币由之路

To do a good job with on-chain transactions, it fundamentally relies on the information you have collected, including narratives, chip structure, dissemination chains, and other data, to judge:
1. How far can this project spread? Can it break out of its circle?
2. Is it in the "early stage of dissemination" or the "late stage of dissemination"?

Whether you are dealing with a market maker, insider trading, or PVP trading, it is essentially about judging this matter; only the criteria for judgment differ among different types of markets.

If you want to learn more about cryptocurrency-related knowledge and first-hand cutting-edge information, click on my profile to follow me. I share contract trading tips for free and provide daily points.

How to find high-quality spot trading for 10x returns
1. Look for projects with a fully diluted market cap of less than 100 million
2. The project team prepares to upgrade tokens to provide new narratives
3. Find market maker addresses on-chain

As a seasoned cryptocurrency investor, I share my experiences and insights. Interested in the crypto space but don't know where to start? Click on my profile to see my introduction, and let's witness the moment of miracles together.

In recent days, the battle between bulls and bears has been indecisive;

Everyone should pay attention to risks and operate cautiously; be careful with long and short positions, as the market may seem calm on the surface, but there are undercurrents beneath;

The best approach is to observe and wait for an opportunity to buy at the bottom or get on board. I believe the market will not disappoint your patience;

At this time, it’s important to focus on trend trading; it’s best to wait until it stabilizes before buying; personally, I think if it can't stabilize, there is a greater chance it will drop again;

This is not a bearish view, but a genuine expression of my perspective on the market. My approach is quite simple: I will not open any contracts or leverage; I will not touch my long-term positions in spot trading and staking. I will clear out short-term positions that I currently consider non-Alpha projects and try to increase my USDT holdings and wait for an opportunity to enter;

Just eight words: Market turbulence, pay attention to safety!

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The view on the current market is very subjective and is for reference and learning only.

Question: Recently, this trend resembles the continuous decline after May 19. When do you think it will hit bottom and rebound?

Answer: It feels different from May 19. Essentially, both are about deleveraging, but May 19 was a major correction and crash after all the sectors exploded. Recently, it's just a deleveraging phase before the rise, and 90% of altcoins haven't really increased much; they have just started to rise a little.

Question: When do you expect it to reverse? I see that leverage positions are particularly low now. When do you predict this continuous decline will reverse?

Answer: We are now waiting for Bitcoin to lead the next round of market for altcoins. According to historical patterns, there was a month of volatility from December to January 2020, and it has already adjusted for 13 days now. If it oscillates for another half a month, it should be about right.
#BTC挖矿难度创新高
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No need to find reasons for the pullback, it has risen too much, the slope is too steep, and the indicators are oversold. These are all things that must be digested; a pullback is necessary for a better takeoff.

Next time it rises, it will completely surpass the 100,000 mark.

Recently executing strategies:

1. Exchange Bitcoin for promising altcoins (from the perspective of coin-based value, the number of altcoins has increased);

2. Did not exchange for USDT, did not reduce positions.
#BTC挖矿难度创新高
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If a project party does nothing, funds will definitely continue to flow out. If it can stay at a position for two or three days, it indicates that there is definitely buying support at the bottom, rather than everyone suddenly stopping selling.

However, just because a trader is continuously accumulating at a certain position does not mean they can definitely 'protect' it. Sometimes, after trying to support it, they might realize they can't hold it and will let retail investors sell down to the next level before supporting it again. This way, the trader's accumulation cost will be lower, and there is no need to support it at a high price.

How does a trader determine which level to let it drop to? When they notice that during the consolidation phase, retail investors are no longer cutting their losses, they start considering lifting the price with favorable news to attract new buying pressure, pushing for the next wave.
#BTC挖矿难度创新高
As a senior cryptocurrency investor, I, Tu Fei, share my experiences and insights. Interested in the crypto space but unsure where to start? Click on my profile to see the introduction to my journey, and let's witness the moment of miracles together.

The main methods of the market maker's accumulation are as follows:
🔶 Bearish absorption: Taking advantage of negative news in the cryptocurrency space, such as project technical failures, rumors of stricter regulations, etc., to suppress coin prices, triggering panic selling, thus accumulating chips at lower prices.

🔶 Trap for shorts: Using technical means to create the illusion of a price decline, inducing retail investors to sell, while the market maker buys in at low prices to complete their accumulation strategy.

🔶 Large-scale buying: Concentrating funds to buy a large amount of the target coin in a short period, increasing trading volume, attracting follow-up investors, and secretly collecting chips.

🔶 Stockpiling during rebounds: Gradually buying during the rebound phase after a price drop, using the psychology of some investors to break even or take profits to expand their holdings.

🔶 New project ambush: When the associated projects of the target coin have expectations of significant technical upgrades, new application scenarios, or strategic cooperation, positioning in advance to accumulate.
#BTC挖矿难度创新高
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1. We are at least 1 month away from hitting the market bottom and entering hibernation, so don’t panic and don’t be anxious.
2. It's time to be cautious; those days of 'even if you buy VC coins, you will definitely hit the jackpot' are definitely over.
3. At this stage, if you are not a high-intensity on-chain PvP player, you should start looking for new projects to find alpha.
4. The excitement around the AI sector and DeSci is still ongoing, and you can still actively engage. By the way, don’t you think the duration of this BIO LaunchPool is a bit too long?

#2025比特币价格预测
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In the first quarter of 25 years, all funds and hotspots will occur in:

1. The AI AGENT track, which is different from MEME; there is no need to worry about new projects constantly replacing old ones. The network effects of VIRTUAL and AI16Z will ensure that the strong remain strong, with many high-quality projects continuously emerging. A hundred-fold coin will appear in these two tracks.

2. MEME players who do not adapt their thinking quickly enough will fall seriously behind; those still looking for angles, narratives, and analyzing manipulators will be passive.
#BTC挖矿难度创新高
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The recent market situation completely illustrates a point I emphasized to everyone before: Is there a season for altcoins?
The answer is yes, definitely, but some coins may not rise back to our cost! Choice is greater than effort!
Always leave some bullets, be able to advance and retreat freely, and have your own judgment in trading. Don’t just go all in when someone says the altcoin season is here and then go to cash when someone says a crash is coming, going back and forth will only leave you in tears of loss!
In fact, during this wave of altcoin market, it feels like most people have returned to the stage of March-April, being stuck with losses of 30% or even over 50%, always on the road to break even, not knowing when to take profits when in gain, and holding on when in loss!
#2025比特币价格预测
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《The 5th Wave of Ai+Crypto Development》

The first wave, I remember, was in 2017 during the IXO era, when various AI+crypto projects emerged.
They seemed plausible but were quite confusing. A representative work is Cortex.

The second wave arose after the rise of GPT, with memes centered around GPT. A representative work is Turbo.

The third wave emerged in October last year with the rise of altcoins.
At that time, various AI inference + computing power were rampant. Representative works include Tao and Olas.

The fourth wave is the autonomous agent meme. The main breakthrough is that agents issued their own tokens.
Representative works are Goat and Act.

The fifth wave is the infrastructure surrounding agents. It provides model frameworks + token issuance + functional assistance.
Utilizing the open-source large model technology of AI by the end of 2023, to play in Web3. Representative works are AI16Z + Virtual.

Learning from the past is the best teacher for the future.

History teaches us three things:
1. Only buy the leaders. Non-leaders are likely to have unexplained deaths.
2. Even for leaders, it's best not to jump in during market FOMO; heavy investment can lead to lifelong regrets.
3. There are still a lot of AI technologies that haven't been moved to Web3. Memory layers / RAG / enhanced retrieval layers, etc., will bring new waves and new protagonists.
#BTC挖矿难度创新高

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After a thorough cleanup, fees have turned negative, high-leverage bulls are exiting, and the market is returning to a phase of volatility. This is a moment favored by contract players and swing traders.

Avoiding chasing after rising prices and selling during downturns can help accumulate money over the year. Identify the reasons for losses, adhere to discipline, and focus on proper entry positions and direction; making money is not difficult.

Making small profits relies on learning technical analysis, enriching understanding and practice, while also restraining greed, maintaining a clear and rational mind, and respecting the market.

#BTC挖矿难度创新高
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Friends in the crypto world, this market is fluctuating like a snail crawling, very dull, like being stuck in traffic, but we were already prepared for this.

Focus on the daily MACD; it is close to the zero axis, and the BTC price is also quietly approaching the MA60 daily line. If the market continues to drop, it is very likely a bear trap; they are holding back to trick small investors into exiting.

So, for those holding spot, don't panic, stay steady and hold on; who knows, one day the market might rocket up. I wish everyone smooth sailing in the crypto world!
#BTC挖矿难度创新高
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Currently, Bitcoin is repeatedly testing the core support area of 90500-92500, seeking to break downwards.

The ETF saw a net outflow of 379 million USD in a single day, and the strategy of shorting on rebounds continues throughout the day. Tuesday and Wednesday are crucial; if the support holds, a rebound will follow, but if it breaks, a significant pullback is expected, potentially down to around 87000.

Short positions can be opened at 93500-94000, with a target of 91000; if it breaks, look towards 89500;

Short positions can also be opened at 3380-3420, with a target of 3280, and if it breaks, watch for 3230.
#BTC挖矿难度创新高
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The pancake has a critical support level that has not been broken. Be aware of the possibility of false breakdowns.

Focus on long opportunities that arise when the price breaks down and then recovers, as well as the breakout situation of the downward trend line.

In terms of the current market trend, I believe we must remain bullish at this point, keep a bullish mindset, and patiently wait for the opportunity to go long.

#BTC挖矿难度创新高
As a seasoned cryptocurrency investor, I am sharing my experiences and insights. Interested in the crypto world but don't know where to start? Click on the profile picture to see the introduction, and let's witness the moment of miracles together.

Casually talking about the next few weeks:

1. Having positions in spot may face significant drawdowns, whether to avoid risks in advance completely depends on yourself. Perhaps this period will be very painful.

2. If you can hold on and endure this painful period, I believe the next wave of growth will be very favorable for some key cryptocurrencies, possibly even completely offsetting previous drawdowns.

3. The market has not 'ended'; a new phase of growth is expected in the next 4-8 weeks. A certain country's government has a relatively positive attitude towards cryptocurrencies, and there is less resistance in the macroeconomic environment, all of which theoretically create a good environment for the market.

4. Regarding the upcoming market rotation, there are no clear predictions. It is difficult to judge in advance which cryptocurrencies or sectors will become market leaders. From the perspective of rotation, it seems that all cryptocurrencies will rise, but there is also no trend of a comprehensive rise.
#GMT热度飙升
As a seasoned investor in the cryptocurrency space, I, Tu Fei, share my experiences and insights. Interested in the cryptocurrency space but don't know where to start? Click on my profile to see the introduction to Zhuye and witness the moment of miracles together.

Brooklyn War Method Practical口诀, simple and effective! 💹 💹 💹

1⃣Three lines upward, buy at the mid-price.

2⃣Three lines downward, sell at the mid-price.

3⃣Three lines flat, buy at the lower line, sell at the upper line.

4⃣Three lines opening upward, if the price goes bullish, look for a breakout.

5⃣Three lines opening downward, if the price goes bearish, exit quickly.

6⃣Three lines narrowing indicates consolidation, wait and see for direction.

The trading strategy only needs to learn
1⃣Identify the trend direction

2⃣Find the right entry and exit points
#GMT热度飙升

Recently, I plan to ambush a potential coin that is ready to explode, doubling is quite simple, and I also intend to find some potential coins to hold until the end of the year, expecting a space of more than 10 times is not a problem. If you want to follow along, watch my bamboo leaves, leave a message, follow, and like
#FlokiETP流动性提案通过 $ETH $XRP

The overall trend of DOGE shows a weak oscillation, reflected in:

1. Recent fluctuations: The recent price fluctuations of DOGE have been small, and it is generally in a consolidation phase. Although the decline within 24 hours is minor, from the 1-hour K-line data, DOGE has shown a downward trend in the past few hours, and trading volume is also in a shrinking state, indicating that market sentiment is cautious, with a high possibility of continued decline in the short term.

2. Changes in trading volume: The 1-hour K-line data for DOGE shows that overall trading volume is in a shrinking state, with small fluctuations, indicating that market participants have low interest in DOGE and lack strong buying power.

3. Market heat: Although DOGE has a high heat ranking, its market capitalization ranking is relatively low, indicating that market attention and participation in DOGE are not high. In addition, DOGE lacks clear application scenarios and technical advantages, making it difficult to attract more investors, thus limiting the impact of market heat on DOGE's trend.

#币安LaunchpoolBIO预测
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#FlokiETP流动性提案通过 $BTC

There are four stages in the journey of learning:

First stage: Not knowing that you don't know. This stage is very intense, the ignorant are fearless, very tough, all in, all in, making a fortune, losing everything, not afraid to charge ahead, not daunted by difficulties and obstacles. In this stage, one either makes a fortune and quits or continues playing, and the money made by luck will be lost by skill.

Second stage: Knowing that you don't know. You have lost enough, lost painfully, realizing that there is much you don't understand. To continue making a profit, you must learn, understand how this money was made, how this money was lost, and if improvements can be made to gradually enhance your understanding and trading skills.

Third stage: Knowing that you know. To reach this stage, one must go through rigorous learning and repeated practice, starting to achieve long-term stable profits. You know that this money was made through your own understanding and ability. The reasons for buying, the reasons for selling, how the asset is, are all very clear in your mind.

Fourth stage: Not knowing that you know. At this stage, you have reached a level of mastery where all theoretical operations, buying and selling strategies, have become muscle memory. You can tell what's going on at a glance, your hands are already in action without actual analysis, it's all reflex and instinct.
#GMT热度飙升
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The biggest reason for losing money in a bull market is: being too anxious and impetuous

The logic of bull markets and bear markets is completely different. In a bear market, there are only a few good targets, so you need to watch more and find various information to identify the real alpha;
The biggest problem in a bull market is that all coins are rising. You buy this one today because it’s up, and then you switch to that one tomorrow because it’s rising too, and in the end, you end up with nothing.

Therefore, when the big trend is clear, just pick a few and hold on tightly, blocking out the noise.
#币安Alpha公布第8批项目
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