币圈刘

1. Recently, the U.S. officially imposed a 25% tariff on Mexican goods starting from February 1.
Preparing to impose tariffs on Canada and the European Union.
Due to China's 'drug control' reasons, it is expected that tariffs on Chinese goods will increase by 10%.
2. The yen is expected to continue to rise in interest rates, increasing from historical negative values to 0.5%, or even 1%, before the spring of 2026.
By raising trade tariffs, the current inflation outlook after significant inflation may be elevated.
In light of this, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts have been paused. On the other hand, the Bank of Japan is expected to raise the yen interest rate from negative values to 0.5% or even 1% before the spring of 2026.

According to analysis, the Bank of Japan is still considering raising interest rates, but is waiting to see whether subsequent data and the consumption sentiment of the Japanese people will allow prices to rise.

Japan has long maintained ultra-loose monetary policy, with $4 trillion invested overseas. If interest rates are raised and Japanese funds withdraw from global assets, the stock market is expected to experience a huge shock.
On August 5, Japan’s first interest rate hike caused a huge shock to the stock market, with the Nikkei 225 plummeting 12% and breaking through 31,000.

Combined with the recent expansion of the situation in the Middle East and the continued rise in prices in Japan, from a pessimistic point of view, the stock market is at risk of a sharp drop. Be cautious when going long [smile]

Never be a hindsight person. That is what petty people do.

Tonight's non-farm payrolls exceeded expectations, and the dollar continued to decline. The overall advantage this year fell below 40,000 US dollars. I said it. I am so crazy, I dare to say it in advance. Those who always talk after the fact should have some shame.

Why is it that after so many years mingling in this circle, keeping up with current events and data, I still don't see positive returns in the market?
"Man proposes, God disposes"
The success in life relies on timing, location, and harmony with others; lacking any one of these is not acceptable.
We cannot decide which attempt will succeed, but we must strive every time!
Please remember at all times, on the road of life, every step counts, and no step is in vain.
A journey of a thousand miles begins with a single step; a river is formed from countless streams.
Some people only see the dazzling displays of successful individuals, unaware of the price every successful person has paid when no one was paying attention. We yearn for success, but we also immensely admire those who have experienced countless failures and continue to strive for success 😎.

From a conspiracy theory perspective,
1. The state has used large amounts of funds to vigorously push up A-shares, calm investors, build an artificial bottom, rescue the real estate industry, revitalize market sentiment, and transfer "leek" funds to various companies.
2. Overseas funds took the opportunity to increase prices and make profits, then flee.

Final comment: The stock market has no artificial bottom, people are not united, and it is useless to force it. The market economy ultimately requires the right time, right place, and right people, none of which can be missing [grin]

The funding rate remains high. No matter how much it falls, it increases instead of decreasing?
On the one hand, as prices fall, some profit takers should normally close their positions and collect profits, and the number of long positions will decrease.
When there is no major reversal in the currency market and the price falls, those who have made profits may hold on to their orders in the short term because they are optimistic about the target or are not in a hurry to reduce their positions because their opening prices are too low.
On the other hand, due to the influx of new investors, the number of short-term bulls is huge.
However, the subsequent sharp drop in prices has reason to believe that these two groups of people are deeply trapped. In addition, due to the active short selling by the market makers, the number is large and the head is small, which leads to the high positive funding rate.

One day in the future, I will definitely write a memoir of the lowest point in my life. Everything is not easy. This damn life

Bitcoin stopped at its previous high and turned to an upward trend from its previous downward trend, once reaching 71919.
Please note that it is still lower than the highest price of 72799 on April 8. From 73787 to 72799 to 71919, according to common sense, if the market is always bullish, the lower the price goes, the greater the momentum regained, and the higher the price can reach. However, after the price of big cake dropped from 59000 to 56500, those who had been bearish before encountered a market reversal, and came to a bullish trend and broke through 70,000. However, the price still did not break the previous high after hitting a low. At this time, we have reason to believe that this is a rebound after the successful bottoming out. It is not a reversal of the big market. After May, the overall market is still bearish.

According to Aevo official news, after the recent token unlock, Aevo's circulating supply is now about 85%. The team has re-locked 15% until the end of the year to show long-term commitment.
And by the end of 2024, Aevo's circulating supply will reach 100%.
Aevo was listed on the exchange on March 13, 2024, with an issue price of 2 US dollars. It hit a high of 14 US dollars on the first day, with an amplitude of 600%, and then it has been falling. After the team began to exchange the previous old coins, the price dropped from 1.2 to a minimum of 0.75, with a downward range of more than 30%. Due to the large decline, the Aevo team can no longer sell and maximize profits. Since then, the team has advocated re-locking 15% of the circulation until the end of the year. At the same time, Binance also announced its investment in aevo. It is a major good news.

The current situation is indescribable, the future is unpredictable, everything is possible

Big bull market, small bull market. The rapid rise in prices will make a considerable number of people rich. From the rapid rise in the big disease in February 24, it brought a one-sided bull market for nearly 3 months. In just 3 months, the price of Bitcoin rose from around 42,000 to a maximum of 73,800, an increase of 72.7%, and an average monthly increase of nearly 25%, outperforming any traditional financial products. Just like the rare big bull market in 21 years, which could only rise for 6 consecutive months. Now, as the interest rate hike is coming to an end, the 24-year bull market is also coming to an end.

May is almost over, and we are firmly on the lookout for a correction.

It is meaningless to say that the market will rise in a bull market and fall in a bear market. We do research and analysis all day long because we dare to be the first. We dare to say that the market will fall in a bull market and rise in a bear market. Only in this way can we be the first to try and maximize our profits.

Let's talk about the next market, mainly through the emotional aspect
I personally believe that there will be another wave of big declines in the market to clean up the market. The market always starts when no one is interested. When will no one be interested? That is when retail investors suffer huge losses or the market plummets and then goes sideways. In this case, there will not be too many people paying attention to the market, and there will not be so many people shouting to buy at the bottom, because most people have lost money, and each group will become quiet.

DeFi concept
UMA, api3, perp and alpha belong to the same type of trading techniques.
It is suspected that they are all DWF-controlled currencies.
Features: Long-term washing, short, fast and large-scale rising time.
For example, UMA and API3 often experience a one-time increase of more than 50%, and multiple typical wash-outs to increase shipments.
Perp and alpha are mostly one-time pull-ups with no subsequent actions.

Review of Mantra (OM) Token
From July and August 2022 and September and October 2023, the lowest market value was 13 million US dollars, and it rose to a maximum of 600 million US dollars in half a year, and the market value increased by more than 50 times.
The price rose from a low of 0.0314 to a high of 1.0483.

Mantra Chain (OM) was initially divided into three parts, namely Mantra Finance, Mantra Dao, and Mantra Chain. Today's OM tokens were only tokens of Mantra Dao, and the AUM tokens representing the entire chain have not yet been issued. After going through the test of the bear market, the community discussed and finally determined that OM coins would be the final tokens of the entire chain. Therefore, OM, which once only represented the autonomous tokens of the Mantra Dao community, has also reached its own moment of glory.

On the first day of listing, the overall decline of Hong Kong Bitcoin and Ethereum spot ETF5.1 exceeded 7. The so-called positive news previously exaggerated by the media was not true. The monthly line has been broken, and the overall outlook is bearish. Bulls are cautious. The overall short position is mainly short, and it is better to short at highs.
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