mareko

As a trader, having expectations is natural—even though the market moves on its own terms. However, experience plays a vital role in helping you navigate it steadily and capitalize on opportunities. It’s important not to attach emotional beliefs to any trade; instead, decisions should be grounded in market trends and probable developments.

This analysis focuses on XRP and serves to reinforce my earlier post, where I highlighted that the XRP chart still appears weak. It should be approached with caution to minimize the risk of significant losses.

General view of XRP

I’m seeing a clear Wyckoff distribution pattern forming on the bigger picture for XRP. The chart looks weak across both the higher and lower time frames. However, I prefer to highlight the daily time frame here, as it presents the setup in a way that’s easier for traders to understand compared to the others⬆️🔼.

My expectations

If any bullish move does occur on the lower time frame, the $2.50–$2.70 zone is a key area investors should closely watch for potential take-profit opportunities.
However, this is not a call to trade XRP but to be careful due to its overall weakness. As I’ve shared before, my strategy as a spot trader is to avoid weak markets.
XRP currently looks very fragile, and a major crash wouldn’t be surprising. It’s flashing multiple signals of a larger bearish move ahead, so investors need to proceed with extreme caution.

I will share a trade opportunities on 4Hour time frame at the end of this article so make sure you are paying attention

Target buy area

I’ve currently positioned myself to avoid noisy trading, which is why I’m focusing only on the $1.00–$1.50 range. My buying interest starts around the $1.50 mark, but only if there are clear candle rejections supported by strong fundamentals.
I always advise traders not to enter any zone blindly, no matter how strong it looks. Lately, we’ve seen the market break through major zones without any reaction—and that should serve as a valuable lesson for all of us.
Invalidation

Although I see a break above the $2.70–$2.90 zone as highly unlikely, I still believe it’s important to mention—this is the financial market, and new traders need to understand that anything is possible.

If the market does manage to break above the $2.70–$2.90 zone, as shown on my screen, it would shift the bigger picture entirely. In that case, we would start looking for potential buying opportunities instead.
$XRP


The spot trading opportunities now

On the 4-hour time frame, I’m spotting a potential retest of a head and shoulders pattern, which could lead to a short-term bullish move toward the $2.50–$2.60 zone before a possible drop.

Note: This setup is on the 4H chart and goes somewhat against the broader trend, so extra caution is needed. If I do decide to trade it, this would be the short-term opportunity I’d consider—but only after seeing solid confirmations.

I might share the full trade setup in a new article on my page, so stay tuned.

Make sure to like, comment, and share, and don’t forget to follow me so you don’t miss any updates on potential short-term setups!

I don't want to FUD, but it’s alarming.
I’m not trying to discourage you from holding BTC, it’s the only asset I hold for the very long term (8+ years).
But I just discovered a major risk that every holder should know.
As you know, Bitcoin’s main strength must lie in its decentralization, but we're far from it!
We don’t care about $BTC distribution; what matters is how decentralized the network’s computing power is.
The key is to avoid a single actor gaining more than 51% of the network’s total hashrate. That’s what we call the 51% attack risk, and it’s the biggest threat to Bitcoin.

By analyzing the Coinbase transaction (the first transaction in every block), we can track who controls what part of the Bitcoin network.
The miner inserts it and usually contains a unique tag that identifies the pool.
This makes it easy to see which pool mined the block.

For example, Antpool uses the tag /AntPool/.
By collecting this data, we can easily follow the share of blocks mined by each major pool.
Results are scary: the top 5 mining pools mine over 80% of all blocks, meaning they control more than 80% of Bitcoin’s total hashrate.

We can also measure centralization over time using the Mining Centralization Index, which shows how much hashrate is held by the top 2 to 6 pools.
Satoshi envisioned a Bitcoin that would become more decentralized over time as adoption grew, but the opposite is happening.

What’s even more concerning is that some smaller pools seem to use identical block templates to larger ones, suggesting the existence of proxy pools.
For example, while Antpool officially holds around 20% of the network, its proxy pools push that number up to 30%.

Just by including Antpool and its proxies, the mining centralization index jumps from 85% to 96% of the hashrate being controlled by the top 6 pools.
And that’s without even counting potential proxies for other major pools.

Bitcoin has gone through phases of better decentralization, like in 2017 or between 2017 and 2022. But since 2023, it’s become increasingly centralized.
That timing lines up closely with the beginning of Bitcoin ETF developments, probably not a coincidence.

Among the top 5 mining pools, 2 are based in the US and 3 in China.
+ US: Foundry and MARA Pool
+ China: Antpool, ViaBTC, and F2Pool
That means the US controls over 40% of the Bitcoin network, and China 55%, with just 5 pools.
It’s insane when you think about it.

In theory, these pools have no incentive to attack the network since their business depends on Bitcoin’s success.
But don’t forget, these are regulated companies. Their respective governments can pressure them to change things on the network if they want to.

Back in December, there was an incident where a transaction was censored in a block mined by F2Pool.

It’s hard to say whether this was intentional (e.g. sanction enforcement) or just a coincidence, but Bitcoin core developer Peter Todd doesn’t rule out censorship as a possibility.

But as I always say, every problem has a solution.
Making Bitcoin more decentralized is a tough battle, a true David vs Goliath situation.
Here’s what we can do:
+ Support smaller mining pools
+ Encourage large miners to go solo
+ Redirect hashrate to decentralized pools
+ Promote home mining, even on a small scale
#BTCvsMarkets

Bull market mode: ON. These aren’t just coins — they’re rockets.
1. $XRP – 30X
2. $CRV – 20X
3. $FIS – 10X
4. $GAlien – 1000X
5. $AVAX – 10X
6. $OM – 8X
7. $BONK – 40X
8. $BOME – 50X
9. $STX – 10X
10. $WIF – 20X
11. $IMX – 30X
Now let’s get real:
I don’t know if $PEPE or $FLOKI will ever hit $1 —
But I do believe $GAlien can break $2.
▫️ $PEPE: 420 trillion supply | Price: $0.00000840
▫️ $GAlien: 750 million supply | Price: $0.0000245
For $PEPE to hit $1, the market cap would need to hit $420 trillion.
That’s fantasy math — especially when the entire crypto market cap is around $7T right now.
So let’s stay logical and early.
How to Buy $GAlien:
1. Open Binance Wallet
2. Search “GAlien”
3. Click Buy (BNB Chain)
That’s it. Stay patient. Play the bull wisely.
And never invest what you can’t afford to lose.
GAlien believers, your time is coming.
#BinanceAlphaAlert #MarketRebound