砖耶画家

Before talking about the layout, let’s first analyze the trend of Bitcoin. This kind of weekly trend is not a big bull market, but a small bull is not too much. After breaking through the box and oscillating in the early stage, the market started to accelerate. It can also be seen from the slope. Tops rarely appear in accelerating markets. Whether it is a weekly, daily or 4-hour bullish trend, shorting at the top and going against the trend will only make the funds worse.
Do you think we can still go long on Bitcoin at this position? It can also be done, but it is normal to wash the market after pulling up. You can either do short-term, or you can wait for the pullback first if you want to hold a long-term position.

A few days ago, an article said that the center of gravity of Bitcoin was shifting downwards, which personally made me feel bad. Then the trend fell below the support level and could not be recovered. It fell by more than ten percentage points, reaching the lowest level of 25166. It fell near the support level and started to move away. A strong rebound. According to my personal experience, it is too early to buy the bottom now. This is just a rebound. After the rebound, it will continue to fall, but will it fall to 25166? I don’t look that far for the time being. It may be above 25166. Make a shock in the exit direction.

Then we can find the point where the rebound ends in the 1-hour period and place a short order, at least for a period of time.

There is no right or wrong in terms of long-term and short-term. Maybe for many people, there is no long-term or short-term at all, just like me. Anyway, you can do whatever you can to make money.

Take me as an example. I do trend trading and mostly follow the trend. For example, I enter the LPT market in 15 minutes in the morning. From a cycle perspective, as long as the trend is still there in 15 minutes, I can continue to follow the trend. No matter how much it will rise, many people are following the 15-minute trend and want to get 1 hour or even 4 hours of space. This is actually not impossible. This requires comprehensive judgment after the trend comes out later, but no matter how much you want to get , at least make sure that your order is profitable, because it takes a bit of luck to achieve a big cycle in a small cycle, and it is not always possible.

The downward shift of Bitcoin's center of gravity yesterday was a sign of a decline. After a wave of losses today, will it fall below the shock and form a downward trend? It has not closed in 4 hours, and it has started to pull back, which means it will go back. If the closing price remains If there is a long lower shadow and it can return to the support level, then you can prepare to continue the shock. If the closing has a lower shadow but the closing is not above the support level, then you need to observe a few more K-lines to make a judgment.

If the closing price continues to drop and there is no shadow line or the shadow line is short, then you can prepare for a downward trend. If you want to trend, you can short a part of the position first. If there is a counter-draw, add a position during the counter-draw. It is best not to move back if there is a counter-draw. When the support is reached, the counterattack ends and the price continues to fall to a new low and continues to increase positions.