三百k线交易

$BTC $ETH It feels like the US stock market is struggling to rise, let's quickly push for a new high; otherwise, if the US stock market drops, it will be a disaster.
Fundamental analysis indicates a bearish outlook. Summarizing last November's bull market fundamentals, it was driven by Trump's policies (tax cuts, etc.), which created a sort of uncertain positive trading environment.
Now, in April, the reversal is driven by AI and Trump's suspension of tariffs. Essentially, both gold and US Treasury bonds indicate a bearish sentiment.

From a technical perspective, last year's weekly chart showed a downward correction pattern.
From February to April, there was a direct decline, and the intensity is much stronger this year. Looking at the rebound, the current MACD weekly area is smaller than that of last November (though it's possible that it hasn't fully completed its movement).
As for the Nasdaq, there was a daily/weekly reversal from April, and currently, the momentum has diminished, with corrections firmly in place. If a correction is to occur, it makes sense to rally now; we can't just wait until the index drops before reacting, right?
#BTC再创新高

$BTC has not yet reached a new high, there’s basically nothing to trade. The short positions taken before the new high have hardly gained any points. The prolonged consolidation is just to break the new high.
Currently, the performance of the US stock market does not support Bitcoin truly breaking above 110,000. The daily line of the US stock market has not moved out, and Bitcoin’s new high should come before the US stocks decline. It’s hard to guess where it might pull back to afterwards.
#突破交易策略

$ETH feels like it can take a small short position near the current price, can see around 2400
stop loss at 2575
#大而美法案

$BTC New highs within four thousand points are all false breakthroughs, directly go in on the left side, wait for a standard small platform to form on the right side, as long as it pierces down and closes below 1h, then short it.

$SOL If it doesn't catch up, around 168?
$ETH 2745 nearby, or a higher point. A bit afraid that ETH will drop to 3000, leading to an ultimate fake-out.
Priority to short altcoins, then short Bitcoin.
#大而美法案

$SOL Isn't there always news about this ETF? There's no need to chase the price up; the big players have already laid their plans. I'm currently doing medium-term trading, primarily looking to short Bitcoin as it approaches new highs, and I predict SOL will be around 180-190.
😂 I wonder if anyone comes to the BN chat room. Usually, there's a lot to discuss in this market, but the medium-term and long-term directions haven't changed.
32295888
聊天室
#Strategy增持比特币

Today, if Bitcoin is finished eating around the liquidity near 1090 and then comes down, that would be the best. The liquidity above SOL is gone, leaning bearish.
However, there is still a chance that a few big bullish candles could push the NASDAQ to 114,000 tomorrow. As long as we start to squeeze shorts and clear liquidity above, it will be very easy for Bitcoin to break new highs.

Anything within 112,000 to 115,000 is considered a false breakout. You can short around this area and set your stop loss around 3,000 points above your entry price. A downward move to 93,000 isn't unreasonable, as the liquidity at 98,000 and 100,000 has been raided, and the new high raided is at 112,000, so the liquidity below will be at 93.
#美国5月核心PCE物价指数

$BTC This post advises those who are shorting
There is no plan for long or short positions at 1070 now. If the market breaks through 1090, there is a high probability that it will squeeze and go directly to 11.4w to break a new high
Of course, short positions must try 1090, but why is it necessary? There is no rush to make money
If you read my articles, I always say to go long.
I told you to go long at 1017, and at that time I also pointed out the second point 98
Only those who can't do long positions will rush to short, they will never learn to wait
If you can get a callback to 1033, you can continue to go long, but don't go short.
Short only altcoins, ETH can't find a reason to make up for the rise at present, sol may make up for the rise

$BTC 1033 1028 1021 Today observe these three points to enter long
In fact, in the square, we can only analyze support and trend prediction; the actual point to enter needs real-time operation

There should be quite a few people shorting these days, and there should be many shorting now as well 😂

$BTC According to yesterday's analysis, normal entry, stop loss at 995
The news has been out for ten days; if you're thinking about shorting now, it's a bit too late...
America has taken them all out this time; Iran might be preparing to surrender; let's not guess about the news, technically it can be bought. Next, there is a high probability of an upward move on the daily line, at least ten thousand points.

$BTC Daily Direction Analysis, How to Approach Long and Short
1. The first marked chart is the liquidation chart. You can open the liquidation chart from January to March, and you can clearly see there are a lot of short positions around 110,000 (very many), and combined with market sentiment, everyone is surprisingly not FOMOing at all, all are shorting, thinking this is a historical peak. As the main player, seeing so many short positions here, if you still have inventory, would you raise it a bit to let them eat all your stock (i.e., short positions liquidating)?
2. This is the current daily chart. Currently, this is a weekly upward trend that couldn't be clearer. It has moved up and down (the downward movement is ongoing). Combined with Chart 4, you can see that BTC has made three upward or downward daily movements (red ⭕) to confirm the peaks and troughs, while the last peak and trough have removed the new high/new low. (Currently, only two upward movements have occurred.)
At the same time, the daily downward movement is not yet complete, but in terms of volume, it is indeed not much (red arrow), which is likely to produce divergence. At this moment, we will continue to operate under the condition that it does not drop below 100,000.
3. Chart Three goes deeper into the 4-hour chart. The 4-hour chart here has already shown a decrease in volume, and the downward momentum is weak. Once this 4-hour downward movement is completed, we can start going long! If it only completes 3 movements in 4 hours for this daily downward movement.
About 101,500 is a good point for going long, with a stop-loss at 99,500.
4. The monthly chart of altcoin bear market may have already shown the peak formation in December. Now we are in the first wave of weekly rebound (i.e., the bear market has already started, suitable only for shorting rebounds).
5. Because many market conditions must be analyzed in conjunction with the current situation, at this moment the bullish mindset of 6.21 will not break. The subsequent shorting points will begin after BTC reaches a new high again, while also trying to short altcoins. This time we will only go long on BTC.

Go long at 101,500, with a stop-loss at 99,500.
There is also support at 98 below to go long (if it drops here, it is likely to make 5 movements in 4 hours, currently the third downward movement in 4 hours).
#波段交易策略

$BTC Current trend has only 3 scenarios, which are friendly for bears
1. If it doesn't break 112000, it will drop directly from the new high point of the 107-110 range (originally expected that it would drop directly from 1099, but it unexpectedly started to fluctuate)
2. If it breaks 110, a new 4-hour divergence segment will form (doesn't matter if it breaks 112000 or not, as long as a divergence appears)
3. If it breaks 112000, it will directly surge to 120000 (😓 then just cut losses, it's not like we can't afford it)
This time, Bitcoin isn't that strong; this new range is only 3000 points higher than the previous one, and there are many overlapping fluctuations. Previously, it was a gap of ten thousand points #比特币2025大会

Now with so many positive factors, Trump is selling news. Then, once the positive news is exhausted, it only takes some news to complete the decline; bulls killing bulls is the fastest.

$ETH The real bottom for the counterfeit should be ETH breaking below 2000, a pin bar or minor fluctuations are acceptable, most people's liquidation price should be around 2000.
1900 should be the point for all-in betting.
ETH's movement right now is too terrifying, just like Bitcoin in November.
Going forward, we can only treat Ethereum's market as a fluctuation, not a trend; it should be impossible to continue a straight upward attack to 3000.

I really couldn't hold back when I saw this yesterday $ETH
It's still the same saying, if you don't buy the knockoff now, are you waiting for the knockoff to take over later?

$BTC The daily chart for this pancake has a high probability of peaking. If it doesn't drop directly and continues to fluctuate around 103, Ethereum and altcoins are likely to rise, making a move to pump and dump.

If it doesn't break 102, many altcoins can be bought with closed eyes; just wait for the big rise, but don't buy those that have already surged.

Then, at the moment when the BTC daily chart's pullback ends (the daily MACD touches the 0 axis), a major bull market for altcoins will begin, while also likely completing this round of the bull market.

$DOGS 😅Let's see how high it will rise, my average price is 1881

$DOGS Buying strategy
You can open a position around 0.2, and stop loss if it falls below.

For coins like pepe, the rise is actually not big (probably because the leading meme will rise first), and now you only need to buy the coins that have not risen. For coins like dogs and ena, just buy them when they fall back.

$BTC $ETH There is still the script for altcoin season!
This wave of movements can push up 30,000 points with a single daily line, but it shouldn't reach a new high on this rise. The main force is pushing this high to significantly raise the bottom of the next wave's daily line, forming an up-down-up pattern from 75,000. It will be normal for the third rise to break the 110,000 high.

Looking at other cryptocurrencies, Ethereum has already started, and its exchange rate has indeed surged more than the large bullish candle from November.
Most altcoins have risen about 2-3x from the bottom, and they are still far from the peak of a bull market. It's quite clear that the altcoin whales do not believe this wave of movements will end with a single daily upward rise; the real altcoin season will only come when the next daily line rises.

Everyone should not be afraid of missing out; where there are rises, there will also be falls 😄 The second wave of declines is still to come.

Macroeconomically, the fundamentals are favorable every day, but when negative factors come, the market will not oscillate and will drop directly.
#美国加征关税

The bearish pattern has not yet been observed online as of $BTC and we still have to wait.
This trend has extended to the sixth segment, and from the 4-hour MACD, it may still have another surge after the pullback.
The divergence at the $ETH 2h level is very obvious. If this wave drops, there will be a good opportunity to enter, with expectations to enter in the range of 2250-2430.
I recommend everyone to pay more attention to altcoins during the pullback.

$BTC Is 5.11 directly hitting 11w, the Air Force has been bloodied!
Technical Analysis:

6-Hour Level: From the 6-hour chart, the previously potential divergence pattern has disappeared, indicating that the large-scale bearish opportunity has temporarily come to an end. However, this does not mean that BTC will not decline; potential downturns may stem from smaller-level divergences.

1-Hour Level: It is worth noting the 1-hour level. If BTC makes a second wave of increases, it is very likely to form a divergence, which will bring small-level shorting opportunities. But if the market makers are not inclined to continue pushing up, then after the small-level divergence appears, BTC may quickly drop to the 96-94k USD area, which is a risk brought by the rapid rise.

My analysis method does not predict market trends; I only take action when divergences and resistance levels resonate. Although I was bearish earlier, I didn't let everyone short at the wrong positions, right?