金刚老师

Currency Type: ETH
Short Price: 2500
Leverage: 15%
Defense Price: 2530
Stop Loss Price: 2545
Take Profit Price: 2300
Reverse Long Price: -50 points
Trading Style: Strictly Execute Strategy

Have a bite of some meat

ETH
2650 short, defend 2680. Stop loss 2700.

Who is dragging the most?

This position 109400 is heavily short. If it dies, so be it.

The position 105550 is empty, and it won't go up in the short term.
Ethereum has pulled from 1380 to 2720, halfway there. 2600 is empty. It won't go up to 3000.

I am bearish on Ethereum, and everyone is criticizing me?
That's because Ethereum has an unlimited issuance mechanism, which is its fatal flaw. Although Ethereum has a mature ecosystem, having many coins with mature ecosystems is not its advantage. Bitcoin has a fixed supply of 21 million coins. Currently, the amount of Ethereum being minted is far greater than the amount being burned.

The only way to make a severely bleeding man strong again is to stop the bleeding, not to keep feeding him supplements.

What are the chances of Etherala 3000? I think it's only 10%.

Ether 2500 empty. Almost pulled it.

Ethereum 2500 is a resistance level, unable to break through in 3 days. Short directly.

Ether 2413🈳. When everyone opposes, it is the time for a crash.

Directly shorting heavily, damn it. This wave directly smashed down to 800 to close the position.

Reached the top, this kind of urgent pull is useless, this wave looks at 800

Ethereum surged under negative circumstances... I still feel cautious. If a bull market really comes, it needs to rally for 3 consecutive days. Today is only the first day, which cannot prove it's a bull market.

According to the current information, there is a divergence in the prediction of the number of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025. Market and institutional expectations range between 2 to 5 cuts, with each cut usually being 25 basis points. Here are the key points: Market Predictions: Some X posts and analyses (such as @realBillZhang and @PANewsCN) indicate that the market expects 3 rate cuts in 2025, occurring in July (91% probability), September (72.59% probability), and December (100% probability), with the final rate potentially landing in the 3%-3.25% range. According to Sina Finance, traders expect a total of 125 basis points of rate cuts in 2025 based on the overnight interest rate swap market trends, equivalent to 5 cuts of 25 basis points, and may even include emergency cuts due to concerns that tariffs could trigger a global recession. Institutional Views: The Federal Reserve's dot plot (December 2024) suggests that there may be only 2 rate cuts in 2025, with core PCE inflation expectations raised from 2.2% to 2.5%, reflecting concerns about upward inflation risks (such as the impact of Trump’s policies). Goldman Sachs and Barclays expect 3 rate cuts in 2025 based on strong non-farm payroll data, with the first cut likely in July. Former Cleveland Fed President Mester stated that the number of cuts may be fewer than the previously expected 4, influenced by fiscal policy. Huachuang Securities analysis suggests that the first cut may occur in the second quarter, with 2 cuts expected within the year, due to committee disagreements and uncertainties surrounding Trump’s policies. Influencing Factors: Inflation: The PCE price index rose 2.3% year-on-year in October 2024, with core PCE rising 2.8%, causing a decrease in rate cut expectations. Labor Market: Strong non-farm payroll data indicates economic resilience, delaying the timing of rate cuts. Trump’s Policies: Tariffs, immigration, and tax reduction policies may push inflation higher, forcing the Federal Reserve to slow down the pace of rate cuts or pause them. Summary: The most likely range for the number of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in 2025 is between 2 to 3, with the first cut potentially occurring in mid-year (June-July). However, if inflation continues to exceed expectations or the economy significantly slows down (such as a 'Trump recession'), the number of cuts may adjust to 0 or as high as 5 (including emergency cuts). It is recommended to pay attention to the FOMC meetings (the next one is on May 8) and economic data (such as PCE, CPI, non-farm payroll) to update expectations.

There are no strong positive news, randomly pulling the market, it will definitely plummet within a week.

BTC first broke 100,000, ETH 4,000
BTC second broke 100,000, ETH 3,900
BTC third broke 100,000, ETH 3,700
BTC fourth broke 100,000, ETH 3,400
BTC fifth broke 100,000, ETH 3,100
BTC sixth broke 100,000, ETH 2,700
BTC seventh broke 100,000, ETH 1,900

Large pancake 99600 small position short, defend 100000 stop loss 101000

Today's Strategy
BTC 97000 Short, Defense 98500 Stop Loss 100500

Family, why does money flow into gold but not into the cryptocurrency market,
gold is thriving while the crypto market is falling.