#USChinaTradeTalks The numbers that change everything The OECD has just slashed its forecasts for US economic growth: from 2.8% in 2024 to a measly 1.6% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026. This is not just a statistical correction, it is a signal of a possible fundamental shift. This is especially painful: at the beginning of the year, the organization's experts predicted a 2.2% increase in 2025. But Trump's "Liberation Day" with his tariff war changed everything. Minus 0.6 percentage points in three months is not a margin of error, it is a wake—up call.
#politics #bill Elon Musk has criticized President Donald Trump's recent "great big bill," expressing disappointment at its scale and impact on the federal deficit. Musk called the legislation "pork-filled" and a "disgusting abomination," adding: "Shame on those who voted for it: you know you did the wrong thing." The bill, which includes broad tax breaks along with cuts to Medicaid and food aid programs, passed the House of Representatives by a margin of just one vote and is now being considered in the Senate, where further changes are possible. Critics such as Musk argue that the package will increase the national debt without offering a meaningful path to financial sustainability. The legislation is projected to increase the deficit by $2.7 trillion by 2034, compared with maintaining current policies, although an official estimate by the Congressional Budget Office has not yet been released. Musk's remarks reflect ongoing concerns among conservative hawks about the trajectory of U.S. government spending. "This will massively increase the already gigantic budget deficit to $2.5 trillion and burden American citizens with unsustainable and unsustainable debt," he wrote. White House press Secretary Caroline Levitt, commenting on Musk's statements, confirmed the administration's support for the bill. "The president already knows what position Elon Musk holds on this bill. This does not change the opinion of the president... It's one big, beautiful bill, and he's sticking to it."
#tarrff #trump A three-judge panel at the U.S. Court of International Trade in Manhattan and a federal judge in Washington have already said that Trump did not have the unilateral authority to impose tariffs without congressional input. The Trump administration has appealed both decisions in cases brought by 12 U.S. states and several small businesses. Judge Corley's ruling is more limited than any of the other rulings and does not comment on the legality of Trump's tariffs. Instead, she ruled that California should have filed its lawsuit with the Court of International Trade, which has exclusive jurisdiction over tariff disputes in the United States. California, which opposed the transfer of the case, asked the judge to dismiss the lawsuit rather than transfer it. This will allow the state to appeal to the U.S. 9th Circuit Court of Appeals.
It's not clear why they're draining it at all. The financial performance is great. Well, they didn't reach the projected amount of 0.5%, like. And they took everything as a negative.
Denmark will raise the retirement age to a record high in Europe by 2040 The country's parliament has approved a bill that provides for a gradual increase in the retirement age to 70 years. The retirement age is currently 67. Since 2006, Denmark has been tying the retirement age to life expectancy and reviewing it every five years. According to the new decision of the authorities, the retirement age will be raised in three stages: to 68 years by 2030, and to 69 years by 2035. The final stage is scheduled for 2040, at which time the retirement age in Denmark will reach the age of 70. The reform will apply to people born after December 31, 1970. 81 deputies voted for the pension reform, 21 against it. Europe is rapidly aging. Life expectancy is increasing, but the birth rate is falling. Because of this, by 2030, the retirement age in Germany and Norway for both men and women will be 67 years old. In France, this bar was set two years ago. Experts predict that with the current growth rate of life expectancy, the working age will be increased to 70 years. Otherwise, the Old World faces a massive influx of migrants. The German Institute for Economic Research in Berlin (DIW) is already actively advocating the start of a broad discussion on raising the retirement age in the country to 70 years.
#TRUMP #power #politics The latest Supreme Court decision in the case of Trump V. Wilcox increases market attention to the growing consequences of the expansion of executive power in the United States, research firm Jefferies believes that investors should start considering this in prices. Strategist Aniket Shah noted that a broader shift to the "Theory of Unitary Executive Power" — a legal doctrine adopted by the Trump administration — could significantly change U.S. governance and introduce higher political risks to financial markets. This theory claims that the president has sole control over the executive branch of government, including the right to dismiss the heads of independent agencies and overturn Congressional spending decisions. "We believe that the expansion of presidential power has a negative impact on risky assets and will further undermine the concept of American exceptionalism in the markets," Shah wrote in a note sent to clients on Thursday afternoon. The Supreme Court's decision to suspend lower court rulings that protected Biden-appointed officials at the National Labor Relations Board and the Merit System Defense Council is seen by Jeffrey as a potential turning point. Although this is not a final decision, the Court's actions allow the Trump administration to continue with the dismissals and signal broader judicial recognition of the president's control over federal agencies. Jeffrey argues that if this interpretation gains further legal recognition, it could allow future President Trump to impose tariffs more freely, deregulate sectors without the usual administrative checks, and replace agency heads traditionally shielded from political pressure. Sooner or later, it will come to the Fed. Trump will start firing people he doesn't like. Reduce civil servants, etc .
🤔🤔🤔🤔🤔 How did I break the community rule? Misled someone? Was he trying to deceive someone? Tried to find out (steal) personal information? Inciting aggression? Or what? Does it really hurt your eyes? That's why they deleted it. An objectionable post? Everything is clear with you..
#UScreditrating The avalanche is gaining momentum. The downgrade of the US credit rating was another proof of the erosion of confidence in the dollar. And even though Scott Bessent called Moody's opinion a lagging indicator, and said that the Donald Trump administration could not have ruined everything in 100 days, the previous president was to blame for everything, you can't get away from the truth. Investors do not consider the United States to be a place where they can safely park their own money. This means that the upward trend in EURUSD is just beginning. There is a growing consensus in the market that the unpredictable and unstable policy of the White House makes the US dollar less attractive. Despite the denial from Washington, speculators continue to believe that Donald Trump wants to get a weaker greenback in order to support the American manufacturing base. They continue to increase their shorts on the USD index. According to Invesco, the combination of lower economic growth, higher inflation and uncertainty in US policy should keep the dollar in the black, even against the background of the Fed's neutral position. When the colossal stocks of assets issued in the United States are being disposed of, the company continues to believe that the peak of the USD index will continue for a very long time.
$SOL ### **1. Current situation (SOL/USD)** - **Price**: ~$140-160 (fluctuations depend on market activity). - **Capitalization**: ~$60-70 billion (4th place after BTC, ETH, USDT). - **Trend**: Depends on the general mood of the cryptocurrency market. In recent months, Solana has shown growth due to: - Successful network updates (for example, **Firedancer** for scalability). - The growth of DeFi and NFT activity in the ecosystem. - Integrations with large projects (for example, **Chainlink, USDC**). ### **2. Key factors to analyze** - **Bitcoin Dominance**: If BTC rises/falls, SOL often follows it. -**Developer activity**: Solana is one of the most active blockchain ecosystems (GitHub commits, new dApps). - **Competition with Ethereum**: Advances in speed and low fees attract users. ### **3. Possible scenarios** - **Bullish**: With the overall growth of the crypto market, SOL may test $200. - **Bearish**: Correction to $120-130 is possible with negative macroeconomic news.
#AirdropStepByStep # **Airdrop Step by Step: How to get cryptocurrency for free** Cryptocurrency airdrops are a great way to get free tokens simply for performing certain actions. But how to participate in them correctly and avoid fraud? Let's take it step by step. ## **1. What is an airdrop?** Airdrop (from the English "distribution from the air") is a free distribution of tokens to users. Projects use this method to attract attention, grow the community, and decentralize coin distribution. ## **2. Where can I find relevant giveaways?** - **The official social networks of the projects** (Twitter, Telegram, Discord). - **Specialized websites**: Airdrop Alert, CoinMarketCap, Airdrops.io . - **Crypto Forums** (Bitcointalk, Reddit). ## **3. How to participate?** * **Step 1: Study the conditions** Often it is necessary: - Subscribe to social media. - Make a repost. - Have a wallet with a minimum balance. - Complete testnet tasks. * **Step 2: Prepare your wallet** - **EVM networks** (ETH, BSC, Polygon) — MetaMask, Trust Wallet. - **Solana** — Phantom. - **Tron** — TronLink. * **Step 3: Fill out the form** Specify the correct wallet address and confirm the actions. * **Step 4: Wait for the distribution** Some airdrops arrive immediately, others after weeks or months. ## **4. Beware: scammers!** - **Never enter a seed phrase!** - Do not click on suspicious links. - Check the official channels of the projects. ## **5. Conclusion** Airdrops can make a profit, but they take time and care. Participate only in proven giveaways and don't trust questionable offers. 🚀 **The main rule is: don't invest money to get "free" tokens!** *Do you want to know more? Subscribe to the crypto community and keep an eye out for new giveaways!*
#AirdropFinderGuide # **Airdrop Finder Guide: How to find and receive free tokens** Cryptocurrency airdrops are free token giveaways that projects use to attract attention and reward early adopters. Participating in them can make a profit, but it is important to be able to find really promising giveaways. ## **Where to find airdrops?** 1. **Official websites and social networks of projects** — follow the announcements on Twitter, Discord, Telegram. 2. **Specialized platforms** — Airdrop Alert, Airdrops.io , CoinMarketCap Airdrops. 3. **Crypto Forums and blogs** — Reddit, Medium, Bitcointalk. ## **How to distinguish a scam from a promising airdrop?** ✅ **Check out the team** — real names, LinkedIn, experience. ✅ **Examine the project** — does it have a product or is it just a token? ✅ **Terms of participation** — if large investments are required, this is suspicious. ## **Tips for successful participation** - Register on exchanges and wallets (MetaMask, Trust Wallet). - Complete simple tasks (reposts, subscriptions, testnets). - Be active in the project community. Airdrops are not only a freebie, but also an opportunity to become part of new crypto projects. The main thing is to choose wisely and not be on the bench. 🚀 *Do you want more useful guides? Subscribe and stay tuned!*
#AltcoinETFsPostponed ### **Postponed: The Future of Altcoin ETFs and What It Means for the Market** The decision to postpone the approval of ETFs for altcoins is an expected but important step by regulators. The SEC and other agencies are demonstrating caution, following the precedent with bitcoin ETFs: first skepticism, then adaptation. ** Why are they being detained?** 1. **Volatility and liquidity** — many altcoins are inferior to BTC in capitalization, which increases the risks of manipulation. 2. **Regulatory uncertainty** — The status of ETH, SOL, and others as "securities" remains in question. 3. **Institutional readiness** — traditional investors do not yet see a clear framework. ** What's next?** - A delay is not a failure. Bitcoin ETFs have come a long way; altcoins need a similar process. - The pressure from the industry will increase (for example, Grayscale is already seeking an ETH-ETF). - A domino effect is possible: after the approval of the ETH-ETF, the chances of other altcoins will increase. **Output:** The cryptocurrency market is still learning to coexist with traditional finance. Deferred decisions are part of this painful but necessary process. The main question now is not "if", but "when. " * (Briefly, but with an emphasis on the essence of the problem and prospects.)*
#Trump100Days # **Donald Trump's First 100 Days in 2025: The Return of the "King of Chaos"** On January 20, 2025, Donald Trump officially took office as president of the United States for the second time, promising "final retribution" to his enemies and "America's greatness." His first 100 days in office turned out to be even more tumultuous than in 2017: large-scale purges, radical reforms, and unprecedented political battles. ## **"Revenge and Triumph": Purges and restructuring of the administration** From the very first days, Trump began **mass dismissals** of officials suspected of "betrayal" or ties to the "deep state." Have been replaced: - **Head of the FBI and the Department of Justice** (accelerated investigation against opponents) - **Part of the military leadership** (for "weakness" in international affairs) - **Diplomats who criticized Trump** At the same time, he expanded the system of loyal appointees, including former associates and media personalities (for example, Tucker Carlson as an adviser). ## **Economics: "Trumpomics 2.0"** - **Massive tax cuts** for corporations and the elite (modeled on 2017, but even more radical). - **Trade wars with China and the EU** – restoration of duties and withdrawal from new agreements. - **Attack on big business** – threats of antitrust lawsuits against companies that "censor conservatives" (Twitter, Disney, Meta). The result: the stock market **jumps between highs and lows**, investors are panicking, but Trump's base is happy. ## **Tough immigration policy: "Hunting for illegal immigrants"** - **The construction of the wall** on the border with Mexico has resumed (now at the expense of funds confiscated from drug cartels). - **Mass deportations** and ICE raids (immigration police have received new powers). - **Entry ban** for citizens of "unreliable" countries (including new restrictions for refugees). Protests and lawsuits follow one another, but Trump ignores the criticism. ## *Foreign policy: "America is not the world's policeman"* - *Withdrawal from new agreements* (possible break with
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#CongressTradingBan On Wednesday, California filed a lawsuit seeking to block U.S. President Donald Trump's massive tariffs on imports from foreign trading partners, accusing him of abusing his authority and causing financial damage to the state and the country. Trump imposed 10% tariffs on goods from all countries and higher duties on countries that the administration says have high barriers to U.S. imports, most of which he later suspended for 90 days. He also imposed a 145% tariff on China, excluding certain types of electronics. In a lawsuit filed Wednesday in San Francisco federal Court, California Governor Gavin Newsom and Attorney General Rob Bonta, both Democrats, argue that the 1977 law does not give the president the authority to impose large-scale tariffs without congressional consent by unreasonably declaring a state of emergency. Newsom and Bonta argue that California, which in itself would be the fifth largest economy in the world and whose main trading partners are China, Mexico and Canada, has already suffered damage and could suffer even more if tariffs persist. They are asking the court to prohibit the Ministry of Internal Security and the Customs and Border Guard Service from imposing duties. Who's next, who's not ready to take losses. And the White House is profiting from this. With their top billionaires.