破局者-柒捌玖

People can never earn money beyond their own understanding, especially in the capital market.

Every round of wealth myths during a bull market attracts a large number of retail investors. What you think is an opportunity may just be a trap set by the operators long ago. For example, back in the day with Filecoin, the concept sounded indeed appealing: "to create a data storage system that is not controlled by the government, where anyone can freely upload, encrypt, and store data in a distributed manner."

How free and futuristic it sounds. Who doesn't long for a private, transparent, and secure world? But ideals are ideals, and the reality comes with the cost of countless "mining machine investments" and buying FIL tokens at high prices, ultimately leading to total loss.

At its peak, FIL surged from $1 to $238, with media promoting it in a brainwashing manner, and mining machines costing hundreds of thousands of dollars yet still hard to come by. A bunch of people genuinely believed this was "the second Bitcoin," but it peaked right after launch, plummeting to zero in less than a year, leaving behind a heap of shattered wealth dreams.

Why does the concept of free storage not work? Because it demands too high a level of technology, hardware, and operational maintenance, with extremely large costs. Moreover, the so-called "free storage" ultimately still has control concentrated in the hands of a few large institutions. What is that if not centralization?

Many people are not unmotivated; they are just working hard in the wrong direction. You think FIL is the future, but in reality, it is just an old bottle with new wine—a "wealth harvesting machine." Capital never cares about sentiment, only recognizes harvesting efficiency.

The dream of freedom ultimately has to return to reality. Stop naively fantasizing about the next Bitcoin; any seemingly great concept, if devoid of the ability to implement and user value, is merely a shell for packaging.

Wake up, and stop paying for an understanding that does not belong to you.

Why Can’t You Ever Make Money in the Crypto World?

Every round of bull and bear markets creates wealth for a group of people. That's how this circle works: strong cycles, high volatility. As long as you don't touch contracts or play with altcoins, even if you just hold mainstream coins, you can start making money.

Contracts? They may seem profitable in the short term, but I've never seen anyone successfully exit long-term. I know three people born in the 2000s who made over ten million in the last bull market just by holding spot. Do you think they worked themselves to the bone? Not really; they just appeared at the right time.

In reality, a person born in the 2000s, just graduated, with no connections or resources, would find it nearly impossible to earn ten million through working or starting a business in a few years. But in the crypto world, even if they don't end up making money, at least it gives ordinary people a chance to turn their fortunes around.

The logic of making money in financial markets is actually quite simple: buy low, sell high.
Let's talk about the last market cycle; the bear market bottom was “312,” Bitcoin dropped to a low of 3800, and Ethereum hit a low of 88 dollars. The bull market peak saw BTC soar to 69000, and ETH to 4800, with ETH increasing by a full 60 times.

At this moment, if you say that a bull market is still far away, that may not necessarily be true. If the U.S. stock market remains stable, BTC at 17800 and ETH at 880 might just be the bottom of this round. As for where it will rise in the future? No one can predict that; we retail investors can only take it step by step.

So, for ordinary people, there is no absolute bottom, only a “relatively reasonable area.” If BTC and ETH drop more than 70%, then it might be worth considering dollar-cost averaging. You don't have to catch the lowest point, nor should you expect to sell at the highest point. Those who can do that are basically lucky.

What really determines whether retail investors make money are actually two points:
🟢 The timing of entry
🟢 The cost of holding
DCA slowly during a bear market and gradually cash out during a bull market. Don’t be too hasty; making money relies on patience, not skill. Without an information advantage or financial backing, you need to maintain your mindset and hold your positions. Those who can endure will be the winners.

Double-tap the screen and get rich every year.

ONDO is experiencing a huge surge!

Call quickly if you're interested. If you're not interested, you can watch others get rich

#以太坊连续两日领涨 #特朗普施压鲍威尔 #山寨季何时到来？

Whose general is this!

Expression MEME Coin CHAD directly doubled!

Yes, you are not mistaken, CHAD has doubled, in the opposite direction it has doubled, market value plummeted by 500,000, how much was trapped?

Is ETH about to take off? Target of $10,000?

Ethereum has once again become the focus today—breaking through $3,400 for the first time in five months, and technically showing a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern, which is a strong bullish signal, typically indicating that a significant market movement is brewing.

eTH/BTC has rebounded by 50%, potentially driven by whales and institutions continuing to build positions.
Technically, it has just broken through the bullish flag pattern.
Analysts say: "ETH is super bullish!" The mid-term target is $6,000, and the long-term target aims directly at $10,000!

However, be aware:
They also remind that before the rise, there may be a pullback to around $2,800 for a consolidation phase before continuing to rise.
Why is ETH so strong?
Institutional funds are clearly flowing back
ETH/BTC structure is strengthening

Weekly RSI has started to rebound after being oversold (a replica of the 2019 trend?)
Well-known analysts VirtualBacon and Michaël van de Poppe are optimistic about ETH's future performance, believing that ETH/BTC has another 30% upside potential, which will further drive the USD price upwards.

What do you think?
Can ETH really break out into an independent market? Is $10,000 possible?
Or is it just a short-term spike under "warming sentiment"?

ETH is cultivating your bullish sentiment

Just as the previous drop began from the 4000 position, three gaps appeared on the CME as shown in Figures 1-3, and the gaps were not filled immediately, indicating that the operators are cultivating our bearish sentiment. Until the bearish sentiment reaches a certain level, the operators will start to exert force, leading to a surge that catches everyone off guard. Now, it seems the operators are cultivating the market's bullish sentiment, without any pullbacks, simply using price increases to win people over. And now another gap has appeared on the CME, which also has not been filled immediately; this is precisely the operators cultivating our bullish sentiment to accumulate a large number of long positions. Until one day, combined with a piece of negative news, they take the opportunity to crash the market. This news can be significant or minor, as long as it is negative. Therefore, everyone present, be cautious in chasing long positions and protect yourselves! To avoid being swept away by a sudden move.

ETH Go Go Go

Brothers, how much do you see this wave? Just go for it without thinking!

Don't be cowardly, just do it, go in with a heavy position

Fans ask me if I only have 500 USDT, do I still have a chance to turn things around?

Yes, definitely, the opportunity is right in front of you. With a few hundred USDT, follow the trend and make trend trades. On the 11th, go in with a heavy position, just control the liquidation well, and look, today the 17th, it went from 3000 to nearly the target of 3450, directly flipping the position. I don't care if it's classic or not, I just like this one!

With a heavy position, you need to follow the trend. If you get it wrong, it goes to zero immediately, so be very cautious.
When the opportunity comes, don't be cowardly, time, place, and people are all favorable, and you can turn things around in one go!

From losing 1 million to rolling back with 3000U: Position control is the only truth

That day I lost 1 million, and I sat in the chair feeling completely drained.

The yin-yang needle on the screen blew my account clean.

A friend advised me to let it go and stop playing, but I only said one thing: "I don't believe I can't turn it around."

I wiped my account clean, leaving only 3000U, and with this little capital, I began what I call "survival trading".

No more fantasies, no more excitement, I only did three things:

1. Position division is the bottom line, survive first to win

I divided the 3000U into 6 parts, each 500U, and never filled my position.

When I saw the right signal, I would use one part for a test order, setting a stop loss strictly not exceeding 3%, and take profit looking at the market structure aiming for 1:2 or 1:3.

If one trade was wrong, I would lose at most 15U; if I made the right call, I could generally gain 45~60U.

As long as I could maintain a win rate of over 50%, I could slowly recover.

2. Focus on familiar charts, K-lines are the true signals

I ignored news, trending topics, and community analysis.

Every day, I only watched 4 coins: BTC, ETH, SOL, OP, which was enough.

The K-lines showed the footprints of the main players, while what was said was just traps.

For example, when SOL rose from 81 to 89, I saw the volume contraction and chip accumulation the night before,

I put in 500U, and took profit at 700U within 2 hours before exiting.

Trading is not about guessing rises and falls; it's about seeing the structure and getting in, admitting defeat if wrong and walking away.

3. Rolling positions create miracles, profit is the greatest trump card

When my capital grew to 5000U, I began to use profits for position rolling.

For instance, when I went from 3000U to 4600U, I had an additional profit of 1600U, at which point I would put this part all in for a round.

Did I lose? At most, I'd return to the starting point.

Did I win? I could double and take off.

That time SUI rose from 0.8 to 5, I rolled my profits and made a hard gain of 10000U, turning around in a day.

I realized that in the crypto world, making money relies on only two words: position control.

Without position control, even if you understand the technology, you will still blow up.

With position control, even if your operations are ordinary, you can survive to eat meat during the right wave.

I don't encourage people to enter the market, but if you truly want to turn things around and are genuinely unwilling to lose,

Remember one thing—don't rush in, first learn to survive.

If I invest 10,000 in the crypto market now, will I become a millionaire in ten years?

A veteran from 2017 shares their thoughts.
In the crypto digital currency market, the effect of choice outweighs effort, especially evident.
If you bought Bitcoin and Ethereum ten years ago, you would certainly have seen a hundredfold increase.

The darkest time of the last bear market was on March 12, when Bitcoin's price was 3,800 and Ethereum was 88. The peak of the bull market reached 69,000 for Bitcoin and 4,800 for Ethereum. If your math isn't good, please calculate: Ethereum increased 60 times.

If you choose altcoins, there's a high probability that your principal will shrink by over ten times, continuously failing to make money while suffering significant losses. Most importantly, you will miss the time for dividends, and then when you think about making money, you can only wait for the next cycle.

Since I entered the market, there have been at least tens of thousands of cryptocurrencies, especially projects launched in 2018-2019, many of which no longer exist. During that time, there were basically many new projects every day, but after three months, most had disappeared. Many project teams would launch one project and then switch to the next, continuing to take advantage of investors. Therefore, there's a high chance that altcoins will be in this year, but the next cycle may not include them.

In a bear market, altcoins are hardly worth investing in. For newcomers, it's advisable to prioritize holding Bitcoin and Ethereum. If these two don’t rise, which altcoins dare to rally? Bitcoin and Ethereum have weathered multiple bull and bear markets, but many altcoins reach their peak upon debut, then decline continuously and never return to their former prices. They might not even exist in the next cycle.

Dollar-cost averaging Bitcoin in a bear market is undoubtedly the safest strategy because, in the early stages of a bull market, Bitcoin will lead the market forward. After a while, altcoins will gradually start to take off. Of course, dollar-cost averaging shouldn't be done casually; invest a fixed amount each month or buy 20% during significant dips. It's hard to say for other coins, but Bitcoin will definitely rise. Hold on until the next halving cycle, and I believe the returns will be considerable.

For us retail investors, without funding advantages or information advantages, the only thing we can decide is patience. Before the market is determined, patiently waiting for opportunities is the safest approach. If you want to make money in the financial market, patiently waiting for opportunities is much more prudent than blindly operating.
If you lack patience and want to make money, you can only rely on luck.

Ten lessons learned from struggling in the cryptocurrency world, each filled with blood and tears:

1⃣ Don't chase highs! Those who can't help but rush in when they see prices rising are basically just bag holders. How much it wants to rise has nothing to do with you; learn to treat it as if it doesn’t exist.

2⃣ There are only two types of coins: those bought at a low point are good coins, and those bought at a high point are garbage. Truly excellent coins are always "held at the bottom, waiting for them to become extraordinary."

3⃣ Feeling restless isn't a technical issue; it's a mindset issue. If you know it's not a buying point yet you still act, a liquidation is just a matter of time.

4⃣ Trading cryptocurrencies requires ruthlessness; don't get emotionally attached to specific coins, just look for logical buying and selling points. Technicals + rhythm are greater than everything else, regardless of whether it's BTC or a small altcoin.

5⃣ If you're wrong, don’t make excuses; losing money is never the market's fault, it’s your own operational issues. You must review and summarize after every loss.

6⃣ Wanting to make money quickly is the most toxic mindset. If you can't control your own greed, don't fantasize about achieving freedom in the market.

7⃣ Success relies on long-term stable profits, not a single windfall. Think clearly before buying, be firm in holding, and decisive in selling. Trading cryptocurrencies is about you being in control, not the coins controlling you.

8⃣ Good coins need time to grow, not daily swapping. Frequent trading leads to always having small capital. Focus on one or two targets, and you'll reap significant rewards in the long run.

9⃣ The market has a rhythm; you need to learn to understand it. Forget about greed and fear; when the rhythm is right, the market will come to you.

🔟 Compound interest is the true path to wealth. Maintain a stable mindset and strategy; time is your friend. Take your time, be bold in holding, and the money that should be earned will eventually come to you.

If you also trade cryptocurrencies, have experienced liquidation, and have faced setbacks, feel free to like and save this to understand the pitfalls together!

Five Tips for Making Money with Perpetual Contracts, All Summarized from Blood Loss Experiences:

Many people ask me: How can I steadily earn from contracts?

In a word: It's not about going all in, it's about the method.
The following five tips are blood and tears experiences I've summarized from countless losses; understand them and you can avoid pitfalls:

1⃣ Never go all in; always operate in batches.

If your account has $20,000, the maximum you can lose is 20% (which is $4,000), and this $4,000 should be divided into three parts:

The first $1,000 is a trial, the second $1,000 is for averaging down, and the last $2,000 is your trump card for a comeback.

Don't go all in at once; if the market turns against you, you won't even have a chance to correct your mistake.

2⃣ Don't 'be human' in the face of trends.

Most people are afraid to chase when the price rises and hesitate to buy when it falls, typical human behavior.

But trading is a game against human nature:

In an upward trend, dare to enter when it drops 10%;

In a downward trend, don't fantasize about a rebound; it's safer to short in the direction of the trend.

3⃣ Set your take profit and stop loss in advance; don't make decisions on the fly.

Always set your take profit and stop loss in advance; the market moves faster than your emotions.

✅ Single trade losses should not exceed 5% of total capital.

✅ Aim for profits greater than 5%.

✅ Maintain a win rate of over 50%.

As long as your risk-reward ratio is greater than 1, you will naturally profit in the long run.

4⃣ Refuse frequent trading; it's better to do nothing than to trade recklessly.

Contracts are a 24-hour market, but that doesn't mean you need to be on edge 24 hours a day.

If the market is unclear, don’t act; if you lose two trades in a row, take a mandatory three-day break.

Trading is not about who trades more, but about who makes fewer mistakes.

5⃣ Enter based on logic, not feelings.

Before and after major news releases, it's best to observe; it’s easy to get harvested.

The real good opportunities come after large fluctuations with a second bottom or top test;

If the price hasn’t reached your target, don’t act—no matter how fierce the candlestick or how much news there is, it’s not worth the gamble.

Here are four sayings for you:

✅ Diversify to control risk

✅ Follow the trend, don’t go against it

✅ Set take profit and stop loss in advance

✅ Only enter when the risk is low

Lastly:

The market is not about who wins the fastest, but about who lasts the longest.
If you've also experienced liquidation and ups and downs in contracts, feel free to like and save.

The most stable way to play in the crypto contract world!

Mastering this method will allow you to surpass 99% of people.

Only eight words: Choose the right coin, be a good person.
As a leveraged trader, we pursue maximizing profits, but more importantly, controlling risks. Many people mistakenly think that trading contracts is about betting on volatility; in fact, what should be focused on is the 'certainty' of the market.

How to understand this?

When the market is rising, go long on the strongest coins; when the market is falling, go short on the weakest coins.

Don’t impulsively jump in without thinking, for instance, if a new quarter just started and ETH and EOS are surging, it’s definitely best to go long on them during a pullback. Why? The strong remain strong, they have capital, momentum, and are resilient to downturns while easily bouncing back.

For example, during a market crash, it’s safest to go short on Bitcoin. Some may say that certain altcoins fall harder and offer bigger profits. That’s true, but they can also easily get you trapped by a sudden rebound. Although BTC falls slowly, its movements are cleaner and less likely to backfire on you.

Most people actually have a short-term mindset, are not used to holding positions to the target, are not skilled in averaging down, and their position management is unstable. Based on this, the most critical point is: a good entry price surpasses everything.

In plain terms, if you choose your position well, even if the market doesn’t move afterward, you don’t do averaging, and you don’t understand position management, it will still be easier to make a profit.

So how to make it more stable?

1️⃣ After opening a position, take some profit first, secure the gains.

Don’t think about taking the entire wave at once; we can’t control how the market moves. Taking some profits first means you won’t have a mental breakdown later.

2️⃣ Keep the rest for momentum, stop loss at the cost price.

If the market reverses, you can still exit safely. As long as you don’t get liquidated, don’t be greedy, and manage your position well, you will be more stable than 90% of people in the market.

In summary: The logic of stability is following the trend + choosing the strong + position control + taking profits in batches.

The market is revealed over time, and the account balance is built with patience. Don’t think about flipping your fortunes with one explosive profit; surviving long in contracts is what makes you a winner.

Who is the ancient giant whale that dumped 40,000 bitcoins in two days?

A super old wallet that has been hoarding coins since 2014 sold a whopping 40,000 bitcoins through Galaxy Company in just two days, equivalent to over 20 billion RMB. This kind of selling pressure is extremely damaging to the market, but the more critical question is—do you know who is selling?

I took some time to dig a little deeper:

First: This whale is not an ordinary person.
Having held coins since 2014 without moving them, only two types of people can achieve this level:
They are either not short of money and have a very stable mindset.
Or they are imprisoned and cannot access their wallets.
Out of the few people globally that fit these criteria, I can only narrow it down to five, including Chinese individuals, Chinese high officials, and the legendary “Dark Web King,” Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road.

Second: The selling method is very particular.
He chose to sell through Galaxy Company, which is dual-listed in the US and Canada, extremely compliant, and OTC large orders are handled very transparently. Who can sell through this method? It cannot be an ordinary person; anyone who can use the Galaxy channel has an absolutely non-simple background.
So, I boldly rule out three candidates from the Chinese direction and focus on the remaining ones—US high officials.

Third: Trump's cooperation is too obvious.
During the selling period, Trump suddenly posted about the “Stablecoin Act” and promoted cryptocurrency, which any normal person can see is completely unnecessary hype. The only explanation: this is to help someone cover up the selling.
Who is Ross? The founder of Silk Road, who had rumors of contact with Trump’s team during his imprisonment, and even rumors of a “possible presidential pardon” from Trump. Now it seems this is not baseless.

Conclusion: This whale is very likely Ross Ulbricht, and what’s behind it involves the Trump family itself! This wave of selling not only exerts a huge selling pressure on the market but also reveals a signal: US high officials have begun to sell bitcoins at a high position.

If there is no new large capital inflow in the future, BTC will find it difficult to have high explosive issuance in the short term; the main players may be making new layouts.
This is the underlying logic I see; it is neither frightening nor mere hearsay. Market fluctuations are surface-level; the key is who is moving the money behind the scenes. Don’t just look at the price; you need to see who is holding the steering wheel behind it.

Don't laugh, these "down-to-earth mantras" in the crypto world are actually quite useful!

You might not believe it when I say this, but during my years in the crypto world, I haven't relied on any advanced indicators; I just follow these few "old-fashioned" mantras, and they actually work quite well.

Today, I’ll share them with you. They seem simple, but they can really save you:
If there is a big drop in the morning, increase your position; if there is a big rise in the morning, reduce your position.

—— Morning sentiment is crucial; after a significant drop, there’s often a recovery, and after a sharp rise, it's usually a peak.

In the afternoon, only reduce your position if there's a big rise; if there's a big drop, buy the next day.

—— Afternoon surges are prone to peaking; don’t chase them; if there’s a drop in the afternoon, the next day is likely to open low and rise high.

Don’t sell coins if there’s a drop in the morning; buy on dips and do T+0 trading.

—— Don’t panic and sell just because the price drops; you might end up selling at the lowest point.

Don’t chase the rise in the afternoon; reduce your position on highs and do T+1 trading.

—— Don't be impulsive when prices rise in the afternoon; wait until the next day to realize profits.

Observe the rise at ten o'clock in the morning; observe the rise at two o'clock in the afternoon.

—— For truly strong coins, they will hit the ceiling by ten o'clock; for weak ones, they will peak around two o'clock, and that’s about when to sell.

If the coin is strong, it will hit the ceiling by ten; if it’s not strong, it will hit the peak by two.

—— Don’t guess the top; market feeling and timing are key.

Control your position without taking chances; rolling operations are the best strategy.

—— Don’t expect one trade to change everything; gradually entering and exiting with rolling operations is the way to go.

In a bull market, don’t trade short; in a bear market, don’t trade long.

—— In a bull market, hold on; don’t always trade; in a bear market, don’t hold stubbornly; sell when it rises.

In a bull market, don’t panic sell; in a bear market, don’t chase rises.

—— Don’t panic sell during adjustments in a bull market; don’t chase after rebounds in a bear market; 80% of the time, it’s just a false move.

These sayings might sound like rhymes, but they are actually experiences learned from the market.
Market conditions change constantly, but the one thing that remains unchanged is: Do you have discipline, patience, and execution? If you can stick to this logic, you might not make money every day, but at least you won’t lose money every day.
Trading isn’t as complicated as you think; if you manage your position, rhythm, and expectations well, you can survive in the crypto world for a long time.
Finally, a reminder: remember to memorize the mantras, keep your positions in check, and don’t go all in just because you feel excited.

Position Management: Trapped, Liquidated, or Missing Out? It's Just Because You Don't Know How to Manage Your Position!

Learn this trick, and you will surpass 99% of people!

I believe many cryptocurrency friends have more or less experienced the helpless feeling of being trapped after fully investing, with the market soaring but having nothing to do with themselves, and being unable to cut losses. These can be avoided through position management. Without further ado, let's get straight to the point:

Here’s my current advice on position management:
For example, if you take out 30,000 USDT to trade contracts,
my suggestion is to split it into three parts, each part being 10,000 USDT.
Each time you open a position, use one part to open a position, a fixed 10,000 USDT,
for Bitcoin, do not exceed 10x leverage, for altcoins, do not exceed 5x leverage.
If you lose money,
for example, lose 1,000 USDT, you should replenish 1,000 USDT from outside.
If you earn 1,000 USDT, you should withdraw 1,000 USDT.
Ensure that in the recent period,
you can guarantee that each time you open a position, it stays at a fixed position of 10,000 USDT.
Until you turn your 30,000 USDT into 60,000 USDT using this method,
then raise each part of your position to 20,000 USDT.

The benefits of doing this are:
1. Split positions + low leverage, avoiding the risk of liquidation due to exchange spikes that could lead to losing all your funds.
2. Avoid the issue of being overly invested. One day you might get overly confident and lose everything, but at most you would lose 1/3, leaving the rest as a buffer opportunity.
3. Maintain a fixed position, allowing you to keep a relatively calm mindset whether you are losing or winning, which helps stabilize your mentality.
My habit when opening positions is to fully utilize the amount.
For example, 10,000 USDT for one part, one market for one coin, is to fully execute it in one go.
Fully execute means using 1/3 of the split position, with altcoins at 5x and Bitcoin at 10x, thus entering and exiting fully.
This way, my overall grasp of the entry point for orders is relatively precise.
If you are using stop-loss orders and low leverage, liquidation is impossible.
My logic is not to look at all indicators, but to focus on position profit and loss.
For example, if my total scale earns X%, I increase one part of the position; if my total scale loses Y%, I will either stop-loss completely or exit.
All operations are only related to my position profit and loss; K-lines only play the role of indicating my initial entry direction.
As for those indicators, their original purpose is to reflect the profit and loss situation of the positions that invented those indicators. In fact, this operation of mine is essentially an abstract indicator.

From a few thousand to 1 million, I only rely on one trick

Many people ask me, how can small funds in the crypto world make a comeback? I tell you, it's not through dreams of getting rich overnight, but through rolling positions to grow.

When your account reaches 1 million, you will change as a person. Even without leverage, if the spot price rises by 20%, that's 200,000, which is enough for most people’s annual income. More importantly, if you can grow from a few thousand to 1 million, you've already touched the underlying logic of making money—at this point, making money is actually just copying and pasting.

Don't just casually say “I want 100 million,” you need to first figure out: how do you go from a few thousand to tens of thousands? From tens of thousands to hundreds of thousands? Stop bragging, that only makes the bragging sound comfortable.

What is rolling positions?
Simply put, it is: in a trending market, using unrealized gains to increase positions and turning one opportunity into super profits.
It's not about rolling every day; rolling positions only fits larger market movements:
1️⃣ Directional choices after sideways consolidation + low volatility
2️⃣ Extreme rebounds after significant drops in a bull market
3️⃣ Breaking through weekly support/resistance levels
Missed it? No rush, if you catch it right three times in your life, it’s enough to go from 0 to tens of millions.

Three methods for rolling positions:

🔹 Adding positions with unrealized gains: add after making profits, but not blindly; add after confirming the trend and reducing costs.
🔹 Base position + trading: split position management, keep part as base position and flexibly buy low and sell high with the other part. Common configurations: 3/7 or 5/5.
🔹 Adding positions on pullbacks: when the trend remains unchanged, wait for a pullback to the support level before adding positions in batches.
The underlying logic of rolling positions is simple: only big movements are worth heavy investment.

Play with small positions normally, but when real opportunities arise, pull out the “big guns.” You can’t fire every day; that’s chaotic.

Notes on rolling positions:

✅ Only go long, do not easily go short. Short selling has less elasticity, can easily rebound, and has a high failure rate.
✅ Be patient and wait for certain opportunities. A sudden surge after a sharp drop and sideways movement is usually a reversal signal; be bold to get in.
✅ Reasonably control your position size; do not go all in. 99% of rolling position failures are due to holding onto losing positions.
✅ Practice risk control before rolling positions; otherwise, you might not realize profits, and your account could go to zero first.

Rolling positions are not a shortcut but a tool to amplify understanding.
Small funds rely on rolling positions to turn around, while large funds rely on maintaining rhythm.
When the market comes, whether you dare to get in decides your difference from others for the year.

Contracts are not afraid of being difficult, but of having no rules!

Recently, many people have asked me: Brother, how can I turn things around in contracts?

How to turn things around in contracts? In a nutshell: it's not about making explosive profits, it's about rolling the positions out.
I have suffered losses and have also turned things around. If you truly want to survive and make money in contracts, first engrave these 8 rules of rolling positions into your mind.

The reason for losing money is never about the direction being wrong, but because you have no rules at all.

1. Divide the principal into parts to roll; what you're rolling is the rhythm, not your life.

If you take a single position of 1000U, you won't be able to withstand a round of drawdown.
I only use 200U for one round; if the direction is right, I add positions, if wrong, I cut losses, always leaving an exit route.

2. If you don’t set stop-losses, your account will inevitably go to zero.

It’s not the stop-loss that causes you to lose, but your unwillingness to set one.
If the market goes wrong, cut your losses immediately; don’t drag it out, the market won’t accommodate your emotions.

3. Withdraw half of the profits, and continue to roll the rest.

Have you made a profit and withdrawn everything? Your account won’t be able to keep rolling.
I withdraw half of the profit from each round to lock in gains, while the other half continues to work, steadily and surely.

4. Don’t chase hot coins, only deal with familiar coins.

Today it's Meme, tomorrow it's AI, the rhythm gets all messed up.
I only focus on two or three familiar coins; I know their K-line structure and the rhythm of the wash, only then do I dare to take heavy positions.

5. Don’t enter the market without satisfying three conditions.

Volume + Emotion + Technical Structure, all three are indispensable.
Even if I miss out, I won’t act rashly, only making moves with high win rates.

6. If the account drawdown exceeds 15%, take a mandatory break.

If my drawdown exceeds 15%, I immediately go to cash for 3 days.
There are plenty of market opportunities; losing control of emotions is the biggest risk.

7. Every trade has a plan, and every time needs a review.

Clearly write down the take-profit and stop-loss points, and review the logic afterward to see if it’s correct.
If you don’t summarize today, you’ll continue to lose tomorrow.

8. Don’t ask how to double your money; first think about how not to go bankrupt.

Contracts are not a tool for getting rich; they are amplifiers of risk.
If you can steadily roll for 3 months, you'll naturally turn things around. Before making explosive profits, learn to 'survive' first.
The wind is strong and the waves are high; a lone boat finds it hard to navigate.
If you lose your rhythm, it’s better to roll steadily with me.
I'll set the direction, and I'll convey the rules. You just need to believe, and leave the rest to time.

The underlying logic of making money in the crypto world is actually just one sentence

Having spent 10 years in the crypto world, experiencing three cycles of bull and bear markets, trying mining, ICOs, airdrops, and chasing altcoins, I've finally summarized the most reliable way to make money:
Buy in bear markets, sell in bull markets.
It sounds simple, but it is the only underlying logic that ordinary people can use, compound, and survive.

1. Bear markets are the opportunity
Bull markets have high heat and lots of news, but the best time to buy is when no one is talking about Bitcoin in the coldest moments of a bear market, the community is quiet, and even exchanges are not busy. This is the most suitable time to build positions gradually. You don’t need to try to catch the bottom; just buy slowly during the bear market cycle, and opportunities will always come.

2. Only buy mainstream coins
BTC and ETH are always the most stable mainstream assets. Also consider leading projects like BNB and SOL for appropriate allocation.
Don’t fantasize about turning around with altcoins. If you have no news, no channels, and no insider information, most altcoins are just there to harvest you. Coins that were hot in the last round basically go to zero in the next round.

3. Sell in the middle of the bull market, don’t be greedy for the last wave
In the early stage of a bull market, BTC rises, ETH follows, and mainstream coins catch up; in the middle stage, mainstream coins explode and later altcoins soar. Many people will rush in during this phase to gamble on getting rich.
But the further you go, the greater the risk. The ones who really make money are those who sell in the middle stage and are not greedy.
Don’t think about trying to top-tick; as long as you earn a profit you can accept, decisively exiting makes you a winner.

4. Don’t gamble your life, don’t go all-in
Many people get a little profit in a bull market and become overconfident, going all-in on a “promising” coin, fantasizing about it increasing tenfold or a hundredfold.
But the truth is: if you make one wrong bet, you might not come back. Heavily investing in altcoins can put you in a bind, and you might not even be able to preserve your principal. A small position can be played, but if you want to go heavy, it must be on mainstream coins.

5. Principal is the most important
What’s most feared in the crypto world is not losing profits, but losing principal. Cutting losses in a bear market is not scary; what’s scary is holding on and ultimately losing the chance to bounce back. As long as the principal is there, you can still turn the tables in the next bull market.

Summary:
Buy gradually in bear markets, wait patiently.
Only buy mainstream coins, don’t touch “concept stories”.
Sell in the middle of the bull market, don’t be greedy for the peak.
Control your position, stabilize your emotions.
Don’t seek to get rich quickly, just aim to survive.
The crypto world may seem lively, but it’s actually just an emotional game. To live long, hold on, and resist temptation is the true victory.
If you think this logic is reliable, don’t rush blindly; keep the rhythm. Every three years is a cycle; steadily navigate through the bull and bear markets.

If I had known, I would have listened to him.

When I first started working, my colleague sitting next to me was tinkering with a bunch of incomprehensible things every day.

One day he asked me mysteriously:
"I bought some Bitcoins, do you want to try it? It's a few dollars each, at most you will lose some money for food."

At that time, I thought to myself: You are the idiot who buys air coins and is so serious about it?

Later, he mentioned it to me three times:
The first time was when it was a few cents;
The second time was when it rose to 4,000 yuan;
The third time was when it reached just over 10,000 yuan.

I still sneered: Isn't it just a broken code? Can it really be used as money?

He didn't persuade me anymore, and later resigned. I didn't add WeChat, and gradually lost contact.
I thought I had forgotten about this matter long ago, but recently ETH is going up again and BTC is setting new highs every day. The more I think about it, the more angry I am!

He bought 1,000 at that time... What if I followed him? Now we may not be in the same class.
Some opportunities, if you miss them, you will be gone for a lifetime.