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慢即是快，急必缺思考与冷静
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#掌握市场 Gambling Dog Daily
Boldly predicting that 76600 is very likely to be the bottom of this round, I may get slapped in the face, but I still emphasize buying on dips! If you don't like it, you can scroll past.
Boldly predicting that 76600 is very likely to be the bottom of this round, I may get slapped in the face, but I still emphasize buying on dips! If you don't like it, you can scroll past.
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Coin Circle Leek Cultivation
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Gambling Dog Day 1 $BTC
After reaching a peak of 100,900 from the large pancake, it has started a trend of small declines and crashes. As long as the daily line does not golden cross, do not buy in. Stay out of uncertainty with cash on hand, and do not have too high expectations for a rebound. Observe whether 76,000 can break below, and do not guess the bottom. Alright, good luck to you all!
After reaching a peak of 100,900 from the large pancake, it has started a trend of small declines and crashes. As long as the daily line does not golden cross, do not buy in. Stay out of uncertainty with cash on hand, and do not have too high expectations for a rebound. Observe whether 76,000 can break below, and do not guess the bottom. Alright, good luck to you all!
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You have been poor for various reasons!
Why don't 98% of people in the crypto community want to buy Bitcoin?
Why don't 98% of people in the crypto community want to buy Bitcoin? Just now, I found a piece of data on a Bitcoin browser. The total number of Bitcoin addresses is 38 million, but there are only 810,000 addresses holding more than 1 Bitcoin. This ratio accounts for only about 2% of the total holding addresses. Of course, there will be some in centralized exchanges, but this number will not be too high because a person who truly understands Bitcoin and is willing to hold it for the long term would not put their Bitcoin in someone else’s wallet. So, based on this ratio, with 100 million users globally in the crypto community, 2% of 100 million is 2 million. Adding 2 million and 810,000 gives only about 2.8 million.
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A drop like #美SEC：Meme币非证券 is very normal; when you make a big profit, you will sell. When everyone is celebrating, it's time to exit, and no one is interested in buying boldly.
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Historical experience can also be unreliable; otherwise, there wouldn't be so many losses in the cryptocurrency market!
Half of the miners have reached shutdown price, will Bitcoin rebound?
The current price is $86,000, which is approaching the shutdown price for BTC miners. Data shows that when the Bitcoin price hovers around $85,000, it is almost the shutdown price for miners!
More than half of the miners face a brutal choice: continue burning electricity costs to keep mining, or decisively press the shutdown button?
1. What is the shutdown price?
The shutdown price is the break-even point for Bitcoin miners. When the Bitcoin price falls below this level, mining revenue cannot cover the electricity costs, forcing miners to shut down. The article explains its calculation method with the formula "Shutdown Price = (Daily Power Consumption of Miner × Electricity Price) ÷ (Daily Bitcoin Output × Mining Pool Fee Coefficient)" and uses the Antminer S19 as an example, pointing out that the current shutdown price is close to $85,000, which aligns with the current Bitcoin price, reflecting the widespread survival pressure in the industry.
2. Historical shutdown prices have been beacons at market bottoms
Looking back at the past few bear markets, the shutdown price triggered large-scale miner suspensions, after which the market rebounded:
December 2018: Bitcoin fell to $3,150, S9 miners shut down, then rebounded 344%.
March 2020: Coin price fell to $3,800, hash rate dropped 30%, then began a bull market to $65,000.
2022 bear market: Price fell below $20,000, hash rate dropped 26%, rebound in early 2023. This phenomenon of "shutdown indicates the bottom" stems from the synergistic effect of reduced selling pressure, institutional bottom-fishing, and difficulty adjustment.
The current price is $86,000, which is approaching the shutdown price for BTC miners. Data shows that when the Bitcoin price hovers around $85,000, it is almost the shutdown price for miners!
More than half of the miners face a brutal choice: continue burning electricity costs to keep mining, or decisively press the shutdown button?
1. What is the shutdown price?
The shutdown price is the break-even point for Bitcoin miners. When the Bitcoin price falls below this level, mining revenue cannot cover the electricity costs, forcing miners to shut down. The article explains its calculation method with the formula "Shutdown Price = (Daily Power Consumption of Miner × Electricity Price) ÷ (Daily Bitcoin Output × Mining Pool Fee Coefficient)" and uses the Antminer S19 as an example, pointing out that the current shutdown price is close to $85,000, which aligns with the current Bitcoin price, reflecting the widespread survival pressure in the industry.
2. Historical shutdown prices have been beacons at market bottoms
Looking back at the past few bear markets, the shutdown price triggered large-scale miner suspensions, after which the market rebounded:
December 2018: Bitcoin fell to $3,150, S9 miners shut down, then rebounded 344%.
March 2020: Coin price fell to $3,800, hash rate dropped 30%, then began a bull market to $65,000.
2022 bear market: Price fell below $20,000, hash rate dropped 26%, rebound in early 2023. This phenomenon of "shutdown indicates the bottom" stems from the synergistic effect of reduced selling pressure, institutional bottom-fishing, and difficulty adjustment.
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Is the crash an opportunity?
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The content of the article does not need to be taken literally; this story is thought-provoking.
Cherish Life, Stay Away from Contracts
True story!
A fan of mine was dragged into the abyss by contract trading in the first half of last year. I will recount it from his perspective.
In the world of contracts, he encountered a margin call and took on hundreds of thousands in online loan debt. With no way out, I had no choice but to confess to my elderly parents. At that time, my parents were already over sixty, and upon hearing this news, they collapsed instantly. For a rural family, hundreds of thousands in debt felt like an insurmountable mountain; there was simply no way to come up with that much money to repay.
The pressure from debt collectors shadowed us, and the family was driven to despair. Helpless, my parents called all their relatives, hoping to borrow money to get through the crisis. However, reality dealt them a heavy blow. Some relatives were generous, but others, even those from wealthy backgrounds who had previously received help from my parents, chose to stand by and refused to lend a single cent. After this incident, my parents felt diminished in front of friends and neighbors, unable to lift their heads. My father, nearing seventy, had to go out to work to repay the debt, enduring both physical and mental stress.
A fan of mine was dragged into the abyss by contract trading in the first half of last year. I will recount it from his perspective.
In the world of contracts, he encountered a margin call and took on hundreds of thousands in online loan debt. With no way out, I had no choice but to confess to my elderly parents. At that time, my parents were already over sixty, and upon hearing this news, they collapsed instantly. For a rural family, hundreds of thousands in debt felt like an insurmountable mountain; there was simply no way to come up with that much money to repay.
The pressure from debt collectors shadowed us, and the family was driven to despair. Helpless, my parents called all their relatives, hoping to borrow money to get through the crisis. However, reality dealt them a heavy blow. Some relatives were generous, but others, even those from wealthy backgrounds who had previously received help from my parents, chose to stand by and refused to lend a single cent. After this incident, my parents felt diminished in front of friends and neighbors, unable to lift their heads. My father, nearing seventy, had to go out to work to repay the debt, enduring both physical and mental stress.
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The impact of #美国加征关税 on the cryptocurrency market is bearish in the short term, but cannot affect Bitcoin's rise in the long term.
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Basically, the market has reached a consensus on #特朗普加密政令 . That is, Bitcoin will continue to set new highs. What if it doesn't set new highs?
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In Reason
$BNB BNB price trend is uncertain. It may rise, but it also faces many risks and challenges. The following is a specific analysis:
Factors of rising prices
• Driven by Bitcoin market: Bitcoin has a dominant position in the cryptocurrency market. In 2025, many institutions and experts are generally optimistic about Bitcoin price forecasts. For example, Standard Chartered Bank predicts that Bitcoin may reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. BNB, as a mainstream currency, usually rises with Bitcoin.
• Driven by Binance Ecosystem: As one of the world's largest cryptocurrency trading platforms, Binance's ecosystem continues to develop and grow. Income tools such as Launchpool and HODLer are deeply bound to BNB user holdings, encouraging users to continue holding BNB. In the 2024 Binance Launchpool event, the total staking amount and number of participants of BNB were large, and the staking income was generally higher than some other assets, which enabled BNB to maintain an increase in user holdings, thereby driving the price to gradually rise.
• Increased market demand: With the development of the cryptocurrency market, more and more investors have begun to pay attention to and participate in it, and the demand for BNB may also increase accordingly. Especially when the overall market is positive, investors may invest more money in mainstream cryptocurrencies such as BNB.
Factors that may cause a decline
• Regulatory risk: Although the market expects that the United States may have a more favorable regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies after Trump's victory, there is still great uncertainty in global regulatory policies. If the United States or other major economies strengthen restrictions or crackdowns on cryptocurrency transactions, it may have a significant negative impact on BNB prices.
• Changes in market sentiment and investor behavior: Investor sentiment and behavior in the cryptocurrency market have a greater impact on prices. The current BNB price is at a relatively high level, investors are beginning to realize profits, and market divergences are increasing. If investor confidence in Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market declines, or a large number of investors choose to take profits, it may trigger a significant market adjustment, which in turn affects the price of BNB.
Factors of rising prices
• Driven by Bitcoin market: Bitcoin has a dominant position in the cryptocurrency market. In 2025, many institutions and experts are generally optimistic about Bitcoin price forecasts. For example, Standard Chartered Bank predicts that Bitcoin may reach $200,000 by the end of 2025. BNB, as a mainstream currency, usually rises with Bitcoin.
• Driven by Binance Ecosystem: As one of the world's largest cryptocurrency trading platforms, Binance's ecosystem continues to develop and grow. Income tools such as Launchpool and HODLer are deeply bound to BNB user holdings, encouraging users to continue holding BNB. In the 2024 Binance Launchpool event, the total staking amount and number of participants of BNB were large, and the staking income was generally higher than some other assets, which enabled BNB to maintain an increase in user holdings, thereby driving the price to gradually rise.
• Increased market demand: With the development of the cryptocurrency market, more and more investors have begun to pay attention to and participate in it, and the demand for BNB may also increase accordingly. Especially when the overall market is positive, investors may invest more money in mainstream cryptocurrencies such as BNB.
Factors that may cause a decline
• Regulatory risk: Although the market expects that the United States may have a more favorable regulatory environment for cryptocurrencies after Trump's victory, there is still great uncertainty in global regulatory policies. If the United States or other major economies strengthen restrictions or crackdowns on cryptocurrency transactions, it may have a significant negative impact on BNB prices.
• Changes in market sentiment and investor behavior: Investor sentiment and behavior in the cryptocurrency market have a greater impact on prices. The current BNB price is at a relatively high level, investors are beginning to realize profits, and market divergences are increasing. If investor confidence in Bitcoin and the entire cryptocurrency market declines, or a large number of investors choose to take profits, it may trigger a significant market adjustment, which in turn affects the price of BNB.
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Control Emotions?
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#加密市场回调 is a normal thing, there is no market that rises every day without falling. Don't panic during pullbacks; this is how a healthy bull market looks!
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Principal's analysis is in place
In the past couple of days, with the resurgence of Trump Coin (trump) igniting the hype around the Solana chain, coupled with the unexpected rise of XRP in the past month or two, and ADA's gradual climb! Let's not even mention Bitcoin, which has repeatedly broken through to 100,000+. Meanwhile, Ethereum and Binance Coin have basically become the thousand-year tortoises, being heavily criticized across the network! Some whales have started to abandon Ethereum in favor of Solana. To be honest, this is actually a good thing; it shows that even the big players can't hold on anymore, and we're not far from a pump (clearing out the big whales)! Regarding Solana, we were optimistic about it at the end of 2022 when Bitcoin was at 16,000, and it was lingering around 8-20. We always had a good outlook on it and suggested that everyone allocate to Solana! The facts have proven we were right about it. To this day, we still have a positive outlook on Solana, but regarding the potential for price increase, the room for the bears is limited. Coupled with a respect for the market, we don't like to chase after rising prices; we prefer to allocate! That's why many fans have been asking in the past six months why we're not mentioning Solana—whether we don't have faith in it—making me explain it every time. I've stated it here, so please don't ask the same question again! For example, we made a precise allocation for XRP at 0.56 USD last November, and now it's about six times that, right? If you ask me how XRP is doing again, what can I say? I can say I'm optimistic, and then everyone rushes to buy it above 3 USD? If I say I'm not optimistic, then some will think I lack vision? So I want to share a piece of advice: to succeed in this industry, you must have both an investor's mindset and a trader's mindset! Don't just go with the flow or blindly chase trends; just hold onto what you believe in. For the past six months, we've basically been switching back and forth between Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BNB, although the returns might not be as explosive, we are very satisfied. Compared to those who are still losing money with contracts, altcoins, and meme coins, we are stable and fortunate! Therefore, we must learn to befriend time; in the crypto world, we can gradually become wealthy. Keep it up, blockchain guardians, and one last thing to add—Ethereum and Binance Coin may arrive late, but they will certainly not be absent! Originally, this phrase was meant for XRP and ADA; now that XRP and ADA have completed their missions, does anyone think ETH and BNB will be absent? Let's discuss in the comments!
The above is purely my personal opinion and not investment advice. If you don't like it, please don't criticize, nor spread negativity. Thank you for your support.
The above is purely my personal opinion and not investment advice. If you don't like it, please don't criticize, nor spread negativity. Thank you for your support.
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ETHCrossed2500
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After months of consolidation under $2,000, Ethereum has officially crossed $2,500, briefly touching the milestone before pulling back to the $2,470–$2,480 range. Bulls say ETH is gearing up for a major run with ETF momentum and rising DeFi activity. Bears, however, point to strong resistance at $2.500 and warn of a potential short-term pullback.
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