Why does the price of Bitcoin rise sharply after each halving???
1. BTC supply decreases significantly • Each halving reduces the reward for miners by half (for example: from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC in 2024). • This means: • The supply of newly issued BTC each day decreases by 50%. • From ~900 BTC/day → down to ~450 BTC/day.
→ If demand remains the same or increases while supply decreases → prices tend to rise.
2. Market expectations and psychology • Investors know in advance that halving will occur (about every 4 years), and expect that it will trigger a price surge like previous cycles. • This creates a psychological effect of "buy before the price rises", leading to: • Strong accumulation before and after halving. • FOMO (fear of missing out) when prices start to rise quickly → continues to push prices up.
3. Selling pressure from miners decreases • Miners are the group that frequently sells BTC on the market to cover operating costs. • When block rewards decrease: • They hold more, only selling when prices are high. • The amount of BTC "dumped" on the market decreases → reducing supply pressure.
4. Historical post-halving cycle
Previous halvings (2012, 2016, 2020) all led to significant price increases in the 12–18 months following.
5. Stock-to-Flow model • This is a pricing model based on scarcity. • Halving causes Bitcoin's (S/F) ratio to increase → theoretically increasing its value. • Famous KOL PlanB uses this model to predict BTC could reach: • ~$100k–$150k after the 2024 halving. • And could rise to $1 million by the end of the decade.
✅ Conclusion: + Decreased supply → Increased scarcity + Expectation psychology and FOMO + Miners sell less → reduced pressure + Historical cycles and pricing models support price increases => BTC rises sharply.
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Future price predictions for Bitcoin from experts:
1. Michael Saylor – CEO of M*croStrategy • Predicts Bitcoin will reach 1 million USD in the next 10 years and could rise to 13 million USD by 2045, with an average growth rate of 29% per year.
• He warns that the "digital gold rush" will end on January 7, 2035, advising investors to accumulate BTC before this date.
2. Anthony Scaramucci – Founder of S*yBridge Capital
• Predicts Bitcoin could reach 200,000 USD by the end of 2025, emphasizing the role of ETFs and the increase in the number of global BTC wallets from 380 million to 500 million.
3. Cathie Wood – CEO of A*k Invest
• Forecasts Bitcoin will reach 1.5 million USD in 2030 in an optimistic scenario, with a base case of 710,000 USD and a negative scenario of 300,000 USD.
4. Tom Lee – Co-founder of F*ndstrat
• Predicts Bitcoin will reach 150,000 USD in the next 12 months and could go up to 500,000 USD in 5 years, based on high demand and loose monetary policy.
5. JPMorgan
• Shifting from gold to Bitcoin, predicts BTC prices will outperform gold for the remainder of 2025.
General assessment
Experts have a positive outlook on Bitcoin in the medium and long term, with price predictions ranging from 150,000 USD to 1.5 million USD in the next 5–10 years. Supporting factors include: • Approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs. • Loose monetary policy and low-interest rates. • Increased investment from institutions and countries. • Positive market sentiment and supply scarcity.
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The time frames where "Pump-Dump" phenomena are likely to occur
1. Overlap of the US - Asia session (around 22:00 – 01:00 VN time) • Reason: At this time, the US market is active while the Asian market is just starting to open (Japan, South Korea). • Nature: Usually has high trading volume, likely to experience unusual strong fluctuations.
2. Overlap of the European - US session (around 19:00 – 23:00 VN time) • Reason: This is the time when both the European and US markets are active. • Nature: Extremely high trading volume, likely to experience fast "pump" then rapid "dump" if unexpected news arises.
3. Before and after the US announces economic data (20:00 – 21:30 VN time, depending on the day) • Examples: CPI, FOMC, employment, Fed interest rates,… • Nature: Prices fluctuate very strongly just before and after the announcement of the data, susceptible to price manipulation.
4. Early morning (2:00 – 5:00 AM VN time) • Reason: The market has low liquidity, easily manipulated by "sharks". • Nature: Quick, unexpected "pump" or "dump" events. Many stop-loss orders are triggered.
5. Weekend (especially from Friday evening to Monday morning) • Reason: Traditional financial institutions are closed, low liquidity, retail traders dominate. • Nature: Very likely to experience unusual fluctuations due to lack of control from big players.
Binance Alpha’s latest extreme actuarial plan: You can easily earn more than $300 with a $1,000 capital in 15 days!
Binance Alpha’s latest and most actuarial scoring plan revealed: Earn over $300 with a $1,000 capital in 15 days, and get explosive returns from airdrops!
Binance Alpha’s scoring method has always been a golden way to earn airdrops, but how to maximize profits with limited capital is the real key. After careful calculations, the most cost-effective solution for earning points and getting airdrops with a capital of $1,000 within 15 days has surfaced, helping you to easily achieve stable profits.
The key to brushing points is to accumulate points every day. The specific plan is as follows:
240-point plan: 14 points per day, requiring a transaction volume of approximately US$8,192, and the airdrop income within 15 days is approximately US$300. After deducting trading wear and tear, the net profit was approximately US$262, with stable returns and low risk.
255-point plan: brush 15 points every day, double the transaction volume to 16,384 US dollars, you can receive 4 airdrops within 15 days, the total income is 400 US dollars, after deducting the transaction wear and tear of 75 US dollars, the net profit is 325 US dollars, the cost performance is significantly improved.
270-point plan: 16 points per day, the trading volume will double again to US$32,768. Five airdrops can be received in 15 days, with a theoretical profit of US$500. After deducting the transaction cost of $150, the net profit was $350, but the cost-effectiveness was reduced.
It is worth noting that although the 16-point plan can get an additional $100 airdrop, it requires an additional $75 in transaction costs, and the net profit only increases by $25, so the cost-effectiveness is not ideal.
On the whole, earning 15 points every day and receiving 4 airdrops within 15 days is the best balance between cost and benefit at present. It not only guarantees profits, but also avoids excessive transaction wear and tear.
Summarize: With a capital of 1,000 US dollars and a reasonable planning of the scoring rhythm, you can easily earn more than 300 US dollars in 15 days. The Binance Alpha IPO airdrop is still extremely cost-effective. Master the trading volume and scoring rhythm, do short drops steadily, and achieve profits easily.