You thought 6w escaped the top, but 6w cut the bottom. Most KOLs think that the bull market is over when it falls below 6w, and they are looking at bears. I can tell you responsibly that the KOLs who are looking at bears and bears at 6w now and bulls at 15w USD in the future are definitely the same group of KOLs. If you don’t believe me, save the screenshots. I have been bullish from below 2w to 7.3w. Now it has fallen back to 6w and I am still bullish, and I firmly see 15w USD. I am not a fence-sitter. I think it will be bullish if it goes up and bearish if it goes down. The cycle is not over yet.
In fact, every era has great opportunities; it's just a matter of whether we can discover them. When we do discover them, do we dare to make a heavy bet? After making a heavy bet, do we dare to hold it for the long term? Investment itself operates on a 4-year cycle. If you can't even hold onto a 2-year upward cycle, even if it rises 100 times, you won't make any money.
There are only a few companies in the world that are great at intelligent driving: Tesla, Huawei, Li Auto, and Xiaopeng. I believe it’s not far-fetched for one of these domestic companies to emerge with a trillion-dollar market value, given the huge expectation gap. This cake is enormous. It’s comparable to how smartphones replaced Nokia; soon, everyone will have an intelligent electric vehicle. Just think about how big the market is. Why is Lei Jun betting everything on making intelligent electric vehicles? Because this is a huge incremental market.
There are always opportunities, as long as you can seize the dividends of the times. There were waves of going to the sea, real estate, the internet, and stock trading dividends. As long as you grasp them, even a pig can fly. Currently, there are cryptocurrencies, AI, smart driving, and artificial intelligence. Don't enter without opportunities; opportunities always exist; it's just a matter of whether you can seize them.
You only see that we are comfortable with the current stock we have, but you don't know how much pressure I faced online when I bought in at 20,000. It has been so painful to hold on until now. I am trading time for space, having held since the end of 2022, it's been 3 years. Do you know how I have lived these three years? [Hehe]
It's been soft for so long, can't the e-guardian be strong? Seriously, when everyone is bearish on e-guardian, I said that being bearish at 800 and 500 is an opportunity, not a risk. Let's wait and see, in any financial market, good assets, good companies, great enterprises, as long as you buy them during their difficult times, you can achieve excess returns, which means owning them during a black swan event and then selling when they shine.
Many people say that Sol will replace ETH, but I think it's almost impossible. However, because of decentralization, Sol cannot replace ETH. The most important thing in the crypto world is decentralization; losing it means losing everything. This is the reason why Bitcoin has been continuously rising. Bitcoin is completely decentralized, while Ethereum sacrificed some decentralization after transitioning to PoS. This is why it hasn't risen much in the past two years, but in the long run, it will absolutely outperform Sol.
Market fluctuations are normal; it's not necessarily a bull market when prices rise or a bear market when prices fall. Everything is cyclical. By grasping the cycles, you naturally hold the key to wealth. Ordinary people can speculate, but only with small amounts of money. When the system reaches a certain point, you must proceed cautiously!
Learn to wait; waiting is also a beautiful thing. Don't think that the bull market has ended just because it hasn't risen. Spend more time reading books and enjoying the scenery. Don't stare at the candlestick chart all day long; checking the market 2-3 times a day is enough. Learn to enjoy life and be grateful for the present!
Investment is a lifelong endeavor, not just a matter of a few years. I believe that only through long cycles can one reach the end and truly stand undefeated. Choosing good assets to buy at the bottom of the cycle and holding them quietly is simpler than anything else, but the difficulty lies in the various challenges that arise along the way, making it hard for you to remain calm and hold on!
Read more, improve your cognition, understand the cycles, and naturally hold onto Bitcoin and other good assets. Even if I tell you that Bitcoin's next cycle will rise tenfold from the bottom, you still won't be able to hold on. If you don't grow, no matter how good the things are, you won't be able to grasp them.
The market is really high and funny, very absurd. When it was at 28,000, people were bearish at the bottom. Now many people are still bearish, but it doesn't matter. When it really reaches 15-20, everyone will look at 30-40. That is when the real FOMO happens, that is when it is truly the top!
Every major crisis is a redistribution of wealth and an opportunity for ordinary people to make a comeback. Whether it's the Great Depression of 1929, the Asian financial crisis of 1997, the financial crisis of 2008, or the COVID-19 crisis of 2020, including the recent FTX collapse crisis and last month's trade war crisis, as long as you grasp the cycle and direction, you can achieve huge returns. That's why I like crises; crises are the greatest opportunities, and major crises cannot be ruled out!
Do not be obsessed with certain individuals who can reach a9 and a10 with small amounts of capital through contracts. Ordinary people can never achieve this; those who can reach it with small amounts of capital have gathered the right timing, location, and luck, all of which are essential, along with their own talent. Ordinary people are just a mob and can never reach such heights; their mindset is not like that of the average person. If ordinary people really want to make money, they can only rely on cycles, on understanding, and on the accumulation of time, slowly approaching a9 through each cycle; there is no shortcut.
Why I don't sign contracts, and don't compete with contract players, is simply because I know I am an ordinary person, and it's enough for me to earn an ordinary person's income, understanding my own abilities. I don't compare myself to others; I seek the truest happiness within. In fact, happiness is just about eating well, drinking well, and sleeping well. But do those contract players really sleep well? Each of them is still operating at five or six in the morning, stimulating their nerves. Are they truly happy inside? One must understand how difficult it is for ordinary people to live without worries, to eat well, drink well, sleep well, and be happy every day.
Now just keep interspersing below 11 repeatedly, I hope to intersperse a little longer, this way it's more comfortable, and it can also make the indecisive surrender, and then launch the final charge, rushing towards the peak climax of 15-20, this way everyone can enjoy it, and after enjoying, we can rest well [smirk][smirk]
The most difficult time was on April 7th, a day of global panic. This is clearly a man-made panic, aimed at tricking investors into giving up their chips, allowing the manipulators to harvest as expected. The future will only get better, and tariffs will not be higher than before; they will only get lower, just like interest rate cuts, which will not stop. April 7th was already the worst and most difficult time; from now on, it can only go up!
Fortunately, I didn't make a lot of money from copycats and contracts. If I had, I would be doomed in this round because I started off with losses, which is why I have a strong aversion to copycats and contracts. It is precisely because of the disastrous start that I have no faith in copycats. The success rate of copycats and contracts is less than 10%, and that's in the past. Now it can be said to be less than 1%. As long as one makes money in these areas, greed will be awakened, and one won't be able to hold onto the big pie.
The space for Bitcoin is already large enough, and there is no need to engage in contracts. Bitcoin has a four-year cycle, and as long as you grasp it well, just holding Bitcoin is enough. This round from 15,000 to 150,000 has a tenfold increase, from the end of 2022 to the end of 2025, is three years with a tenfold increase not enough? As long as ordinary people have some small capital, they can exchange time for space, and by correctly participating in two cycles, they can achieve a space of 50-100 times. Even if there is only 200,000, it can reach A8, but in the market, there are many who lose 200,000 by trading contracts.