老七的加密日记
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How novices in the crypto world can achieve capital accumulation
1. Less is more: Avoid frequent trading; selectively target opportunities for a more effective approach.
2. Go with the trend: Focus only on the obvious trends of the larger cycles, and don't blindly chase prices up or down.
3. Streamline your watchlist: Only keep an eye on a few familiar and active assets; quality is better than quantity.
4. Plan before you act: Use a plan to guide your trading; do less but do it right, and increase your position size when the odds are in your favor.
5. Reasonable position sizing: Only increase your position size when supported by data and experience.
6. Timely stop-loss: Recognizing mistakes isn't scary; it's procrastination that leads to significant losses.
7. Stick to compound interest: Pursue long-term stable growth; don't just think about getting rich quickly.
8. Trade like a business: Respect your capital, manage risks; only in this way can you survive in the market for a long time and ultimately win.
#美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新 #比特币巨鲸动向
Stay updated: $BTC $ETH
1. Less is more: Avoid frequent trading; selectively target opportunities for a more effective approach.
2. Go with the trend: Focus only on the obvious trends of the larger cycles, and don't blindly chase prices up or down.
3. Streamline your watchlist: Only keep an eye on a few familiar and active assets; quality is better than quantity.
4. Plan before you act: Use a plan to guide your trading; do less but do it right, and increase your position size when the odds are in your favor.
5. Reasonable position sizing: Only increase your position size when supported by data and experience.
6. Timely stop-loss: Recognizing mistakes isn't scary; it's procrastination that leads to significant losses.
7. Stick to compound interest: Pursue long-term stable growth; don't just think about getting rich quickly.
8. Trade like a business: Respect your capital, manage risks; only in this way can you survive in the market for a long time and ultimately win.
#美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新 #比特币巨鲸动向
Stay updated: $BTC $ETH
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Breaking! The ancient giant whale awakens, 80,000 bitcoins are being sold off!
Today, Bitcoin is still in the realm of technical adjustments. At 8 PM, breaking news reported "A dormant address containing 10,000 BTC was activated after 14.2 years of sleep," and in the following hours, this giant whale continuously activated multiple addresses containing tens of thousands of bitcoins. Although the spot market for Bitcoin is not experiencing significant volume fluctuations at the moment, participants are still wary of the 80,000 bitcoins being sold, leading to a brief irrational sell-off. What is meant to happen cannot be stopped; do not panic about what will not come. It is both an opportunity and a risk. Let's look for technical opportunities and see if there are any chances to participate.
Bitcoin: 107,300 is an important observation point. This level belongs to the mid-term long platform from the end of June. It has significant strategic meaning. Therefore, in the night session, pay close attention to the support effect of the small platform between 107,300 and 106,800, and it would be reasonable to participate a bit. The risk-reward ratio is good, just set a small stop-loss. For higher prices, see if the night session provides opportunities around 108,200-108,500. Reference points: 111,200-110,400-109,500-108,750-108,200-107,650-107,300-107,000-106,500-106,000-105,600-105,000.
Ethereum: The near-term 2,485 is a key reference point. Ethereum has put in significant effort to rise above 2,524 to expand upwards. Today's intraday decline has been sufficient, and there is currently no clear plan to sell 80,000 bitcoins; the situation here is more about psychological panic. Thus, if Ethereum provides opportunities around 2,485-2,495, it is still recommended to enter with a little initial position, and just ensure to set a stop-loss. For higher prices, check if there are opportunities around 2,552-2,568. Reference points: 2,687-2,669-2,635-2,613-2,579-2,540-2,524-2,550-2,485-2,440.
#比特币巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新
Continue to follow: $BTC $ETH
Today, Bitcoin is still in the realm of technical adjustments. At 8 PM, breaking news reported "A dormant address containing 10,000 BTC was activated after 14.2 years of sleep," and in the following hours, this giant whale continuously activated multiple addresses containing tens of thousands of bitcoins. Although the spot market for Bitcoin is not experiencing significant volume fluctuations at the moment, participants are still wary of the 80,000 bitcoins being sold, leading to a brief irrational sell-off. What is meant to happen cannot be stopped; do not panic about what will not come. It is both an opportunity and a risk. Let's look for technical opportunities and see if there are any chances to participate.
Bitcoin: 107,300 is an important observation point. This level belongs to the mid-term long platform from the end of June. It has significant strategic meaning. Therefore, in the night session, pay close attention to the support effect of the small platform between 107,300 and 106,800, and it would be reasonable to participate a bit. The risk-reward ratio is good, just set a small stop-loss. For higher prices, see if the night session provides opportunities around 108,200-108,500. Reference points: 111,200-110,400-109,500-108,750-108,200-107,650-107,300-107,000-106,500-106,000-105,600-105,000.
Ethereum: The near-term 2,485 is a key reference point. Ethereum has put in significant effort to rise above 2,524 to expand upwards. Today's intraday decline has been sufficient, and there is currently no clear plan to sell 80,000 bitcoins; the situation here is more about psychological panic. Thus, if Ethereum provides opportunities around 2,485-2,495, it is still recommended to enter with a little initial position, and just ensure to set a stop-loss. For higher prices, check if there are opportunities around 2,552-2,568. Reference points: 2,687-2,669-2,635-2,613-2,579-2,540-2,524-2,550-2,485-2,440.
#比特币巨鲸动向 #美国加征关税 #币安Alpha上新
Continue to follow: $BTC $ETH
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July 5th, early morning
The pancake has currently broken below the lower boundary of the previous consolidation, showing a clear breakdown. Today, after breaking the key support on the 4-hour level, it did not exhibit the expected second rebound, but instead continued to decline to the key support level of 107500 on the daily chart. If tomorrow's close at 8 AM cannot regain 107500, the daily structure will officially turn bearish, and it is likely to continue testing downward. During the night, pay attention to the range of 106500 to 105000. If a rapid downward spike occurs, there may be a short-term rebound opportunity, but it is essential to manage position risk carefully. If the rebound pressure area is between 108500 and 10900, and this area is not breached, then the overall rebound strength will be limited. It is necessary for the 4-hour level to successfully stabilize above this area for further upward potential. Those currently holding positions can pay attention to the 4-hour close in this range as a defensive measure.
The aunt is also entering a downward channel and is currently testing the important support level of 2480 on the daily chart. If tomorrow's daily close breaks this level, it will likely trigger the next round of downward movement. During the night, focus on the range of 2450 to 2430. If it drops to this area, there may be a short-term rebound opportunity, suitable for light position attempts. The pressure during the rebound is concentrated in the range of 2525 to 2550. If it cannot stabilize above this range, the downward trend will continue. It is also necessary for the 4-hour close to effectively break through this resistance to potentially open up rebound space. Those holding positions are advised to continuously monitor the 4-hour close situation in this pressure range.
SOL has currently broken through the support area on the 4-hour level, with a weak short-term trend. Next, pay attention to the area between 145 and 140, and monitor the possibility of a spike testing the range of 140 to 138. If there are clear signs of a halt in decline, consider short-term low-position attempts. If there is a rebound during the night, the area between 150 and 151 will form primary resistance. If this area is not breached, it is likely to remain in a weak oscillation trend. Only a strong breakthrough of this resistance band at the 4-hour level can confirm whether there is momentum for another rebound. Those still holding positions are advised to use this range as a key observation area and to dynamically adjust based on the performance of the 4-hour close.
#币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税 #币安钱包TGE
Continuously monitor: $BTC $ETH
The pancake has currently broken below the lower boundary of the previous consolidation, showing a clear breakdown. Today, after breaking the key support on the 4-hour level, it did not exhibit the expected second rebound, but instead continued to decline to the key support level of 107500 on the daily chart. If tomorrow's close at 8 AM cannot regain 107500, the daily structure will officially turn bearish, and it is likely to continue testing downward. During the night, pay attention to the range of 106500 to 105000. If a rapid downward spike occurs, there may be a short-term rebound opportunity, but it is essential to manage position risk carefully. If the rebound pressure area is between 108500 and 10900, and this area is not breached, then the overall rebound strength will be limited. It is necessary for the 4-hour level to successfully stabilize above this area for further upward potential. Those currently holding positions can pay attention to the 4-hour close in this range as a defensive measure.
The aunt is also entering a downward channel and is currently testing the important support level of 2480 on the daily chart. If tomorrow's daily close breaks this level, it will likely trigger the next round of downward movement. During the night, focus on the range of 2450 to 2430. If it drops to this area, there may be a short-term rebound opportunity, suitable for light position attempts. The pressure during the rebound is concentrated in the range of 2525 to 2550. If it cannot stabilize above this range, the downward trend will continue. It is also necessary for the 4-hour close to effectively break through this resistance to potentially open up rebound space. Those holding positions are advised to continuously monitor the 4-hour close situation in this pressure range.
SOL has currently broken through the support area on the 4-hour level, with a weak short-term trend. Next, pay attention to the area between 145 and 140, and monitor the possibility of a spike testing the range of 140 to 138. If there are clear signs of a halt in decline, consider short-term low-position attempts. If there is a rebound during the night, the area between 150 and 151 will form primary resistance. If this area is not breached, it is likely to remain in a weak oscillation trend. Only a strong breakthrough of this resistance band at the 4-hour level can confirm whether there is momentum for another rebound. Those still holding positions are advised to use this range as a key observation area and to dynamically adjust based on the performance of the 4-hour close.
#币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税 #币安钱包TGE
Continuously monitor: $BTC $ETH
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Good evening, Americans have entered the holiday early. The 'non-farm data' and the 'beautiful big bill' have been smoothly announced, but the bulls' desire to push up is not strong. Bitcoin and Ethereum symbolically touched the resistance levels before starting to decline. However, today's adjustment rhythm is relatively benign; what should bounce has bounced, and the key support level has held up with a rebound, making the technical aspect very standard. Therefore, we cannot easily say there is a trend change; we can only regard it as a normal operation of pressure levels being tested and retreating. The assets I have recently participated in, PENGU, are quite good. In the past two days, we have gained value with friends. Interested friends can pay attention to it.
Bitcoin: After trying twice yesterday at 110400, it fell back. The near-term support levels of 108750-108500 currently look effective. In the night market, we mainly look at whether there will be multiple retests near the support range to form a brief platform for next week's market. If this support range is broken, there will be significant space below, with the next strong support around 107650. The upper target for the near-term is 109500. Therefore, for high leverage, we can try according to these two support and resistance levels. Reference levels: 111200-110400-109500-108750-108200-107650-107300-107000-106500-106000-105600-105000.
Ethereum: Here, the amplitude of Ethereum's circuit is quite large, directly touching the repeatedly emphasized central axis around 2524 from May to June. This position is very critical, so the first touch in the afternoon was a very good low leverage position. In the night market, we are watching for a second retest; if it breaks below, support will also be effective at 2505-2485. The upper levels of 2579-2568 form a pressure platform. In terms of operation, we also wait for good positions to layout high leverage or low leverage accordingly. The technical chart of Ethereum has always been very structured, with multiple boxes restraining each other. When trading Ethereum, it is essential to patiently wait for good opportunities to enter; obtaining an initial safety threshold is very optimistic. Reference levels: 2687-2669-2635-2613-2579-2540-2524-25505-2485-2440.
$BTC $ETH
#币安Alpha上新 #币安钱包TGE #非农就业数据来袭 #美国加征关税
Bitcoin: After trying twice yesterday at 110400, it fell back. The near-term support levels of 108750-108500 currently look effective. In the night market, we mainly look at whether there will be multiple retests near the support range to form a brief platform for next week's market. If this support range is broken, there will be significant space below, with the next strong support around 107650. The upper target for the near-term is 109500. Therefore, for high leverage, we can try according to these two support and resistance levels. Reference levels: 111200-110400-109500-108750-108200-107650-107300-107000-106500-106000-105600-105000.
Ethereum: Here, the amplitude of Ethereum's circuit is quite large, directly touching the repeatedly emphasized central axis around 2524 from May to June. This position is very critical, so the first touch in the afternoon was a very good low leverage position. In the night market, we are watching for a second retest; if it breaks below, support will also be effective at 2505-2485. The upper levels of 2579-2568 form a pressure platform. In terms of operation, we also wait for good positions to layout high leverage or low leverage accordingly. The technical chart of Ethereum has always been very structured, with multiple boxes restraining each other. When trading Ethereum, it is essential to patiently wait for good opportunities to enter; obtaining an initial safety threshold is very optimistic. Reference levels: 2687-2669-2635-2613-2579-2540-2524-25505-2485-2440.
$BTC $ETH
#币安Alpha上新 #币安钱包TGE #非农就业数据来袭 #美国加征关税
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十年币圈生存法则，学会轻松实现深圳一套房！
1️⃣ 山寨币的生存周期（残酷现实）
热点币平均生命周期：17-23天
典型死亡轨迹：
🚀 暴涨阶段（3-5天）
⏸️ 横盘阶段（5-7天）
💀 暴跌阶段（2-3天跌回原点）
必须学会的逃生技巧：
✅ 盈利50%抽回本金
✅ 剩余仓位设置移动止盈
✅ 跌破7日均线立即清仓
2️⃣ 横盘背后的阴谋论（主力心理学）
🔻 高位横盘陷阱特征：
量能持续萎缩（换手率＜5%）
插针次数增加（3天内＞5次长影线）
社交媒体突然密集喊单
🔺 低位洗盘特征：
突然放量跌破前低（恐慌盘涌出）
15分钟内快速收复（主力吸筹）
链上巨鲸地址增持（数据可查）
3️⃣ 市场环境的强弱密码
📉 熊市生存法则：
关注"抗跌三要素"：
① 交易所净流入为负
② 持币地址数增加
③ 开发活动持续
📈 牛市风险信号：
"该涨不涨"的币种：
• 大盘涨它横盘
• 利好消息不反应
• 期货资金费率异常高
4️⃣ 仓位管理的数学原理
⚖️ 科学加仓公式：
首仓：不超过5%
盈利5%后加3%
盈利10%后加2%
最大仓位≤15%
💣 补仓禁忌：
亏损每增加5%，必须减仓50%
绝对禁止"摊平成本"操作
5️⃣ 趋势交易的黄金节奏
🌊 主升浪识别特征：
周线MACD水上金叉
月换手率＞150%
交易所储备持续下降
🎢 洗盘典型手法：
突然暴跌10%+快速收回
制造假突破陷阱
爆期货高杠杆仓位
6️⃣ 选币的维度进化论
🏆 顶级选手的视角：
板块轮动规律（如AI→MEME→RWA）
资金流向监测（聪明钱动向）
开发者活跃度（GitHub提交数）
7️⃣ 量价关系的真相
📊 量价密码解读：
放量上涨+缩量回调=健康趋势
放量滞涨=主力出货
无量下跌=即将变盘
🚫 指标骗局警示：
RSI超买后可以更超买
MACD金叉可能是假信号
KD指标在极端行情完全失效
8️⃣ 顺势交易的精髓
🔼 上涨趋势的正确操作：
回踩10日线加仓
跌破30日线减仓
放量跌破60日线清仓
🔽 下跌趋势的生存法则：
反弹至20日线做空
突破下降趋势线平仓
量能萎缩至地量观望
💎 终极生存法则
每年只有3-5次真正机会
90%时间应该空仓等待
保住本金比赚钱更重要
所有技术都要为资金流向服务
#币安Alpha上新
热点币平均生命周期：17-23天
典型死亡轨迹：
🚀 暴涨阶段（3-5天）
⏸️ 横盘阶段（5-7天）
💀 暴跌阶段（2-3天跌回原点）
必须学会的逃生技巧：
✅ 盈利50%抽回本金
✅ 剩余仓位设置移动止盈
✅ 跌破7日均线立即清仓
2️⃣ 横盘背后的阴谋论（主力心理学）
🔻 高位横盘陷阱特征：
量能持续萎缩（换手率＜5%）
插针次数增加（3天内＞5次长影线）
社交媒体突然密集喊单
🔺 低位洗盘特征：
突然放量跌破前低（恐慌盘涌出）
15分钟内快速收复（主力吸筹）
链上巨鲸地址增持（数据可查）
3️⃣ 市场环境的强弱密码
📉 熊市生存法则：
关注"抗跌三要素"：
① 交易所净流入为负
② 持币地址数增加
③ 开发活动持续
📈 牛市风险信号：
"该涨不涨"的币种：
• 大盘涨它横盘
• 利好消息不反应
• 期货资金费率异常高
4️⃣ 仓位管理的数学原理
⚖️ 科学加仓公式：
首仓：不超过5%
盈利5%后加3%
盈利10%后加2%
最大仓位≤15%
💣 补仓禁忌：
亏损每增加5%，必须减仓50%
绝对禁止"摊平成本"操作
5️⃣ 趋势交易的黄金节奏
🌊 主升浪识别特征：
周线MACD水上金叉
月换手率＞150%
交易所储备持续下降
🎢 洗盘典型手法：
突然暴跌10%+快速收回
制造假突破陷阱
爆期货高杠杆仓位
6️⃣ 选币的维度进化论
🏆 顶级选手的视角：
板块轮动规律（如AI→MEME→RWA）
资金流向监测（聪明钱动向）
开发者活跃度（GitHub提交数）
7️⃣ 量价关系的真相
📊 量价密码解读：
放量上涨+缩量回调=健康趋势
放量滞涨=主力出货
无量下跌=即将变盘
🚫 指标骗局警示：
RSI超买后可以更超买
MACD金叉可能是假信号
KD指标在极端行情完全失效
8️⃣ 顺势交易的精髓
🔼 上涨趋势的正确操作：
回踩10日线加仓
跌破30日线减仓
放量跌破60日线清仓
🔽 下跌趋势的生存法则：
反弹至20日线做空
突破下降趋势线平仓
量能萎缩至地量观望
💎 终极生存法则
每年只有3-5次真正机会
90%时间应该空仓等待
保住本金比赚钱更重要
所有技术都要为资金流向服务
#币安Alpha上新
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Insights from the Crypto Space
Insights from these days in the crypto space! Given to friends who are new to the circle.
1. Do not be attached to hot coins; altcoins should be exchanged for profit at a certain point. Trying to hold from start to finish is inevitably a futile endeavor. The reasoning is simple: altcoins cannot keep rising indefinitely. Once they have been traded, they should be exchanged; otherwise, if they drop back to the original point, it will all be in vain, like FIL or LUNA from back in the day.
2. After a period of consolidation at a high level, be ready to sell when the opportunity arises; after a period of consolidation at a low level with new lows, there is a high probability of a good opportunity. When the coin price consolidates at a high level and then creates a new high, be wary of the main force inducing buying; do not hesitate to reduce your position or exit. Conversely, when the coin price consolidates at a low level and then creates a new low but quickly recovers, it is likely the main force is washing out the last holders; at this time, one should remain steadfast.
1. Do not be attached to hot coins; altcoins should be exchanged for profit at a certain point. Trying to hold from start to finish is inevitably a futile endeavor. The reasoning is simple: altcoins cannot keep rising indefinitely. Once they have been traded, they should be exchanged; otherwise, if they drop back to the original point, it will all be in vain, like FIL or LUNA from back in the day.
2. After a period of consolidation at a high level, be ready to sell when the opportunity arises; after a period of consolidation at a low level with new lows, there is a high probability of a good opportunity. When the coin price consolidates at a high level and then creates a new high, be wary of the main force inducing buying; do not hesitate to reduce your position or exit. Conversely, when the coin price consolidates at a low level and then creates a new low but quickly recovers, it is likely the main force is washing out the last holders; at this time, one should remain steadfast.
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Whales operate in the dark, and the ETH market has undercurrents
According to the latest news on ETH today, ETH has shown a fluctuating trend of first declining and then rising, with the price quickly dropping in the morning and then gradually rebounding
After reaching a high during the session, it has pulled back again, with the overall volatility narrowing, and both bulls and bears are in a stalemate
The MACD indicator shows that the bearish strength still dominates, indicating a short-term need for technical correction
In conjunction with market news, there has been frequent movement in whale addresses recently, with signs of some whales exiting at a loss, while the overall ETH supply continues to increase
#币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币
Continued attention: $BTC $ETH
According to the latest news on ETH today, ETH has shown a fluctuating trend of first declining and then rising, with the price quickly dropping in the morning and then gradually rebounding
After reaching a high during the session, it has pulled back again, with the overall volatility narrowing, and both bulls and bears are in a stalemate
The MACD indicator shows that the bearish strength still dominates, indicating a short-term need for technical correction
In conjunction with market news, there has been frequent movement in whale addresses recently, with signs of some whales exiting at a loss, while the overall ETH supply continues to increase
#币安Alpha上新 #Strategy增持比特币
Continued attention: $BTC $ETH
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Trump's Trade Statements Impact the Market, Opportunities and Risks in the Cryptocurrency Space
According to Jin10 Data on July 2, Trump declared that he would not extend the deadline for trade agreement negotiations and expressed doubt about reaching an agreement with Japan, even hinting at imposing higher tariffs on Japanese imported goods. This wave of trade uncertainty has instantly intensified fluctuations in traditional financial markets.
And what about the cryptocurrency space? It has always been sensitive to global macroeconomic changes and policy shifts. As trade frictions escalate and risk aversion rises, cryptocurrencies are often viewed by some investors as a new 'safe haven.' However, it is also important to be cautious, as the chain reaction of capital triggered by turmoil in traditional markets may lead to more severe short-term fluctuations in the cryptocurrency space.
Should we seize potential opportunities in the cryptocurrency market amid these trade winds, or should we cautiously observe to avoid pitfalls? Fellow cryptocurrency comrades, let's discuss this strategy together, finding certainty within uncertainty!
#加密市场回调 #币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税
Stay tuned: $ETH $XRP $DOGE
According to Jin10 Data on July 2, Trump declared that he would not extend the deadline for trade agreement negotiations and expressed doubt about reaching an agreement with Japan, even hinting at imposing higher tariffs on Japanese imported goods. This wave of trade uncertainty has instantly intensified fluctuations in traditional financial markets.
And what about the cryptocurrency space? It has always been sensitive to global macroeconomic changes and policy shifts. As trade frictions escalate and risk aversion rises, cryptocurrencies are often viewed by some investors as a new 'safe haven.' However, it is also important to be cautious, as the chain reaction of capital triggered by turmoil in traditional markets may lead to more severe short-term fluctuations in the cryptocurrency space.
Should we seize potential opportunities in the cryptocurrency market amid these trade winds, or should we cautiously observe to avoid pitfalls? Fellow cryptocurrency comrades, let's discuss this strategy together, finding certainty within uncertainty!
#加密市场回调 #币安Alpha上新 #美国加征关税
Stay tuned: $ETH $XRP $DOGE
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Why look at 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute candlesticks?
Many people in the cryptocurrency space repeatedly fall into pitfalls because they focus on only one timeframe.
Today, I will discuss my commonly used multi-timeframe candlestick trading method, which involves three simple steps: grasping direction, finding entry points, and timing.
1. 4-hour candlestick: Determines your major direction for going long or short
This timeframe is long enough to filter out short-term noise and clearly see the trend:
• Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows → Buy on dips
• Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows → Sell on rebounds
• Sideways consolidation: Price fluctuates within a range, making it easy to get stopped out; frequent trading is not recommended.
Remember this: Trading with the trend increases your win rate; trading against it will only cost you.
2. 1-hour candlestick: Used to delineate ranges and find key levels
Once the major trend is established, the 1-hour chart can help you identify support/resistance:
• Positions near trend lines, moving averages, or previous lows are potential entry points.
• As you approach previous highs, significant resistance, or a topping pattern, consider taking profits or reducing your position.
3. 15-minute candlestick: Only for the final “trigger action”
This timeframe is specifically for finding entry timing, not for analyzing trends:
• Wait for key price levels to show small timeframe reversal signals (engulfing, bullish divergence, golden cross) before entering.
• Volume must increase; a breakout is only reliable with good volume; otherwise, it may be a false move.
How to coordinate multiple timeframes?
1. First define the direction: Use the 4-hour chart to decide whether to go long or short.
2. Find the entry zone: Use the 1-hour chart to identify support or resistance areas.
3. Enter precisely: Use the 15-minute chart to find the final trigger signals.
A few additional points:
• If there are conflicting directions across several timeframes, it’s better to stay on the sidelines and not take uncertain trades.
• Small timeframe fluctuations are quick; always use stop-losses to prevent getting repeatedly stopped out.
• A good combination of trend, position, and timing is far superior to blindly guessing while staring at the charts.
I have used this multi-timeframe candlestick method for over 2 years; it is the foundation of my consistent trading setup. Whether you can use it well depends on your willingness to analyze charts and summarize your insights.
#Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha上新 #行情推演
Many people in the cryptocurrency space repeatedly fall into pitfalls because they focus on only one timeframe.
Today, I will discuss my commonly used multi-timeframe candlestick trading method, which involves three simple steps: grasping direction, finding entry points, and timing.
1. 4-hour candlestick: Determines your major direction for going long or short
This timeframe is long enough to filter out short-term noise and clearly see the trend:
• Uptrend: Higher highs and higher lows → Buy on dips
• Downtrend: Lower highs and lower lows → Sell on rebounds
• Sideways consolidation: Price fluctuates within a range, making it easy to get stopped out; frequent trading is not recommended.
Remember this: Trading with the trend increases your win rate; trading against it will only cost you.
2. 1-hour candlestick: Used to delineate ranges and find key levels
Once the major trend is established, the 1-hour chart can help you identify support/resistance:
• Positions near trend lines, moving averages, or previous lows are potential entry points.
• As you approach previous highs, significant resistance, or a topping pattern, consider taking profits or reducing your position.
3. 15-minute candlestick: Only for the final “trigger action”
This timeframe is specifically for finding entry timing, not for analyzing trends:
• Wait for key price levels to show small timeframe reversal signals (engulfing, bullish divergence, golden cross) before entering.
• Volume must increase; a breakout is only reliable with good volume; otherwise, it may be a false move.
How to coordinate multiple timeframes?
1. First define the direction: Use the 4-hour chart to decide whether to go long or short.
2. Find the entry zone: Use the 1-hour chart to identify support or resistance areas.
3. Enter precisely: Use the 15-minute chart to find the final trigger signals.
A few additional points:
• If there are conflicting directions across several timeframes, it’s better to stay on the sidelines and not take uncertain trades.
• Small timeframe fluctuations are quick; always use stop-losses to prevent getting repeatedly stopped out.
• A good combination of trend, position, and timing is far superior to blindly guessing while staring at the charts.
I have used this multi-timeframe candlestick method for over 2 years; it is the foundation of my consistent trading setup. Whether you can use it well depends on your willingness to analyze charts and summarize your insights.
#Strategy增持比特币 #币安Alpha上新 #行情推演
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7.1 Evening Thoughts $BTC
The price of Bitcoin has tested the short-squeeze area around $108,800 twice, but has failed to trigger a large-scale short-covering trend. Meanwhile, the premium in the spot market continues to decline, indicating a tug-of-war between the long positions in the futures market and the short positions in the spot market during the recent two rounds of price fluctuations.
As the price pulls back to the lower end of the consolidation range, market focus shifts to the long position area below $106,000. If this key support level is breached, it may trigger a long liquidation mechanism, causing the Bitcoin price to further drop to $105,000, or even touch the $104,000 mark.
In terms of operational strategy, before the $106,000 support level is effectively broken, it is recommended to focus on buying the dips.
#Strategy增持比特币 #美国加征关税
The price of Bitcoin has tested the short-squeeze area around $108,800 twice, but has failed to trigger a large-scale short-covering trend. Meanwhile, the premium in the spot market continues to decline, indicating a tug-of-war between the long positions in the futures market and the short positions in the spot market during the recent two rounds of price fluctuations.
As the price pulls back to the lower end of the consolidation range, market focus shifts to the long position area below $106,000. If this key support level is breached, it may trigger a long liquidation mechanism, causing the Bitcoin price to further drop to $105,000, or even touch the $104,000 mark.
In terms of operational strategy, before the $106,000 support level is effectively broken, it is recommended to focus on buying the dips.
#Strategy增持比特币 #美国加征关税
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2025.07.01 ETH Analysis $ETH
Pressure above the blue line and support below the red line
Using 1-hour level as reference
Today's risk control range: 2430-2555, currently in a flat position
Long limit order at 2440, take profit at 2535, stop loss at 2365; Short limit order at 2566, take profit at 2388, stop loss at 2585
I have transitioned from spot to perpetual contracts, as a conservative trader, focusing on stable profits, satisfied with a daily return of 1%, so in the case of maximum position increase, I only open 5%. I have great respect for the market and the rules. Let's encourage each other, and I sincerely hope everyone can discuss together
#大而美法案 #币安Alpha上新
Pressure above the blue line and support below the red line
Using 1-hour level as reference
Today's risk control range: 2430-2555, currently in a flat position
Long limit order at 2440, take profit at 2535, stop loss at 2365; Short limit order at 2566, take profit at 2388, stop loss at 2585
I have transitioned from spot to perpetual contracts, as a conservative trader, focusing on stable profits, satisfied with a daily return of 1%, so in the case of maximum position increase, I only open 5%. I have great respect for the market and the rules. Let's encourage each other, and I sincerely hope everyone can discuss together
#大而美法案 #币安Alpha上新
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A few points that small funds in the cryptocurrency market need to strictly follow to grow
1. Profit is the ultimate goal
2. Extend the trading cycle, reduce trading frequency, only trade during major market movements
3. Each loss must not exceed ten percent (or five or lower) of the current contract value
4. The margin ratio for each opening position must not exceed ten percent (or five or lower) of the current contract value
5. Each loss must not exceed one hundred percent of the margin for the position
6. Always set a stop loss after opening each order
7. Determine the stop loss price based on analysis, calculate the loss ratio based on the stop loss price (refer to point 5)
8. If the stop loss price after opening does not match the maximum loss ratio, adjust the position to increase or decrease (it is recommended to gradually increase the position with low margin)
9.
10. Never resist losses; a significant loss will be very difficult to recover from. Take profits in batches, taking profits from fifty percent of the remaining position each time, then sequentially move the stop loss price to the current average price of the position.
Until before opening the next order, the previous order can be completely liquidated
11. Do not make adjustments to floating profits or losses, which are very hard to control; trading methods are best fixed
12. First analyze the structure, then determine the trend, then decide the direction, and then create
Follow Lao Qi for more tips
Continuously follow: $XRP $ETH
#Strategy增持比特币
#美国加征关税
1. Profit is the ultimate goal
2. Extend the trading cycle, reduce trading frequency, only trade during major market movements
3. Each loss must not exceed ten percent (or five or lower) of the current contract value
4. The margin ratio for each opening position must not exceed ten percent (or five or lower) of the current contract value
5. Each loss must not exceed one hundred percent of the margin for the position
6. Always set a stop loss after opening each order
7. Determine the stop loss price based on analysis, calculate the loss ratio based on the stop loss price (refer to point 5)
8. If the stop loss price after opening does not match the maximum loss ratio, adjust the position to increase or decrease (it is recommended to gradually increase the position with low margin)
9.
10. Never resist losses; a significant loss will be very difficult to recover from. Take profits in batches, taking profits from fifty percent of the remaining position each time, then sequentially move the stop loss price to the current average price of the position.
Until before opening the next order, the previous order can be completely liquidated
11. Do not make adjustments to floating profits or losses, which are very hard to control; trading methods are best fixed
12. First analyze the structure, then determine the trend, then decide the direction, and then create
Follow Lao Qi for more tips
Continuously follow: $XRP $ETH
#Strategy增持比特币
#美国加征关税
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