18年韭菜

$XRP Trend Analysis: Breakthrough or Retracement?

Previously, it fluctuated and absorbed funds at 2.35-2.50, and today it went straight to 2.77. The bulls are a bit fierce.

Key point: 2.77 is a short-term resistance, and whether it can break through is the focus to be seen next.

If it breaks through 2.77, there is a chance to rush to 2.90-3.00, and the trend continues to rise. If it pulls back, pay attention to the support area of ​​2.49-2.59. As long as it stabilizes, there will still be a play in the future.

But if it falls below 2.49, it will fluctuate again in the short term, so don't be too aggressive.

Short-term strong, pay attention to the breakthrough of 2.77, and it will still be a bull market if it stabilizes the support.

Short-term risks:
If Bitcoin cannot hold steady at 98,000, the market may enter a longer period of consolidation. If the Fed's hawkish rhetoric increases and US Treasury yields rise, the BTC rebound rhythm may be suppressed in the short term.

In general, the trend is still there, but a breakthrough confirmation is needed
Breaking through 98,000 confirms the continuation of the upward trend, with the target pointing to 110,000.
If it falls below 94,000, it may enter a longer period of shock consolidation.

Funds have not completely tilted toward the cryptocurrency circle
: some incremental funds are still in the U.S. stock market and have not yet flowed into the crypto market in large quantities.
Short-term consolidation: Bitcoin rose from 94 to 98, with many short-term profit-taking orders, and the market is in the consolidation stage.
The market lacks catalysts: the current macro data has not changed dramatically and is still in the trend confirmation period.

From a horizontal perspective, 94-95 is the key support range. If it stands firm, BTC is likely to continue to attack the 100,000 mark. The 4-hour moving average is in a bullish arrangement, and there is still upward momentum in the short term.

Let me analyze for you how the trend evolves when the big cake fluctuates and the US stock market takes off?
First of all, the US stock market takes off, while B$BTC fluctuates. Why?
Driving force for the rise of US stocks: Liquidity support: The recent rebound in market risk appetite has pushed US stocks to continue to strengthen.
Strong technology stocks: AI and chip stocks continue to exert their strength, driving the index higher.
Expectations for interest rate cuts remain: Although Powell emphasized that "there will be no rush to cut interest rates", the market is still betting on the interest rate cut window in the middle and late stages of this year.

Macro logic: If the US stock market continues to strengthen and the market risk appetite rises, $BTC may benefit. ETF funds continue to flow in, and the long-term structure remains bullish.
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$BTC $ETH #美联储何时降息？ #美国加征关税 #比特币后市
Powell's cautious stance on rate cuts will boost the dollarConclusion analysis: bearish, but we need to see subsequent developments

Short-term impact: If the dollar remains strong, it may put pressure on the prices of mainstream currencies such as BTC and ETH.

Medium-term impact: If the economy declines in the future, the Fed may still cut interest rates, and the cryptocurrency market may benefit at that time.

Long-term impact: If global economic uncertainty increases, the crypto market still has the opportunity to become a safe-haven asset.

👉 Trading strategy suggestions:
In the short term, BTC may fluctuate or pull back, and you can wait for a better buying opportunity.
Pay attention to the future policy dynamics of the Federal Reserve. Once there is a signal of a rate cut, it may be an opportunity for the cryptocurrency market.

Are you doing short-term trading or long-term holdings? You can share with each other, and welcome to discuss together

From February to early November last year, the price fluctuated in the range of 50,000 - 70,000, accumulating positions, and then broke out with increased volume, entering an upward trend. The current price has retraced to around 97,000, and has been fluctuating at a high level for 4 months. This process may be a stage for the operator to distribute chips or further accumulate.

From the market structure perspective, operators often create panic through violent fluctuations to wash out weak hands. It is expected that the key support level for this round of retracement is around 84,400, which may become a short-term bottom, but the market is expected to strengthen again afterward.

The medium to long-term trend still leans towards bullish, but in the short term, one should be cautious of the risk of a deep retracement, paying attention to the buying strength around 84,400 and subsequent changes in volume to confirm whether a rebound signal is formed before considering entry.

Consider opening a short near 220 on $SOL , set a stop loss at 240-245, and target 183. Suggest a 10% position with 10x leverage, control risk, and patiently wait for market development.

K-line is the foundation for observing market sentiment. First, learn to read candlestick charts, then use BOLL to find breakouts and pullbacks. Next, use MACD to assess trend strength; trading in the direction of the trend is more secure. RSI helps determine overbought and oversold conditions, allowing for early detection of potential turning points. Finally, VOL helps you see changes in trading volume, identify signals of major players entering and exiting the market, and grasp the market fluctuations brought by increased volume.

To make money in the cryptocurrency space, one cannot solely rely on "personal beliefs" or "others' predictions"; one must learn the knowledge independently.

The above are my personal learning experiences over the years. If you are interested, I am willing to share. I do not take trades; this is purely a sharing initiative, and I hope to meet more like-minded friends.

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$ETH Operation Suggestions
Opening Position Suggestions:
Short when rebounding to 2630 - 2720 (10x leverage, 1 layer position).
Stop loss at 2760 to avoid market reversal risk.

Profit Targets:
First Target: 2330
Second Target: 2225 (Hold if trend continues)

Risk Management:
Always set a stop loss, stop loss at 2760 to prevent trend reversal breakout.

Control position size, light participation is recommended (1 layer position) to avoid excessive leverage risk.

At present, $BTC has completed the downward sliding gate of the daily line, officially verifying the downward trend.

In the short term, the key support of the market is that BTC has completed the downward sliding gate of the daily line, officially verifying the downward trend. In the short term,

The key support of the market:

The first support level: 89,000 (market psychological barrier)

This is a support level generally recognized by the market. If the price stabilizes and rebounds after the second exploration, there may be a short-term rebound.

If it stabilizes, it is expected to rebound to around 92,000.

The second support level: 84,400 (main rising trend line support)

If 89,000 is lost, the market will test the deeper main rising trend line support level of 84,400.

In this area, if there is a large-volume stop-loss signal (such as a large positive line, bottom divergence), a larger level of rebound may be ushered in.
Short-term resistance: 92,000 (breakthrough confirmation point)

If $BTC rebounds after testing 89,000 for the second time, the first target will be 92,000.
If it breaks through 92,000, the market may regain strength and further challenge 96,000 and above

This is an article about a question, and everyone is welcome to communicate.

The cyber offensive and defensive warfare has always been an invisible battlefield for countries to compete, where hacker organizations and government-supported cybersecurity teams engage in battles over information warfare, data protection, and critical infrastructure defense. In recent years, debates surrounding the comparison of cyber capabilities between China and the United States have intensified, and the rumored 'Red and Black Hacker War' is considered a critical confrontation.

China's Red Hackers aim to defend national cybersecurity and retaliate against cyber attacks. They are associated with negative behaviors such as hacking, intelligence theft, and infrastructure attacks. Globally, state-level cyber warfare capabilities often hide behind hacker organizations, engaging in battles through 'proxy wars'. It is estimated that there has already been an impact on the future of the cryptocurrency sector.