法师来咯
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You thought 6w escaped the top, but 6w cut the bottom. Most KOLs think that the bull market is over when it falls below 6w, and they are looking at bears. I can tell you responsibly that the KOLs who are looking at bears and bears at 6w now and bulls at 15w USD in the future are definitely the same group of KOLs. If you don’t believe me, save the screenshots. I have been bullish from below 2w to 7.3w. Now it has fallen back to 6w and I am still bullish, and I firmly see 15w USD. I am not a fence-sitter. I think it will be bullish if it goes up and bearish if it goes down. The cycle is not over yet.
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When everyone is pessimistic and looking down, only by looking with a future perspective can one achieve excess returns. The essence of investment is to invest in great companies, and to invest at the time when they are in trouble with the best cost-performance ratio, lowest cost, and highest odds. It's just like pursuing a goddess; it's the easiest to chase her before she becomes a goddess, like when you are still confused about this society.
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The last opportunity to get on board this bull market is in April. The U.S. imposing tariffs has caused global panic, and U.S. stocks are close to a circuit breaker. This is a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. If you miss it, you'll have to wait for the next round, which means waiting until this round ends. Many people don't believe it, but the result won't entertain us.
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I think Bitcoin is 150,000, and Ethereum is 8,000, which was said at the end of 2022. This does not mean I am telling you to buy now; it may not reach that point. So this is what I think, and it does not represent buying or selling advice. Of course, I do not recommend anyone to buy at the moment. The real buying opportunity was at the end of 2022 when Bitcoin was below 20,000, Ethereum was below 1,500, or this year when Ethereum was at 1,300. Currently, there is no cost-effectiveness in buying.
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I have never doubted the lady from beginning to end, and I firmly believe that this round can reach 8000. A tenfold increase from the bottom is inevitable. I will not become pessimistic about shorting just because the lady drops, nor will I become optimistic due to FOMO if the lady rises. Regardless of how the lady fluctuates, my view on 8000 this round will not change. Of course, this is my opinion!
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What is the cheapest big pancake you have ever bought? How much did you buy? Don't boast, it's best to have a purchase record; what is the lowest price you have seen with your own eyes?
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Good morning🌞🌞! A beautiful day begins! The current pancake is definitely not as volatile as it was 21 years ago. Back then, because the ETF was not approved, it was non-compliant, and it was a dark jungle, with daily fluctuations of 30-50%. Now, a daily fluctuation of 10% is already quite good, so it takes time to gather and wash, and the cycles have also become long. Most people are still immersed in the fantasies of 21 years ago, so naturally, they cannot achieve ideal returns!
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Investing itself is very simple; it's just that everyone wants to complicate it, constantly fidgeting around. The bottom of the pancake is more than 7 times, and having 500,000 can turn into more than 3 million, but most people in contracts lose more than 500,000. Ordinary people either lack patience or do not understand how capital is harvested. Instead of losing year after year, I advise you to completely stay away from this market. It's even better to go to Macau and pass three levels than to have a higher winning rate in your contracts.
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When something unusual occurs, there must be a reason; selling goods doesn't happen quietly. Why is there news at a high point that lets everyone know? I believe there is only one purpose: to wash out, create panic, and make most people sell their shares, allowing institutions to collect chips for the final push of this bull market. I said 7, 8, 9, 10 will rise, and there is a high probability that these months will reach a peak, be ready at any time to escape the peak.
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The hardest times are not now, but at the end of 2022 with FTX, the Luna crash, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which were also the times of the most aggressive interest rate hikes. Remember, students, the harder it gets, the greater the opportunity, the higher the odds; a crisis is a chance within danger, and it's a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity. This is what I've always said about investing against human nature: the more prosperous the economy, the greater the danger. Economic crises occur during prosperous times. I have always emphasized to buy, buy, buy at the end of interest rate hikes, and sell, sell, sell at the end of interest rate cuts; just remember that.
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Investing requires patience, especially now that the scale is large and the cycle is prolonged. It won't be like 21 years ago when daily fluctuations could exceed 30%. In the past, large fluctuations provided many opportunities, especially in altcoins, but this time there are almost no opportunities in altcoins due to the enormous market capitalization. How could there be dozens of times increases? Any significant increase would need to surpass the market capitalization of major players, which is obviously impossible. By the way, I said not to heavily invest in any altcoins not just now, but I have been saying this since the end of 2022 up to now.
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I mentioned a year ago that many countries would gradually participate, and in the end, global participation is the only means to counter the US dollar. Once ordinary people can buy Bitcoin in the stock market, there will really be no opportunity for the average person, and there will be no volatility. The future will treat it like gold!
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The Third World War is impossible; the Russia-Ukraine conflict has lasted so long without triggering a third world war, so how could it happen with Iran! Also, thanks to the friends below for panic selling; the big players love these retail investors who panic sell at the bottom and excitedly buy at the highs. In the investment market, you must think independently and not believe what your eyes see, because what you see is all that the media wants you to see, just collecting chips under the guise of information!
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It is obvious that Bitcoin is here, and the fluctuations are not as large as before. This is because now institutional investors and countries are all participating. Don't expect to see daily fluctuations of 30-50% like before; it has stabilized now. It's mostly about time, the cycles have lengthened, and the fluctuations have decreased. So, thinking about entering Bitcoin at 20k or 30k is almost impossible. Opportunities will have smaller fluctuations, so small funds are no longer suitable for crypto assets. I believe a capital system of at least 100k is necessary to be effective.
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In fact, every era has great opportunities; it's just a matter of whether we can discover them. When we do discover them, do we dare to make a heavy bet? After making a heavy bet, do we dare to hold it for the long term? Investment itself operates on a 4-year cycle. If you can't even hold onto a 2-year upward cycle, even if it rises 100 times, you won't make any money.
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There are only a few companies in the world that are great at intelligent driving: Tesla, Huawei, Li Auto, and Xiaopeng. I believe it’s not far-fetched for one of these domestic companies to emerge with a trillion-dollar market value, given the huge expectation gap. This cake is enormous. It’s comparable to how smartphones replaced Nokia; soon, everyone will have an intelligent electric vehicle. Just think about how big the market is. Why is Lei Jun betting everything on making intelligent electric vehicles? Because this is a huge incremental market.
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There are always opportunities, as long as you can seize the dividends of the times. There were waves of going to the sea, real estate, the internet, and stock trading dividends. As long as you grasp them, even a pig can fly. Currently, there are cryptocurrencies, AI, smart driving, and artificial intelligence. Don't enter without opportunities; opportunities always exist; it's just a matter of whether you can seize them.
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You only see that we are comfortable with the current stock we have, but you don't know how much pressure I faced online when I bought in at 20,000. It has been so painful to hold on until now. I am trading time for space, having held since the end of 2022, it's been 3 years. Do you know how I have lived these three years? [Hehe]
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It's been soft for so long, can't the e-guardian be strong? Seriously, when everyone is bearish on e-guardian, I said that being bearish at 800 and 500 is an opportunity, not a risk. Let's wait and see, in any financial market, good assets, good companies, great enterprises, as long as you buy them during their difficult times, you can achieve excess returns, which means owning them during a black swan event and then selling when they shine.
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Many people say that Sol will replace ETH, but I think it's almost impossible. However, because of decentralization, Sol cannot replace ETH. The most important thing in the crypto world is decentralization; losing it means losing everything. This is the reason why Bitcoin has been continuously rising. Bitcoin is completely decentralized, while Ethereum sacrificed some decentralization after transitioning to PoS. This is why it hasn't risen much in the past two years, but in the long run, it will absolutely outperform Sol.
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