zhiwei01
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#波段交易策略 Trend Following Swing Trading Method
The core of swing trading is "trading with the trend". It is recommended to adopt:
• Double Moving Average System (Buy when EMA12 crosses above EMA26, sell when it crosses below)
• ADX Indicator as assistance (ADX > 25 confirms trend strength)
• Entry on pullbacks: Enter positions when the price retraces to EMA20 or Fibonacci 38.2%
• Dynamic Take Profit: Use trailing stop loss, move the stop loss up by 1 ATR for each increase
Statistics show that in 2023, applying this strategy to BTC can capture over 75% of medium-term swings, with an annualized return exceeding 200%. Note that trading should be paused in sideways market conditions.
The core of swing trading is "trading with the trend". It is recommended to adopt:
• Double Moving Average System (Buy when EMA12 crosses above EMA26, sell when it crosses below)
• ADX Indicator as assistance (ADX > 25 confirms trend strength)
• Entry on pullbacks: Enter positions when the price retraces to EMA20 or Fibonacci 38.2%
• Dynamic Take Profit: Use trailing stop loss, move the stop loss up by 1 ATR for each increase
Statistics show that in 2023, applying this strategy to BTC can capture over 75% of medium-term swings, with an annualized return exceeding 200%. Note that trading should be paused in sideways market conditions.
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#X超级应用转型 CoinX Super App Transformation: A Leap from Trading Platform to Ecological Giant
CoinX is accelerating its transformation from a single cryptocurrency trading platform to a comprehensive super app. By integrating functions such as payments, social networking, DeFi, and NFTs, CoinX aims to create an all-encompassing Web3 entry point covering finance, entertainment, and social interactions. This strategy not only enhances user engagement but also promotes the practical implementation of blockchain technology. In the future, CoinX is expected to become the core hub connecting traditional finance with the decentralized world, leading the industry into the 'Super App' era.
CoinX is accelerating its transformation from a single cryptocurrency trading platform to a comprehensive super app. By integrating functions such as payments, social networking, DeFi, and NFTs, CoinX aims to create an all-encompassing Web3 entry point covering finance, entertainment, and social interactions. This strategy not only enhances user engagement but also promotes the practical implementation of blockchain technology. In the future, CoinX is expected to become the core hub connecting traditional finance with the decentralized world, leading the industry into the 'Super App' era.
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2024 Cryptocurrency Market Trend Outlook
In 2024, the cryptocurrency market will enter a new cycle, with core trends including:
✅ Bitcoin Halving Effect (historical data shows that a bull market often follows 6-12 months after halving)
✅ Ethereum Layer 2 Explosion (ecosystems like Arbitrum and Optimism continue to expand)
✅ Rise of RWA (Real World Assets) (the tokenization scale of US Treasuries has exceeded $500 million)
✅ Clarification of Regulations (implementation of the EU MiCA legislation, the US may approve spot ETFs)
Investors need to pay attention to the dual drivers of macroeconomics (expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts) and technological innovation (ZK-Rollup, modular blockchain).
#TradersLeague $BTC
In 2024, the cryptocurrency market will enter a new cycle, with core trends including:
✅ Bitcoin Halving Effect (historical data shows that a bull market often follows 6-12 months after halving)
✅ Ethereum Layer 2 Explosion (ecosystems like Arbitrum and Optimism continue to expand)
✅ Rise of RWA (Real World Assets) (the tokenization scale of US Treasuries has exceeded $500 million)
✅ Clarification of Regulations (implementation of the EU MiCA legislation, the US may approve spot ETFs)
Investors need to pay attention to the dual drivers of macroeconomics (expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts) and technological innovation (ZK-Rollup, modular blockchain).
#TradersLeague $BTC
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Layer2解决方案竞争格局白热化
以太坊Layer2生态在2024年呈现三足鼎立态势：ZK-Rollup占据55%市场份额，Optimistic Rollup占比38%，模块化区块链方案崭露头角。头部项目表现惊艳：Arbitrum日交易量突破1200万笔，zkSync Era实现每秒8000+TPS，Starknet的Cairo语言升级使证明生成效率提升5倍。技术创新聚焦三大方向：零知识证明递归验证、跨Rollup原子交换协议、隐私计算原生支持。投资机会主要存在于：垂直领域专用链（如游戏链）、开发者工具栈（IDE、测试网）、流动性聚合协议。分析师预测，2025年Layer2将承担以太坊98%的交易需求，整体TVL有望突破2000亿美元。
#TradersLeague $USDC
以太坊Layer2生态在2024年呈现三足鼎立态势：ZK-Rollup占据55%市场份额，Optimistic Rollup占比38%，模块化区块链方案崭露头角。头部项目表现惊艳：Arbitrum日交易量突破1200万笔，zkSync Era实现每秒8000+TPS，Starknet的Cairo语言升级使证明生成效率提升5倍。技术创新聚焦三大方向：零知识证明递归验证、跨Rollup原子交换协议、隐私计算原生支持。投资机会主要存在于：垂直领域专用链（如游戏链）、开发者工具栈（IDE、测试网）、流动性聚合协议。分析师预测，2025年Layer2将承担以太坊98%的交易需求，整体TVL有望突破2000亿美元。
#TradersLeague $USDC
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#鲍威尔发言 Jackson Hole Annual Meeting Releases Policy Signals
At the annual central bank governors' meeting, Powell proposed a new policy framework of 'higher for longer.' He acknowledged for the first time that the current interest rate level of 5.25-5.5% is sufficiently restrictive, but emphasized that high rates will be maintained until inflation shows clear signs of cooling. Notably, Powell pointed out that the real interest rate (currently at 2.1%) is the key decision-making indicator. The market interpreted this as the end of the rate hike cycle, but it is too early for rate cuts, and Bitcoin responded with a 5% increase, surpassing $31,000.
At the annual central bank governors' meeting, Powell proposed a new policy framework of 'higher for longer.' He acknowledged for the first time that the current interest rate level of 5.25-5.5% is sufficiently restrictive, but emphasized that high rates will be maintained until inflation shows clear signs of cooling. Notably, Powell pointed out that the real interest rate (currently at 2.1%) is the key decision-making indicator. The market interpreted this as the end of the rate hike cycle, but it is too early for rate cuts, and Bitcoin responded with a 5% increase, surpassing $31,000.
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Global Cryptocurrency Tax Compliance Guide
In 2024, cryptocurrency tax regulation presents three major trends: over 60 countries implementing automatic information exchange mechanisms, the IRS strengthening on-chain transaction tracking capabilities, and the EU DAC8 regulation fully coming into effect. Key points in tax planning focus on: reasonable classification methods for DeFi earnings, confirmation of tax point for airdrop rewards, and technical integration of cross-chain transaction records. Comparison of mainstream tax tools: Koinly supports data import from over 1,200 exchanges, TokenTax provides optimized tax-saving strategies, and ZenLedger is particularly suitable for high-frequency traders. Professional accountants recommend: maintaining complete transaction records for at least 7 years, making reasonable use of tax loss harvesting strategies, and consulting certified cryptocurrency tax experts for complex situations.
#TradersLeague $USDC
In 2024, cryptocurrency tax regulation presents three major trends: over 60 countries implementing automatic information exchange mechanisms, the IRS strengthening on-chain transaction tracking capabilities, and the EU DAC8 regulation fully coming into effect. Key points in tax planning focus on: reasonable classification methods for DeFi earnings, confirmation of tax point for airdrop rewards, and technical integration of cross-chain transaction records. Comparison of mainstream tax tools: Koinly supports data import from over 1,200 exchanges, TokenTax provides optimized tax-saving strategies, and ZenLedger is particularly suitable for high-frequency traders. Professional accountants recommend: maintaining complete transaction records for at least 7 years, making reasonable use of tax loss harvesting strategies, and consulting certified cryptocurrency tax experts for complex situations.
#TradersLeague $USDC
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#我的交易风格 Options Trading: Volatility is the Core of My Profits
My options strategy focuses on trading implied volatility (IV):
IV percentile <30%: Buy straddle (Long volatility)
IV percentile >70%: Sell strangle (Short volatility)
Maintain directional neutrality through Delta dynamic hedging, primarily profiting from IV reversion. For example, in the week before Bitcoin quarterly settlement, IV usually spikes, and at this time, I sell options to collect premiums. Single strategy positions do not exceed 5% of total capital, and a circuit breaker mechanism is set up to guard against black swan events.
My options strategy focuses on trading implied volatility (IV):
IV percentile <30%: Buy straddle (Long volatility)
IV percentile >70%: Sell strangle (Short volatility)
Maintain directional neutrality through Delta dynamic hedging, primarily profiting from IV reversion. For example, in the week before Bitcoin quarterly settlement, IV usually spikes, and at this time, I sell options to collect premiums. Single strategy positions do not exceed 5% of total capital, and a circuit breaker mechanism is set up to guard against black swan events.
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#GENIUS稳定币法案 技术合规：GENIUS法案的智能合约标准
法案附录C规定技术合规要求：1）必须采用ERC-20或同等可审计标准；2）智能合约需通过3家认证机构审计；3）保留司法冻结接口。最具创新性的是"互操作性条款"，要求所有合规稳定币必须实现跨链兑换且手续费上限0.1%。为满足要求，发行方需升级基础设施，预计技术改造成本将占首年支出的20%以上。
法案附录C规定技术合规要求：1）必须采用ERC-20或同等可审计标准；2）智能合约需通过3家认证机构审计；3）保留司法冻结接口。最具创新性的是"互操作性条款"，要求所有合规稳定币必须实现跨链兑换且手续费上限0.1%。为满足要求，发行方需升级基础设施，预计技术改造成本将占首年支出的20%以上。
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#美联储FOMC会议 全球央行政策分化对加密市场的影响
当前全球货币政策呈现明显分化：欧洲央行已连续两次降息，英国央行维持利率但释放鸽派信号，而美联储仍相对鹰派。这种分化导致：1）美元指数高位震荡；2）套利交易流向变化；3）跨境资本流动加剧。对加密市场影响复杂：一方面美元强势压制风险偏好，另一方面资金可能寻求比特币等替代资产。建议关注美欧利差变化与USDT溢价的关系，当利差收窄时，往往伴随加密市场资金流入增加。
当前全球货币政策呈现明显分化：欧洲央行已连续两次降息，英国央行维持利率但释放鸽派信号，而美联储仍相对鹰派。这种分化导致：1）美元指数高位震荡；2）套利交易流向变化；3）跨境资本流动加剧。对加密市场影响复杂：一方面美元强势压制风险偏好，另一方面资金可能寻求比特币等替代资产。建议关注美欧利差变化与USDT溢价的关系，当利差收窄时，往往伴随加密市场资金流入增加。
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#Metaplanet增持比特币 Metaplanet's Bitcoin holdings have a floating profit of over 60%, becoming Japan's most successful public company investor
As of July 15, Metaplanet holds 203 Bitcoins with an average cost of $48,000 per coin. Based on the current price of $74,000, it has achieved a paper profit of 53%. This performance has surpassed other listed companies in Japan, making it the most successful institutional Bitcoin investor. The company's CFO stated that Bitcoin holdings now account for 35% of the company's cash reserves, and there may be further increases in the allocation ratio in the future. Analysts believe that Metaplanet's success story is triggering a "Bitcoin allocation trend" among Japanese businesses.
As of July 15, Metaplanet holds 203 Bitcoins with an average cost of $48,000 per coin. Based on the current price of $74,000, it has achieved a paper profit of 53%. This performance has surpassed other listed companies in Japan, making it the most successful institutional Bitcoin investor. The company's CFO stated that Bitcoin holdings now account for 35% of the company's cash reserves, and there may be further increases in the allocation ratio in the future. Analysts believe that Metaplanet's success story is triggering a "Bitcoin allocation trend" among Japanese businesses.
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#越南加密政策 越南央行数字货币（CBDC）研发进展
越南国家银行自2021年起启动数字越南盾（e-VND）研发，计划2024年进行小范围试点。与加密货币不同，e-VND将完全由央行发行和控制，采用双层运营体系。试点阶段将聚焦零售支付场景，包括扫码支付和P2P转账。专家指出，越南发展CBDC的主要目的是提升支付效率，而非替代现有加密货币市场。
越南国家银行自2021年起启动数字越南盾（e-VND）研发，计划2024年进行小范围试点。与加密货币不同，e-VND将完全由央行发行和控制，采用双层运营体系。试点阶段将聚焦零售支付场景，包括扫码支付和P2P转账。专家指出，越南发展CBDC的主要目的是提升支付效率，而非替代现有加密货币市场。
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Latest Developments in Ethereum Layer2 Ecosystem
Ethereum Layer2 solutions TVL has exceeded $60 billion, with Optimistic Rollup accounting for 60% of the main technology routes and ZK Rollup growing at 350%. Innovations include: 1) Modular blockchain architecture; 2) Parallel execution technology; 3) Improved cross-Rollup interoperability. Leading project Arbitrum has a daily transaction volume of 4 million, and zkSync Era achieves over 2500 TPS. It is expected that by 2025, Layer2 will handle 85% of Ethereum transactions, and gas fees are expected to drop by another 50%. Investment opportunities exist in dedicated chains for vertical fields and developer tools track.
#TradersLeague $BTC
Ethereum Layer2 solutions TVL has exceeded $60 billion, with Optimistic Rollup accounting for 60% of the main technology routes and ZK Rollup growing at 350%. Innovations include: 1) Modular blockchain architecture; 2) Parallel execution technology; 3) Improved cross-Rollup interoperability. Leading project Arbitrum has a daily transaction volume of 4 million, and zkSync Era achieves over 2500 TPS. It is expected that by 2025, Layer2 will handle 85% of Ethereum transactions, and gas fees are expected to drop by another 50%. Investment opportunities exist in dedicated chains for vertical fields and developer tools track.
#TradersLeague $BTC
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#特朗普比特币金库 The Political Economy Interpretation of Trump's Bitcoin Holdings
The suspicion that the Trump team holds Bitcoin has led to multiple interpretations: first, it interestingly resonates with his "America First" policy, as Bitcoin is seen as a tool to counter the hegemony of the dollar; second, it may aim to attract political donations from Silicon Valley and Wall Street crypto investors; third, it could be a response to potential asset freeze risks. Notably, Trump's NFT project was issued on the Polygon chain and has generated over $50 million in revenue, with some held in the form of ETH. This model of combining personal branding with blockchain has pioneered the digital assetization of politicians.
The suspicion that the Trump team holds Bitcoin has led to multiple interpretations: first, it interestingly resonates with his "America First" policy, as Bitcoin is seen as a tool to counter the hegemony of the dollar; second, it may aim to attract political donations from Silicon Valley and Wall Street crypto investors; third, it could be a response to potential asset freeze risks. Notably, Trump's NFT project was issued on the Polygon chain and has generated over $50 million in revenue, with some held in the form of ETH. This model of combining personal branding with blockchain has pioneered the digital assetization of politicians.
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Latest Development Report of Ethereum Ecosystem
After the completion of the Dencun upgrade, Layer2 transaction costs have decreased by 90%, driving a comprehensive recovery of the ecosystem. Key data: 1) DeFi TVL has returned to $100 billion; 2) Monthly NFT trading volume reached $2.5 billion; 3) Staked ETH proportion exceeds 30%. In terms of technological innovation, the number of account abstraction wallet users has surpassed 5 million, and the ERC-4337 standard has been widely adopted. Vitalik Buterin's "Three Major Transitions" (Layer2, Privacy, Quantum Resistance) are steadily progressing, with the Surge upgrade expected to be completed by 2025.
#TradersLeague $BTC
After the completion of the Dencun upgrade, Layer2 transaction costs have decreased by 90%, driving a comprehensive recovery of the ecosystem. Key data: 1) DeFi TVL has returned to $100 billion; 2) Monthly NFT trading volume reached $2.5 billion; 3) Staked ETH proportion exceeds 30%. In terms of technological innovation, the number of account abstraction wallet users has surpassed 5 million, and the ERC-4337 standard has been widely adopted. Vitalik Buterin's "Three Major Transitions" (Layer2, Privacy, Quantum Resistance) are steadily progressing, with the Surge upgrade expected to be completed by 2025.
#TradersLeague $BTC
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Cryptocurrency Portfolio Construction Strategy
Recommended allocation ratios by professional institutions for 2024: Bitcoin (40%), Ethereum (25%), Layer 2 tokens (15%), AI + Blockchain projects (10%), Cash (10%). Key strategies: 1) Dollar-cost averaging to reduce volatility risk; 2) Cross-chain diversified allocation; 3) Focus on real yield projects (such as GMX, Gains). Backtesting shows that this portfolio achieves an annualized return of 35%, with a maximum drawdown controlled within 25%.
#TradersLeague $ADA
Recommended allocation ratios by professional institutions for 2024: Bitcoin (40%), Ethereum (25%), Layer 2 tokens (15%), AI + Blockchain projects (10%), Cash (10%). Key strategies: 1) Dollar-cost averaging to reduce volatility risk; 2) Cross-chain diversified allocation; 3) Focus on real yield projects (such as GMX, Gains). Backtesting shows that this portfolio achieves an annualized return of 35%, with a maximum drawdown controlled within 25%.
#TradersLeague $ADA
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