At first, I stepped into the cryptocurrency world with dreams of wealth, full of hope that I could make a name for myself in this new field, only to find that what awaited me was endless torment. To keep an eye on the market, my daily routine was completely disrupted. While others were enjoying leisure and entertainment, I was glued to my computer; while others drifted into sweet dreams, I was still analyzing data. Countless nights, my eyes fixed on that flickering screen, missing no price fluctuation, my eyes sore and painful, bloodshot. The market in the cryptocurrency world is like the weather in June, it changes without warning. With high hopes for gains, what I received instead was a significant shrinkage of my assets. The cryptocurrencies I invested a lot of time studying suddenly faced a crash, and the gap between the peak of hope and the valley of despair hit me hard. In order to obtain more information, I joined various communities, only to be drowned in a sea of useless or even misleading information, struggling to distinguish the truth from the false. This journey has been incredibly painful, each step feels extremely heavy, yet the thought of quitting is repeatedly suppressed in reluctance, leaving me to grit my teeth and continue walking alone on this thorny path of the cryptocurrency world.
August 18, 2025 Ethereum Analysis Bollinger Band Indicator Bollinger Bands are contracting, corresponding to the range of 4430---4585. Both the one-hour and four-hour candlestick charts are below the middle band, indicating overall range-bound oscillation. Moving Average Indicator The short-term moving average has crossed the medium to long-term moving averages from below, signaling a shift from a downtrend to an uptrend, but it has not completely crossed the medium to long-term moving averages and has shown a slight pullback, so the market is oscillating. RSI Indicator The RSI has crossed to form a death cross, leading to a slight decline and correction. MACD Indicator The MACD has crossed to form a death cross, with bearish momentum starting to emerge, resulting in an oscillating market.
Summary: ETH Direction: Sideways range oscillation Upper Resistance Level: 4480, 4570 strong resistance: 4800 Lower Support Level: 4380 strong support: 4160, 4060 Current Trend: Sideways range oscillation, oscillation range 4468--4435, testing upward at the 1-hour MA5 and the four-hour middle band; if it cannot stabilize above 4480, a slight rebound will occur; continue to oscillate #中国投资者涌向印尼 #每日分析
【Von der Leyen speaks on the US-Russia presidential meeting: Strong security guarantees are crucial for Ukraine and Europe】Jin Ten Data, August 16 - On August 16 local time, the President of the European Commission made a statement regarding the earlier US-Russia meeting, thanking US President Trump for providing updates on the Alaska meeting. Von der Leyen stated that the EU is closely working with Ukraine and the US to achieve a just and lasting peace. Von der Leyen reiterated that strong security guarantees are essential for protecting Ukraine's and Europe's important security interests. US President Trump and Russian President Putin held a meeting on August 15 local time in Anchorage, Alaska, lasting about 3 hours. Both sides described the meeting as 'constructive' and 'productive', but no agreements were reached on issues such as a ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine.
【Trump: The meeting between Putin and Zelensky is being prepared, and I am expected to attend】Jin Ten Data, August 16 - In an exclusive interview with Fox News, President Trump revealed that arrangements are currently being made for a meeting between Ukrainian President Zelensky and Russian President Putin. Trump stated that he believes he will also attend. Additionally, Trump disclosed during the interview that he had a "very candid" conversation with Putin. Trump acknowledged that during this meeting, he had some private time with Russian President Putin. Trump expressed his belief that Putin wants to see the Russia-Ukraine conflict "resolved".
Technical Analysis From the 1-hour chart, the current market is in a state of consolidation and upward movement. Once it stabilizes above the middle line of the hourly chart, it will continue to surge upward. The Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the current market is in a bearish market below the middle line, experiencing a downward fluctuation. The MA moving averages show a shift from bullish to bearish arrangement, with three short-term moving averages having crossed below the MA60 mid-term moving average. However, the MA5 has turned upward to cross above the MA10, forming a golden cross, indicating that the market will have a rebound. If the rebound does not stabilize above the pressure point corresponding to MA120 at the price of 4507, it will decline again. The MACD indicator is currently in a bearish market below the 0 axis, but the fast line has crossed above the slow line, forming a golden cross and moving upward, indicating that the market will have a rebound. The RSI indicator is in a normal trading phase, with the buying line crossing above the selling line to form a golden cross and moving upward. Additionally, in the 4-hour chart, both lines are in the oversold area, indicating that the market will have a rebound. Upper Resistance: 4510, 4535, 4580, 4610, 4670 Lower Support: 4430, 4400, 4360, 4330 Low Long Strategy: Initial position in the range of 4450--4430, add position at 4330, stop-loss at 4300 First Take Profit: 4510 Second Take Profit: 4610 During the weekend, there is little capital inflow, and the market fluctuation is not large, with limited profit space, so just securing profits is sufficient.
Ethereum treasury entities and ETF holdings exceed 10 million coins, accounting for 8.3% of total supply According to Deep Tide TechFlow, on August 15, Strategicethreserve.xyz reported that the total amount of Ethereum held by treasury entities and ETFs has surpassed 10 million coins, setting a new historical record, accounting for approximately 8.3% of the current total supply. #加密市场回调
From the daily chart, after a large bearish candle formed on August 14, the price of Bitcoin has retraced from the high level of 124500 to the current price of around 118200, showing a clear pattern of a sharp decline. On the hourly chart, recent K-line fluctuations have been quite intense, overall in a downward trend, with the lows gradually rising but the rebound strength limited. The MACD has been continuously operating below the zero line, and after the negative value of the histogram expanded, it began to contract, indicating that the bearish strength has weakened, but there is still no clear bullish signal. The daily trading volume significantly increased on August 14 (27485), corresponding to the sharp decline, indicating that market sentiment has intensified in panic. The hourly trading volume sharply decreased during the 6:00 time period, only 310, indicating that the market is in a wait-and-see mood, lacking further momentum in the short term. Ethereum operating suggestion: Buy on a pullback near 4500-4510, with a stop loss of 50 points, aiming for 4600-4610, if it breaks, look towards 4650-4670, if it doesn't break, consider shorting, looking at the area around 4420-4450.
【U.S. PPI Data Exceeds Expectations, Traders Reduce Fed Rate Cut Bets】Jin Ten Data, August 14 - The latest U.S. PPI data was stronger than expected, prompting traders to reduce bets on a Federal Reserve rate cut next month and causing U.S. Treasury yields to decline. The two-year Treasury yield, which is most sensitive to changes in monetary policy, rose two basis points to 3.69%, reversing earlier losses. The dollar also strengthened against a basket of currencies. Interest rate swaps indicate a 90% chance of a Fed rate cut at the September meeting, while just a day earlier, the market had fully priced in a Fed rate cut in September.
Yesterday's Review Ethereum fell from around 4640 in the morning yesterday to approximately 4560, then experienced a step-like upward trend. The capital inflow for Ethereum in the last 24 hours reached 40 billion at one point, causing the market to remain in a high-level fluctuating state, repeatedly breaking through and consolidating with an increase of 30 to 40 points. Currently, the market's greed sentiment is continually rising, with less than 100 points away from the peak of the bull market in 2021. However, there is significant pressure above, and after breaking through historical highs, the next major resistance point is only the 5000 mark. With a high likelihood of the U.S. lowering interest rates by 50 basis points in September, breaking through historical highs seems to be a certainty. However, there are no absolute certainties in financial markets, so caution is advised for a possible pullback before reaching the peak. Technical Analysis Currently, the market appears to be in a pullback phase after a high surge. The moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, but the short-term moving averages are showing a tendency to turn downward, indicating a shift towards bearish momentum. If the current trend does not drop below the MA30 price of around 4660, it may rise again. The MACD indicator's fast line and slow line have formed a death cross, indicating a downward trend, but overall it remains in a bullish market above the 0 axis. The RSI indicator is currently in a normal trading phase, with the buy line crossing below the slow line, suggesting a potential decline. Additionally, the longer timeframes of 4 hours and 1 day are in the overbought region, indicating that a pullback may follow. Upper Resistance: 4800, 4877, 4900, 4960, 5000 Lower Support: 4660, 4620, 4560, 4500, 4430 Low Long Strategy: Long position in the 4660--4640 range, add positions at 4560; if it drops below 4500, cut losses promptly. First Take Profit: 4780 Second Take Profit: 4870 Prevent a large-scale pullback if the historical high is not broken. High Short Strategy: Short position at 4800, add positions at 4877; if it breaks through 4900, cut losses. First Take Profit: 4710 Second Take Profit: 4640 Today's market will see fierce battles between bulls and bears. Whether the bears can hold the last line at the historical high and whether the bulls can break through this final barrier is crucial!