Look at macro indicators more, just three to five operations a year is enough!
CryptoChan
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Don't panic, it's just another shallow exploration of the BTC bull-bear dividing line 😏
The indicator in the chart is the ratio of realized profit to realized loss on the Bitcoin blockchain (24-hour MA). When this indicator is > 1, it is a green line; < 1 is a red line; = 1 is the bull-bear dividing line.
Note: Realized Profit on the Bitcoin blockchain refers to the actual profit (in USD) obtained from Bitcoin that has moved on-chain over a period of time relative to its buying cost; Realized Loss on the Bitcoin blockchain refers to the actual loss incurred (cutting losses) from Bitcoin that has moved on-chain over a period of time relative to its buying cost.
How far will this cycle go? Reasonable expectations!
Regarding the price trend of Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025, we can conduct a comprehensive analysis and scientific inference based on historical data, current market dynamics, macroeconomic factors, Federal Reserve policies, inflation expectations, and Trump policies. Here is the step-by-step analysis and forecast:
I. Current Market Context (as of February 23, 2025) As of today (February 23, 2025), Bitcoin's specific price needs real-time data support, but based on recent trends, it may fluctuate between $90,000 and $100,000 (based on historical highs exceeding $100,000 at the end of 2024 and possible adjustments in early 2025). The current market is influenced by the following factors: