克制会获得幸运

The current market situation is relatively clear; the pullback has not ended. It is still the previous script of oscillating upwards, but unlike the previous script, this time when it rises to a very high point, there will be a significant sell-off. This sell-off is likely to break 100,000, and once it breaks 100,000 and goes above 97,000, it will be bloodied chips. This is the last opportunity to buy. The market is testing patience, and only those who last until the end will be the winners.

The pancake market has been a divine situation these past two days. Don't rush to chase the rise; after yesterday's washout, there may be another washout today. If there's one, there could be two. First, keep yourself calm and observe carefully before acting.

It really is the bottom, the sell-off at 105900 and the support at 103600 are too obvious, but it's just been sideways again, it needs to stay sideways for over a week, this market is really sluggish, I wish I could crush the dog fund 😅

Oh my god, this trend for the pancake is a bit fierce 😂. What did I say this afternoon? It's at the bottom, and there are still people who don't believe it. Now it's starting to charge towards the 106,000 position.

Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night for the Air Force.

Now we need to pray that the big pancake is in a horizontal range at the daily level; the longer it stays horizontal, the greater the potential for an upward movement.

Looking at the current situation of the pancake, it has basically reached the bottom, and it should not surge to around 100,000 again. The consolidation over the next two days will yield results, so be prepared and definitely do not short.

Daily line closes with a rise, the situation has reversed, finally no longer dealing with the previous oscillating market, it really drove people crazy 😅, likely to be sideways next.

Don't follow this increase in Bitcoin; in my opinion, this rise is a signal close to the bottom, but the bottom hasn't been reached yet. This means Bitcoin will rise to over 105,000, stopping around 106,000, and the next scenario should be a downward probe to find the bottom.

This large pancake gives me the feeling that it has hit the bottom. I'll observe for a while, and if it can stabilize, I'll go long. It's clear that the bull market hasn't ended.

The market for the pancake is such that you know it will rise, but you can't make much of a move; shorting is even harder. It's really frustrating when it rises three steps and falls two steps, or even falls four steps and then rises five steps. It really tests your mentality, and I don't want to participate at all. 😅😅😅😅

In the past couple of days, the market for big pancakes has really been one to avoid casually participating in. It’s a very mentally exhausting market; it looks like it's rising, but it can't actually rise much. There are repeated fluctuations up and down. Staying as an observer and keeping a clear mind and stable emotions is more important than anything else. Opportunities will always come, but some opportunities should be decisively given up.

The current situation in the US stock market is that there are many hidden dangers. For example, one danger is commercial real estate. Most of the funding for commercial real estate mortgages comes from various banks in the United States. However, the latest survey shows that the default rate on mortgage agreements has actually risen to eleven percent. Simply stating the number may not convey much, but what if I told you that the default rate for commercial real estate has already exceeded the default rate during the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis? Doesn’t that sound surprising? The situation is that severe, and this is just regarding commercial real estate. Another significant danger is shale oil, which we will discuss later.

But I would like to remind my friends to pay attention, the bull market is far from over. This month is a consolidation period, and the real action will start next month. This is a typical replay of the double top pattern from 2021, and a significant correction is bound to happen in between. The real action begins next month, so shorting should be done with caution; if it feels wrong, just run away fast.

In the past two days, there is no point in making trades during this oscillating market. It seems to be rising, but the upper limit of the rise won't be too high. This oscillation is likely to continue until the end of the month. I am waiting for the opportunity for a monthly line reversal. There will definitely be a pullback, but it is not now.

Why do I feel like this is going to callback directly to around 100,000 rhythm?

The current situation of the US stock market is very dangerous. The basic trend is that retail investors are entering while institutions are exiting. Taking Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway as an example, they have completely divested from various American banks, exchanging some shares for cash, while most of the remaining funds are invested in companies here in China. This itself is a dangerous signal.

This rebound is quite fast, it seems the market will rally tonight.

Be cautious with my friends in the next few days, the big pie may pull back to 100,000 points before continuing to rally, staging a double top market like in 2021.

The current situation is likely a replay of history in 2021, a double top market, leaving me with no choice but to watch from the sidelines 😅😅😅