龙龙历险记

Awesome

I think the Eth/btc exchange rate is about to reverse. Ethereum has been forgotten and abandoned by many people. Those who can still firmly believe in holding it will not become sellers, so I believe that at the right moment, $ETH will be ignited.

Yesterday, the market once again broke the high point, reaching around 95758, but did not continue to our target of 96500. Throughout the night, the market fluctuated with high points continuously lowering, but it has not yet broken the previous highs. Let's take a look at today's market.

Looking at the daily level, we have seen seven consecutive upward days. Yesterday's closing broke the high point and then retreated, forming a large doji. The market today is perplexing, as it can go either up or down. From the KDJ and RSI indicators, we can see it has entered the overbought zone and has shown warning signals. We will see if today's MACD will move down.

At the four-hour level, after the breakout, it has entered a divergence pattern again. We should observe whether the MACD pullback here will lead to a market pullback or if it will behave like before with a sideways drop.

At the one-hour level, the market is still at the upper Bollinger Band. The position we need to focus on at this hourly level is the retracement of the Vegas channel, where there is room for a decline. The fifteen-minute chart is forming a triangular convergence, and we expect a direction to emerge in the afternoon.

In terms of operations, Long Brother has chosen to short-term short. The medium and long-term long positions from the counterfeit have temporarily taken profits, waiting to re-establish positions at support. $BTC #比特币市值排名
Upper pressure: 95100-96000
Lower support: 94400-93950

No one has discussed this round. Looking back at the history, every round's increase has been quite good, right? Brother Long has summarized and illustrated it for you, but this round hasn't even reached the first pressure yet. If you believe it, hurry up and grab the chips!

Yesterday's market just happened to test important support while I was recording the market analysis in the afternoon, and then it quickly rebounded. From yesterday's adjustment, this round of bullish momentum is very strong. This morning, it rebounded directly to around 94400 from the highest point.

Looking back at today's daily chart, the 5-day moving average that I mentioned yesterday crossed above the 120 and 180-day moving averages in just one day, pushing up the rise to 94400 this morning. Now it has retraced to test the 5-day moving average. Today's low point will focus on the 5-day moving average strategy for a buy on the retracement, but here we still need to wait for the 10-day moving average to move up, as well as the adjustment of the MACD. Only after the 10-day moving average rises, and when it crosses above the 30-day moving average, will it influence the next breakout.

On the four-hour level, the Bollinger Bands did not complete the contraction yesterday, and the pullback to the middle band is not very thorough. From the naked candlestick mindset, the four-hour chart has already started to adjust in a sideways manner at a high position. During the day today, it will still go back to test the low point of the middle band, waiting for the completion of the contraction of the four-hour Bollinger Bands before we will have the next wave to choose the direction.

On the one-hour level, I mentioned yesterday that we need to break out of a range. Now it looks very clear, and it's much easier to do high sell and low buy within this range. $BTC #币安Alpha上新

Upper resistance: 93500-94000
Lower support: 92650-91500

Found a good short target. Consider entering a short position when $MAGIC rebounds to around 0.205, with the target at the lowest blue support band, which has a 30% downside potential. The risk-reward ratio is very good.

In yesterday's market analysis, Long Ge mentioned that the market should make another push higher, but it remains quite strong. The daily line closed without forming an upper shadow and instead closed with a high position bullish doji, so the possibility of a direct drop to end the market here is very low. The highest point yesterday was around 94900, which did not reach the 96500 that I have been paying attention to.

Returning to today's market, we continue to look at the daily level. The daily level entered the overbought zone yesterday, and combined with yesterday's closing situation, the market is bound to start consolidating and oscillating. From the moving average indicators, the 5-day moving average has already lagged far behind, so we need to pay attention to the pullback to the 5-day moving average. This is not a pullback today; the moving averages will gradually rise with the market buying orders, and the K-line will oscillate at a high position waiting. The likelihood of the K-line directly dropping to pull back is also not very large because the 180-day moving average has already broken through and is supporting from below, so we just need to wait for the rise of the 5-day moving average.

At the four-hour level, we have the familiar Bollinger Bands indicator. The Bollinger Bands have already contracted, and I believe the pullback to the middle band will coincide with the daily level pullback to the 180-day moving average.

At the one-hour level, it temporarily looks a bit like a top, but I think there will be a large K-line tonight to determine the formation of a range. Essentially, it is a high position oscillating market. Today, we need to find the high and low points of the oscillating range at a high position to make trades.

In terms of operations, we will wait for the range to form before executing long positions. It is not easy for the market to drop after having risen so much; even if it has to go down, it will need to create more enticing bullish patterns at a high position. #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 $BTC
Upper resistance: 93700-94500
Lower support: 91900-91050

From a daily perspective, today's market has entered an overbought zone, and it has already reached the previous resistance range of 92200-96500. The MACD has just crossed above the zero line. I believe that at this position, Bitcoin should start to slow down. From the candlestick pattern, there is a possibility of another surge today, and as the sentiment picks up, it will begin to enter a consolidation phase with intermediate fluctuations.

The indicators on the four-hour level also show an overbought zone. After the Bollinger Bands opened, there are now slight signs of constricting, but it is not very obvious. The moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, and there are signs of deviating from the moving averages, just like the candlestick pattern on the daily chart. If there is another surge today, the four-hour level will also need to consolidate to retest the moving averages.

At the one-hour level, the Bollinger Bands are preparing to constrict, which is almost the same as yesterday's action. After constriction, there will be a fluctuation adjustment. The smaller time frame of fifteen minutes has already constricted, and the MACD has started to decline. Pay attention to the adjustment action at the one-hour level when it approaches the zero line. #加密货币总市值重回3万亿 $BTC

In terms of operations, most of the long positions in hand are in a state of being sold off. Altcoins can only be operated on those that have not yet started moving. For Bitcoin, I suggest waiting for a pullback to the support near the Fibonacci 0.5 level to add more.
Support below: 92500-91600
Resistance above: 96500-100000

Yesterday, there was no market analysis on Sunday, but the trend was the same as the previous days, constantly oscillating in a range. Yesterday, it dropped to the lower edge of the range, and unexpectedly, it surged up today as if pulled straight from the ground. During this week's oscillation, Long Ge could only stand still and take the hits. The short position near 85500 from the day before yesterday was profitable and exited, while the rest were all about earned losses and stop losses. Mysterious funds have some tricks up their sleeves.

Continuing to observe today's market, although such a strong bar has stood up, the highest point directly reached around 87600, but this position at the daily level is the pressure of the Vegas channel, and it is also the pressure of the Fibonacci 0.382 at the daily major level. If this pressure around 88000 breaks through directly, first, there needs to be a larger volume appearing, and secondly, it can only be considered a trend reversal. What everyone is looking forward to, the altcoin, might get even stronger.

The four-hour level completely fooled me. According to previous market sentiments, such a sideways movement and the MACD returning to the zero axis, the probability of a market downturn was very high. However, this wave of increase shows that there are a lot of bears in the market, and the main force is maliciously trying to squeeze the bears. From the four-hour level, this pressure is more apparent; today, we will mainly observe the breakthrough situation of this pressure.

I believe the pressure at this position will be tested several times at a smaller level. If it continuously attempts to push upward at a smaller level, there is a chance for the market to draw back to the upper edge of the lower oscillation range. If it chooses to retrace and oscillate upwards now, then the probability of breaking through will be high. This oscillating trend can be primarily observed on the fifteen-minute line. $BTC #加密市场反弹

In terms of operations, I still choose a high short strategy, because at this position, going short at high points means placing a stop loss around 88000, which has a relatively high risk-reward ratio.
Support: 86600-85990-85500
Resistance: 88000-88750-91500

Does this market really want me to admit defeat? Is it really this difficult to be a bear? Big brother #BTC , please stop rising and return to your rightful position. I feel that the market's bullish sentiment is a bit high; I don't think a market reversal will happen now. Everyone around me is going long; all the long positions are filled, and I'm the only bear left. $BTC

Yesterday, the downward trend that Long Ge was expecting did not continue, and the drop was not smooth at all, falling for a whole day, with the lowest point touching around 84300. There is insufficient liquidity, and the daily range has now only about 1000 dollars of space.

From today's daily chart, the market is testing the support of the 5-day moving average, while the 10-day moving average is just about to catch up. The next target is to challenge the resistance of the 60-day moving average together. If this challenge fails, it will form a death cross as the 5-day moving average crosses below the 10-day moving average. At the same time, the MACD at this position is also facing a choice between a downward death cross or crossing above the zero line.

On the four-hour level, the MACD still does not show any significant upward turn, so Long Ge believes that without a clear direction on the four-hour chart, I am still looking downward. The four-hour chart has been supported by the upper Bollinger band, which is a good sign, but if it oscillates in this area for too long without continuing to strengthen upwards, it will reverse and drop sharply, as a lot of long positions have accumulated here (with no retail investors following, why would the manipulators let you make money?).

For intraday trading, those with a strong stomach have already made profits. High-frequency short-term operations have been comfortable today. From my moving average indicators, they have already converged, so the next step is to choose a direction. Here, pay attention to whether the MACD can turn from below water upwards. Generally speaking, weakness in the one-hour level will gradually lead to weakness in the four-hour level, so we need to see if the upcoming market can continue strongly.

In terms of operations, my short position has not exited yet, but Long Ge is also human and can be influenced by emotions. To be honest, the high-level sideways movement and the hesitant drop over the past two days, along with the smooth rise, have made me less confident in my own judgment. However, since it hasn't reached the stop-loss point, I'll hold on and just follow the trading system. $BTC #特朗普施压鲍威尔

Upper pressure: 85300-85800
Lower support: 84400-83700

This market is a game of inner human nature. If you can be patient, you can achieve the results you desire. Often, those who lose do so because they are too anxious! $BTC $ETH #BTC走势分析

The big pancake shouldn't be put on anymore, I've seen through you, hurry up and come down so I can profit from my short position! The four-hour level has already started to show a lot of bearish candles with increased volume. At the same time, the MACD is about to show hollow red bars, indicating a gradual strengthening of bears. The KDJ has started to show a death cross at a high position. Come on! Give me a sharp drop!!! $BTC #鲍威尔发言

Looking back at yesterday's market, it did not drop directly as Long Ge wished, but instead continued to look for breakout opportunities at high levels. From the 1-hour timeframe, it can be seen that several attempts to break above 85000 were pushed down, but it still left hope for the bulls as the bottom on the 1-hour level is indeed rising.

Returning to today's market, the daily level still hasn't broken through the recent high. The daily bottom is maintained around 83500, and the MACD is close to the zero line. If the MACD can directly cross above the zero line, it will initiate a nice market trend. However, the KDJ indicator is about to enter the overbought zone, and we need to observe whether the market needs to adjust downwards once more.

Although the 4-hour level has been breaking out, Long Ge still believes it is making a top. Long Long doesn't want to short, but the market is just not strong! The MACD is slowly approaching the zero line. I think if it wants to rise, it should be decisive; how could it give so many opportunities to get on board? Since it always retraces to support, I always believe it is continuously accumulating bullish funds. $BTC #币安Alpha上新

Not much to say for the intraday 1-hour, just pay attention to the rising lower points. If it breaks, it will drop quickly; if it rebounds, it will test above 85000 again.

In terms of operations, Long Ge has kept the short position open without closing it. This position has been held for a few days; either it breaks through and I stop-loss, acknowledging that I am outplayed, or it drops down to give me a big gain.
Support: 84000-83100-81000
Resistance: 85000-85500-86000

Looking back at yesterday's market, Brother Long specifically mentioned that the four-hour level pullback reached support. Last night there was another rebound, but now we can see that the height of the rebound is lower than the previous high, so Brother Long still believes that the short-term direction of the market is downward.

Returning to today's market, the daily level had a spike upwards yesterday, marking three consecutive days of upward spikes, indicating that the bearish momentum here is still relatively strong.
The four-hour level has started to show a trend of oscillation downwards following the formation of a top divergence. Yesterday, the U.S. stock market opened and kept declining, while Bitcoin remained strong and rose until Powell's speech, ultimately forming a pin bar. After stabilizing, it closed at the lower Bollinger band. We still need to pay attention to the direction of the MACD; if it approaches the zero line and crosses below it, that might signal the beginning of a downtrend!
Throughout the day, the one-hour level has consistently been supported above the Vegas channel. A concerning observation is that each time it touches this support, it breaks below before recovering, which has happened three times now. Therefore, if we test it again today, it is very likely to break through completely. Additionally, if the MACD forms a death cross below the zero line, the market will slide down smoothly. $BTC #鲍威尔发言

Currently, the cryptocurrency market is heavily influenced by news sentiment. The decline started right after Powell's speech yesterday, then there was a rebound when he mentioned the easing of policies in the crypto market, but later he stated that there wouldn't be any political pressure, implying that if it's not the time for rate cuts, then cuts can't happen, and the market continued to fall. Such movements are now completely controlled by news.

On operations
Support: 83100-82500-81000
Resistance: 84700-85500-86000

Is the trend still not clear enough? The rise ends with a top divergence, and a new round of decline is on the way! $BTC #比特币与美国关税政策

$WCT just came down, it's nothing, if it doesn't fluctuate again by night and doesn't reach a high point, I will short it.