#事件合约 About event contracts. Here are some thoughts on how I went from 19u to the current 300u. I divided 19u into three parts: one part of 9u and two parts of 5u. I started with 9u. If it goes well, I continue with the same direction of 16u. After two successful trades, I went from 9u to 28u. Now, I need to mainly judge whether the trend will reverse in the next ten minutes. It depends on the individual; if you can't judge, just go with a 5u trade. You can roughly judge the direction from this result because, generally speaking, the fluctuations of BTC are not particularly large; it won't jump up and down (of course, if you're unlucky, that's another story). Since we are trading for ten minutes, the cycle is particularly short, so big fluctuations are not a concern. If there is a big fluctuation, just follow it blindly; generally, big fluctuations last for half an hour. By big fluctuations, I mean BTC moving 300-400 points. If you can't find your feel, just watch the candlestick chart more. My profit was from the day before yesterday when I went from 50u to 160u. Then yesterday, I lost 190u. Today, I went from 19u to 300u again. (Friendly reminder, once you win to a certain point, change your point and exit; otherwise, you might get too excited and end up betting heavily.)
The most difficult thing for me is: how to determine the direction of the first bet. Can someone teach me!!!
吃那一面
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Regarding #事件合约 , my view is that event contracts are just betting on size. When the price is high, bet that it will go down, 100u. A one-hour deadline (if it really goes down, otherwise, you could lose 100u). Then, at half an hour, place a bet that it will go up. Also 100u. If the final price falls within the size range, you earn 170u; if it falls outside the size range, you lose a 30u fee. In any case, there will be three possible outcomes: 1. falls within the size range, you earn 170u, 2. falls outside the price range, you lose 30u, 3. you may not be able to hedge at the half-hour mark, but ultimately win, earning 85u, or ultimately lose, losing 100u.
Regarding #事件合约 , my view is that event contracts are just betting on size. When the price is high, bet that it will go down, 100u. A one-hour deadline (if it really goes down, otherwise, you could lose 100u). Then, at half an hour, place a bet that it will go up. Also 100u. If the final price falls within the size range, you earn 170u; if it falls outside the size range, you lose a 30u fee. In any case, there will be three possible outcomes: 1. falls within the size range, you earn 170u, 2. falls outside the price range, you lose 30u, 3. you may not be able to hedge at the half-hour mark, but ultimately win, earning 85u, or ultimately lose, losing 100u.