财富熊二

As a newcomer to the cryptocurrency space, here are some technical points to pay attention to:

1. **Wallet Security**
- **Private Keys and Mnemonic Phrases**: Private keys and mnemonic phrases are the only credentials to access your wallet, and must be kept secure, never disclose or lose them.
- **Cold Wallets vs Hot Wallets**: Cold wallets (offline storage) are safer than hot wallets (online storage) and are suitable for long-term storage of large assets.
- **Multi-signature**: Use multi-signature features to increase security, requiring multiple private keys to complete a transaction.

2. **Choosing a Trading Platform**
- **Security**: Choose a platform with a good security record and support for two-factor authentication (2FA).
- **Liquidity**: High liquidity platforms can execute trades faster and reduce slippage.
- **Fees**: Fee differences between platforms can be significant, choose a platform with reasonable fees.

3. **Trading Strategies**
- **Take Profit and Stop Loss**: Set take profit and stop loss points to avoid emotional trading.
- **Diversified Investment**: Do not invest all your funds in a single asset, diversify investments to reduce risk.
- **Leverage Risk**: Leverage trading can amplify profits, but it can also lead to larger losses, newcomers should use it cautiously.

4. **Basic Blockchain Knowledge**
- **Consensus Mechanisms**: Understand PoW, PoS, and other consensus mechanisms and their workings.
- **Smart Contracts**: Understand the concept of smart contracts and their applications in DeFi and other areas.
- **Forks**: Understand the differences between hard forks and soft forks and their impact on assets.

5. **Market Analysis**
- **Technical Analysis**: Learn tools such as candlestick charts, moving averages, and RSI to assist in judging market trends.
- **Fundamental Analysis**: Pay attention to project backgrounds, teams, technological progress, and other fundamental information.
- **Sentiment Analysis**: Market sentiment has a significant impact on price fluctuations, so it is important to monitor changes in market sentiment.

6. **Legal and Taxation**
- **Compliance**: Understand the cryptocurrency laws and regulations in your country or region to ensure legal trading.
- **Taxation**: Cryptocurrency trading may involve tax issues, so it is important to understand relevant regulations and handle them properly.

Mastering these technical points can help you better avoid risks in the cryptocurrency space and make informed investment decisions. #bybit被盗 $BTC

Why are most people afraid to enter the cryptocurrency world? In-depth analysis of the "high threshold fear" of cryptocurrency

The cryptocurrency market has attracted much attention in recent years. The skyrocketing and plummeting of Bitcoin, the sky-high price transactions of NFTs, and the wealth myth of DeFi have repeatedly made news headlines. However, despite the frequent stories of people getting rich in the cryptocurrency circle, the proportion of people in the world who actually participate in cryptocurrency investment is still less than 5%. Behind this seemingly contradictory "onlooker effect" lies a cognitive, risk and psychological gap that is difficult for ordinary people to cross. This article analyzes the public's "stay away from" the cryptocurrency world from multiple dimensions.

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#### **1. Extreme volatility: a 24-hour roller coaster**
The cryptocurrency market is known for its wild volatility. A 20% daily rise or fall in Bitcoin has become the norm, and it is not uncommon for altcoins to "return to zero" or double in value at any time.
- **Data support**: In 2021, Bitcoin plummeted from a high of $64,000 to $29,000 in just two months. The collapse of LUNA/UST in 2022 caused the evaporation of $40 billion in market value.
- **Psychological shock**: Ordinary investors cannot bear the pressure of "asset cut in half after a night's sleep", and the fluctuations in the traditional stock market are just "child's play" in the cryptocurrency world.

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#### **2. Security Black Hole: Hackers, Fraud and Self-custody Risks**
The security risks in the cryptocurrency world far exceed those in the traditional financial system, and technical loopholes and human weaknesses are intertwined into a deadly trap.
- **Exchange collapse**: Mt. Gox (850,000 bitcoins lost in 2014), FTX collapse (user funds were misappropriated in 2022) and other events have severely damaged trust.
- **Wallet Trap**: Loss of private keys, phishing attacks, and fake contracts lead to permanent loss of assets, and the irreversibility of blockchain amplifies the risk.
- **Fraud is rampant**: According to the Chainalysis report, the amount of global cryptocurrency fraud exceeded US$3.9 billion in 2023, with copycat platforms, fake airdrops, and pig-killing schemes emerging in an endless stream.

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#### **3. Regulatory fog: the sword of Damocles of policy uncertainty**
Global regulatory attitudes are divided, and the gray area of ​​compliance makes ordinary investors walk on thin ice.
- **Regional differences**: China has completely banned transactions, the US SEC frequently sues project parties, and the EU is promoting the MiCA Act, and the policy direction is unpredictable.
- **Tax challenges**: Cryptocurrency taxation rules are complex (for example, the US IRS considers it as property), and ordinary users face compliance costs.
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Ethereum has not reached the bottom yet.
There is a little more room to move out from below.
Wait for a rebound in the short term before following the short position.
The target below is 2500.
There is a high probability that Bitcoin and Ethereum will retrace significantly within 3 months.
Don't rush to buy the bottom, the time is not right yet. $ETH #参与投票-PI该上线币安吗？

The madness of DeFi in the summer of 2020 taught me to write my own destiny equation with smart contracts. When I added ETH to a liquidity pool on Uniswap, I suddenly realized that it was like dropping an anchor in the digital ocean - I had to withstand the impermanence of the tides and believe in the eternity of the underlying mathematics. When the NFT craze swept, my collection of crypto punks was exhibited in the Metaverse Gallery, and the string of hash values ​​built a rainbow bridge between virtual and reality.

Now, the front page of my trading log reads Peter Lynch's warning: "The nightmare of professional investors is that retail investors believe in the alchemy of turning stones into gold." When the black swan of the LUNA collapse passed by, the risk threshold set in advance automatically triggered the stop-loss order. Looking at the widespread grief on social media, I brewed a cup of Pu'er and wrote the 37th edition of the "Position Management Guide" for my new colleagues.

After seven years of reincarnation, the crypto market has completed the spiritual domestication of participants with its extreme volatility. The sting of a late-night liquidation, the regret of missing out on a 100x coin, and the ecstasy of successfully escaping the top, all eventually settle into cold numbers on the trading terminal. In this casino without a central bank guarantee, we are both dealers and gamblers, and in the alternation of yin and yang of each K-line, we can see the reflection of our souls. When the fifth Bitcoin halving came, I turned off the market software and walked into the night, knowing that the real bull market always grows in the eternal game between human nature and machine algorithms.

After two consecutive days of rising, the daily line of the big cake turned negative and fell directly.

The magnitude of the retracement in one day directly swallowed up the correction space of the previous two days.

It has broken the original strong structure.

Pay attention to the short position near 96400 on Saturday, and pay attention to 94000 below. #比特币 $BTC #币安上线KAITO

　　　The bitcoin daily line still shows a medium bearish close, reflecting a relatively weak performance. The short-term adjustment trend remains unchanged, and in the small cycle, we will stop at the point. After touching the middle track on Monday evening, it began to face pressure and closed lower, confirming the overlap of the broken low point and the resistance of the middle track, still maintaining a weak downward trend. On Tuesday, we will still maintain the same short position, with appropriate adjustments to the points.

　　On Tuesday morning, pay attention to short positions near 96700 for bitcoin, with the target focusing on around 94500.

In the past week, the price of Bitcoin rose slightly at the beginning of the week before starting to pull back. The expectations given at the beginning of the week were basically consistent, and the daily chart still overall shows a shrinking consolidation pattern. In terms of K-line structure, it is still in the adjustment phase, although there has been some back-and-forth movement. From the perspective of adjustment space, it has not yet reached the end of the adjustment, as every round of rise is accompanied by a pullback, which indicates weakness.

In the short term, there were attempts to reach new highs followed by pullbacks, and any slight rise starts to adjust. The K-line is leading the indicators to start turning downwards. Overall, it remains relatively weak, which is consistent with the basic situation of the weekend. Considering that the K-line still has a large space for adjustment, in the short term, it still leans towards a further increase in space for a pullback. At the beginning of the week, it is still advisable to follow short positions.

On Monday, pay attention to short positions near 97,000, with a target focus around 95,000.

On Friday, Bitcoin did not provide a significant pullback as expected, and the daily chart still closed with an upper shadow. It is anticipated that the momentum will continue to weaken over the weekend, with a rhythm of oscillation and correction. After taking a short position in the short term, watching for a sideways halt in the evening, I promptly suggested going long, which generally aligns with expectations.

The four-hour chart is quite complex, with neither the bulls nor the bears showing strong continuation. Given the large volatility base, adjusting direction is what we need to focus on. Slow rises and fast declines are characteristic of the ending phase of an uptrend as well as the conclusion of a correction. The K-line continues to contract around the upper and lower bands, so we should not chase this rhythm. Whether bullish or bearish, we must wait for good positions before following up. Currently, we are at a high position, and after a weekend surge, we can look for opportunities to go short.

On Saturday, Bitcoin's short-term target is near 98,000, with the goal to watch around 96,500.

On Friday, the big cake did not give a relatively large retracement space as expected. The daily line still closed with an upper shadow line. It is expected that the trend of weakening momentum will continue over the weekend, with a rhythm of fluctuation and correction. After the short-term short was taken, it was decisively prompted to go long when it saw the sideways stop falling in the evening. Overall, it was still in line with expectations.

The four-hour movement is relatively complicated, and the continuity of long and short positions is not strong. In addition, the volatility base is large, so adjusting the direction is what we need to do. Slow rise and fast fall is the end of the rise and the end of the correction. The K line is still shrinking around the upper and lower rails. Then this rhythm cannot be chased. Whether it is long or short, you have to wait for a good position to follow up. It is currently at a high level. You can choose to go short after the weekend.

On Saturday, short-term short positions are around 98000, and the target can be around 965000#比特币 #以太坊ETF批准预期 #币圈 $BTC $ETH $XRP

　　Bitcoin rebounded on Wednesday and turned bearish again on Thursday, just as expected yesterday. This is the grasp of rhythm. When the upward momentum lacks sufficient space, it must be a process of correction and accumulation. With yesterday's dip, it marks that the previously gradually raised upward support line has been broken, and the short-term upward momentum is hindered. Moving forward, it is still mainly bearish.

　　After the high point in the short cycle has declined, the rebound space is not large, which is a normal correction space. The rhythm is somewhat repetitive, and it will still take time to form a one-sided trend. However, the overall structure of the K-line is biased towards bearishness, just waiting for a breakthrough acceleration process. This is also the reason for continuously advising short positions for the past two days. The previous decline is not an extremely weak form, but rather contains a component of fluctuations, which can be viewed as a fluctuating decline. Maintain the rebound and short positions, and there is no need to chase before an acceleration action occurs.

　　On Friday morning, Bitcoin focuses on the area around 96800-97300 for short positions, targeting around 95300.

The large pancake rebounded after a pullback, marking the first occurrence of a low and high pattern after a series of declines. In the short term, the pace of pullbacks is beginning to slow down, and the continuous breaking of lows has led to a significant increase in volatility. At the same time, the rebound space is larger than the pullback space, breaking the rhythm of a weak one-sided trend. However, successfully targeting shorts yesterday morning also yielded substantial gains.

In the small cycle, the bottom pullback point has reached its limit, and the short term has shifted to high-level fluctuations. At the same time, the rebound space will change the structure, making adjustments an essential rhythm in the upcoming phases. Meanwhile, the moving average indicators are complicated, and with increasing volatility, the adjustment space will not necessarily be favorable. In the short term, it is still advisable to follow the rhythm of short rebounds, but compared to yesterday, the extraction process may be convoluted and repetitive. The overall rhythm will still depend on adjustments.

On Thursday, focus on shorts near 98200 for the large pancake, with a target around 96500. For Ethereum, pay attention to shorts near 2780, with a target around 2680.

As the holiday approaches, the year will come to a perfect conclusion. This year's short, medium, and long-term performances have all been quite good. The Bitcoin price is expected to reach 90,000 by 2023 as anticipated, and the recent wave prediction of breaking through the 105,000 level has also materialized as expected. The saying still stands: during a phase of opportunity, as long as you are present and have chosen the right direction, the rest is just waiting for a natural progression.

After breaking through, Bitcoin has once again entered a phase of retracement and correction. Defining it as a correction is relatively simple; compared to the magnitude of the previous rise, the current pullback still does not change its overall structure. After all, the starting point has not yet been broken. Although it has not been able to continue breaking out, the short-term structure has not changed, and a change in trend often involves a significant reverse movement. The next approach remains to follow up on the retracement.

On Wednesday, I personally suggest going long in the range of 104,900-105,200, with a target around 108,000. For Ethereum, consider going long around 3,300-3,320, with a target around 3,390, which can be #BTC重回10万 $BTC $ETH . #特朗普就职后行情怎么走？

The daily structure is still the same as expected. The oscillation range shrank at the beginning of the week, the space converged, the trend turned downward on Wednesday, and the correction and adjustment on Thursday, so the probability of continuing to explore on Friday is relatively high. In the small cycle, it is still running in the oscillation step downward channel. The rebound is unable to continue, and the inability to stabilize increases the probability of breaking down. Both long and short positions must respond flexibly based on the pattern. The smaller the space shrinks, the greater the frequency of the saw. In terms of operation, the short-term rebound high is temporarily maintained.

　　Friday morning, pay attention to the short position near 56300-56700, and the target is near 55300. Ether pays attention to the short position near 2375-2395, and the target is near 2295. $BTC $ETH #BTC走势分析

Today, Thursday, there is CPI in the evening. There is not much room for the upper and lower levels currently given. Let’s pay attention to the short-term strength in the evening. After all, the downward trend has accelerated on Wednesday. The probability of the current situation turning upwards and fluctuating downwards is still high. The idea There is no need to make big changes for the time being, just be patient and wait for space to emerge. #BTC #ETH $BTC $ETH