力哥的交易日常

Recently, there has been talk about the monthly closing price reaching 96600, but the closing price remained stagnant. However, during the May 1st holiday, there was a breakout, with the price reaching around 97380. This breakout was within expectations but also unexpected. Looking at the 4-hour level, after the price broke out upwards, it faced resistance at the upper track and started a high-level consolidation. For today, I won't consider chasing higher prices; around 97300, I'll keep an eye on a pullback to 95800-94500. For now, that's it. There will be non-farm payroll data in the evening, so let's see how things go.

Happy May Day! The pancake has been fluctuating for a few days, expecting the monthly K to end with a surge, but ultimately it still failed to break through, continuing to maintain the range fluctuations. There is data coming in the next couple of days, hoping it can drive the pancake to break through the range. For now, let's focus on the range, aiming for around 95300 during the day, looking down towards 94000-93200#BTC

In the past two days, the market has started to fluctuate widely; it has attempted to rise above 95000 several times but couldn't hold. As we approach the end of the month, I'm still looking at levels above 96000 here. The target is to see around 96600. If we can stabilize above 96000 at the close, we might look towards 100K in May. The overall short-term trend remains bullish. As always, brothers, hold your long positions steady #BTC .

As mentioned yesterday, we don't look too high on weekends. Yesterday's target was around 95200, and today it just hit that. The weekend here will still mainly be in a range, let's see if a trend emerges in the evening. During the day, we continue to pull back to the target, looking for a target around 94000 again, aiming for 95200-96800.

The pancake has been rising for a week, breaking through levels and going upward. It was previously mentioned that after breaking 951000, it is highly likely to push towards 100000. Moving forward, the focus will be on lower fluctuations. Today is Saturday, so there shouldn't be too much activity. For short-term trading, let's see a pullback around 94200, with an upward target around 95200.

The pie has risen again, yesterday's primary target was 94200, and it has finally reached it. After the pie has risen, the past two days have basically been a range oscillation. Currently, we need to pay attention to the breakout situations above and below. The upper level is still the previously mentioned 95100, and the lower level is around 90800. As long as it doesn't break these levels, we can continue to observe the range oscillation.

The coin dropped to around 91800 yesterday, but then it bounced back up. The overall trend is quite similar to yesterday's Silk Road, as mentioned yesterday regarding the fluctuations. Let's take a look at 94000 for a moment, with a target around 91800, the space is fully utilized.

From a 4-hour perspective, the coin has started to fluctuate. After dropping yesterday, it quickly bounced back up, and the market sentiment remains quite bullish. For today, we should continue to treat it as a fluctuation, participating with low leverage long positions around 92800. First, let's look at 94200-94800. Just like I mentioned yesterday, if we can break through 95100, we will be looking towards 100k next.

The pancakes have come down, brothers, today here forgot to update #BTC

The pancake is a bit strong and won't follow M stocks anymore. It took a hit yesterday. Despite the pancake being strong here, I still don't want to go long. Currently, the pancake's position is basically near the resistance level. Let's wait and see for now. If the pancake can continue to break through, we can look towards 92k—94k later.
For now, let's wait and see, with a defense at 89050, and take a look at 86000-84800#BTC .

The market surged so fiercely on Monday morning, after being in this range for so long, many traders must have been numb. A small cut on the traders, a sharp pull in the early morning on Monday, I don't think the bulls will continue much. During the day, let's look at 87300 here, first see 85000, and wait for it to pull back #BTC .

The activity has indeed been a bit quieter these past couple of days. The 85300 from yesterday was just okay. Let's continue today; those who have it should hold on, and those who don't should wait for another opportunity to enter. Let's see if there will be an opportunity in the evening. The next target is 82800#BTC .

The pancake is getting narrower and narrower, as mentioned yesterday, there have been no M stocks these days, so expectations are not high. During the day, if the pancake sees 85300, it will continue to be #BTC .

Yesterday's trend, the rebound didn't push up, in the next three days without M stocks, it shouldn't stir up much of a wave, play with the short-term range during the day, let's first see around 85500 and then talk about it.

It must be said that last night's decline in the market was partly due to Lao Bao's influence. After a speech from the 🦅, the slight increase during the day was quickly swallowed up. Fortunately, the support around 83000 held firm, and it did not break below that level. It is still moving within the recent wide range. However, given the current news guidance, the lower end of this range may not be able to hold. Overall operations should still be under high volatility, and there might be a continued rebound around 84600 during the day, with a target down to 83000-81800#BTC .

The market was really crazy last night, soaring 6000 points. Once the news came out, the brothers who had sold off their chips rushed to buy them back. Just yesterday, we were still worried about forming a W-bottom pattern, but then it directly surged up in the evening, peaking at around 83500. At this point, this wave of increase has finally come to a halt. I currently will not consider chasing the rise on this side. Let's first observe the fluctuations during the day, as the market still needs to consolidate a bit. I suggest shorting at the current price, targeting around 80400.

Yesterday 80,000 short, final target 75,000, already reached, arranged plenty for the brothers, the price has fallen to around 74,500 again, with a slight rebound expected.

Currently, the price position is a bit awkward; on one hand, I am definitely bearish in trend, but on the 4-hour level, I'm quite worried about forming a W pattern. At this position, let's wait a bit for both long and short. As mentioned a couple of days ago, if I want to catch the bottom, I will make a move around 73,800. For now, let's observe, and if it rebounds directly, we can continue to short around 77,200 during the day.

3.21
The contract dropped nearly 4000 points yesterday, reaching a low of around 83600 in the evening. The short position given at 87000 had a second target of 83500, which essentially maximized the space, allowing for a nice profit.

On the daily chart, the contract continues to fluctuate between gains and losses, with both bulls and bears competing. The overall trend remains a wide-ranging fluctuation. From the 4-hour perspective, after the contract fell to around 83600, it began to rebound, experiencing slight upward fluctuations, but the momentum is weak, closing with long upper shadows. The attached chart shows increased bearish volume, indicating that the rebound lacks strength. It is still recommended to participate in short positions at high levels during the day.

It is suggested to sell on the rebound at 85000, with an additional short at 85800, and to guard against 86000.

Looking down to 83500-82200.

3.20
The M Federal Reserve keeps interest rates unchanged, as expected

In the press conference, Old Powell stated that the M country's economy "remains generally strong" and clearly pointed out that the M Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to initiate interest rate cuts. Regarding rate cuts, Old Powell explicitly stated that the possibility of a rate cut in May is low. For the first time, Old Powell mentioned tariffs, indicating that a significant part of the M Federal Reserve's upward revision of inflation expectations is due to tariff factors. He emphasized that the M Federal Reserve will work with other forecasting institutions to distinguish between inflation caused by tariffs and inflation caused by other factors. He also acknowledged that Trump's policies have impacted the economy.

The market yesterday experienced a continuous upward fluctuation, breaking through the range, with a peak around 86700. A large bullish candle on the daily chart pulled it up, and the 4-hour level showed 8 consecutive bullish candles. Due to macro factors, market sentiment is relatively optimistic. However, at the current relatively high level, chasing long positions carries risks. The resistance level around 87000 can be used to take a small short position first,
with a补 at 87800, and a stop at 88100.

Looking down at 85500-83500#BTC走势分析

3.19
The futures contract fluctuated downwards yesterday, and after the US stock market opened in the evening, it directly dropped to around 81100. Fortunately, it did not continue to break down, with the 81000 level holding firm. Yesterday evening, I suggested 82000, and after replenishing positions, there is still decent room for profit.

Overall, the market sentiment is quite tense between bulls and bears. The daily chart shows a switch between bullish and bearish candles, indicating a broad range of fluctuations. Today, I suggest continuing to treat it as a sideways market, primarily focusing on buying on dips. There will be an interest rate decision announcement and a speech from Powell in the evening, and tomorrow the non-farm payroll data will be released to see if a trend can emerge.

For intraday trading, I recommend continuing to buy around 81800 on dips, with an additional buy at 81000, and a stop loss at 80800.

Looking upwards at 83800-84500 #BTC走势分析

3.19
The pancake (饼子) fluctuated downwards throughout the day yesterday, dropping directly to around 81100 after the opening of the U.S. stock market in the evening. Fortunately, it did not continue to break down, with the 81000 level holding. The 82000 level provided yesterday evening has decent room after replenishing positions.

Overall, the pancake market is still quite tense between long and short positions, with daily fluctuations between bullish and bearish. Overall, it is still a wide-range oscillation market. Today continues to be treated as oscillation, primarily leaning towards buying low. Tomorrow, there are non-farm payrolls, the interest rate decision announcement, and speeches from the old Fed chairman. We will see if a trend can emerge.

For today, it is recommended to continue buying on dips around 81800, replenishing at 81000, and setting a stop at 80800.

Looking upwards at 83800-84500.