Anri I V O-

Forecast for June 2, 2025Short-term scenario (1–4 hours):Main scenario (60% probability):The price will test the support of $150–$152, where there is a demand zone (confirmed by the reaction on May 19 at $160).A rebound to $157–$160 is possible with bullish signals: an increase in OBV, a bullish candle on H1, or a MACD crossover on 4H. RSI 41–62 supports a neutral/bullish momentum.Triggers: Increase in trading volumes, positive news (e.g., about ETFs), stability of Bitcoin ($103K).Alternative scenario (40% probability):A break below $150 will lead to a decline to $145, especially if Bitcoin falls below $100K or Nasdaq shows weakness. Bearish MACD and low CMF support this scenario.Triggers: Decrease in volumes, bearish pattern (e.g., pin bar), macroeconomic news (tariffs, interest rates).Medium-term scenario (4–12 hours):Main scenario (55% probability):Consolidation above $159.88 will open the way to $168–$171, especially if MACD confirms a bullish crossover (as on May 27). A descending wedge on the weekly chart supports this scenario.Triggers: Positive sentiment on X, increase in TVL in DeFi, stability of Nasdaq.Alternative scenario (45% probability):Consolidation in the range of $145–$157 at low volumes or lack of catalysts. Bearish pressure from put options and token unlocks may limit growth.Long-term forecast (week):CoinCodex: Growth of 0.35% to $158.23 by June 6, 2025.Changelly: Growth to $154.21 by June 3 (+1.58%).CoinLore: Forecast of $167.73 for the week (+2.87% from $163.06).Long-term forecasts:VanEck: $520 by the end of 2025 (growth of SCP share to 22%, M2 to $22.3T).Standard Chartered: $275 in 2025, $500 in 2029.CoinDCX: $370–$380 by September 2025.Conclusion: Short-term fluctuations within $145–$171, but medium- and long-term potential remains bullish due to ETFs, DeFi/NFT, and technological advantages. Not financial advice, generated by AI.

Technical Indicators: RSI (14): CoinCodex: 41.28 (neutral, neither overbought nor oversold). Altindex: 60 (neutral, closer to bullish). Bitget (4H): 62 (approaching overbought, possible correction). MACD: Altindex: MACD line below the signal line indicates bearish momentum. Blockchain.news: Bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart (May 27, 2025), signaling potential growth. Moving Averages (MA): 50-day SMA: $158.02 (decreasing, short-term bearish signal). 200-day SMA: $165.73 (decreasing, long-term neutral signal). Price below both SMAs ($170.46 on Bollinger Bands), indicating a bearish trend, but possible approach to SMA during a rally. Bollinger Bands: Upper limit $186, lower $154.91. Price below the middle line ($170.46), confirming short-term bearish pressure. Stochastic Oscillator (9,6): Neutral, with no clear overbought or oversold signals. Volumes (OBV): Stable, with no significant increase, indicating lack of strong bullish momentum. Chart Patterns: TradingView: A falling wedge pattern is observed on the weekly chart, which may signal a bullish breakout if the price settles above $159.88. CCN: A breakout of the falling wedge occurred on the weekly chart, but Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has not yet crossed the zero line, indicating gradual growth in buying pressure. Potential bullish scenario: Settling above $159.88 could lead to testing $168–$171, and with strong momentum – to $186. Market Correlation: Solana correlates with Nasdaq (0.8% increase in Nasdaq on May 25, 2025 caused a 1.5% increase in SOL). Bitcoin (BTC, $103,964, +0.39%) influence: BTC stability supports a neutral sentiment for SOL, but a BTC breakout below $100K may intensify bearish pressure. Fundamental Analysis: Positive Catalysts: Solana Seeker: Launch of a smartphone in August 2025 with SKR token and TEEPIN architecture may increase interest in the ecosystem. Solana ETF: The probability of ETF approval in 2025 (74% according to Polymarket) may attract institutional capital. DeFi and NFT: Increased activity in DeFi (Jupiter launches lending with Fluid, $175M raised in the network) and NFT supports demand for SOL. Technological Advantages: Proof-of-History (PoH) provides high throughput (50,000 TPS), making Solana a competitor to Ethereum. Negative Risks: Token Unlocking: 11.2M SOL (~$1.78B) will be unlocked on March 1, 2025, which could cause selling pressure. Meme Coins: Declining prices of meme coins associated with Solana limit short-term growth. Network Issues: Historical network outages may raise doubts about reliability if not resolved. Macroeconomic Factors: High interest rates in the US or regulatory uncertainty may cause capital outflows from cryptocurrencies. Forecast for June 2, 2025: Short-term Scenario (1–4 hours): Base Scenario: The SOL price is likely to test support at $150–$152, where a bounce back to $157–$160 may occur if bullish signals appear (e.g., volume increase or bullish candle on H1). RSI at 41–60 indicates a neutral state with growth potential. Alternative Scenario: A breakout below $150 may lead to a decrease to $145, especially if Bitcoin or Nasdaq show weakness. Bearish MACD supports this scenario. Probability: 60% for a bounce, 40% for a downward breakout. Medium-term Scenario (4–12 hours): If above $159.88, a rise to $168–$171 is possible, especially if MACD confirms a bullish crossover on H4. In case of intensified bearish pressure (e.g., due to low CMF or falling OBV), the price may consolidate in the range of $145–$157. Probability: 55% for growth, 45% for consolidation. Long-term Forecast (week): CoinCodex forecasts a 0.35% increase to $158.23 by June 6, 2025. Changelly predicts an increase to $154.21 by June 3, 2025. CoinLore forecasts a price of $167.73 over the week (+2.87% from a maximum of $163.06). Positive forecasts (VanEck: $520, Standard Chartered: $275) indicate bullish potential in 2025, but short-term fluctuations will remain high. Trading Signals: Long Positions (Buy): Entry Point: Bounce from $150–$152 with confirmation of a bullish pattern (e.g., bullish engulfing, volume increase) on H1–H4. Targets: $157, $159.88, $168 (depending on momentum). Stop-Loss: Below $149 to protect against support breakout. Risk/Reward: Ratio 1:2–1:3 (e.g., risk of $3 for potential profit of $6–$9). Recommendation: Wait for confirmation (volume increase or MACD crossover) before entering. Short Positions (Sell): Entry Point: Rejection from $159.88–$160 with confirmation of a bearish pattern (e.g., pin bar, volume decrease). Targets: $152, $150, $145. Stop-Loss: Above $161 to protect against bullish breakout. Risk/Reward: Ratio 1:2 (e.g., risk of $2 for profit of $4). Recommendation: Be cautious, considering mixed sentiment and potential for a bounce. Risks and Recommendations: Volatility: The cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Changes in Bitcoin (BTC) price or macroeconomic news (e.g., interest rates in the US) may impact SOL. Price Check: As I do not have access to real-time prices, check the current price on CoinMarketCap, CoinGecko, or exchanges (Binance, Coinbase) before trading. Risk Management: Limit position size to 1–2% of deposit. Use stop-losses to protect capital. Avoid trading with high leverage due to volatility. Fundamental Factors: Positive: Potential of Solana ETF, growth in DeFi/NFT, launch of Seeker in August 2025. Negative: Token unlocking in March 2025, possible network outages, decline of meme coins. Trading Strategy: For short-term trading, use H1–H4 timeframes for signal confirmation. For long-term investors, zones of $145–$152 are attractive for accumulation, but consider the risks of token unlocking. Conclusion: As of June 2, 2025, Solana (SOL) is trading in the range of $150–$160 with a neutral-bearish short-term sentiment (RSI 41–60, bearish MACD, price below SMA). The base scenario suggests testing support at $150–$152 with potential bounce back to $157–$168 if bullish signals appear. The alternative scenario is a breakout to $145 with intensified bearish pressure. In the medium term (4–12 hours), growth to $168–$171 is possible if settled above $159.88. Long-term forecasts (VanEck: $520, Standard Chartered: $275) remain bullish due to fundamental factors, but short-term risks (token unlocking, meme coins) require caution. Recommendation: Wait for confirmation of signals on H1–H4 before trading. For precise entry points, check the current price on exchanges. Not financial advice, generated by AI.

Buy
Entry Price: ~$154–156 (current price ~$154.40 according to CoinMarketCap).
Target (Take Profit): Short-term: $180 (resistance aligning with the 200-day SMA). Medium-term: $200–220 (psychological resistance zone).
Stop-loss: $150 (critical support zone, below which a drop to $145 is possible).
Timeframe: 1–4 weeks (depending on market dynamics).

Main Trends of 2025
Tokenization of Real Assets (RWA):
The volume of tokenized assets increased from $8 billion in 2023 to $14 billion in 2024, with a forecast for 2025 of $30 billion. This includes real estate, securities, art, and commodities. Tokenization enhances liquidity and attracts institutional investors (e.g., BlackRock, Fidelity). Fidelity calls RWA a 'killer' trend of 2025 due to the integration of traditional finance with blockchain.
DeFi (Decentralized Finance):
DeFi projects such as Aave, Chainlink, Ethena (ENA) are growing due to innovations in lending and trading. Ethena uses delta-neutral positions for stable income.
New technologies such as DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructures) are gaining popularity, expanding blockchain capabilities.
Cryptocurrency ETFs:
Approval of ETFs for Solana and XRP is expected in 2025 (with a probability of 69% and 74% respectively as of August 2025 according to Polymarket). This will enhance liquidity and attract traditional investors.
Inflows into Bitcoin ETFs in 2025 are forecasted at $70 billion, which is double that of 2024.
Meme Coins:
Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and new projects (PEPE, Bonk) remain popular, although they suffered losses (6-37%) in the first quarter of 2025. Their growth is supported by statements from Trump and Elon Musk.
Artificial Intelligence (AI):
AI tokens and the integration of AI with blockchain (e.g., Tether.ai) are gaining traction, promoting trading automation and the creation of new financial instruments. This is not financial advice...

Good day. FOMO..... the market is once again driven by planned panic and fear... from one extreme to another... which further worsens the situation... I'm sorry, I'm not a professional, but I want to share my thoughts, maybe someone is thinking about this but doesn't want to admit it, or is afraid to admit it... I have been trading for a short time but have noticed a simple thing... that it can't always be good, and always bad, you just need to be patient and wise... some will say that it's easy to talk but hard to do, and I will respond... you came here to earn, and you knew what you were risking from the very first day, you had to mentally let go of your funds to get rid of FOMO... and act soberly... I will also say that everyone needs to start with themselves, and the more cowards under the influence of fear, the more it will fall... don't push, don't close in panic, the first thing to do before running away with losses is to preserve what has already been so hard and long worked for, and selling at a loss to save the rest that remains is not the best solution, you must understand that everyone wants cheap money to buy, but everyone also wants a high level to sell, so this decline is calculated, forecasted, and sooner or later it will end to rise even more, consider the option between selling at a loss, and the option of hedging, and the option of adding more, and using this good opportunity as smart money do, buying more at the bottom, and averaging the purchase price... patience and peace to everyone...