lifeline (the lifeline turns upward), it indicates that the market will rise sharply in the future, so you can buy decisively.
No matter when or what the market is, it is normal. The only thing we can do is to adjust our mentality, respond calmly, and do what we should do!

Opportunities are here. Opportunities are all falling. If there is no sharp decline, you will always feel that you have lost money if you buy the bottom. As long as the decline is deep enough, you can buy the bottom without hesitation.

Market trend: The signs of the market decline have continued for several days. Korean retail investors are worried about the new regulations in July and sell altcoins in panic. Altcoins have fallen collectively, and US stocks have set new highs for seven consecutive days.

Market hot spots:
1. Eth series ENs, LDO, CVX, etc. have rebounded strongly. The chip structure is fully circulated. ENs is the ETH domain name currency, a very good token that can be laid out.
2. The bankruptcy series FTT and USTC rebounded, and FTX returned 8 billion US dollars to customers.
3. Ondo of the RWA sector rose again after listing on the Korea Exchange a few days ago, and cooperated with the drift of the sol chain. PS: Everything will turn around when it reaches its extreme. The market will not keep rising, nor will it keep falling. I am still bullish. Players with short positions can buy the bottom. The position is controlled at 30-50%, and the rest is for emergency use. FTM and ENs are a good choice.

The probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in 2024 is high, and the market expects that rate cuts may begin in the first quarter, especially in March. This is based on the continued decline in inflation data and signs of slowing economic growth. Fed Chairman Powell and other policymakers have hinted that if inflation continues to fall, a rate cut would be a reasonable policy adjustment.
#美联储何时降息？

Market Condition Analysis Yesterday, the Bitcoin market fluctuated sharply, and a rebound was expected, but it failed again. Recent doubts have raised whether the bull market is over. Altcoins have also seen a sharp collapse. Technical Analysis Key Support Levels: Bitcoin's strong support levels are between $64,300 and $63,200. Between these two positions, short orders are not recommended. Key Pressure Levels: $66,500 and $66,900.
#比特币走势分析

The Binance Futures Championship showcased the unique characteristics of the current cryptocurrency market, reflecting that the market is at a stage that is both mature and full of uncertainty. The championship attracted a large number of traders from around the world, showing the high activity and popularity of the market. Participants used various technical analysis tools and trading strategies to demonstrate the wide application of blockchain technology in the market, marking the gradual maturity of the technology.
However, high volatility and risks still exist. The fierce competition and sharp price fluctuations in the competition show that the market is still greatly affected by investor sentiment and there is a high degree of uncertainty. At the same time, more and more institutional investors have entered the market, such as the participation of Tesla and PayPal, which has enhanced the trust and legitimacy of the market, heralding the further maturity of the market.
In the future, with the advancement of technology and the improvement of global supervision, the market will develop in a more stable and mature direction. So, what do you think of the current stage of development of the cryptocurrency market? By observing the Binance Futures Championship, what do you think of the market's maturity and future trends? Welcome to share your insights.
#币安合约锦标赛 #币安用户数突破2亿

Bitcoin fell sharply to the trend line of 65,000 last night. There are two possibilities for Bitcoin's small midline: one is to break through and rise after forming a head and shoulders bottom pattern; the other is to rise after forming a double bottom structure.
#BTC走势预测

如果你在炒币过程中一直亏损，以下是一些调整策略和建议，帮助你重新评估和改进你的投资方法：
　　1.分析原因
　　首先，了解导致亏损的原因是至关重要的。以下是一些常见的问题和解决方法：
　　缺乏知识和经验：加深对加密货币市场的理解，多阅读相关的书籍和文章，参加在线课程或研讨会。
　　技术分析失误：学习和掌握技术分析工具和方法，了解如何解读图表和指标。
　　2.调整投资策略
　　分散投资：不要将所有资金投入一种加密货币，分散投资以降低风险。
　　设定止损位：在每次交易前设定止损位，避免因市场波动而造成巨大损失。
　　长期投资：考虑将部分资金用于长期投资，选择一些有潜力的主流币种，如比特币和以太坊。
　　3.风险管理
　　控制仓位：不要投入超过你能承受的资金，控制每次交易的仓位比例。
　　定期评估：定期评估你的投资组合和策略，根据市场变化进行调整。
　　借鉴他人经验：加入一些加密货币投资的社群或论坛，与其他投资者交流，借鉴他们的成功经验和教训。
　　学习从错误中吸取教训：每次亏损都是一次学习的机会，总结经验教训，逐步改进。
　　具体步骤
　　1.记录每笔交易：详细记录每笔交易，包括买入、卖出时间、价格和原因，定期回顾和分析这些记录。
　　2.设定明确目标：设定短期和长期的投资目标，根据目标调整投资策略。
　　3.定期学习和研究：花时间研究市场趋势和新技术，保持对市场的敏感度。
　　4.调整投资组合：根据市场情况和个人风险承受能力，定期调整投资组合。
　　通过以上调整和策略，你可以逐步改进你的投资方法，减少亏损，提高在加密货币市场中的盈利能力。#炒币技巧